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Aaron Rodgers is currently a high priced mistake so far as Lefty has outscored him both weeks for me.

GB Lefty and Hightower, both have been $$$ for me the first two weeks.

 
Is there a link to preliminary stats/scoring for players?
Just thefantasystar.com
I just registered over there, but I can't get the activation code until I get home. Can someone else check my team for me? Is that possible?
What's your team number?
105631
PM me the email address you registered with and I will activate it manually if you want.Here's your team.

http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/index.php?t=213

 
Is there a link to preliminary stats/scoring for players?
Just thefantasystar.com
I just registered over there, but I can't get the activation code until I get home. Can someone else check my team for me? Is that possible?
What's your team number?
105631
167.75. You owe me a night with the chick in your avatar. TIA.
Code:
Aaron Rodgers	QB	$27	GB	15.90	23.35Matt Hasselbeck	QB	$17	SEA	30.25	6.05Marc Bulger	QB	$11	STL	9.75	13.05Adrian Peterson	RB	$50	MIN	38.30	19.60Darren Sproles	RB	$13	SD	15.10	25.00Rashard Mendenhall	RB	$10	PIT	0.60	5.70Willis McGahee	RB	$7	BAL	21.50	21.90Laurence Maroney	RB	$4	NE	5.10	2.30T.J. Houshmandzadeh	WR	$30	SEA	10.80	10.20Santonio Holmes	WR	$25	PIT	28.10	13.30Steve Smith	WR	$12	NYG	14.00	29.40Kevin Curtis	WR	$7	PHI	4.60	7.40Patrick Crayton	WR	$4	DAL	24.00	3.40Devery Henderson	WR	$3	NO	21.30	10.10Robert Meachem	WR	$3	NO	13.10	3.60Greg Lewis	WR	$2	NE	0.00	0.00Dallas Clark	TE	$18	IND	9.90	0.00Ben Utecht	TE	$1	CIN	0.00	0.00Josh Brown	K	$1	STL	0.00	1.00Olindo Mare	K	$1	SEA	4.00	5.00Shaun Suisham	K	$1	WAS	5.00	9.00Cleveland Browns	DEF	$1	CLE	10.00	2.00Denver Broncos	DEF	$1	DEN	9.00	10.00New Orleans Saints	DEF	$1	NO	7.00	16.00Total Points:	 		   	203.45	167.75Actual Cutoff:	 		   	120.90	 Projected Cutoff:	 		   	 	130.00
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Just thefantasystar.com
I just registered over there, but I can't get the activation code until I get home. Can someone else check my team for me? Is that possible?
What's your team number?
105631
PM me the email address you registered with and I will activate it manually if you want.Here's your team.

http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/index.php?t=213
Thanks for the link. I will just hold on to that and activate it myself tonight when I get home. Thanks for the offer though.
 
uhoh boys, bout to get Lynch and Schilens back and Choice/Felix/Garcon walked into better situations!

moving on with 160 that included a 0 by Jennings

just need Cutler to remember how close he and olsen were supposed to be (can't believe i fell for that crap as hard as i fell for the scheffler crap for years)

QB - Carson Palmer - 21

QB - Shaun Hill - 11

QB - Kerry Collins - 10

RB - DeAngelo Williams - 37

RB - Marshawn Lynch - 22

RB - Ray Rice - 21

RB - Felix Jones - 11

RB - Michael Bush - 6

RB - Tashard Choice - 2

RB - James Davis - 2

WR - Greg Jennings - 32

WR - Vincent Jackson - 21

WR - Percy Harvin - 5

WR - Hakeem Nicks - 4

WR - Pierre Garcon - 3

WR - Chaz Schilens - 3

WR - David Clowney - 2

WR - Laurent Robinson - 2

TE - Greg Olsen - 15

TE - Dustin Keller - 12

PK - Jeff Reed - 2

PK - Phil Dawson - 1

TD - Dallas Cowboys - 3

TD - Houston Texans - 2

 
PM me the email address you registered with and I will activate it manually if you want.

