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Preliminary MUST-HAVE Guy (1 Viewer)

I kno this is not a reach but I think Drew Brees will be the #1 player in Fantasy Football this season!! If I Have a chance I will draft him at 1.01 in every league!! The Safest bet in the draft! Guarantee 30 to 40 pts per wk
In a 2 qb league sure. In anything else you are doomed. He won't score enough above qbs that you can get much later to justify going pick 1. But the guys available at the top of the draft will score a ton more than guys you get a few rounds later, especially at rb.
 
Pierre Garcon - sure maybe a homer choice, but if he stays healthy, the sky is the limit for him with RG3 throwing to him

Finley - will probably be overlooked compared to other TEs, which means he'll probably last until the 8th or 9th round. With no Jennings there, he should be solid.

Any of the top 5-10 RBs - in any redraft I do this year I'm making sure to go RB early and often. All the other positions seem to be so deep that I can afford to wait on them. too many question marks after the top 10 or so RBs.

 
I kno this is not a reach but I think Drew Brees will be the #1 player in Fantasy Football this season!!If I Have a chance I will draft him at 1.01 in every league!! The Safest bet in the draft! Guarantee 30 to 40 pts per wk
Thinking Colston, Sproles, Graham. Just the Brees and Payton connection coming back those three should be considered high redraft picks.

 
Pierre Garcon - sure maybe a homer choice, but if he stays healthy, the sky is the limit for him with RG3 throwing to him Finley - will probably be overlooked compared to other TEs, which means he'll probably last until the 8th or 9th round. With no Jennings there, he should be solid. Any of the top 5-10 RBs - in any redraft I do this year I'm making sure to go RB early and often. All the other positions seem to be so deep that I can afford to wait on them. too many question marks after the top 10 or so RBs.
Do we know when that will be?
 
Pierre Garcon - sure maybe a homer choice, but if he stays healthy, the sky is the limit for him with RG3 throwing to him Finley - will probably be overlooked compared to other TEs, which means he'll probably last until the 8th or 9th round. With no Jennings there, he should be solid. Any of the top 5-10 RBs - in any redraft I do this year I'm making sure to go RB early and often. All the other positions seem to be so deep that I can afford to wait on them. too many question marks after the top 10 or so RBs.
Do we know when that will be?
From the sound of everything it sounds like he'll be ready for TC. That's what he and Shanahan were saying during the OTA press conference this week. How true that is, no idea. But I think I'd be more surprised at this point if he isn't ready for the season.

 
Shane Vereen is my guy, especially in PPR leagues With little talent at WR and both TE's with injury concerns, I can see him being utilised out wide a lot more. Set him in motion and if there's a LB covering him, throw him the ball. If there's an extra DB on the field, run it with Ridley.

 
MattFancy said:
pittstownkiller said:
MattFancy said:
Pierre Garcon - sure maybe a homer choice, but if he stays healthy, the sky is the limit for him with RG3 throwing to him Finley - will probably be overlooked compared to other TEs, which means he'll probably last until the 8th or 9th round. With no Jennings there, he should be solid. Any of the top 5-10 RBs - in any redraft I do this year I'm making sure to go RB early and often. All the other positions seem to be so deep that I can afford to wait on them. too many question marks after the top 10 or so RBs.
Do we know when that will be?
From the sound of everything it sounds like he'll be ready for TC. That's what he and Shanahan were saying during the OTA press conference this week. How true that is, no idea. But I think I'd be more surprised at this point if he isn't ready for the season.
I can't find it in me to take the chance on Garcon. He will be 27 in august and has had ample opportunity to be a solid player multiple times but always seems to fall short of expectations.

He is one of the biggest fantasy teases there is and he will be over drafted again this year. People will say well if he had played all 16 games last year he would have had this... but truth is the guy has never had 1000 yard season even with playing with Manning and having WR 1 type of targets. He also has a bad foot, had shoulder surgery and has shown to be very inconsistent throughout his career. I won't be the guy rolling the dice on Garcon.

