I wanted to know why you think Texas has the best defense Bush and 'SC have faced all season. Texas simply did not face any exceptional offenses this season. I would think that Ohio State, Texas Tech and OK State were the best offensive teams Texas played.
Texas' defense is far superior
statistically to any defense SC has faced this season. I believe FS was the best at #34 in Scoring Defense. Arkansas was next at #36. Texas was #6 and played 4 teams ranked between #4 and #26.
And most of the teams USC faced also had to play against other top offenses which dramatically effects national defensive rankings (which I think are flawed to begin with) so I cannot say with confidence that Texas has a superior defense to what 'SC has seen this season.
Now...here's the thing...what you were getting at...is Arkansas' defensive points allowed low because the SEC was low-scoring in '05, or because they play good D? Is SC #39 because they play in the Pac-10, where everyone's offense is great or is their defense lacking? Is Texas #6 because their D is just good but they play in a mediocre offensive conference or are the offenses ok, playing in a good defensive conference? Hard to say...kind of a chicken or egg kind of thing, right? So I can understand if you don't want to look at statistical rankings of defenses...but by the same token I could say the same thing about SC's offense...that they simply didn't face any exceptional defenses this season. We could go on like this all day....
BTW I want to say that I agree with you that Texas has a better defense than 'SC has seen but I am basing my belief on a feeling not on any measurable evidence.
We can look at some specific cases, though. You mentioned Texas Tech. They were #4 nationally averaging 42.09 ppg. Against Texas they scored 17. #28 Ohio State avg'd 32.55. Against Texas, in the Shoe, at night, where they never ever lose...yada...yada...22. I've since heard the argument that OSU's O is better now. Well...Texas' D is better now, too. Long story short, Texas held every opponent except one under it's season avg, most by 10 or more points. The exception was Okla St, whom they shut out in the second half. They actually weren't one of the better offensive teams we played, either, if you look at season avg.
Fresno on the other hand, let 5 of it's opponents equal or better their season average.
Yet another way to look at this is personnel. For example, the big game SC had against UCLA was actually a major mismatch in the trenches. UCLA's d-line weighs an avg of what, 260? They got pushed around and worn down by USC's outstanding group. Texas' starting front 4 is fast, yet big and strong, avging about 296, and they constantly rotate the top 8.
USC is far more prepared to handle a shootout than Texas.
How's that? Texas has the #1 scoring offense in the country (50.92 to SC's 50.0).Percentage of rushing plays that went for 10 yards or more:
Texas: 19.3, SC: 19.4. Sounds like a wash....not that I want a shootout, by any means.
Long scoring runs:
Texas: 11 -- 80, 80, 57, 33, 30, 26, 25, 25, 22, 22, 21
USC: 13 -- 76, 50, 46, 45, 45, 42, 41, 36, 34, 32, 29, 24, 21
All but one of the USC scoring runs of 41 yards or more were by Bush (White had the 46 yarder).
Pass plays of 20+ yards:
Texas: 52 out of 188 completions, 27.7% rate (52/296 attempts, 17.6%)
USC: 51 out of 283 completions, 18.0% rate (51/440 attempts, 11.6%)
Long scoring passes:
Texas: 16 -- 75, 64, 64, 55, 45, 42, 35, 32, 31, 29, 27, 27, 24, 21, 20, 20
USC: 14 -- 67, 31, 29, 29, 29, 28, 24, 24, 24, 24, 22, 22, 21, 21
Another wash...let's hope, for the sake of our families and our fingernails, that it doesn't come down to a shootout.
If USC falls behind early they know they can win, Texas hasn't faced that situation yet.
Going back into last year, when Texas was 11-1, they've won 19 straight. Second longest streak to you-know-who. They didn't do that without some comebacks:-In '04, Texas trailed #19 Okie St
35-7 with about a minute left in the first half. The Horns then scored 49 unanswered points.
-The following week at Kansas, Young threw a 21 yard TD strike with 11 seconds left to win 27-23 after converting a 4th & 18 four plays prior.
-Last year's Rose Bowl win was come-from-behind.
-In the 2005 season, at Ohio St, the Horns were down most of the game, then VY threw the game-winner with 2:37 left.
-Texas was down
28-9 to Okla St, on the road. They then scored 38 unanswered points to win 47-28. Ugly, but a W.
-They were also down 15-14 in the 2nd, and 22-21 in the 3rd to aTm, on the road in a very hostile environment. Texas won 40-29....not that I want to fall behind early, by any means.
Can't get here soon enough!
p.s. Props for helping the Old Man!
Thanks! Dude's 67. I'm 40, & he can still damn near wear me out.