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Snowmageddon 2022 (1 Viewer)

Frankie MacDonald hasn't made it a story yet.....so I'm going to temper my excitement. But in my house.....if the Iron Shiek and Frankie Macdonald come down on the same side....it's gold.

 
Was outside in shorts and a tshirt on Sunday. Started snowing Sunday night and didn't stop until this morning. 14" on the driveway this morning (after shoveling when I got home from work last night).

 
2nd day in a row all government offices closed so it has been a nice 4 day weekend, but man am I sick of shoveling. I still have 17 inches packed in on my sidewalk My good shovel broke yesterday and the worst part I am out of beer.
That's just poor planning man.
Ah ha!! Not going to let a little snow beat me!! I dug a path out the driveway and got my Mitsubishi Lancer into the road. That thing with its ground effects sits so low as it is, but I was like a freaking snow plow all the way to the beer store and of course Starbucks for the wife and kids. As an aside, my family is one of the first to go in a zombie apocalypse--no doubt.My back is done. I have shoveled 4-5 times since Sunday. We have drifts higher than my mailbox still out there.

 
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sheik - how good are you with avalanche predictions?
If I gave you a prediction right now, it'd be my first.
If I'm not mistaken, predicting avalanches actually requires someone to go out and test the snow. The snow has all different types of layers depending on lots of things. So I'm not sure it's something that can be done without actually being on site. I could be wrong about that though. I honestly don't know.

 
Too lazy to find the storm thread. Just checked my weather feed, as forecast, it's a mess out there. Tornado, tornado, tornado.

 
City snow plow guys will NOT be getting Christmas cards from me this year. :angry: More moisture in the snow this time.

When I was "shoveling" earlier, I heard a long loud creaking noise. My neighbor has row of tall old spindly cedar trees. Looked up in time to see the top half of one fall into his back yard.
The funny part is I thought the loud creaking might have been your knees or back.

 
3C said:
Too lazy to find the storm thread. Just checked my weather feed, as forecast, it's a mess out there. Tornado, tornado, tornado.
Slight chance of this mess hitting VA today.

 
Initial thoughts for the 9-10 storm would be for NE down to DC to be in on the snow. Pittsburgh would be the cutoff line to the west, at this point.

Nothing set in stone, but that's your initial watch area.

Again, unlike the past couple of years, we won't be dealing with a "thread the needle" type storm. This is why there is medium to high confidence on there being a storm next week.

 
Pretty sure the groundhog hasn't been looking at the long range models.
Pretty sure the groundhog hasn't been looking at the long range models.
Love how people get all giddy about the not seeing the shadow crap. It was cloudy out. And that "theory" has been wrong more than it's been right.
Pretty sure the groundhog hasn't been looking at the long range models.
Love how people get all giddy about the not seeing the shadow crap. It was cloudy out. And that "theory" has been wrong more than it's been right.
The "theory" is never wrong. That's the point. If he sees his shadow, 6 more weeks of winter (March 21st). If he doesn't spring is right around the corner (in about 6 weeks).
Maybe we've had it backwards all these years and no shadow means longer winter???
I have to say that I'm a little disappointed that at least some of these weren't re-posted this morning.

Then put your little hand in mine
There ain't no hill or mountain we can't climb

Babe
I got you babe
I got you babe
 
Pretty sure the groundhog hasn't been looking at the long range models.
Pretty sure the groundhog hasn't been looking at the long range models.
Love how people get all giddy about the not seeing the shadow crap. It was cloudy out. And that "theory" has been wrong more than it's been right.
Pretty sure the groundhog hasn't been looking at the long range models.
Love how people get all giddy about the not seeing the shadow crap. It was cloudy out. And that "theory" has been wrong more than it's been right.
The "theory" is never wrong. That's the point. If he sees his shadow, 6 more weeks of winter (March 21st). If he doesn't spring is right around the corner (in about 6 weeks).
Maybe we've had it backwards all these years and no shadow means longer winter???
I have to say that I'm a little disappointed that at least some of these weren't re-posted this morning.

Then put your little hand in mine
There ain't no hill or mountain we can't climb

Babe
I got you babe
I got you babe
I feel horrible I didn't notice this joke. Maybe I was too caught up defending humor in another thread, but this would have been funny. Nice job. :lol:

 
looking at 5-8 on Tuesday in Loudoun county virginia
Anything that is giving snow totals this far out is completely guessing.
Same here. My thought though, is that even though they're guessing, predicting totals this fair out says that they're pretty sure something is coming.
Agreed. And I say that a lot. When they start showing those snow total maps, the least important part is the totals. In fact, not important at all. But what they do show is that a storm is there. And run to run will tell you what the trend is in direction, strength and position. Those are the key things. So while it's fun to look at snow maps (and I too enjoy seeing large totals just like the next snow lover), they shouldn't be taken too seriously.