 
Borden said:
ImTheScientist said:
mlball77 said:
I may be in the minority, but I typically have very few (or maybe no) players that are must-haves. I have quite a few guys that I earkmark as highly likely to outperform their ADP. And, I usually end up with a bunch of those types. They aren't must-haves, but my perceived best-value picks. -If some of those guys go much earlier than their ADP suggests is likely and I miss out on them, oh well, I move on to my other best-value players.
People on this site use to always talk like that, I actually use to think that way.......... Realistically though you have to reach from time to time for players you really like, if you always draft by ADP your hurting yourself. Not every draft is the same, not every league values players the same. I think the real key is to know where you are comfertable taking a player and pulling the trigger regardless of what others think.

If I really wanted Adrian Peterson last year and picked him in the 2nd round even though he had 3rd round value was it worth it? Maybe I would have waited til the 3rd round and settled for Ryan Mathews or Micheal Turner instead.
I have to agree with this.

I'm assuming that the year Arian Foster came into the league lots of us knew about him and planned to pick him but waited too long. I know I did.

Last year though I felt guilty about taking Doug Martin in the beginning of the 3rd round but in the end it worked on well for me.

I've had way to many Arian Foster moments over the years not to have guys that I reach for.
No disagreement with this line of thought really. I should clarify that I use ADP to help me gauge how others are valuing guys, and then I know how/when to target the players I like (which are those I feel are likely to get me the best return for where I can draft them). If one of these types that I target gets nabbed before I felt it made sense for my team, I move on to another option. Again, I rarely have must-haves, and I typically don't get heartbroken if Player X, whom I like a good deal, goes a round or two before I was considering him.

 
Shane Vereen is my guy, especially in PPR leagues With little talent at WR and both TE's with injury concerns, I can see him being utilised out wide a lot more. Set him in motion and if there's a LB covering him, throw him the ball. If there's an extra DB on the field, run it with Ridley.
Definitely like Vereen. With Belichick there's not guarantee Ridley stays the guys this year. Vereen should at worst, see most of the work Woodhead was getting. Plus with their WRs not being as good and their TEs injury prone, he could be lined up out wide a bunch too.

 
Dynasty

Cecil Shorts - Once Jacksonville lands a legit QB he will be huge, now he is still putting up huge numbers with garbage at QB.

Giovani Bernard - The Bengals are loading up on offensive talent. Possible PPR stud out of the gate.

Redraft

Chris Johnson - Seems to be a guy that people are down on after 2 years of numbers on the decline. OLine is that much better and can be had for a little cheaper than he probably should be going for.

Reggie Bush - PPR especially. The Lions offense is fantasy heaven.
How could I forget. Love LOve LOVe LOVE Shorts this year. Hopefully he stays under the radar. I can guarantee that the owners like me who picked him up off the WW last year will be targeting him as their WR2.

Not sure his ADP but he is WR33 in staff rankings. He will easily outperform this. Reminds me of last year when Wayne's ADP was in the same area. I fully expect Shorts to perform as high end WR2 even low-end WR1. I'm sure someone on here has the splits of his rankings once he was in the lineup but I'll be willing to bet it was top 10.

 
How could I forget. Love LOve LOVe LOVE Shorts this year. Hopefully he stays under the radar. I can guarantee that the owners like me who picked him up off the WW last year will be targeting him as their WR2. Not sure his ADP but he is WR33 in staff rankings. He will easily outperform this. Reminds me of last year when Wayne's ADP was in the same area. I fully expect Shorts to perform as high end WR2 even low-end WR1. I'm sure someone on here has the splits of his rankings once he was in the lineup but I'll be willing to bet it was top 10.
You win.Shorts was inserted into the starting lineup in Week 7 and played nine games afterwards (missing two). In those nine games he averaged 16.9 ppg. Which would have been good for WR9 on a full-season ppg basis. And he did it with dreck at QB, no running game, and in his first season as a starter. He also looked uncoverable.But branding wins again, and his ADP is WR31.
 
How could I forget. Love LOve LOVe LOVE Shorts this year. Hopefully he stays under the radar. I can guarantee that the owners like me who picked him up off the WW last year will be targeting him as their WR2. Not sure his ADP but he is WR33 in staff rankings. He will easily outperform this. Reminds me of last year when Wayne's ADP was in the same area. I fully expect Shorts to perform as high end WR2 even low-end WR1. I'm sure someone on here has the splits of his rankings once he was in the lineup but I'll be willing to bet it was top 10.
You win.Shorts was inserted into the starting lineup in Week 7 and played nine games afterwards (missing two). In those nine games he averaged 16.9 ppg. Which would have been good for WR9 on a full-season ppg basis. And he did it with dreck at QB, no running game, and in his first season as a starter. He also looked uncoverable.But branding wins again, and his ADP is WR31.
Very much think Shorts will be top 3 round target in my 3 keeper PPR league. Guy has shown to be a potential stud, and other than MJD he'll be the only one to throw too with Blackmon out for the first 4 weeks. Very good chance to end up a top 10 WR.