Here's your team.

http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/index.php?t=213
Thanks for the link. I will just hold on to that and activate it myself tonight when I get home. Thanks for the offer though.
Cool, no problem.It looks like there are three others in the "awaiting activation" state. If anyone else is having troubles, you can PM me and I will push it through.

 
I am at 129.65 with Bess going tonight. Need a decent game by him and maybe I will get throw to week 3.

Palmer (31.35) and Celek (22.40) actually saved me this week. I had McNabb, and LT out this week and my top WR Eddie Royal has been a bust thus far

 
I knew my wr's were bad, but this is ridiculous. 25.7 points this week, 35.2 points last week, but have made the cut easily each week. By 30ish points week 1 and around 50 points this week. Have used 15 different players through 2 weeks.

 
For those of you following your score on tfs.com I wanted to post the score corrections I have noted to the stats service used there. As of this time the corrections are NOT in your TFS totals, so consider these adjustments if you are near the 130 mark at the end of the game tonight. There may be other small errors, but these are the ones I know about...

Arizona DEF ARI -2

Pittsburgh DEF PIT -1

Thomas Pierre RB NO -0.4

Leinart Matt QB ARI -0.3

Russell JaMarcus QB OAK -0.3

Cutler Jay QB CHI -0.2

Jones Julius RB SEA -0.2

Sanchez Mark QB NYJ -0.2

Brees Drew QB NO -0.1

Jones Thomas RB NYJ -0.1

Warner Kurt QB ARI -0.1

Note that these are all subtractions, so if you own these players and they are part of your counted score, they will reduce your total...

 
Aaron Rodgers $27 23.35

Carson Palmer $21 31.35

Byron Leftwich $4 30.80

Michael Turner $41 17.50

Ray Rice $21 10.70

Willie Parker $16 5.50

Leon Washington $12 8.60

James Davis $2 0.00

Anquan Boldin $31 15.30

Vincent Jackson $21 26.10

Percy Harvin $5 16.50

Chaz Schilens $3 0.00

Bobby Engram $3 2.20

Robert Meachem $3 3.60

Darrius Heyward-Bey $2 2.80

Zach Miller $12 0.00

Brent Celek $7 22.40

Jermichael Finley $3 11.60

Rob Bironas $3 9.00

Ryan Longwell $3 11.00

New York Giants $6 14.00

New York Jets $4 2.00

------------------------------------

TOTAL 176.45

CUTOFF ???

See you in Week Three! :lmao:

 
On the week 2 simulator I was ranked #3 with 99.6% chance to move on. Because my team laid an egg, my chances for survival tonight was 12.6%. I started tonight at 101.4. Dallas Clark has given me life. I am sitting at 124.7. I figure 4 more catches and I might squeek by.

 
Up to 135.7 thanks to Dallas Clark. Hopefully, the projections hold up. I'd rather squeak by so more teams with like players will feel the Turk's wrath.

 
Up to 135.7 thanks to Dallas Clark. Hopefully, the projections hold up. I'd rather squeak by so more teams with like players will feel the Turk's wrath.
very :tfp: I was thinking about this earlier today. Specifically, I'd like to squeak by with my key players having a bad day, making them more unique to my team. My recollection is that past winners have had some nail biter weeks on the way to the finish...
 
ctriopelle said:
Grid71 said:
Up to 135.7 thanks to Dallas Clark. Hopefully, the projections hold up. I'd rather squeak by so more teams with like players will feel the Turk's wrath.
very :lmao: I was thinking about this earlier today. Specifically, I'd like to squeak by with my key players having a bad day, making them more unique to my team. My recollection is that past winners have had some nail biter weeks on the way to the finish...
That is a good point. I never really thought of it like that. R. Moss, L. Fitz, D. Clark, T. Romo, and Kevin Smith(Detroit) are my top guys. Only D. Clark had a big game. So I am sure some teams with similar players might have gotten eliminated. I am at 136.2 I hope that is enough.
 
There may be a some slight discrepancies (hopefully not), but I have the cut at 130.05 with final MNF stats...good luck to all near that number...of course, this is a completely UNOFFICIAL projection, but I think it should be very close.

 
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BTW, here's the list of staffers OUT in week 2, using these stats!

