Snowmageddon 2022 (3 Viewers)

[belljr]

What's the euro say nerds? Let's keep this thing current.

By keep it current, would you mean we need to "nowcast"?

hold on. Be right back

 

[The Goat]

I should probably change the oil in my snowblower again. This thing's starting to concern me.

 

[belljr]

What's the euro say nerds? Let's keep this thing current.

By keep it current, would you mean we need to "nowcast"?

hold on. Be right back

cloudy little winds, no snow yet

 

[belljr]

I should probably change the oil in my snowblower again. This thing's starting to concern me.

How many hours. Haven't changed mine yet

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Some models saying 2 feet in my area. Others saying 4 inches. Accuweather saying 8-12.



Can I get an ***OFFICIAL*** Sheik prediction for Zip Codes around 11001?*

*Not my actual zip code

Are you afraid I'll come stalk you?

It's not you I'm afraid of.

I already know where you live.

How In the world did you decrypt the secret code in the "Otis is buying a new house in ___________" thread?

 

[Chappy]

Snow totals going up!!! Pumped!

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

So to the jersey peeps - the storm has sped up. Should be hitting South Jersey around 4pm, the mythical land of Central Jersey 6pm and North Jersey 10pm.

-QG

There goes date night and the trimmings! Thanks snowbama!

 

[The Goat]

I should probably change the oil in my snowblower again. This thing's starting to concern me.

How many hours. Haven't changed mine yet

Hell, probably a good 20 hours. I just changed it to ensure the snow wouldn't hit me. The storm might not have been paying attention.

 

[Billy Bats]

Looks like it will be arriving in Philly sooner than expected.

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=278242

Is there a new ETA?

Hurricane Schwartzie just said around 4pm, and could get heavy by 6.

 

[belljr]

I should probably change the oil in my snowblower again. This thing's starting to concern me.

How many hours. Haven't changed mine yet

Hell, probably a good 20 hours. I just changed it to ensure the snow wouldn't hit me. The storm might not have been paying attention.

I've been lacks with my maintenance on my crap. I know it's supposed to be every year but if I only run it 5 hours that season meh.

I do grease the points though

 

[Koya]

Baseball Nerds, hit up the Tremendous Upside Nerd Baseball Sim Draft

What the #### else you gonna do this weekend?

 

[HellToupee]

Restoration is done in the following order:

1) transmission (substation to substation)

2) hospitals, first responder locations and health-risk customers (e.g. oxygen);

3) neighborhoods with crews going to the location with the highest number of customers out and working their way down to single customers. It's not based on who is off the longest.

These guys will be far from home, tired, cold and working around downed/damaged equipment in unfamiliar territory. So, give them a little grace and you'll be back on soon.

I forgot to mention that if you could share this with your friends, family, neighbors, etc. it would help everyone's nerves.

Here's a question: Our house has never lost power for more than 2-3 minutes. Hardly ever goes off but when it does, it flips back on quickly. People within a couple 1/8th's of a mile from us will lose power for hours in the same storm. Someone asked if we lived near a Post Office and I said yes, it's just down the block. They said that PO's need power and get priority or something. So if you live near one, you get the benefit. Sounds fishy, but it would explain why we never lose power. Any truth to this?

 

[Tom Servo]

For PA residents, 511PA has traffic cameras along with locations of snow plows and where they've been the previous two hours.

 

[eoMMan]

What's the euro say nerds? Let's keep this thing current.

About 1.0795 now...

 

[Nick Vermeil]

What's the euro say nerds? Let's keep this thing current.

About 1.0795 now...

Buy! buy!

 

[PIK95]

Snow totals going up!!! Pumped!

Snow totals going up!!! Pumped!

Why do you hate America?

 

[Mr. Ected]

This is the RGEM, a pretty good short-term model:

http://i.imgur.com/F6RyZXa.png

I think this is a decent accumulation map, a lot more realistic than the NAM. Still, using just 10:1 ratio, there is a chance totals go higher.

I really can't believe the entire DC/Baltimore is now only about 20 hours from a widespread 20" with a realistic chance for some areas to hit 30". People around here are talking about work on Monday and don't really understand what's about to happen. I say work on Wednesday, maybe. School? Maybe Friday? We'll see. Can't believe all the area districts closed today, since it won't snow (at least here) until after dark tomorrow. They're going to regret taking that day when they're still in school on June 23.

Fairfax and Loudoun counties have 13-15 snow days built in. Fairfax County already goes to June 23.

Loudoun cleverly bases their school year on hours instead of days. That way by lengthening the day by 15-30 minutes, they can build in the 15 days of potential closings. Last year we had 13 days off. We should have had 14, but the school choked on a storm on Jan 6, and the havoc caused the school system to go easy on cancelling school (not that they are normally strict)

 

[3C's]

Restoration is done in the following order:

1) transmission (substation to substation)

2) hospitals, first responder locations and health-risk customers (e.g. oxygen);

3) neighborhoods with crews going to the location with the highest number of customers out and working their way down to single customers. It's not based on who is off the longest.

