2) Why do people think you can't do cap gymnastics even IF he wanted a fully guaranteed deal? DeShaun Watson's deal just got reworked to save $36 million.
Not sure what you mean and which team is doing the cap gymnastics. If it's a team trying to get Lamar to sign an offer sheet, if their offer is really light on the first-year cap hit and not a boatload of guaranteed money, BAL will almost certainly match it. If you mean BAL trying to re-sign him, then sure, they can set up a minimal first-year cap hit and play the kick-the-cap-hit-down-the-line strategy like the Browns are starting to do with Watson.
But what won't work as cap gymnastics is a scenario where a team signs Jackson to an offer sheet, the Ravens match, and then the Ravens trade him. Baltimore would take a gynormous cap hit that they could not avoid.
The best way for the Ravens to trade Lamar is to get him to agree to the franchise tag and then trade him to another franchise. The Ravens would not take any cap hit, and his new team could work out a new deal with him. However, that new team would have to be $32 million under the cap at the time of the trade, because they would be importing Jackson on a one-year deal for the guaranteed franchise tag number. They could manipulate that in a new deal, but first they would need to bring him in under the salary cap. As of now, the only team currently with that much cap space is Chicago.
That's what I think Lamar is willing to do. However, he's not signing unless a team is ready to trade for him and the Ravens themselves have no wish/incentive TO trade him. To me that's why Lamar made that tweet during the league meetings as a way of throwing down the gauntlet.
With the amount of cap gymnastics and teams who are amazing at it (as
@Chaka put it, Saints had went from $22-27 million over the cap to $25 million UNDER in like a week), you'd think a team would at least inquire about his services. Unfortunately, not many teams will pursue it because it's pretty clear with the chunk of young QBs available for new deals, the owners don't want the guaranteed money train to leave the station. People can call it "hive mind"/collusion/whatever, but it makes no sense that no one wants to look into getting a QB as explosive as he is and a league MVP; especially with the stupid contracts average QBs have been getting.
EDIT: Initially I thought the wild card would be the Jets, but apparently they're all in on Aaron Rodgers. The Commanders will have new ownership by the draft (two $6 billion dollar offers just got submitted), and maybe their stance will change once the new owners come in?