Player Spotlight: Lee Evans (1 Viewer)

[diesel7982]

I love this guy this season as a #1. I see him somewhere between 80-90 catches with just over 1000 yards and 9 scores. Throw in five 100 yard games and he should start most weeks.

You think Lee Evans will average somewhere around 12 or 13 yards per catch?

 

[Gr00vus]

I figure him for about 60/850/7 - he's got the talent to do better, but he's not in the right situation to expect much more.

 

[jestertj]

I love this guy this season as a #1. I see him somewhere between 80-90 catches with just over 1000 yards and 9 scores. Throw in five 100 yard games and he should start most weeks.

You think Lee Evans will average somewhere around 12 or 13 yards per catch?

Actually it would only be 11 or 12 and I don't think it's unreasonable. He averaged 15.5 last season. Hell, Eric Moulds pouted his way to a 10 yard average and he doesn't have to deep speed that Evans does.

 

[ChampBailey24]

I love this guy this season as a #1. I see him somewhere between 80-90 catches with just over 1000 yards and 9 scores. Throw in five 100 yard games and he should start most weeks.

You think Lee Evans will average somewhere around 12 or 13 yards per catch?

Actually it would only be 11 or 12 and I don't think it's unreasonable. He averaged 15.5 last season. Hell, Eric Moulds pouted his way to a 10 yard average and he doesn't have to deep speed that Evans does.

I don't think he was saying it was too high, I think he meant to say that it was too low.

 

[wannabee]

I love this guy this season as a #1. I see him somewhere between 80-90 catches with just over 1000 yards and 9 scores. Throw in five 100 yard games and he should start most weeks.

You think Lee Evans will average somewhere around 12 or 13 yards per catch?

Actually it would only be 11 or 12 and I don't think it's unreasonable. He averaged 15.5 last season. Hell, Eric Moulds pouted his way to a 10 yard average and he doesn't have to deep speed that Evans does.

I don't think he was saying it was too high, I think he meant to say that it was too low.

agreed. Evans' ypc should be in the 15-17 range, imo

 

[diesel7982]

I love this guy this season as a #1. I see him somewhere between 80-90 catches with just over 1000 yards and 9 scores. Throw in five 100 yard games and he should start most weeks.

You think Lee Evans will average somewhere around 12 or 13 yards per catch?

Actually it would only be 11 or 12 and I don't think it's unreasonable. He averaged 15.5 last season. Hell, Eric Moulds pouted his way to a 10 yard average and he doesn't have to deep speed that Evans does.

I don't think he was saying it was too high, I think he meant to say that it was too low.

agreed. Evans' ypc should be in the 15-17 range, imo

Lee Evans averaging 11 ypc would be like Troy Brown averaging 18.

 

[Gopher State]

He will 2006 model of S. Moss. 80-1100-11 TD's. He do these numbers easily with the Bills trailing in most games.

 

[Joe T]

80/1150/11Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

 

[Joe T]

Losman and Evan's.....both third year pro's....both 25 years old.......both love the long ball.72 rec, 1160 yds 9 TD's

 

[jplvr]

Losman and Evan's.....both third year pro's....both 25 years old.......both love the long ball.72 rec, 1160 yds 9 TD's

 

[Joe T]

Craig Nall didn't start at LSU. 

The Bills are in bad shape if they are looking to Nall to save the day. 

with the loss of Moulds and a bad QB and a bad o-line, prospects are low for Evans.  I'd give him little chance of improving on last years numbers.

I'll project him at 50/658/4... but if I were betting, I'd take the under.

That's just crazy talk. Here's a list of the worst WR1s from last season (all numbers pro-rated over 16 games):B.Lloyd- 48/733/5

L. Coles- 73/845/5

M.Muhammed- 68/800/4

A. Johnson- 78/847/2

E. Moulds- 86/870/4

B. Finneran- 60/611/2

You're projecting that Lee Evans will underproduce every single WR1 last year except for Finneran? You're making this projection despite the fact that Evans has never had below 48 catches, 743 yards, or 7 TDs? You're projecting his ypc to drop more than 2 yards from last seasons and more than 3 yards from his career average?

I would take that bet all day long. I would lay all kinds of money that, unless he gets injured, Evans will outperform those numbers. EASY.

I'm having a hard time trying to decide if this is some sort of fishing trip, because saying you'd bet the UNDER on those numbers just seems a little bit preposterous to me.

quoting this for posterity

 

[jplvr]

Evans will produce.  He has to, since there's nobody else there TO produce.

