"Clutch" play is an overrated concept. I could get out my Strat-O-Matic Cards and some players would appear to be clutch and some wouldn't even though I'm just rolling dice.
Baseball is a game meant to be played in the long run. When players are only batting 4 or 5 times per game, it takes a long time for data to reach statistical significance. 1-for-16 doesn't mean anything. Every player has a couple of those every season. That's baseball.
To illustrate my point....
Mr. November, Derek Jeter, has a career OPS of .847. He has a playoff career OPS of .842, and a World Series OPS of .809. No significant difference there.
Big Papi has a career OPS of .900, a playoff OPS of .915.
The horribly un-clutch A-Rod has a .962 career OPS and a .927 playoff OPS.
I will give you Mr. October though. Reggie Jackson's career OPS of .846 skyrockets to 1.212 in the World Series. So I guess some players really are clutch...
as long you disregard the LCS, where Jackson's OPS is a pitiful .678, putting his total postseason OPS at .885.
Bottom line: "Clutch" is more about fans having selective memories and someone being in the right place at the right time than it is about any magical ability or inability to raise or lower one's game at crunch time.
Xwhile some may argue A-Rod is the easy
choice this poll is flawed, give me Papi and the money left over any day of the week and twice on Sunday.
Papi has a WPA of: 275.3
A-Rod has a WPA of: -16.1 (not including his walkoff from yesterday, but it will still not be anywhere close to Papi, he may be closer to 0 which means he has had no effect on the Yankees winning or losing
on average this season)
...whereas Papi has been the MVP for the Red Sox only second to Papelbon. Also as DH he has less chance of getting injured and the sox infield does not need PAY-ROD.
http://www.fangraphs.com/winss.aspx?team=Yankees
If you are going to overvalue stats, overvalue the
right ones.