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Snowmageddon 2022 (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter =Smackdown=
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this winter.
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TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
Models still like a storm next week, but they are starting to disagree a little. That's kind of expected this far out. Temperature is still the big factor. Could be a lot of rain, a lot of ice or a lot of snow.
How's that for a fairly useless update?
How's that for a fairly useless update?
36th Chamber
Footballguy
Wait, what?Dulles Airport Snowfall totals for 2011-2012 and 2012-2013 Winters combined = 16 inches.
Dulles Airport Snowfall total for the 1st 18 days of March 2014 = 16 inches.
Mr. Ected
Footballguy
I saw it originally here...but decided to see if it was actually true!Wait, what?Dulles Airport Snowfall totals for 2011-2012 and 2012-2013 Winters combined = 16 inches.
Dulles Airport Snowfall total for the 1st 18 days of March 2014 = 16 inches.
March 2014 - 16"
12.7 + (12.7 - 9) = 15.7!
WOW!
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
Overnight models are starting to show the signs of a possible very large classic Nor'easter. There are two lows, one coming from the south along the east coast and one coming from the midwest. The models are still not totally on board with the two lows phasing together, but they aren't ruling it out, either. Timing would be Tuesday into Wednesday.
There's still a chance that the southern stream keeps the low south and pushes it straight out to sea, but it's still too early to know for sure. So right now the thought is it could be anywhere between a complete miss to a huge blizzard. Hope that helps.
There's still a chance that the southern stream keeps the low south and pushes it straight out to sea, but it's still too early to know for sure. So right now the thought is it could be anywhere between a complete miss to a huge blizzard. Hope that helps.
Otis
Footballguy
ClownCausedChaos2
Footballguy
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
I'm all about the page hits.
I'm thinking about submitting an article to that New York paper that says "20% chance of 2 feet of snow next week!"
Make sure you use lots of bright colors on your snow map. Looks really cool and gives you an air of authority.
glock
"Don't grumble, give a whistle!"
Lutherman2112
Footballguy
Koya
Footballguy
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
Ned
Footballguy
He should use sheik shtick.....
Potential nor'easter set to put the east coast in the camel clutch
Koya
Footballguy
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
TheIronSheik
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Afternoon models show this thing bombing out over the northeast. Still a lot of days away, but this storm has the potential to be the biggest of the winter for some areas. Models are still wavering on which way they want to send it, though. Should know more by tomorrow morning. But nothing solid until at least Saturday afternoon/evening.
Otis
Footballguy
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
I don't have links. Just looking at the models. Not shtick, though.
Since it's a coastal storm they're looking at, NYC would probably be dumped on. But it's still too far out to know.
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
JetMaxx
Footballguy
Long range models have very strong storm signal for Tuesday next week. GGEM and UKMET both agree on a coastal bomb, 980mb, off Long Island. ECMWF, the king of the LR models shows a slightly weaker low but each model indicates 12"+ is possible for I95 from Wash to Boston. Remarkable agreement this far out, the big ones usually have it.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Lutherman2112
Footballguy
I love that guy.TheIronSheik said:
Koya
Footballguy
I will say this...
I'll fully accept a 12+ inch snowstorm, hell, I'd prefer 18+ if its going to snow a lot. WITH the caveat that it quickly hits 50 in the day or two after and never dips below 50 for a high again until next winter.
Having a couple more Jeep days would be fun, just tired of the cold.
I'll fully accept a 12+ inch snowstorm, hell, I'd prefer 18+ if its going to snow a lot. WITH the caveat that it quickly hits 50 in the day or two after and never dips below 50 for a high again until next winter.
Having a couple more Jeep days would be fun, just tired of the cold.
3C's
Footballguy
Leeroy Jenkins
Footballguy
Jesus ####.
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
It looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
John Bender
Footballguy
Also a neighbor. Meet me at Teikoku for the games today at noon. I'll be the drunk guyIt looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
ClownCausedChaos2
Footballguy
I like big buts and I cannot lie.It looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
JetMaxx
Footballguy
Awesome sushi, we hit that place about a year ago on our way to Philly for a show. They had some terrific happy hour specials.Also a neighbor. Meet me at Teikoku for the games today at noon. I'll be the drunk guyIt looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
Ned
Footballguy
YupI like big buts and I cannot lie.It looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
3C's
Footballguy
That's not what he said! linkYupI like big buts and I cannot lie.It looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
ClownCausedChaos2
Footballguy
Guys, guys. You're both right.That's not what he said! linkYupI like big buts and I cannot lie.It looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
3C's
Footballguy
I disagree. Ned's pic is not of a big butt, it's a pic of a OMFG I just lost it in my pants butt.Guys, guys. You're both right.That's not what he said! linkYupI like big buts and I cannot lie.It looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
ClownCausedChaos2
Footballguy
Upon further review, you're right.I disagree. Ned's pic is not of a big butt, it's a pic of a OMFG I just lost it in my pants butt.Guys, guys. You're both right.That's not what he said! linkYupI like big buts and I cannot lie.It looks like the models are still looking at a huge coastal storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The Canadian and American model have the storm east, but that's not really a big deal. The Euro has the storm more to the west, closer to the shore. Why is this important? The Euro model is better equipped to handle Nor'easters than any other model. So while the other two models agree on a storm, but further east, the takeaway here is that all three see a HUGE storm, and that the Euro has the storm trending eastward with each model run.