These guys will be far from home, tired, cold and working around downed/damaged equipment in unfamiliar territory. So, give them a little grace and you'll be back on soon.

I forgot to mention that if you could share this with your friends, family, neighbors, etc. it would help everyone's nerves.

I know this all too well. Living in a subrural area we are about the last ones to get power back. Think it was 9 days in the hurricane a couple years ago.

 

[pandora]

This is the RGEM, a pretty good short-term model:

http://i.imgur.com/F6RyZXa.png

I think this is a decent accumulation map, a lot more realistic than the NAM. Still, using just 10:1 ratio, there is a chance totals go higher.

I really can't believe the entire DC/Baltimore is now only about 20 hours from a widespread 20" with a realistic chance for some areas to hit 30". People around here are talking about work on Monday and don't really understand what's about to happen. I say work on Wednesday, maybe. School? Maybe Friday? We'll see. Can't believe all the area districts closed today, since it won't snow (at least here) until after dark tomorrow. They're going to regret taking that day when they're still in school on June 23.

Fairfax and Loudoun counties have 13-15 snow days built in. Fairfax County already goes to June 23.

Loudoun cleverly bases their school year on hours instead of days. That way by lengthening the day by 15-30 minutes, they can build in the 15 days of potential closings. Last year we had 13 days off. We should have had 14, but the school choked on a storm on Jan 6, and the havoc caused the school system to go easy on cancelling school (not that they are normally strict)

FCPS does that now. Changed last year.

 

[Tom Servo]

Right now, a lot of snow on I-70 east of Frederick, MD.

 

[Mr. Ected]

Just heard a new one on CNN, Ocean-Effect Snow???

People in Cape Cod know all about this. It's not as common as Lake Effect, but that's only because on the East Coast, not many places have ocean to the west of their landmass.

Grew up south of Boston, not too far from the Cape, and for us the ocean tended to push us more towards mix because of the higher water temperatures.

 

[Mr. Ected]

Nothing here in Baltimore yet.

Shouldn't be long, just started in Tysons Corner in Va.

We started in Leesburg about 1:00 also, got about an inch so far.

Had a huge bit of luck the other day, my neighbor came over asking if I would be willing to shovel his driveway, since he was going in for hernia surgery and can't lift over 5 lbs. He offered his snow blower for me to use on his and my driveway. Twist my arm for me to do that!! I will probably have to do it 2 or 3 times because the little machine has a max of 8 inches or so. (insert joke here )

My kids will get their workouts when we have to do the ends of the driveways after the plows come by.

 

[Uruk-Hai]

Hit a bit of a slackening window here for a while, but now it seems the clouds have lowered and the flakes look faster & meaner. Not much more than 2" on the ground so far, but the wind seems to want to get ignorant now along with the heavier snow.

 

[Smack Tripper]

In Essex county, north jersey, the sky sure LOOKS like snow right now

And feels like it!

No flakes though!

 

[Cold Dead Hands]

Hit a bit of a slackening window here for a while, but now it seems the clouds have lowered and the flakes look faster & meaner. Not much more than 2" on the ground so far, but the wind seems to want to get ignorant now along with the heavier snow.

I seem to be about 45 minutes behind here. About 1.5 inches and no wind yet.

 

[Billy Bats]

New totals put posted

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/wrf-nmm/2016012212/wrf-nmm_asnow_neus_48.png

 

[QuizGuy66]

So New Jersey's former governor says he's coming home now in a flip-flop. Wonder if he'll be able to find his way from New Hampshire.

-QG

 

[Otis]

New totals put posted

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/wrf-nmm/2016012212/wrf-nmm_asnow_neus_48.png

now 3 feet on Long Island. This is so stupid.

 

[Uruk-Hai]

Hit a bit of a slackening window here for a while, but now it seems the clouds have lowered and the flakes look faster & meaner. Not much more than 2" on the ground so far, but the wind seems to want to get ignorant now along with the heavier snow.

I seem to be about 45 minutes behind here. About 1.5 inches and no wind yet.

Coming down hard now - I'm guessing visibility is maybe 1/8 mile and dropping. I gave it a run with the salt outside my doors, but I'm done using it for the time being. I threw about 20 lbs out there 30 minutes ago and it's already losing ground.

 

[STEADYMOBBIN 22]

I have three inches here. There is also about an inch of snow on the ground.

 

[Uwe Blab]

New totals put posted

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/wrf-nmm/2016012212/wrf-nmm_asnow_neus_48.png

now 3 feet on Long Island. This is so stupid.