 
How could I forget. Love LOve LOVe LOVE Shorts this year. Hopefully he stays under the radar. I can guarantee that the owners like me who picked him up off the WW last year will be targeting him as their WR2. Not sure his ADP but he is WR33 in staff rankings. He will easily outperform this. Reminds me of last year when Wayne's ADP was in the same area. I fully expect Shorts to perform as high end WR2 even low-end WR1. I'm sure someone on here has the splits of his rankings once he was in the lineup but I'll be willing to bet it was top 10.
You win.Shorts was inserted into the starting lineup in Week 7 and played nine games afterwards (missing two). In those nine games he averaged 16.9 ppg. Which would have been good for WR9 on a full-season ppg basis. And he did it with dreck at QB, no running game, and in his first season as a starter. He also looked uncoverable.But branding wins again, and his ADP is WR31.
WR9. Yup that jives with my impressions. Can't wait to scoop him up in my leagues. What's most exciting about him is he goes beyond the box score and really passes the eyeball test. Every time you watch this kid the on field he just looks like a playmaker. I'm going to make sure I end up with him unlike Wayne who I was pimping big time on this board last year and ended up missing out on in my leagues. :no:

 
I know I'm a Bear's homer, but in redraft, I'd be looking at Cutler as a QB1 if you ignore the big QB run. Many rankings have him in the mid teens or later, but I have a feeling he will sneak into the top 12, given the upgrades on the O-line and the new pass friendly, QB guru coach.
I feel this way every year , but it never happens.
 
C. Patterson is a guy I'm targeting heavily in all y drafts this year. Already got him in both my dynasties. This kids going to get opportunities to make plays in that Minn offense.

L. Miller is another one for me, though his value keeps rising and rising. By draft time it could reach a point where he is no longer a must have target for me. A lot of the reason I target these guys is because their value, IMO, is severely greater than their ADP and where you can land him. For example Miller as a RB3 is a must have no brainier. Miller as a RB2, not so much. I'd still take him as a RB2, just not as a must have guy.

DHB is another guy I'm looking to pick up in all my leagues right now. I'm not sure what is going to happen with him, but I think he has potential to explode in Indy with Luck chucking the ball. Well worth the price to find out IMO.

 
I kno this is not a reach but I think Drew Brees will be the #1 player in Fantasy Football this season!!If I Have a chance I will draft him at 1.01 in every league!! The Safest bet in the draft! Guarantee 30 to 40 pts per wk
Thinking Colston, Sproles, Graham. Just the Brees and Payton connection coming back those three should be considered high redraft picks.
funny thing though, I can't find a buyer for Brees. At least not at a reasonable price (my opinion). Best offer I've received is a good LB and DT.

Only reason he's available is I have Peyton and Osweiler, might as well see if I can deal Brees, but nobody seems interested.

 
C. Patterson is a guy I'm targeting heavily in all y drafts this year. Already got him in both my dynasties. This kids going to get opportunities to make plays in that Minn offense.
I grabbed him at the 1.08 (2nd WR off the board) and he certainly has the potential. However, for this year I actually think he'll be the 4th best receiver in Minnesota behind Jennings, Rudolph and Wright. With ADP leading the way and Patterson's ADP, I'll be staying away this year.

 
C. Patterson is a guy I'm targeting heavily in all y drafts this year. Already got him in both my dynasties. This kids going to get opportunities to make plays in that Minn offense.
I grabbed him at the 1.08 (2nd WR off the board) and he certainly has the potential. However, for this year I actually think he'll be the 4th best receiver in Minnesota behind Jennings, Rudolph and Wright. With ADP leading the way and Patterson's ADP, I'll be staying away this year.
He will be the 3rd best receiver behind Jennings and Rudolph If you ask me. He will also see a decent amount of carries as well. I'm thinking about 30 or so. He will make up for some of the lost receiving stats with rushing IMO. He's going to prove far too explosive for Minn not to get him the ball. Having Peterson in the stable will ensure opportunities in space. In redraft, you will likely be able to get him as a WR5. At that price, I'm buying Patterson every time.
 
