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Pete Buttigieg Suspends Campaign - Effect? (1 Viewer)

Good evening, 

I joined this race in the belief that becoming the Democratic nominee was the best way for me to ensure that we defeat Donald Trump and usher in a new kind of politics defined by bringing people together.

At this point in the race, the best way to keep faith with those goals and with the ideals our campaign has been built around is to step aside and help bring our party and our country together. So tonight I am making the difficult decision to suspend my campaign for the presidency.

I will no longer seek to be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president. But I’m going to do everything in my power to ensure that we have a Democratic president come January.

I cannot express how grateful I am for you, Scott. How grateful I am for every supporter, every volunteer, and every staffer who believed in what we were building.

So many of you dug deep to fuel this campaign, joining nearly a million grassroots donors so that this message of hope and belonging could reach every corner of this country.

Online, in person, with family and friends and complete strangers, you shared your personal stories, and you made the life of this campaign part of your own.

What you did -- and the way you did it -- let us show, not just tell, the kind of campaign we could be and the kind of country we will build. You made me proud every day.

In a field in which some two dozen Democratic candidates ran for president -- billionaires, sitting senators, and governors, a former vice president -- we achieved a top-four finish in each of the first four states to hold early contests and made history winning those Iowa caucuses.

That we made it here at all is proof that Americans are hungry for a new kind of politics, rooted in the values we share.

In a moment of deep division, we saw a rising American majority of Democrats, joined by Independents, and, yes, some of those future former Republicans, choose a politics defined not by who we push out, but by how many we call in; not by who we exclude, but by how we help people belong.

With every passing day, I am more and more convinced that the only way we will defeat Trump and Trumpism is with that politics that gathers people together.

And I urge everyone who supported me or ever even considered it, to be prepared to do everything we can to support the eventual nominee -- and the absolutely critical down-ballot races playing out across the country. There is simply too much at stake to retreat to the sidelines.

I know many will be disappointed that this campaign will not go on. I know it’s easy to get frustrated with politics, especially at this moment.

But this is the moment of all moments to insist that we make our politics what it could be. As I’ve said before -- at its best, politics can be magnificent. Because it’s not just about policy, it is soulcraft. And it is moral.

And we don’t have to win the nomination to be part of that. I don’t have to become the president in order to support that. We don’t have to win Super Tuesday for my campaign to do our part to win the era for our values.

And we walk on in the knowledge that better leadership is possible. That if we reach for it, if we work for it, if we hold that hope in our hearts and fire in our bellies, then one day we will stand in the future we create, a future where every American is empowered and everyone belongs.

Thank you.

Pete

 
Most polls I've seen do suggest exactly that.  What I've seen is fewer % going with Sanders and a higher % going Trump in H2H compared to the Biden v. Trump.
Most polls I have seen have had literally the opposite :shrug: Maybe I will compile some and make a thread. 

 
Most polls I have seen have had literally the opposite :shrug: Maybe I will compile some and make a thread. 
of the recent polls 1-3% shifts.   Might be larger now post S.C.

Yougov Feb 26-27

Biden 50 Trump 41 / Sanders 48 Trump 42

FoxNews Feb 23-24

Biden 49 Trump 41 / Sanders 49 Trump 42

 
cobalt_27 said:
of the recent polls 1-3% shifts.   Might be larger now post S.C.

Yougov Feb 26-27

Biden 50 Trump 41 / Sanders 48 Trump 42

FoxNews Feb 23-24

Biden 49 Trump 41 / Sanders 49 Trump 42
I was looking mainly at state polls. It is actually fairly close, but I would argue it counters the argument that Sanders is not competitive. Obviously this is just a thought exercise this far from the election, and I am not looking too much into the the cross tabs of each poll to see if they have abnormal ratios that can bias it, but just looking at averages of potentially competitive states with some polling:

Texas - Trump +2.4 over Sanders, +2.6 over Biden - probably not going to be a swing state this year, but close enough in these polls to include

NC - Sanders + 0.7 over Trump, Biden +3.4 over Trump

Penn - Both Sanders and Biden + 3 over Trump

Wis - Trump +1 over Sanders, + 1.7 over Biden

Mich - Sanders + 5.3 over Trump, Biden + 5.2 over Trump

I would argue that Sanders is under-represented some amount, just because young people only have cell phones and don't answer unknown numbers, but I have no evidence of this, just a personal assumption. 

All data from here, so not sure if anything is omitted: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

 
cobalt_27 said:
Living in SC, and having just been through the primary experience here, it does make me question the validity of the current polling.  We were all expecting about a 4-8% Biden win.  My first choice was Mayor Pete, but I ultimately felt his weakness with minority voters no longer made him a viable candidate and decided to go with Biden to help him run up the score a bit.  Seems a lot of people (just anecdotally) did the same.  I've seen Nate Silver and others comment on the flaws of rural polling and SC really exposed that.  I also think there's a psychology involved that's just not captured by polling (my vote was different than how I felt I would have voted a week earlier).
I don't think you were looking at the most recent polls.  

 
Leroy Hoard said:
Biden wins here.
I liked Pete and Amy but it looks like they are done.   Dems are caving to Sleepy Joe.  Might be a smart move as Joe will beat Trump and doubtful Bernie will.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Hopefully he’s seen the movie Hoosiers.  The court looks intimidating in Indianapolis the first time you walk out there.  Nothing like the gym in Hickory.
Funny thing is, his latest fundraiser was a chance to meet Michael J Fox and Pete for dinner or something.

 
cobalt_27 said:
If Bernie voters are going to bite off their collective noses to spite their face, nothing much we can do about it.  A lot of folks are going to stay home if it's Bernie v. Trump.  Or vote for Trump.  
Yup.  No different than 2016.   

 

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