Its the WRF model....just one model. Decent with lake-effect...that's about it.

 

[Sammy3469]

The NYC forecast was just bumped up to 10-18 from 7-12. Also pushed up the start of the storm to midnight from 4am.

 

[Billy Bats]

New totals put posted

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/wrf-nmm/2016012212/wrf-nmm_asnow_neus_48.png

now 3 feet on Long Island. This is so stupid.

Its the WRF model....just one model. Decent with lake-effect...that's about it.

You're ruining my fun!

Here's a realistic total for ya Oats:

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=278311

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

I have a Honda generator that's pretty new but it's been sitting idle since hurricane sandy. I've never had to use it, loaned it to a friend and it was never drained and prepped for storage. Old gas.

Any pro tips for getting this puppy started? (Aside from siphoning out the old stuff?)

 

[Amused to Death]

NWS bumped central Jersey (the land of unicorns and leprechauns) to 14" to 20" (up from 8" to 14").

And wind gusts to 55mph (up from 45, which was up from 40).

 

[Tom Servo]

Have the Wesboro Baptists mentioned this is all because of your sins?

Look where the storm impact is and who's president.- Jim11 or tommyboy

 

[dhockster]

I have a Honda generator that's pretty new but it's been sitting idle since hurricane sandy. I've never had to use it, loaned it to a friend and it was never drained and prepped for storage. Old gas.

Any pro tips for getting this puppy started? (Aside from siphoning out the old stuff?)

Just turn it on. It works on the Walking Dead.

 

[Smack Tripper]

I have a Honda generator that's pretty new but it's been sitting idle since hurricane sandy. I've never had to use it, loaned it to a friend and it was never drained and prepped for storage. Old gas.

Any pro tips for getting this puppy started? (Aside from siphoning out the old stuff?)

Probably too late but might try some Stabil in the gas tank (assuming gasoline and not diesel, not sure what to do then)

 

[Amused to Death]

#### gettin' real at the Jersey shore:

BARNEGAT, N.J. (WPVI) -- Officials in Barnegat, New Jersey have issued a mandatory evacuation for some residents ahead of a severe winter storm, expected to bring major coastal flooding.

As a result of weather reports, the Barnegat Office of Emergency Management and Barnegat Police Department have declared a local state of emergency and issued a mandatory evacuation.

The evacuation affects all residents between the Barnegat Municipal Bathing Beach and the East Bay Avenue Bridge.

Residents are to evacuate the area no later than 10 p.m. on Friday.

 

[El Floppo]

Some models saying 2 feet in my area. Others saying 4 inches. Accuweather saying 8-12.



Can I get an ***OFFICIAL*** Sheik prediction for Zip Codes around 11001?*

*Not my actual zip code

Are you afraid I'll come stalk you?

Looks like most models have NYC being anywhere from a 1 to 2 feet. But you are on the line, so again, high potential of a bust.

I know this is from way back around noon today, but I thought all the NYC news reports are saying 4-8"

 

[Otis]

New totals put posted

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/wrf-nmm/2016012212/wrf-nmm_asnow_neus_48.png

now 3 feet on Long Island. This is so stupid.

Its the WRF model....just one model. Decent with lake-effect...that's about it.

You're ruining my fun!

Here's a realistic total for ya Oats:

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=278311

12-18 ain't bad ... I'll take it.

 

[grateful zed]

i wish we could get some reports from people who are actually in this monster.

 

[James Daulton]

It's now snowing in Baltimore.

 

[Kanil]

New totals put posted

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/wrf-nmm/2016012212/wrf-nmm_asnow_neus_48.png

now 3 feet on Long Island. This is so stupid.

Its the WRF model....just one model. Decent with lake-effect...that's about it.

You're ruining my fun!

Here's a realistic total for ya Oats:

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=278311

12-18 ain't bad ... I'll take it.

Adding to the notebook that Otis can take 18".

 

[dgreen]

Plow already hitting my neighborhood. That's good to see. Hopefully they do another pass during the night and a couple times tomorrow.

 

[Mopap]

So New Jersey's former governor says he's coming home now in a flip-flop. Wonder if he'll be able to find his way from New Hampshire.

-QG

Probably has to cross the GWB.

 

[sho nuff]

7"on my back deck.

Two shifts out on the hill across the street. Ramo built and hopefully nobody kills it the rest of today and it will be frozen and sturdy tomorrow.

Kids had ng a blast.

Don't get snow like this often in Nashville

 

[grateful zed]

:shudder: god bless you all.

 

[tom22406]

Snowing really hard now and we have around 4 inches or so with the wind starting to pick up as well.

Be safe everyone in the target zone!

 

[grateful zed]

maybe the terrorist have finally discovered weather control.