C. Patterson is a guy I'm targeting heavily in all y drafts this year. Already got him in both my dynasties. This kids going to get opportunities to make plays in that Minn offense.
I grabbed him at the 1.08 (2nd WR off the board) and he certainly has the potential. However, for this year I actually think he'll be the 4th best receiver in Minnesota behind Jennings, Rudolph and Wright. With ADP leading the way and Patterson's ADP, I'll be staying away this year.
He will be the 3rd best receiver behind Jennings and Rudolph If you ask me. He will also see a decent amount of carries as well. I'm thinking about 30 or so. He will make up for some of the lost receiving stats with rushing IMO. He's going to prove far too explosive for Minn not to get him the ball. Having Peterson in the stable will ensure opportunities in space. In redraft, you will likely be able to get him as a WR5. At that price, I'm buying Patterson every time.
Maybe, and as your 5th I could see it.

It might be the best-ball format that raises his value, but in SSL's he was the 48th WR taken, in a 16 team league that's WR3. That's higher than I'd feel comfortable.

Dynasty is a whole different story with this raw receiver.

 
C. Patterson is a guy I'm targeting heavily in all y drafts this year. Already got him in both my dynasties. This kids going to get opportunities to make plays in that Minn offense.
I grabbed him at the 1.08 (2nd WR off the board) and he certainly has the potential. However, for this year I actually think he'll be the 4th best receiver in Minnesota behind Jennings, Rudolph and Wright. With ADP leading the way and Patterson's ADP, I'll be staying away this year.
He will be the 3rd best receiver behind Jennings and Rudolph If you ask me. He will also see a decent amount of carries as well. I'm thinking about 30 or so. He will make up for some of the lost receiving stats with rushing IMO. He's going to prove far too explosive for Minn not to get him the ball. Having Peterson in the stable will ensure opportunities in space. In redraft, you will likely be able to get him as a WR5. At that price, I'm buying Patterson every time.
Maybe, and as your 5th I could see it. It might be the best-ball format that raises his value, but in SSL's he was the 48th WR taken, in a 16 team league that's WR3. That's higher than I'd feel comfortable. Dynasty is a whole different story with this raw receiver.
I'd like to see him win the WR2 job over Simpson before taking him this high. I think he'll cut his teeth as a returner/gimmick option. Not sure there will be enough targets in this run heavy offense to give him legitimate value. What are the comparables at 48th WR?
 
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C. Patterson is a guy I'm targeting heavily in all y drafts this year. Already got him in both my dynasties. This kids going to get opportunities to make plays in that Minn offense.
I grabbed him at the 1.08 (2nd WR off the board) and he certainly has the potential. However, for this year I actually think he'll be the 4th best receiver in Minnesota behind Jennings, Rudolph and Wright. With ADP leading the way and Patterson's ADP, I'll be staying away this year.
He will be the 3rd best receiver behind Jennings and Rudolph If you ask me. He will also see a decent amount of carries as well. I'm thinking about 30 or so. He will make up for some of the lost receiving stats with rushing IMO. He's going to prove far too explosive for Minn not to get him the ball. Having Peterson in the stable will ensure opportunities in space. In redraft, you will likely be able to get him as a WR5. At that price, I'm buying Patterson every time.
Maybe, and as your 5th I could see it. It might be the best-ball format that raises his value, but in SSL's he was the 48th WR taken, in a 16 team league that's WR3. That's higher than I'd feel comfortable. Dynasty is a whole different story with this raw receiver.
I'd like to see him win the WR2 job over Simpson before taking him this high. I think he'll cut his teeth as a returner/gimmick option. Not sure there will be enough targets in this run heavy offense to give him legitimate value. What are the comparables at 48th WR?
You can check ADP in the mock draft forum, but Hopkins, Michael Floyd, givens, and E Sanders are a few i would prefer in redraft.
 
