RB Michael Carter, ARZ (1 Viewer)

[LionOfGosforth]

In a short bench redraft I cut him for Dowdle this morning, already second guessing that one

I like Dowdle better this week. But Chuba will probably be back before Benson.

Fair comment and we'll have better clarity after this week as to the role shakeout in Arizona. Dowdle may only be a 2 week rental but his matchups are pretty good for a short term starter.

 

[Monkian]

In a short bench redraft I cut him for Dowdle this morning, already second guessing that one

I like Dowdle better this week. But Chuba will probably be back before Benson.

Fair comment and we'll have better clarity after this week as to the role shakeout in Arizona. Dowdle may only be a 2 week rental but his matchups are pretty good for a short term starter.

Yes, next week looks good too if Chuba misses again. My plan was Benson in FLEX (with Pearsall hurt). Ended up grabbing Dowdle over Carter/Demarcado for this week. Not as worried about longer-term for myself.

 

[WaltonGoggins]

Thinking about dropping Carter and picking up Rico.

 

[jtd13]

FanDuel odds for Carter: -110 to score a touchdown, -130 to get over 13.5 carries, and -114 to get over 51 rushing yards.

I started using betting lines/implied totals to decide flex starters last year. It turned out to be a lot better than following fantasy rankings. This is very encouraging for those of us in desperate situations throwing Carter in 50% of leagues

 

[Doubles]

FanDuel odds for Carter: -110 to score a touchdown, -130 to get over 13.5 carries, and -114 to get over 51 rushing yards.

This has to suggest he should be started almost everywhere (outside of the obvious must-start backs).

Except all his lines have decreased since this was posted

In a short bench redraft I cut him for Dowdle this morning, already second guessing that one

Id much rather have 1000 yd back with a great matchup getting all the touches vs a career journeyman also with a great matchup but questionable role. Dowdle for sure

Lines move as money comes in one direction. I believe how they opened is most indicative.

 

[jobarules]

FanDuel odds for Carter: -110 to score a touchdown, -130 to get over 13.5 carries, and -114 to get over 51 rushing yards.

This has to suggest he should be started almost everywhere (outside of the obvious must-start backs).

Except all his lines have decreased since this was posted

In a short bench redraft I cut him for Dowdle this morning, already second guessing that one

Id much rather have 1000 yd back with a great matchup getting all the touches vs a career journeyman also with a great matchup but questionable role. Dowdle for sure

Lines move as money comes in one direction. I believe how they opened is most indicative.

Sharpest lines are where they finish

 

[Doubles]

FanDuel odds for Carter: -110 to score a touchdown, -130 to get over 13.5 carries, and -114 to get over 51 rushing yards.

This has to suggest he should be started almost everywhere (outside of the obvious must-start backs).

Except all his lines have decreased since this was posted

In a short bench redraft I cut him for Dowdle this morning, already second guessing that one

Id much rather have 1000 yd back with a great matchup getting all the touches vs a career journeyman also with a great matchup but questionable role. Dowdle for sure

Lines move as money comes in one direction. I believe how they opened is most indicative.

Sharpest lines are where they finish

I don’t understand how that’s possible. They open to try to get even money in both directions and also move as such. Unless I’m missing something.

 

[jobarules]

FanDuel odds for Carter: -110 to score a touchdown, -130 to get over 13.5 carries, and -114 to get over 51 rushing yards.

This has to suggest he should be started almost everywhere (outside of the obvious must-start backs).

Except all his lines have decreased since this was posted

In a short bench redraft I cut him for Dowdle this morning, already second guessing that one

Id much rather have 1000 yd back with a great matchup getting all the touches vs a career journeyman also with a great matchup but questionable role. Dowdle for sure

Lines move as money comes in one direction. I believe how they opened is most indicative.

Sharpest lines are where they finish

I don’t understand how that’s possible. They open to try to get even money in both directions and also move as such. Unless I’m missing something.

I would suggest googling

 

[Doubles]

FanDuel odds for Carter: -110 to score a touchdown, -130 to get over 13.5 carries, and -114 to get over 51 rushing yards.

This has to suggest he should be started almost everywhere (outside of the obvious must-start backs).

Except all his lines have decreased since this was posted

In a short bench redraft I cut him for Dowdle this morning, already second guessing that one

Id much rather have 1000 yd back with a great matchup getting all the touches vs a career journeyman also with a great matchup but questionable role. Dowdle for sure

Lines move as money comes in one direction. I believe how they opened is most indicative.

Sharpest lines are where they finish

I don’t understand how that’s possible. They open to try to get even money in both directions and also move as such. Unless I’m missing something.

I would suggest googling

Very helpful thanks! So they open based on projections (what we want) and then end “sharpest” based on what you say. That’s pretty amazing lol.

 

[Pigskin Fanatic]

CBS updated its projections today and in non-ppr standard Carter is RB29 with the likes of Charb, White and T Henderson, while Demercado is RB24 with the likes of Walker and Pollard. Puts Demarcado in the bottom of RB2 territory and Carter in the RB3/flex starter mix.

