Godsbrother said:
If he is charged then Ben is screwed. He'll almost certainly be suspended and if found guilty be cut by the Steelers and possibly face a lifetime ban from the NFL.
If guilty, it will depend on what Big Ben did, but odds are he will probably not be banned for life. That's generally reserved for baby killing ( Rae Carruth) and gambling (Pete Rose) People are arguing over Big Ben's guilt or innocence as if it matters. He's "guilty" in the eyes of the general public. If he did it, he's guilty, if he didn't do it but is accused anyway, he's guilty. Consider this, if you came to your job today and a female coworker accused you of sexually harassing her, would it matter if you did it or not? The grapevine would shake and word would pass and people would gossip and no one would ever look at you the same way again. Even if you were later vindicated, even if the woman came out later and said it was all a lie, no one would look at you the same way again. Big Ben is guilty of a crime if he's actually guilty. Then alternatively, if he's innocent, then he's guilty first and foremost for being a man accused by a woman in this society, this matters first, even more so to start than his celebrity/fame. The younger she is, the prettier she is, the whiter she is, the more guilty he becomes, true or not. If Big Ben was accused of groping a 46 year old trucker with a beer gut and a speech impediment, would anyone care? If Big Ben is found guilty and convicted, several things will probably happen1) The Steelers will not immediately cut him. There may be cap implications and in some strange way down the road, he might have actual trade value. The Rooneys aren't crazy, they will use what power they have within the NFL as a legacy family and influence with major sponsors and media outlets to try to control the spin on this. 2) The real game is TIME. Over enough TIME, people forget, maybe they don't forgive, but they forget and move on to the next sensational scandal in the NFL or pro sports. Does anyone talk about Sprewell choking his coach anymore? Hugh Grant with that hooker? Dave Stewart with the tranny? While TIME is a killer for many skill positions, many QBs are viable in their later years. It's not like Big Ben is a running back who is 28 years old. 3) The Steelers, if they don't already, will have to start hiring more females into their front office and general staff. They will need to appease lobbyist feminist groups who will threaten to carpetbomb their sponsors/the NFL if they don't ( Call Al Davis senile and past his prime if you wish, but the CryptKeeper isn't completely stupid, when Tom Cables previous domestic violence issue came to light, he ALREADY HAD Amy Trask in his front office. It controlled the spin the leverage that could be used against him. 4) If Goodell has to hammer down on Big Ben, the punishment will have to exceed Vicks. Unless every GM, coach and owner wants to come home to their wives and hear this " So we are worth less than a dog? WE ARE WORTH LESS THAN A DOG?" There is also the race issue, Goodell will not want the perception that white players are given different punishment than black players ( Chase Stuart and Jason Whitlock and Phil "That's Not The Kobe I Know!" Taylor could easily hammer out 492 articles between them on that one if it happened.) Given the same crime, Goodell will almost always be forced to give a white player more harsh punishment over a black player ( I am not specifically comparing Big Bens issue with Vicks) What no one wants to mention is that Midgesville or whatever this place is, is not a major city, it's not New York, it's not San Francisco, it's not Miami. The officials there, the DA, the law enforcement people, the local politicians all now have instant juice. ( Did you know who Charles Moose was 30 years ago? Do you think you can Google him now and find out everything you want to know after the Beltway Sniper?) This is a way for individuals there to try to gain more power, more influence, more standing, more status to see Big Ben go down. They aren't just going to give that up. They are also outside of the reach of the Rooney's power base. What else no one wants to mention is Big Ben looks like an ogre. There I said it. In the eyes of public opinion, how you looks matters. In court, how you look matters. If a good looking charismatic guy like Tom Brady or Derek Jeter was in this situation, a jury or a judge might react differently. We are all human. Good looking people get treated better than ugly people in general. They are often given the benefit of the doubt more often. We are judged not just by what we do, but what we look like we might do. If Frankie Muniz was accused of fondling a 10 year old and then Christopher Walken was accused of the same thing, which one looks creepy enough to might actually do it to the average jury? Something else no one wants to mention is Big Ben is - Probably not gay- Not Jewish as far I know- Not African American- Not a womanStandard media spin protections in place for these groups will not apply to him. Face facts, we read what the media will give us and what the media will give us is dependent on variables that will either make them money or cost them money. If Big Ben was gay and was accused by a man, this is a different story ( i.e. "you must think Big Ben is guilty because you hate gays" In fact if Big Ben came out today and said he was gay and brought out 10 of his former male gay lovers and said he only slept with women because he felt persecuted by straight America, even if it was totally fabricated, this would be an entirely different ball game media wise. ) He will take this publicly with full force. He is a straight below average looking white guy heading towards middle age, the one category in this country, besides Asians, that almost universally has no protections against the media assault whether he's guilty or not. In this instance, his fame will work against him, as the average person tends to resent celebrity ( we love them on the way up as the underdog, we love tearing them down once they hit the top, that's how our society works with celebrity) I don't know what happened. You don't know what happened. In the end, that everyone is talking about it means Big Ben is "guilty" in the eyes of the public no matter what really happened. No one will ever look at him the same way again.