Jene Bramel

David Baker

Clayton Gray

Mark Wimer

David Dodds

Joe Bryant

;)

 
BTW, here's the list of staffers OUT in week 2, using these stats!

Jene Bramel

David Baker

Clayton Gray

Mark Wimer

David Dodds

Joe Bryant

:jawdrop:
And you guy go by these projections and they can't make it through week 2. I wonder how their alias's are doing :D
 
Simulator accuracy report for week 2:

Code:
surv	 #	  #prob   teams  surv	pct==========================90--99  3405  3106	91.280--89  5157  4393	85.270--79  2277  1755	77.160--69   803   548	68.250--59   261   165	63.240--49	91	42	46.230--39	27	12	44.420--29	 4	 0	 0.010--19	 6	 4	66.7
 
Just to give you guys something to talk about....

Code:
+-------------+--------+----------+| roster_size | number | live_pct |+-------------+--------+----------+|		  20 |   5181 |   0.7037 ||		  21 |   2032 |   0.7259 ||		  22 |   1445 |   0.7744 ||		  23 |   1291 |   0.7901 ||		  24 |   3328 |   0.8299 |+-------------+--------+----------+
 
BTW, here's the list of staffers OUT in week 2, using these stats!

Jene Bramel

David Baker

Clayton Gray

Mark Wimer

David Dodds

Joe Bryant

:rant:
And you guy go by these projections and they can't make it through week 2. I wonder how their alias's are doing :D
I actually thought I had a pretty good team to start this thing, but I am indeed out:Donovan McNabb $24 23.65 0.00

David Garrard $18 7.50 27.80

DeAngelo Williams $37 15.90 18.60

Ryan Grant $24 13.20 14.30

Fred Taylor $11 8.50 4.60

Kevin Faulk $8 8.80 1.60

Laurence Maroney $4 5.10 2.30

Sammy Morris $4 0.00 2.30

Glen Coffee $2 -0.30 3.90

James Davis $2 2.40 0.00

Greg Jennings $32 22.60 0.00

Eddie Royal $26 3.80 5.00

Jerricho Cotchery $25 15.00 12.70

Nate Burleson $5 20.40 8.60

Hakeem Nicks $4 3.80 0.00

Chaz Schilens $3 0.00 0.00

Robert Meachem $3 13.10 3.60

Todd Heap $5 20.90 8.40

Jermichael Finley $3 2.10 11.60

Chris Baker $1 2.20 1.60

Josh Scobee $2 8.00 6.00

Robbie Gould $2 9.00 7.00

Seattle Seahawks $2 5.00 4.00

Oakland Raiders $1 7.00 6.00

-------------------------------------------

TOTAL 160.75 120.00

CUTOFF 120.88 130.04

 
BTW, here's the list of staffers OUT in week 2, using these stats!

Jene Bramel

David Baker

Clayton Gray

Mark Wimer

David Dodds

Joe Bryant

:rant:
And you guy go by these projections and they can't make it through week 2. I wonder how their alias's are doing :D
:unsubscribe:Oh wait... then I couldn't be participating in this contest that makes me feel my FF skills (er luck?) is superior to the "experts"!

:subscribe:

And moving on!

 
Just to give you guys something to talk about....

Code:
+-------------+--------+----------+| roster_size | number | live_pct |+-------------+--------+----------+|		  20 |   5181 |   0.7037 ||		  21 |   2032 |   0.7259 ||		  22 |   1445 |   0.7744 ||		  23 |   1291 |   0.7901 ||		  24 |   3328 |   0.8299 |+-------------+--------+----------+
As a 21 man roste owner (one of whom is Lynch, so effectively a 20 man roster for now), I've always said that a 24 man roster is "safer" and more likely to get a team deeper into the contest, so this isn't surprising to me. There are a lot of $1-$2 guys who are capable of putting up the 10-15 points you need to get by when a stud has a down week or is injured. This is especially true in the first few weeks, when the cuts are relatively low numbers. Going with a smaller roster is a gamble to try and reach weeks 12 and 13 (when the cuts are in the 160's) and the finals with more guys capable of scoring 15-20 points each to have a better shot at first place if you do.
 