He's not going to be a top 2 WR, but he's going to be a great fantasy value.

He'll have 65 receptions, 980 yards, and 10 TD.

I'm beginning to think this is the greatest myth in FF right now.

 

[Joe T]

I'm going to say their range next year is between 2300 and 2600 pretty safely.

nip

 

[GroveDiesel]

at the after Week 1 bumps.

 

[GroveDiesel]

80/1150/11Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

Man, and I was just starting to enjoy this season. I wasn't aware that it was over already. Thanks for the heads up though.

 

[alg]

Seriously. You'd think the season was over and Evans finished with 55/500/2.

Get a grip people. Way too early to use the big laughing smiley and thumping your chests.

 

[ericttspikes]

Craig Nall didn't start at LSU.

The Bills are in bad shape if they are looking to Nall to save the day.

with the loss of Moulds and a bad QB and a bad o-line, prospects are low for Evans. I'd give him little chance of improving on last years numbers.

I'll project him at 50/658/4... but if I were betting, I'd take the under.

That's just crazy talk. Here's a list of the worst WR1s from last season (all numbers pro-rated over 16 games):B.Lloyd- 48/733/5

L. Coles- 73/845/5

M.Muhammed- 68/800/4

A. Johnson- 78/847/2

E. Moulds- 86/870/4

B. Finneran- 60/611/2

You're projecting that Lee Evans will underproduce every single WR1 last year except for Finneran? You're making this projection despite the fact that Evans has never had below 48 catches, 743 yards, or 7 TDs? You're projecting his ypc to drop more than 2 yards from last seasons and more than 3 yards from his career average?

I would take that bet all day long. I would lay all kinds of money that, unless he gets injured, Evans will outperform those numbers. EASY.

I'm having a hard time trying to decide if this is some sort of fishing trip, because saying you'd bet the UNDER on those numbers just seems a little bit preposterous to me.

quoting this for posterity

Great bump. He only has 14 games left to get 4 TDs, he's doomed

 

[ericttspikes]

Seriously. You'd think the season was over and Evans finished with 55/500/2.Get a grip people. Way too early to use the big laughing smiley and thumping your chests.

I agree. This board is really sad these days.

 

[Joe T]

Seriously. You'd think the season was over and Evans finished with 55/500/2.Get a grip people. Way too early to use the big laughing smiley and thumping your chests.

I agree. This board is really sad these days.

 

[Joe T]

Great bump. He only has 14 games left to get 4 TDs, he's doomed

I think he has 15 games left to get 9 TD's.The average projection in this thread had him at about 1,000 and 9, in other words a top 20 WR.

 

[redman]

Great bump. He only has 14 games left to get 4 TDs, he's doomed

I think he has 15 games left to get 9 TD's.The average projection in this thread had him at about 1,000 and 9, in other words a top 20 WR.

I hope you last longer in sex than you waited to bump this thread, Pee Wee. It's waaaaaaaaaaaay early on this one.

 

[ericttspikes]

Great bump. He only has 14 games left to get 4 TDs, he's doomed

I think he has 15 games left to get 9 TD's.The average projection in this thread had him at about 1,000 and 9, in other words a top 20 WR.

I thought you were puffin about this:"I'll project him at 50/658/4... but if I were betting, I'd take the under."

 

[Sheriff66]

80/1150/11Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

Don't break your arm patting yourself on the back...

 

[Joe T]

80/1150/11Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

Don't break your arm patting yourself on the back...

Arm is just fine. 2 weeks down. Lee Evans the #94 ranked fanstasy WR so far.

 

[SSOG]

Arm is just fine. 2 weeks down. Lee Evans the #94 ranked fanstasy WR so far.

Great posting dude. I'm sure Lee Evans will finish the season with 32/352/0, like he's currently on pace for. He's totally due for an 11 ypc season.

 

[PahtyTom]

22 targets the last 2 weeks. After this week @ chicago he gets det, ne, gb, ind, and hou in a row. Prepare for blastoff.

 

[CrossEyed]

22 targets the last 2 weeks. After this week @ chicago he gets det, ne, gb, ind, and hou in a row. Prepare for blastoff.

That and Losman looks like he's starting to "get it". Evans could be a very good fantasy WR in the second half.

 

[Sheriff66]

80/1150/11Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

Don't break your arm patting yourself on the back...