I kno this is not a reach but I think Drew Brees will be the #1 player in Fantasy Football this season!!If I Have a chance I will draft him at 1.01 in every league!! The Safest bet in the draft! Guarantee 30 to 40 pts per wk
Thinking Colston, Sproles, Graham. Just the Brees and Payton connection coming back those three should be considered high redraft picks.
funny thing though, I can't find a buyer for Brees. At least not at a reasonable price (my opinion). Best offer I've received is a good LB and DT.

Only reason he's available is I have Peyton and Osweiler, might as well see if I can deal Brees, but nobody seems interested.
That doesn't surprise me. I have Brees and Kaepernick on one team and no one wants to talk about Brees. But since the draft I've received an offer from almost every team in the league for Kaepernick and some have made 2 or 3.

 
I kno this is not a reach but I think Drew Brees will be the #1 player in Fantasy Football this season!!If I Have a chance I will draft him at 1.01 in every league!! The Safest bet in the draft! Guarantee 30 to 40 pts per wk
Thinking Colston, Sproles, Graham. Just the Brees and Payton connection coming back those three should be considered high redraft picks.
funny thing though, I can't find a buyer for Brees. At least not at a reasonable price (my opinion). Best offer I've received is a good LB and DT.

Only reason he's available is I have Peyton and Osweiler, might as well see if I can deal Brees, but nobody seems interested.
That doesn't surprise me. I have Brees and Kaepernick on one team and no one wants to talk about Brees. But since the draft I've received an offer from almost every team in the league for Kaepernick and some have made 2 or 3.
Brees was just traded straight up for Wilson in my Dynasty league.

 
DHB is another guy I'm looking to pick up in all my leagues right now. I'm not sure what is going to happen with him, but I think he has potential to explode in Indy with Luck chucking the ball. Well worth the price to find out IMO.
T.Y. Hilton will be better from the slot. Don't get your hopes up too high for DHB, IMO.

 
Avery had a decent season last year and I don't think DHB is any worse than Avery.

I could see Fleener/Allen cutting into the WR pie more this year, but you could do worse than buying into the Colts passing game.

 
Avery had a decent season last year and I don't think DHB is any worse than Avery.

I could see Fleener/Allen cutting into the WR pie more this year, but you could do worse than buying into the Colts passing game.
I'm not saying he won't be a solid bye-week filler, but Hilton will have the 2nd best numbers on the team IMO.

 
I look forward to guys who underachieved last year, but are posed for bounce back years, going for inexpensive prices in auctions. Jordy Nelson is a prime example. With Cobb being the sexy pick from the GB WR corps now (and for good reason), Nelson, if he stays healthy, could easily put up 1,000+ yards and double digit TDs, and I don't see him going for more than mid to high teens this year.

 
In Fantasy Football I've learned a few things over the years. 1. Don't put a must-have on any single player 2. Stick to your draft boards - there is very few times where you might need to "reach" for a player in drafts. Most people get scared that someone else is going to get that stud they wanted.....when many times the reach was far too early. 3. If you play in multiple leagues try to diversify your teams, it's not much different than the stock market, if you have those "must have" guys on 4 out of 5 of your leagues and he goes down with a ACL tear and that must have QB you got sooo lucky to land in all 5 leagues goes down with a separated shoulder for the season.....you lose any chance of winning ANY league at all.

With that being said- There are a lot of top quality players with huge potential this year...

QB - Matt Stafford, Russell Wilson, and Cam Newton

RB - Reggie Bush, Doug Martin, personally I like Lamar Miller

WR - there are a lot of studs up top this year with the average top 20 holding players that all could have huge season. Other than the obvious top 5 I like the potential of Torrey Smith, Danny Amendola, and Tavon Austin (ADP of 38 steal in middle of round 3 beginning of round 4)

TE - Dennis Pitta, Martellus Bennett, and Robert Housler

The Scary thing is, and i hate to say it, Detroit Lions. This team has the potential to pump out some fantasy gold this year at every position QB,RB's,WR's,TE's,DEF, and even K. Its been a long time since a fantasy team of mine has rely'd on Detroit players but I have a feeling I may end up with a lot of them because of that reason.....everyone hates to rely on the Lions.

 
Typically, I think more in terms of must have offenses, but if you want players:

Rodgers

Russ Wilson

Harvin

Cobb

2 QB league.

 
I said it to myself last year and was greatly disappointed that he got hurt, but I'll say it again this year - Vincent Brown. I've been on this guys bandwagon for a while now and I'm just waiting for a return.