That was a long post just to say I agree with you. :)

 
Initial thoughts for the 9-10 storm would be for NE down to DC to be in on the snow. Pittsburgh would be the cutoff line to the west, at this point.

Nothing set in stone, but that's your initial watch area.

Again, unlike the past couple of years, we won't be dealing with a "thread the needle" type storm. This is why there is medium to high confidence on there being a storm next week.
Sheik this ain't funny - I gotta colonoscopy scheduled for the 11th :( Please make the snow not hit NJ. Thanks.

-QG

 
Initial thoughts for the 9-10 storm would be for NE down to DC to be in on the snow. Pittsburgh would be the cutoff line to the west, at this point.

Nothing set in stone, but that's your initial watch area.

Again, unlike the past couple of years, we won't be dealing with a "thread the needle" type storm. This is why there is medium to high confidence on there being a storm next week.
Sheik this ain't funny - I gotta colonoscopy scheduled for the 11th :( Please make the snow not hit NJ. Thanks.

-QG
I don't think this is going to be like the last storm, so by the 11th, I think you'll be fine.

Right now, based off current models, there is not a great deal of moisture with the storm. But it will be cold, so the ratios could go up to 20:1. Again, speaking only to what the models show now, this would be an event that would be middle of the road. More than 3 inches, but probably less than 12. That's not an actual forecast.

 
Just to note:

This Friday, the UKMET is dead set on a snow event for NJ and E PA, with higher snow amounts E. It's the only model showing this, but it's been consistently showing it. Just wanted to point this out since most of the attention has been on the two events next week.

 
Just to note:

This Friday, the UKMET is dead set on a snow event for NJ and E PA, with higher snow amounts E. It's the only model showing this, but it's been consistently showing it. Just wanted to point this out since most of the attention has been on the two events next week.
Euro is on board with this now, too. Nothing major. Looks like a 3 to 6 event towards the coast with 1 to 3 in SE PA.

 
Latest model runs are having a lot of trouble with this system. Seems like NE is going to be the best chance for this, but places like Philly and DC are still in the mix. Lots of moving pieces with this storm.

 
Canadian just came in for Friday with a much bigger storm than anyone else. CT, RI and MA get the most with close to a foot in spots. My area clocks in with about 4 inches.

Not sure how much stock I put in this just yet, but the models are definitely trending west.

 
Next week could get interesting. Models all over the place, but some are showing a huge bomb offshore. At 5 days out, this thing could be a near miss or a Nor'easter that rivals the last storm. Not sure exactly, but I'd say it's definitely something in between there. Going to be a fun weekend.

 
Also, not sure if I mentioned this or not, but the Bo2016 was ranked 4th all time on the NESIS scale as a category 4 storm. Only 2 storms have ever been a category 5 (1993 and 1996). The only category 4 storm bigger than Bo2016 was from March of 1960.

 
Canadian just came in for Friday with a much bigger storm than anyone else. CT, RI and MA get the most with close to a foot in spots. My area clocks in with about 4 inches.

Not sure how much stock I put in this just yet, but the models are definitely trending west.
Looks like the trend is all west. Don't be surprised if NYC ends up getting half a foot from this.

 
Canadian just came in for Friday with a much bigger storm than anyone else. CT, RI and MA get the most with close to a foot in spots. My area clocks in with about 4 inches.

Not sure how much stock I put in this just yet, but the models are definitely trending west.
Looks like the trend is all west. Don't be surprised if NYC ends up getting half a foot from this.
Is this overnight sheik? Seeing a high of 45 tomorrow. :shrug:

 
Billy Bats said:
TheIronSheik said:
Canadian just came in for Friday with a much bigger storm than anyone else. CT, RI and MA get the most with close to a foot in spots. My area clocks in with about 4 inches.

Not sure how much stock I put in this just yet, but the models are definitely trending west.
Looks like the trend is all west. Don't be surprised if NYC ends up getting half a foot from this.
Is this overnight sheik? Seeing a high of 45 tomorrow. :shrug:
Overnight. Don't believe those temps. NWS just issued Winter Weather Advisories for us.

 
Snowing pretty good but not sticking to the roads. As warm as it has been and still slightly above freezing so I hope the roads stay in good shape. They should be fine until tonight when it will drop down to the mid 20s and I have to go in to work. :towelwave:

 
Jesus. Had no idea. Woke up to 6 inches and it's still coming down pretty good. Commuter trains running, but it's a mess.

 
Jesus. Had no idea. Woke up to 6 inches and it's still coming down pretty good. Commuter trains running, but it's a mess.
TheIronSheik said:
Canadian just came in for Friday with a much bigger storm than anyone else. CT, RI and MA get the most with close to a foot in spots. My area clocks in with about 4 inches.

Not sure how much stock I put in this just yet, but the models are definitely trending west.
Looks like the trend is all west. Don't be surprised if NYC ends up getting half a foot from this.
How did you not know?

 

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