I'm already starting him so not at all talking anyone into it nor is this a hill i'm willing to croak on. If either is able to maintain hot hands between Carter and Demercado for the next two weeks, there's potential gold in Arizona. though, their RB SOS is not great ROS, but these are desperate times. Giddy up!

 

[Desert_Power]

This Sunday. With your teams in mortal peril, it is time to Michael up your Carters.

**** sucks. I'm doing it in way too many places.

 

[FarFromHome]

CBS updated its projections today and in non-ppr standard Carter is RB29 with the likes of Charb, White and T Henderson, while Demercado is RB24 with the likes of Walker and Pollard. Puts Demarcado in the bottom of RB2 territory and Carter in the RB3/flex starter mix.

I'm already starting him so not at all talking anyone into it nor is this a hill i'm willing to croak on. If either is able to maintain hot hands between Carter and Demercado for the next two weeks, there's potential gold in Arizona. though, their RB SOS is not great ROS, but these are desperate times. Giddy up!

What's funny is have they even had a rb finish rb29 for a week yet? The top 2 rbs on the roster go down and now they gonna have TWO rbs finish rb29 or better for the week? Ha ha. Gotta love football.

 

[Smack Tripper]

CBS updated its projections today and in non-ppr standard Carter is RB29 with the likes of Charb, White and T Henderson, while Demercado is RB24 with the likes of Walker and Pollard. Puts Demarcado in the bottom of RB2 territory and Carter in the RB3/flex starter mix.

I'm already starting him so not at all talking anyone into it nor is this a hill i'm willing to croak on. If either is able to maintain hot hands between Carter and Demercado for the next two weeks, there's potential gold in Arizona. though, their RB SOS is not great ROS, but these are desperate times. Giddy up!

What's funny is have they even had a rb finish rb29 for a week yet? The top 2 rbs on the roster go down and now they gonna have TWO rbs finish rb29 or better for the week? Ha ha. Gotta love football.

Well yore into byes now and a bad D

 

[rockaction]

Guys, they're playing Tennessee.

 

[Pietaster2]

Guys, they're playing Tennessee.

There are a few reasons why I’m starting Michael Carter in both of my leagues over Chase Brown. But Tennessee’s bottom five rushing defense is the primary reason.

 

[Desert_Power]

Guys, they're playing Tennessee.

There are a few reasons why I’m starting Michael Carter in both of my leagues over Chase Brown. But Tennessee’s bottom five rushing defense is the primary reason.

I haven't gotten the impression that the Titans have been really bad on defense at all from what I've seen. Feel like the game script is getting them, and very well could again.

 

[rockaction]

Guys, they're playing Tennessee.

There are a few reasons why I’m starting Michael Carter in both of my leagues over Chase Brown. But Tennessee’s bottom five rushing defense is the primary reason.

I haven't gotten the impression that the Titans have been really bad on defense at all from what I've seen. Feel like the game script is getting them, and very well could again.

They’re not looking good. 29th overall in EPA/play, 27th against the run in the same measure, and 26th against the pass.

I have Michael Carter and I think I’m skipping starting him. Too much risk as of right now, but I change my mind a ton.

Jeffrey Simmons looks like a bear, but I guess you can run on them. (The Titans, not a bear.)

Beast right here at the link. He might swallow tiny little Michael Carter whole.

Kodiak snax!

(In all seriousness, this dude is quick and relentless.)

MSN

 

[rockaction]

I bid $4 on the cornerback Michael Carter of the NYJ and, uh, 'won him'.

Hope you IDP guys didn't do the same. Criminy.

This is one of the best posts I've read since September ended.

LOL.

IDP Jets secondary story that's related. The guy the GM/coach traded for and brought in to replace your brand spanking new $4 CB is potentially ready to go this week (maybe next). So Aaron Glenn has to start running his mouth to the media about it on a slow news day, so I got ganked on my waiver bid, which was a buck, on Jarvis Brownlee. I bid the same amount as the guy who stomped me in the finals last year (it was such an ***-kicking that it ruined Christmas week) and I'm just fuming. My stupid and lucky record was 4-0, and his is 3-1.

I mean there are a bunch of aspersions I feel like casting and a whole lot of cursing that I'm involuntarily muttering. The Jets have such a bad secondary and linebacking corps that they're going to be out there 36 or so minutes a game and he's going to drop 14-22 a game.

****.

 

[rockaction]

3 rushes for 7 yards
1 catch for nine yards

Kyler threw a forty-three yard moonball and MHJ went up and got it. Down at the one.

Punch that one in, Michael.

One time? No
Two times? Yes!

1 TD

8.60 PPR

4:06 elapsed in the game.

 

[Terpman22]

Ended up firing this guy up in 5/6 dynos this week.

The targets, Irving's secret injuries piling up + Demarcado being a dolt really are adding up to this guy being a force for the next 2/3 weeks

 

[menobrown]

Ended up firing this guy up in 5/6 dynos this week.

Picked him up in 15 FFPC leagues, redraft and dynasty. Started him in 9.

After waivers ran last Wednesday I wondered what I was thinking, especially in some leagues, going as aggressive for him as I did. When I heard Gannon's comments about "riding the hot hand" I was really thinking WTF did I do?