I was saved by a kicker on MNF.

Ben Roethlisberger $19 22.45 22.65

Matt Hasselbeck $17 30.25 6.05

Steve Slaton $37 6.70 7.40

Ray Rice $21 13.00 10.70

Felix Jones $11 2.20 15.60

Ahmad Bradshaw $8 8.60 5.50

LeSean McCoy $7 5.20 7.50

Wes Welker $33 21.30 0.00

Greg Jennings $32 22.60 0.00

Eddie Royal $26 3.80 5.00

Joey Galloway $5 0.00 10.30

Hakeem Nicks $4 3.80 0.00

Devery Henderson $3 21.30 10.10

Robert Meachem $3 13.10 3.60

Darrius Heyward-Bey $2 0.00 2.80

Josh Cribbs $1 3.60 7.60

Brent Celek $7 18.70 22.40

Martellus Bennett $4 2.80 2.60

Josh Brown $1 0.00 1.00

Dan Carpenter $1 1.00 17.00

Shaun Suisham $1 5.00 9.00

Baltimore Ravens $6 3.00 6.00

Cincinnati Bengals $1 3.00 8.00

-------------------------------------------

TOTAL 156.85 131.85

CUTOFF 120.88 130.04

 
Still alive with a 168 this week but I am not sure how much longer I am in this thing with Fast Willie Parker looking like old man Parker and Anthony Gonzalez not coming back anytime soon!

 
Just to give you guys something to talk about....

Code:
+-------------+--------+----------+| roster_size | number | live_pct |+-------------+--------+----------+|		  20 |   5181 |   0.7037 ||		  21 |   2032 |   0.7259 ||		  22 |   1445 |   0.7744 ||		  23 |   1291 |   0.7901 ||		  24 |   3328 |   0.8299 |+-------------+--------+----------+
No surprise here, this should put the arguement to rest. In best ball, you want the maximum number of players, it's that simple.
 
BTW, here's the list of staffers OUT in week 2, using these stats!

Jene Bramel

David Baker

Clayton Gray

Mark Wimer

David Dodds

Joe Bryant

:confused:
And you guy go by these projections and they can't make it through week 2. I wonder how their alias's are doing :D
I actually thought I had a pretty good team to start this thing, but I am indeed out:Donovan McNabb $24 23.65 0.00

David Garrard $18 7.50 27.80

DeAngelo Williams $37 15.90 18.60

Ryan Grant $24 13.20 14.30

Fred Taylor $11 8.50 4.60

Kevin Faulk $8 8.80 1.60

Laurence Maroney $4 5.10 2.30

Sammy Morris $4 0.00 2.30

Glen Coffee $2 -0.30 3.90

James Davis $2 2.40 0.00

Greg Jennings $32 22.60 0.00

Eddie Royal $26 3.80 5.00

Jerricho Cotchery $25 15.00 12.70

Nate Burleson $5 20.40 8.60

Hakeem Nicks $4 3.80 0.00

Chaz Schilens $3 0.00 0.00

Robert Meachem $3 13.10 3.60

Todd Heap $5 20.90 8.40

Jermichael Finley $3 2.10 11.60

Chris Baker $1 2.20 1.60

Josh Scobee $2 8.00 6.00

Robbie Gould $2 9.00 7.00

Seattle Seahawks $2 5.00 4.00

Oakland Raiders $1 7.00 6.00

-------------------------------------------

TOTAL 160.75 120.00

CUTOFF 120.88 130.04
The flaw you had in hindsight was 2 QB's. I made that mistake last year with Warner,Romo and Tony got injured so this year I went with 3.

