Liquid Tension
Footballguy
SD will get at best a 4th round compensatory pick based on Turner being a backup in terms of production in 2007. The performance in 07 and the salary received dictates the picks status from what I understand.There's no way the Chargers want Turner to go to a good team that is a RB from winning the SB. They know that the next couple years are their shot at the SB and they aren't going to give someone the missing piece they need. What I don't get is why let Turner go for a 2nd instead of getting another year out of him plus getting a 3rd round comp pick in 2009.Still, if all they wanted was a 2nd, they could still have dictated any trade and assigned a simple 1st round tender. Denver would have to be willing to part with the #21 pick or better to get Turner via offer sheet. I don't see that happening.My guess would be that by giving him the highest tender it makes it less likely that he will end up some place that the Chargers don't want him (Denver).If this is truly the case, why give Turner the high tender (1st and 3rd) if you are SD. A simple 1st round tender would be sufficient. Less money and cap hit.From the Buffalo Bills blogger Chris Brown:
If I'm the Bills, I'm all over this like white on rice if this is true.March 20, 2007 Posted By: Chris Brown | Time: 10:11 PM ET | Link
NFL GRAPEVINE PRICE FOR TURNER: In talking to some people around the league I'm hearing that Chargers RFA RB Michael Turner could be had for a high second round pick. That obviously limits the number of teams that could make a play for Turner to those at or near the top of the second round this year, if that is the true asking price. I suppose if a team that wasn't at the top of the second round was desperate enough they could offer a first.
It wouldn't surprise me if teams that are interested try to wait it out though. San Diego GM A.J. Smith would obviously love to get value this year for a player that will likely be out the door for nothing next year. The longer he waits the less he will likely get in return for Turner. Of course if just one team can't land the RB they want in the draft he could get lucky and name his price.
While some teams might like the talent that Turner brings, there is the other deterrent of signing him to a lucrative long term deal.
I don't know if I'd give up a first for him, but I'd have to strongly consider giving up a 2nd if that's indeed all it would take. Again it's just rumblings I'm hearing. Nothing definitive.
We'll have to see if Turner talk heats up around the league. Stay tuned.
The only team that may have snuck in and parted with a 1st rounder would have been Baltimore (#29).
I don't see a trade of Turner for a 2nd UNLESS there is a player the Chargers really really want that is available at that slot. And, I think they would want more then a 2nd (add some late round picks).
I would suspect that even if they lost Turner to FA in 2008, they would get a 3rd round comp pick in 2009.
Of course, AJ needs for Turner to be successful this year. Lots of talent for the Chargers and he needs to justify that Schottenheimer was the one that should have gone and he is a golden boy. As a result, the insurance for LT is more valuable then a 2nd rounder IMHO.
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I had seen rumors of a swap of 1st round picks OR the 2nd round pick, but not both. I suppose anything is possible, but I see NO way TT does this. The most likely scenario for TT is the swap of firsts as he then will still have a 1st and 2nd. That puts the value at a late 2nd.
Knowing the way Ted Thompson covets draft selects I also stated that I didn't think this trade would occur...and as a Packer fan I hope this deal does NOT take place. RB's can be acquired much cheaper than this.
Turner + 1st rounder >>>>>>>Lynch + second rounder