Arm is just fine. 2 weeks down. Lee Evans the #94 ranked fanstasy WR so far.

2 weeks, like I said, don't break your arm patting yourself on the back... but it is nice to see him come around:Evansowner:

 

[Ministry of Pain]

22 targets the last 2 weeks. After this week @ chicago he gets det, ne, gb, ind, and hou in a row. Prepare for blastoff.

I would expect about 500 yds and maybe 4-5 TDs during that stretch...maybe a big lump of it int he Detroit and GB games...He will make a nice WR3 coming off the bench.

 

[SSOG]

Arm is just fine. 2 weeks down. Lee Evans the #94 ranked fanstasy WR so far.

Great posting dude. I'm sure Lee Evans will finish the season with 32/352/0, like he's currently on pace for. He's totally due for an 11 ypc season.

It's been two weeks, and he's now on pace for 76/964/0. Boy, things sure change quickly when you're dealing with ridiculously small sample sizes, don't they?

 

[-OZ-]

Arm is just fine. 2 weeks down. Lee Evans the #94 ranked fanstasy WR so far.

Great posting dude. I'm sure Lee Evans will finish the season with 32/352/0, like he's currently on pace for. He's totally due for an 11 ypc season.

It's been two weeks, and he's now on pace for 76/964/0. Boy, things sure change quickly when you're dealing with ridiculously small sample sizes, don't they?

Even better, as many are prone to do, use the 2 most recent games: 15/197/0, and he'll get 90/1182 the rest of the way. 109/1423 on the season is pretty good.

 

[SSOG]

Even better, as many are prone to do, use the 2 most recent games: 15/197/0, and he'll get 90/1182 the rest of the way. 109/1423 on the season is pretty good.

Meh, 109/1423 isn't really all that good, because it's clear if we pro-rate his numbers that he's not going to have a single TD this season.

 

[Rushmore]

Evans has been best during the second half of each of his two seasons. I'd go after him now before he really breaks out a few big games. He's the type of Wr that you hate to sit, because of how many points he can rack up in a single game.

 

[hoyaparanoia]

Evans has been best during the second half of each of his two seasons. I'd go after him now before he really breaks out a few big games. He's the type of Wr that you hate to sit, because of how many points he can rack up in a single game.

I have no problems waiting for him to see what he can do on my bench (WR4). If you have the depth than why not? The potential is there IMO

 

[SSOG]

80/1150/11Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

Don't break your arm patting yourself on the back...

Arm is just fine. 2 weeks down. Lee Evans the #94 ranked fanstasy WR so far.

What, no bump this week?

It's been two weeks, and he's now on pace for 76/964/0. Boy, things sure change quickly when you're dealing with ridiculously small sample sizes, don't they?

Lee Evans "On Pace For" Update (week 5 edition): 90/1072/3

 

[Da Beers]

What, no bump this week?Lee Evans "On Pace For" Update (week 5 edition): 90/1072/3

 

[Sheriff66]

I hope he can keep playing well, I need him now that Roy got hurt...

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

update?in PPR leagues, Evans was the #1 scoring WR in week 5 and is the 3rd highest scoring WR over the past 3 weeks.he's currently tied for 7th in the league in receptions with Anquan Boldin and just 1 behind Torry Holt.he's currently tied for 16th in the league in receiving yards with Antonio Bryant and is 1 ahead of Larry Fitzgerald.

 

[-OZ-]

Lee Evans "On Pace For" Update (week 5 edition): 90/1072/3

I still like the "take the most recent weeks" concept. From here on out: 88/1067/3 (so 116/1402/4 for the season)

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Moulds loss will break down this way:

2005Moulds = 81/816/4

65% of those stats will disappear... ie the passing game for the bills will get worse.

The other 35% that remains will be spread between the new #2 WR or (WR's), the TE, and the RB.

This happens all the time... yet every year people try to give away a departed player's yards like they are a given.

According to your "projections", that would put the Bills at 2321 yards passing, which in most years would put them well behind the last place team for the year. In the last 5 years, only two teams have passed for less than 2400 yards, both in 2005 (the woefull Bears and the outrageously awful 9ers).Realistically, 2600 yards will be about as bad as it gets, and a more realistic but still quite low number would be about 3000 yards. A nice chunk of those yards will go to Evans who is by far the best receiver on the team.

As usual, you take a decent point and exaggerate it to the point of absurdity.