QB - Aaron Rodgers - 27

QB - Matthew Stafford - 11

QB - Byron Leftwich - 4

RB - Kevin Smith - 30

RB - Ryan Grant - 24

RB - Willie Parker - 16

RB - Ahmad Bradshaw - 8

RB - Bernard Scott - 2

RB - Correll Buckhalter - 2

RB - James Davis - 2

WR - Greg Jennings - 32

WR - Eddie Royal - 26

WR - Chris Henry - 12

WR - Derrick Mason - 9

WR - Percy Harvin - 5

WR - Devery Henderson - 3

TE - Greg Olsen - 15

TE - Jermichael Finley - 3

PK - Robbie Gould - 2

PK - Jeff Reed - 2

PK - Jason Hanson - 1

TD - Baltimore Ravens - 6

TD - Philadelphia Eagles - 5

TD - Green Bay Packers - 3

 
I beat the cutoff by 4 points. I only drafted 2 QBs, McNabb and Hill. Getting 8 points from Hill each week isn't gonna cut it. McChoke needs to get his butt back in there!!

 
Just to give you guys something to talk about....

+-------------+--------+----------+| roster_size | number | live_pct |+-------------+--------+----------+| 20 | 5181 | 0.7037 || 21 | 2032 | 0.7259 || 22 | 1445 | 0.7744 || 23 | 1291 | 0.7901 || 24 | 3328 | 0.8299 |+-------------+--------+----------+
No surprise here, this should put the arguement to rest. In best ball, you want the maximum number of players, it's that simple.
:lmao: How about we wait until we see the top 250 before we argue about which approach was better.

As I see it the argument was simple - people with 24 argued that it gave their team a better chance to last longer into the contest (thus giving them a better chance of winning) - people with 20 argued that if they make it through they will have the better team in the end (by virtue of having better core starters).

Could be that both sides are right :shrug: Its just a risk aversion question.

 
The flaw you had in hindsight was 2 QB's. I made that mistake last year with Warner,Romo and Tony got injured so this year I went with 3.
:lmao: He averaged 25 points from the QB position. If he added a 3rd, it likely would have been Leftwich (otherwise the rest of his team would suffer significantly). Leftwich would have added 3 points to his score this week and he still would have missed the cut.
 
Just to give you guys something to talk about....

+-------------+--------+----------+| roster_size | number | live_pct |+-------------+--------+----------+| 20 | 5181 | 0.7037 || 21 | 2032 | 0.7259 || 22 | 1445 | 0.7744 || 23 | 1291 | 0.7901 || 24 | 3328 | 0.8299 |+-------------+--------+----------+
No surprise here, this should put the arguement to rest. In best ball, you want the maximum number of players, it's that simple.
:shrug: How about we wait until we see the top 250 before we argue about which approach was better.

As I see it the argument was simple - people with 24 argued that it gave their team a better chance to last longer into the contest (thus giving them a better chance of winning) - people with 20 argued that if they make it through they will have the better team in the end (by virtue of having better core starters).

Could be that both sides are right :shrug: Its just a risk aversion question.
:lmao:
 
Donovan McNabb $24 23.65 0.00

David Garrard $18 7.50 27.80

DeAngelo Williams $37 15.90 18.60

Ryan Grant $24 13.20 14.30

Fred Taylor $11 8.50 4.60

Kevin Faulk $8 8.80 1.60

Laurence Maroney $4 5.10 2.30

Sammy Morris $4 0.00 2.30

Glen Coffee $2 -0.30 3.90

James Davis $2 2.40 0.00

Greg Jennings $32 22.60 0.00

Eddie Royal $26 3.80 5.00

Jerricho Cotchery $25 15.00 12.70

Nate Burleson $5 20.40 8.60

Hakeem Nicks $4 3.80 0.00

Chaz Schilens $3 0.00 0.00

Robert Meachem $3 13.10 3.60

Todd Heap $5 20.90 8.40

Jermichael Finley $3 2.10 11.60

Chris Baker $1 2.20 1.60

Josh Scobee $2 8.00 6.00

Robbie Gould $2 9.00 7.00

Seattle Seahawks $2 5.00 4.00

Oakland Raiders $1 7.00 6.00

-------------------------------------------

TOTAL 160.75 120.00

CUTOFF 120.88 130.04

The flaw you had in hindsight was 2 QB's.
Actually - while it might have eventually be a problem - he scored fine at QB in week 2 with Garrard. What undid him was his 2 top WRs coming up really small in Week 2, as well as the 4 NE RB approach really not working out.
 

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