Other guys I seem to get in most of my leagues

Mark Ingram

Alshon Jeffery

Robert Turbin

Greg Little

 
With it looking like Gronk might not start the season, Jimmy Graham becomes a must have player with no peer at his position.

 
Obviously it's very league dependent.

In my 16 team, 35 slot PPR/return yardage dynasty league my main target is LaMichael James.

I see an aging Gore, Hunter coming off an Achilles, and Lattimore trying to come back from a significant knee injury. This to go along with a, likely, more heavy reliance on zone-read offensive principles to play to CK's strengths....an offense which LMJ excelled at in college. Additionally, Crabtree's injury opens up more targets some likely going to the RB corp on checkdowns and LMJ could line up in the slot more frequently to offset that loss.

To me, he's a low risk, very high reward guy who carries value even if he only functions as a CoP guy to Gore.

 
In Fantasy Football I've learned a few things over the years. 1. Don't put a must-have on any single player 2. Stick to your draft boards - there is very few times where you might need to "reach" for a player in drafts. Most people get scared that someone else is going to get that stud they wanted.....when many times the reach was far too early. 3. If you play in multiple leagues try to diversify your teams, it's not much different than the stock market, if you have those "must have" guys on 4 out of 5 of your leagues and he goes down with a ACL tear and that must have QB you got sooo lucky to land in all 5 leagues goes down with a separated shoulder for the season.....you lose any chance of winning ANY league at all.
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As someone who does mostly auctions now, I always have guys I want to get, but that doesn't mean I will overpay for them. Going in with that "I will get this guy no matter the cost" is a good way to sink the rest of your team.

In regards to getting the same guy on too many teams, that is true for the most part, except in the case of cheap sleepers. I got Ridley for 8-10 dollars in four different auctions last year, and got Alfred Morris for around 4-6 bucks in multiple leagues, too, but those were low risks, so had they not panned out, they wouldn't have sunk multiple teams. In the case of cheap sleepers like that, getting them in many leagues can often make your team, but on the flip side, if you were high on McFadden last year and you spend around 35-40 bucks on him in 4-5 leagues, he likely torpedoed every one of those teams.

 
I kno this is not a reach but I think Drew Brees will be the #1 player in Fantasy Football this season!! If I Have a chance I will draft him at 1.01 in every league!! The Safest bet in the draft! Guarantee 30 to 40 pts per wk
In a 2 qb league sure. In anything else you are doomed. He won't score enough above qbs that you can get much later to justify going pick 1. But the guys available at the top of the draft will score a ton more than guys you get a few rounds later, especially at rb.
I don't think that's true at all Drew Brees is the safest pick in the draft period I expect him to throw for 5000 yds 40tds he will blow away the rest of the Qb field
 
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Is that based on the fact that Payton wants to rely more heavily on the run this year? I'm seeing Pierre Thomas as a must have at his ADP. He always outperforms his adp

 
I'm guessing that I'll be taking LeSean McCoy in the first round of a lot of drafts this year.
Do you like him more than Charles and Spiller? I'm thinking I'm getting one of those three and I love the upside for Shady but it's a new scheme that no one knows how it will play out and they have two other backs. Granted, you can't have just one back and I do beige that Felix Jones may spell doom for Brown if he can't hold onto the ball.But how many games do you think Philly can win next year? If like Vegas, you think they are a 7-7 team, I can't see McCoy having a huge year. A good year but not top 5 RB.
Charles is a guy thats on my do not draft list. I just have never been a fan. McCoy is going to have an awesome year in the offense he is. AP is the only guy I would take over McCoy.

Dez Bryant is a guy on my list. Sounds like he has his head together and will break out in a big way this year.

 
I would probably draft Leshore higher than anyone.

I target "must haves" for my upside depth. I tend to take what comes to me in my draft's first half.

(3 and a 5 keeper disclaimer)

 
David Wilson - very obvious choice, but he will be HUGE between the 20's. I worry he may lose GL touches.

Bell RB PITT and Ball RB DEN - one or both of them will have huge breakout seasons in their rookie years. If I had to pick just one, give me Ball. With that offense he will have a ton of running lanes as teams worry about slowing down Peyton.

 

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