So what's that mean for being five days out of the potential storm? Nothing solid, really. Things can always change. But (and it's a big but), things are setting up for a large storm that is going to possibly affect a large portion of the MA and NE. The models have this thing bombing out and riding the coast, which means places like Boston could get buried in a Spring snow event.
No snowfall totals yet, obviously. And don't trust any from anyone saying they have totals. What can be said is that this storm has the potential to dump snow that will be measured in feet and not inches.
I still think that the way things are setting up, tomorrow afternoon will be a very telling day for how this system plays out.
JetMaxx said:
Koya
Footballguy
As of this morning this is what's expected. A couple inches, maybe 4 but nothing significant.
I want one last huge blast or just get on with freakin spring already. Just so tired of the cold.
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
While it is a miss for us for the most part, there is still a chance the I95 corridor could see spots of 3 to 6 inches. The trough looks like it will become inverted (meaning that there will be flow from west to east) across our area. Along with the inverted trough, it appears that snow banding will be likely to occur as well. So while most of the area will be looking at a 1-3 inch event, there is a very good possibility that many areas could see more than that if the bands sit over where you live. Think Snow Bowl from earlier this year. Heavy banding happened over Philly giving them over a foot of snow, while areas outside the city saw only 3 to 5 inches.
The ground is warmer and the sun's angle is more intense, so snow won't stick like it was during the winter, but this could still end up being a decent event for some.
The bomb that is offshore is huge. For anyone in Boston and north, this could be a monster storm for you. And ground warmth and sun angle won't matter with the amounts and rate of snow you will see.
Should be the last snow of the year. But below average temps are still forecasted until mid April.
TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
WARM WEATHER FANS - SEE BELOW
Interesting observation today:
I have 4 sites that I rely on for their forecasting when it comes to weather. None are perfect, but they are all very good at explaining their forecast and making predictions. To put simply, models can be read by anyone. But it takes people with a professional knowledge of meteorology to make forecasts based off of those models. This season, within 12 to 24 hours of the storm, these 4 sites have been pretty close in their forecasts. But as of today, there seems to be a lot of difference of opinions in this storm for SE PA. They are forecasting anywhere from flurries to 3 to 6 inches.
Again, as I said before, the inverse trough is going to make things interesting. Even the NWS, who is predicting 1 - 3 inches, has listed the area as "Potential for Heavy Snowfall." If that's true, 3 inches would seem to be more correct, while 6 inches wouldn't be out of the question.
If I had to put my life savings on one forecast, I'd lean towards the one that's saying the inverse trough will happen. I'm not a meteorologist, but the one site that is fully on board with this is probably the most qualified to make that prediction. Along with that, the NWS believes that there is a good possibility of this happening, as well.
All that said, Spring Snow Storms are tough to predict. 4 inches of snow on the grass can equal zero snow on the roads. It all depends on the timing and the snowfall rates. And snowfall rates are very hard to predict when it comes to banding. Don't be surprised if there's just a dusting of snow on the grass tomorrow. But at the same time, don't be surprised if you have to shovel half a foot of snow off the driveway tomorrow night.
WARM WEATHER FANS - Near normal temps look to be here for end of the week and beginning of next week. Cold air is still a long term possibility into mid April, but the next 7 days after the snow seem to be very Spring-like. Enjoy it while it lasts.
Interesting observation today:
I have 4 sites that I rely on for their forecasting when it comes to weather. None are perfect, but they are all very good at explaining their forecast and making predictions. To put simply, models can be read by anyone. But it takes people with a professional knowledge of meteorology to make forecasts based off of those models. This season, within 12 to 24 hours of the storm, these 4 sites have been pretty close in their forecasts. But as of today, there seems to be a lot of difference of opinions in this storm for SE PA. They are forecasting anywhere from flurries to 3 to 6 inches.
Again, as I said before, the inverse trough is going to make things interesting. Even the NWS, who is predicting 1 - 3 inches, has listed the area as "Potential for Heavy Snowfall." If that's true, 3 inches would seem to be more correct, while 6 inches wouldn't be out of the question.
If I had to put my life savings on one forecast, I'd lean towards the one that's saying the inverse trough will happen. I'm not a meteorologist, but the one site that is fully on board with this is probably the most qualified to make that prediction. Along with that, the NWS believes that there is a good possibility of this happening, as well.
All that said, Spring Snow Storms are tough to predict. 4 inches of snow on the grass can equal zero snow on the roads. It all depends on the timing and the snowfall rates. And snowfall rates are very hard to predict when it comes to banding. Don't be surprised if there's just a dusting of snow on the grass tomorrow. But at the same time, don't be surprised if you have to shovel half a foot of snow off the driveway tomorrow night.
WARM WEATHER FANS - Near normal temps look to be here for end of the week and beginning of next week. Cold air is still a long term possibility into mid April, but the next 7 days after the snow seem to be very Spring-like. Enjoy it while it lasts.
TheIronSheik
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ClownCausedChaos2
Footballguy
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