Evans will put up 1000 yards and 9 TDs fairly easily.

I've done a lot of research on this topic. You are right in that 2321 might be too low but it is not so uncommon that it is impossible. Both the Bears and Niners last year were at 2201 or lower. The Texans threw for a measly 2661 last season. This Bills last year only threw for 2852.

If you look back at all the cases through history, most of the time when you have a good WR leave, passing stats drop for that team the following year. This is very logical. Add that to the fact that when there is a sub-par QB involved the numbers get even worse.

To say realistic number for the Bills is 3,000 yards passing makes me . That would be a huge year for them.

I'm going to say their range next year is between 2300 and 2600 pretty safely.

Losman with 914 yards passing through 5 games which puts him on pace for 2925.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

After 6 weeks,

Lee Evans

Actual: 36 rec, 419 yards, and 1 TD (32 rec, 375 yards, 1 TD over last 4 games)

On Pace: 96 rec, 1117 yards, 3 TD

JP Losman

Actual: 1121 yards

On Pace: 2989 yards

 

[azngangster]

2004 yds per reception 17.6, 48 rec

2005 yds per reception 15.5, 48 rec

2006 yds per reception 11.6, 36 rec

i think these are telling stats, since it seems as evans is gettin a ton of targets and catches on the underneath stuff, short routes, and slants. I think it is only a matter of time Evans gets some of those long bombs he has been known for the past two years.

 

[Sigfawn]

80/1150/11Breakout year for Mr. Evans

yikeslots of crow to go around in this thread

Indeed.Quote us the stats about Lee Evans having no shot at 1,000 yards. That was classic.

 

[PahtyTom]

Evans had a great day versus the Bears, and a good day versus Detroit. #1 WRs actually do not fair so well versus the Lions this year even with their porous defensive stats, mainly due to Dre Bly. Now, Evans schedule REALLY loosens up.

 

[The Man With No Name]

4 games in a row with 7 or more receptions. His ypc isn't great, but with the targets and receptions he's getting, his yardage isn't bad.

 

[SSOG]

Evans had a great day versus the Bears, and a good day versus Detroit. #1 WRs actually do not fair so well versus the Lions this year even with their porous defensive stats, mainly due to Dre Bly. Now, Evans schedule REALLY loosens up.

Good posting.According to Football Outsiders, Detroit is #5 in the league at defending opposing the opposition's top WR. Beyond that, according to their game charters, no CB in the entire NFL played man coverage more frequently last year than Dre' Bly. Although the great day vs. the Bears isn't as impressive, as Chicago ranks #26 in the NFL against #1 WRs, giving up 7/96/0 to Driver, 6/71/0 to Roy Williams, 9/94/1 against Evans, and of course that 12/136/1 to Boldin this week.

 

[SSOG]

Lee Evans

Actual: 36 rec, 419 yards, and 1 TD (32 rec, 375 yards, 1 TD over last 4 games)

On Pace: 96 rec, 1117 yards, 3 TD

Lee Evans on pace for update (week 7 edition):Actual: 37/428/1

Pace: 85/978/2

Because, after all... it wouldn't be fair if we only bumped it after his good games.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

yeah, rough game for Evans today.

he had a nice catch for a 1st down that was called back due to a presnap penalty on Peerless Price. Then, he had another play where Losman hit him in the end zone but I think Asante Samuel knocked it out of his hands to break up the play.

just like in the opener, the Patriots were clearly determined to shut him down, and that opened things up for Price and Reed.

 

[SSOG]

Lee Evans

Actual: 36 rec, 419 yards, and 1 TD (32 rec, 375 yards, 1 TD over last 4 games)

On Pace: 96 rec, 1117 yards, 3 TD

Lee Evans on pace for update (week 7 edition):Actual: 37/428/1

Pace: 85/978/2

Because, after all... it wouldn't be fair if we only bumped it after his good games.

I missed this thread last week, when Evans was on bye.Lee Evans on pace for update (week 9 edition):

Current: 39/486/2

Pace: 78/972/4

Evans is just 11/172/2 away from the 50/658/4 that Joe T said he'd take the under on. Here's hoping that Joe didn't take the under, after all.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Lee Evans on pace for update (week 9 edition):Current: 39/486/2Pace: 78/972/4

Lee Evans on pace for update (week 10 edition):Week 10: 5/70/0Current: 44/556/2Pace: 78/988/4