Still questioning why I bid so high in a few leagues, but overall feeling way better about the investment today.

 

[Smack Tripper]

Ended up firing this guy up in 5/6 dynos this week.

Picked him up in 15 FFPC leagues, redraft and dynasty. Started him in 9.

After waivers ran last Wednesday I wondered what I was thinking, especially in some leagues, going as aggressive for him as I did. When I heard Gannon's comments about "riding the hot hand" I was really thinking WTF did I do?

Still questioning why I bid so high in a few leagues, but overall feeling way better about the investment today.

what was your average spend? do you so the same bid in all leagues?

 

[ATB]

Ended up firing this guy up in 5/6 dynos this week.

The targets, Irving's secret injuries piling up + Demarcado being a dolt really are adding up to this guy being a force for the next 2/3 weeks

Irving is on a different team lol.

 

[menobrown]

Ended up firing this guy up in 5/6 dynos this week.

Picked him up in 15 FFPC leagues, redraft and dynasty. Started him in 9.

After waivers ran last Wednesday I wondered what I was thinking, especially in some leagues, going as aggressive for him as I did. When I heard Gannon's comments about "riding the hot hand" I was really thinking WTF did I do?

Still questioning why I bid so high in a few leagues, but overall feeling way better about the investment today.

what was your average spend? do you so the same bid in all leagues?

No I don't bid the same in all leagues. Factors that influence my bid amounts are need, available money and roster space.

Highest I went was a FFPC Main Event for $422(out of $1K). Two weeks ago I only had 5 RB's on my roster and have since lost Conner and Braelon Allen. Also have Lamb out a bit and in this format you can start 4 RB's and I needed players. Waiver wire is barren, not even an Isaiah Davis, season is short, 12 week regular season, so went super aggressive. Runner up bid was $353 fwiw and I assumed it would be very high because out of all of my leagues this one has the most barren waiver wire.

Lowest winning bid was $118.

Average came out to $224.

Waivers take me hours to do. Hate it, labor of love but it's still labor. I usually do my dynasty leagues last and had something come up last week that led me to being rushed and I think I made some bad decisions were I went over $300 for him in two dynasty leagues, one of which was a Sharkpool league, were the need was not huge. Kind of my RB3/4 in these leagues and I dropped over $300 for him. I still am questioning what I was thinking in these leagues, picking him up for that amount may work out but I still think those bid amounts were way to aggressive, truly not sure what I was thinking in those leagues, again I was fatigued and rushed. But I bet I feel a lot better about it then the guy who was bidding over $350 for Demarcado.

 

[Terpman22]

Ended up firing this guy up in 5/6 dynos this week.

The targets, Irving's secret injuries piling up + Demarcado being a dolt really are adding up to this guy being a force for the next 2/3 weeks

Irving is on a different team lol.

LOL man WAY too much coffee this morning and no excuse lol, but the jist is the same basically (sorry juggling White and Carter at the same time on mutliple teams)

He is set to get a lot of touches the next few weeks and then we see what the bye week does for the starter, much like Irving, they just have a week 8 bye upcoming and Irving is at 9.

And we don't know the true extent of each of these starters injuries still (Benson/Irving) as far as truly how long they will be out

But also I'm an idiot for mixing that up doh

 

[Smack Tripper]

Ended up firing this guy up in 5/6 dynos this week.

Picked him up in 15 FFPC leagues, redraft and dynasty. Started him in 9.

After waivers ran last Wednesday I wondered what I was thinking, especially in some leagues, going as aggressive for him as I did. When I heard Gannon's comments about "riding the hot hand" I was really thinking WTF did I do?

Still questioning why I bid so high in a few leagues, but overall feeling way better about the investment today.

what was your average spend? do you so the same bid in all leagues?

No I don't bid the same in all leagues. Factors that influence my bid amounts are need, available money and roster space.

Highest I went was a FFPC Main Event for $422(out of $1K). Two weeks ago I only had 5 RB's on my roster and have since lost Conner and Braelon Allen. Also have Lamb out a bit and in this format you can start 4 RB's and I needed players. Waiver wire is barren, not even an Isaiah Davis, season is short, 12 week regular season, so went super aggressive. Runner up bid was $353 fwiw and I assumed it would be very high because out of all of my leagues this one has the most barren waiver wire.

Lowest winning bid was $118.

Average came out to $224.

Waivers take me hours to do. Hate it, labor of love but it's still labor. I usually do my dynasty leagues last and had something come up last week that led me to being rushed and I think I made some bad decisions were I went over $300 for him in two dynasty leagues, one of which was a Sharkpool league, were the need was not huge. Kind of my RB3/4 in these leagues and I dropped over $300 for him. I still am questioning what I was thinking in these leagues, picking him up for that amount may work out but I still think those bid amounts were way to aggressive, truly not sure what I was thinking in those leagues, again I was fatigued and rushed. But I bet I feel a lot better about it then the guy who was bidding over $350 for Demarcado.

thank you for the insight, I have upped to 9 manage ffpc leagues this year and I certainly see how many hours go into it, I was in on him as well as waller recently, I varied my bids too on all