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Snowmageddon 2022 (1 Viewer)

I always think schools are ####### for calling 2 hour delays on days like this.... but the two hour commute I just completed has me seeing the light.

 
I always think schools are ####### for calling 2 hour delays on days like this.... but the two hour commute I just completed has me seeing the light.
Or not calling a delay when every other county around yours does. This was definitely a day when a delay was warranted.

I'm lucky to have to only drive about 5 miles to work and not have to take any highways, but the worst part today was just getting the kids to school and getting out of the neighborhood to the main roads. Not sure what it is about the DC/Annapolis/Baltimore metroplex that causes everyone to forget how to negotiate hazardous road conditions, but it seems to happen consistently at the first appearance of ice/snow just like today.

 
High snow ratios?
Snow ratio is the amount of liquid produced by melting snow.

The snow to liquid equivalent is the amount of liquid precipitation that is produced after melting snow. The temperature profile of the troposphere and the surface temperature are important factors that determine this value. The "average" snow to liquid ratio is 10:1. This is saying that if 10 inches of snow fell and that snow was melted it would produce 1 inch of liquid precipitation in the rain gauge.
This is what you hear with the phrases "Dry Snow" and "Heavy Wet Snow." The easy definition being the colder the air, the 'drier' the snow. Snow that falls closer to, or above freezing is 'wetter' and better for snowball fights.

From the same article...

WET SNOW WITH ABOVE FREEZING GROUND- Wet snow is snow that has a high liquid content as it reaches the surface. It needs to be at least 50% made of ice or it will have more characteristics of being a raindrop instead of a snowflake. It gets this liquid content by partially melting before it hits the ground. The wetness of the snowflakes makes it easier for snowflakes to stick together as they fall, thus a wet snow will often have large snowflakes and a lower number of snowflakes. If the ground temperature is above freezing the snow flakes will continue melting. In these situations a snow event can occur but with no snow accumulates on the ground.

WET SNOW WITH AT OR BELOW FREEZING GROUND- It this situation the snow will accumulate on the ground. This is the best situation for producing snow where the making of snowballs is the easiest. The snow is sticky due to its high partial liquid content. The ratio for wet snow will be less than 10:1. For example, a 5:1 ratio may occur in which it takes 5 inches of snow to produce 1 inch of liquid equivalent.

DRY SNOW- A dry snow has little to no liquid water content thus this snow will be less dense than average. Less dense meaning there will be a lot of air pockets between the snow crystals. Dry snow is not sticky and thus it is difficult to make snowballs with it and the wind blows it around substantially even after reaching the surface. The ratio for dry snow will be greater than 10:1. In extreme cases it can be 30:1 or greater. Dry snow occurs when the temperatures throughout the troposphere are well below freezing and the surface temperature is below freezing. Since dry snowflakes are less sticky they are less inclined to stick together as they fall, thus a dry snow will often be composed of a large number of small snowflakes.

For further discussion, refer to the following website below:

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/soo/docu/precip_type.php

The ultimate weather education website: http://www.theweatherprediction.com/
 
He's engaged now, he was probably forced to give up his amateur climatology hobby in favor of wedding cake tastings.

 
He's engaged now, he was probably forced to give up his amateur climatology hobby in favor of wedding cake tastings.
Wait, he got engaged? Good for Sheik!
Yep. Gave her a wristwatch.
Oh. So he's engaged in finding a new place to live?
Lol

Actually, it was a cool story that he posted in anothe thread. She wears her grandmother's wedding ring and is not a materialistic type, so he bought her a nice watch.

 
James Daulton said:
ClownCausedChaos2 said:
James Daulton said:
He's never been away this long except when he left for a couple of years.
He's stated before that he doesn't post at home. He may have a few days off work.
Takes time off after New Year?

:confused:
:shrug:

Should we send out a search party, or do we really not care that much? Honestly, I could go either way on this.
Were it not for his appearance recently, I'd have said we should organize a search party. STAT!

 
I've been reading the first volume of Theodore Roosevelt's biography by Edmund Morris. TR owned a ranch in what is known today as western North Dakota. While he was in Europe celebrating his honeymoon with his second wife Edith Carrow, this happened.

Also -

Storms raged from November to February. Five minimum temperature records from January 1887 still stand in Bismarck, including 41 below on Jan. 1 and 44 below on Jan. 2.

"With all this severity thus indicated the air was so still and rare that during the day, parties were seen upon the streets without overcoates, and by no means was as much inconvenience felt as on days fifty degrees warmer with a slight breeze blowing," the Bismarck Daily Tribune reported on Jan. 2, 1887.

The newspaper covered many weather problems, as people froze to death, animals starved and snow stopped trains. People reported having more snow across Dakota Territory than ever before.

"Then, on 28 January, a blizzard struck which made all previous storms that winter seem trivial," Edmund Morris wrote in his book, "The Rise of Theodore Roosevelt." Judging by the Bismarck Daily Tribune, the storm hit Bismarck on Jan. 29 and 30.
From Morris' book, the snow that fell in late 1886 was so fine that it literally floated in the air for hours before landing. Some cattle literally suffocated because they were facing north and the fine snow blew into their nostrils and throats. :shock:

 
So next week could be a fairly interesting week. Two different shots for the NE, both very different type systems.

The first shot will be Monday. This will be the "smaller" storm, but has the potential to have a bigger impact. Why? Because it could be an ice storm. After this week, there is obviously plenty of cold air in place and the ground is like an iceberg. Doesn't look like temps will rise much above freezing, if at all, before the system sweeps through. If it falls as snow, it has the potential to dump a decent amount, but nothing huge. We're talking in the 3 to 6 inch range. But if it falls as freezing rain, it could be similar to the system we had come through last year the week after the Super Bowl. Power outages, down trees, etc. Now, here's the tricky part: Ice storms require near perfect conditions for it to happen. So, really, until late this weekend, it'll be hard to hammer down a definite or not. Here's what the WPC is predicting at this moment, but again, I expect this to change. My thoughts are that SE PA could be a bullseye for a good ice storm, IF it doesn't fall as snow.

The second system would be for 15th-16th time frame. Models are really liking this setup. I mentioned this earlier this week as a possible storm signal and it looks like the models are starting to run with it. This would be a coastal storm and it would have the potential for large snowfall totals throughout the NE. Obviously still a long way out, so this is just something to keep an eye on.

 
That's a lot of Flops! http://mashable.com/2015/01/06/weather-service-supercomputers-petaflops/

I am looking forward to using the newer models at work, as this article is dead on with not much reliability beyond 7-10 days. HRRR also was dead on last week with a weak snow band moving through western Ohio.
WE'RE NUMBER 3! WE'RE NUMBER 3! WE'RE NUMBER 3! :towelwave:
Still amazing how far we have come though. When I was at Air Force Global Weather Central back in the mid 90s , their cray computers had about 20GB of disk space.

 

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