Questions exist on EVERY top-WR this year (unlike previous years) - therefore, my hodgepodge outlook at the top of the WR foodchain.
In this assessment, does this not make Holt the top guy/safest bet to get in round 2?
Safest Bet? Yes.Top Guy? NO.
Holt is a virtual lock for 100/1400/8 or 9 TDs - and a top-8 WR ranking. HOWEVER, even Harrison has a much higher CEILING than Holt in terms of yardage and TDs.
All of CJohn, SS, Owens, Moss and Harrison are more likely to get the same or more yardage plus 4 to 6 additional TDs, which would launch them into the top-3 WRs.
Marc knows I like razzing him for throwing out info that is mostly true. In this case, in his 7 seasons Holt had had:100 recptions twice
1400 yards twice
9 TD three times
Given that the Rams keep insisting that they will not be throwing as much, I would not be so sure that those are locks this time around. He probably is the safest bet to get near those totals, but IMO his opportunities may go down this year.
LOL - Dave - of those "non-1400" yard seasons, we have these totals for rec. yardage:788
1363
1302
1272
1331
So, I guess I shoulda said a lock for 1350 yards, but 1400 yards is easier - esp. when his total yards for the last three years are 1696, 1372 and 1331 - I feel justified rounding up to 1400 yards with that three year production.
Though Holt has 9 TDs only three times in his career, those three times are in his LAST THREE YEARS. he is more likely to be closer to his last three years of stats than his first three years - and Linehan makes TDs for his primary receiver, he doesn't reduce them
This is the same coach who coached Moss for 30 TDs in 2 years, and who coached Chambers into his first Pro Bowl season with 11 TDs - I am not worried about Holt matching 100 rec., 1400 yards (or at least 1350, if that makes you happier), and 8-10 TDs.