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I thought of Patterson too before reading your post.
Yeah IDP basically bumps the non 1st round prospects down a round or so. So in non IDP leagues I would guess Robinson would be worth a 3rd round rookie pick.
I'd value him like a second but based on comments here when my leagues allow for rosters to expand I plan to try and obtain him for a third.
With today’s medical advances/technology, I don’t think we can say he won’t be back next year, nor that he can’t be as effective. Akers will be a good litmus test to see the near-term recovery prospects of an Achilles tear.
Not sure Akers is ever again what he was, but he’s a lot more talented than Robinson IMO.
I don’t know about that 100% but Akers certainly has a ton more athleticism he can afford to lose and still be a good NFL athlete, and that might be the biggest thing at play in recoveries like this. Akers is a freak and could lose 10-15% of his athleticism and still be a starting NFL running back possibly, even if his ceiling was affected. Is that true for JRob?
Yeah I’d gamble a mid to late 3rd in a heartbeat if I could afford to burn the roster spot waiting.
Jaguars took Snoop Conner. I think Robinson will be part of RBBC with Etienne. I reviewed newly minted HC Doug Pederson's coaching record specifically with his offense. He never had a bellcow RB. Even after taking Miles Sanders high in 2019 second round, he never got 200+ rushing attempts.
I don't think Snoop takes his spot, but you should've already sold him. Robinson probably has 1 more year of fantasy revelance ala Alfred Morris/Spencer Ware. Jacksonville didn't get any UDFA RBs either this draft, but will probably wait until next year to see what ETN/Jrob can do.
To be fair, Mike Davis had quite a few opportunities to show what he could do, and fell flat on his face every time.
Robinson is reportedly a-ways away. Snoop may get the opportunity to back up ETN early on, and in doing so could to make Robinson obsolete.
It’s possible that Pederson is waiting to see if Howard or Scott shake loose in Philadelphia or who becomes available the RB market in general. Both RBs had fairly major injuries so they have to be somewhat looking into the position at least.
He had over 1000 combined yards and 8 TD in 2020 and helped fantasy owners who had him that season.
Ok you did say every time.Hot Sauce Guy said:
He certainly might in September/October, maybe longer. Robinson’s injury occurred pretty late. December 26th.
Just when I feel like maybe throwing out an offer for him, you're there to talk sense into me.
D'Onta Foreman and Marlon Mack are still in the running, too. Foreman had an excellent stint in Tennessee last year and looked spry. Mack looked okay but caught a competition bus in Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines's 1-2 punch. Medical advances are a real fact of life, so who knows who can return from what injury? I just thought Robinson didn't have burst to lose, but we'll see. It's possible.
Oh I wouldn’t say to not throw out offers, but Achilles is a tough one. He could pay off in 2 years. Don’t believe he’ll be the man this year.
Yet people forgive ETN for a Lisfranc injury that required surgery and that can also leave him not the same player he was.
ETN has already recovered. Reports are he’s explosive and making tight cuts.
Did the same in that contest but I do like Robinson more as a cheap dynasty investment.
I don't think we can say "obviously" or even anything close to it, as Pederson didn't draft either Robinson or Etienne.
It's a little old now but there is a study on the impact of lisfranc injuries on NFL players.
yeah, we’re well past an evaluation of a statistical likelihood of ETN since he’s out there doing it. At some point it’s about the specific player’s recovery, not “how players generally recover”.
We can talk at the end of the season. I'm not saying Robinson will be a stud any time soon. But he has shown he CAN be while ETN has done nothing. Take ETN early. I won't.
I agree… IF he comes back from his Achilles with the same efficacy as Akers, it’s certainly possible he’ll pay off.
There are 3 likely scenarios (ignoring future injuries, trades, etc):
I see a 4th scenario:
That seems unlikely. These teams almost never move a RBs to WRs. Plus the Jags have a lot of slot type WRs as is. I am sure he will get some of those kinds of reps but not enough to carve out a meaningful fantasy role IMO. He needs RB reps IMO.
Yeah, I feel like some of the Pederson commentary is like “rah rah go get em, kid. Big part of our plans, now get out there and work hard, get better” kinda thing.
Right, he has nothing to gain from saying anything negative about either player right now. He obviously wants them both to be healthy, playing well and helping the team every week. He may have some worries about that happening but he's obviously going to put a positive spin on everything.
