What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Stock Thread (17 Viewers)

Thanks for the BNKU recommendation - in and out for a 10% gain the last couple of days

:thumbup:
BKNU is doing it again.  Dropping 5% in a day.  It's that trigger that usually gets me to start dipping in for more but I have enough of it to keep me happy right now.  Not sure you'll get as quick of a 10% gain this time, but it's trending in that direction.  

 
I want some individual weed company exposure. I know TLRY and SNDL are meme darlings, but I went with GRWG after about 30 minutes of research. They seem to have good infrastructure to ramp up production when additional states come on board. Are there others I should look at for small positions? 

 
$7k could also get you some good booze, an 8ball and a enough girls to play train for an hour.     

err...  maybe just booze, cut coke and dirty ladies.  but would still be fun. 

I might have dumped it all on BNKU this morning when it was down almost 6%.  

 
Last edited by a moderator:
$7k could also get you some good booze, an 8ball and a enough girls to play train for an hour.     

err...  maybe just booze, cut coke and dirty ladies.  but would still be fun. 

I might have dumped it all on BNKU this morning when it was down almost 6%.  
Dang....

Missed that one..

 
I want some individual weed company exposure. I know TLRY and SNDL are meme darlings, but I went with GRWG after about 30 minutes of research. They seem to have good infrastructure to ramp up production when additional states come on board. Are there others I should look at for small positions? 
Big fan of Cresco Labs Inc. (CRLBF) here in IL. I have no idea if the stock is any good, but I like their product. They are in every dispensary around here, and I think have their own branded dispensaries too. I wanted to buy a chunk around $5 a while back but it's OTC and I'm not on any platform that will allow trading it.

 
@McBokonon GLBE doing well but damn it’s really expensive now. Something like 60-70 times sales and that’s not including 25M warrants/options (half Shopify and half employees). Those warrants/options are likely all in the money now and put the “real” market cap over $10B or close to 90 times sales. That’s rich.

 
@McBokonon GLBE doing well but damn it’s really expensive now. Something like 60-70 times sales and that’s not including 25M warrants/options (half Shopify and half employees). Those warrants/options are likely all in the money now and put the “real” market cap over $10B or close to 90 times sales. That’s rich.
Yep. Glad I bought when I did. I have a cost basis around $32 and actually sold 1/3 now and keeping the rest.

It DID pull back from its highs around 20% but it roared right back. Earnings are 08/03, maybe they'll sell the news. I'm adding at that point either way unless they report something horrific.

 
Lol. I did buy 6 shares (should have bought more) of that last March at $325. That said when it was at $1000, I was pretty shocked to see that it was not quite $2B in sales for $120B market cap.

I may dump my SHOP and wait for 8/3 and put it in GLBE. SHOP at almost $200B makes me as nervous as Tesla at $8-900B. Amazon has done highly profitable businesses in addition to e-commerce and it’s P/S is around 4, not 60.

 
$GLBE just keeps on trucking. The only thing that can prevent a violent pullback, IMO, is if they report a dramatic increase in clients based on their Shopify partnership. Basically, if a lot of sellers activated the GLBE option and began selling internationally. Even if it’s early and the valuation isn’t impacted yet you at least might be able to project that growth.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I want some individual weed company exposure. I know TLRY and SNDL are meme darlings, but I went with GRWG after about 30 minutes of research. They seem to have good infrastructure to ramp up production when additional states come on board. Are there others I should look at for small positions? 
Not exactly off to a blazing start with GRWG. Buy the dip?

 
Have we officially reached the "dump FLGT all the way up to earnings because nobody needs COVID tests anymore, and we're afraid what they report will make them a $1B company with $1B in cash" part of the show?

 
Have we officially reached the "dump FLGT all the way up to earnings because nobody needs COVID tests anymore, and we're afraid what they report will make them a $1B company with $1B in cash" part of the show?
This is not a dying business

Before the COVID-19 testing opportunity came along, Fulgent's core business was a small but fast-growing next generation sequencing (NGS) genetic testing service primarily focused on pediatric rare diseases.

That segment is still expanding fast. In the first quarter ended March 31, NGS volume grew 185% year over year from 13,000 to 38,000 tests, while corresponding revenue grew 115% to $16.7 million. Management is projecting NGS revenue of over $100 million in 2021, representing 170% year-over-year growth.

Fulgent has an efficient technology and operating platform generating gross margins of about 80% and operating margins above 70%. As a result, liquidity is a real bright spot for Fulgent. At the end of Q1, it reported $697 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities. Management expects to close the year with more than $1 billion in short-term liquidity, excluding any merger- and acquisition-related activity.

The encouraging growth in the core business is understandably offset by a rapid reduction in COVID-19 testing revenue. Unless there is a flare-up of infections from virus variants, COVID-19 testing revenue will continue to fall dramatically. Management is projecting $418 million in COVID-19 testing revenue for the remainder of the year, compared with $312 million in Q1 alone.

This precipitous revenue falloff is an operational challenge, but Fulgent has an experienced management team that over the past year has proven to be strong operators in building and scaling the business.

 
I'm a fan. I'm not dumping mine, and I'm still looking for opportunities to write puts when it makes sense. Though I'm also fortunate to be free-rolling what I have left. This just feels awfully similar to the lead-in to last quarter's earnings. I won't be surprised if it leaks off a little weekly until they report.

 
I'm a fan. I'm not dumping mine, and I'm still looking for opportunities to write puts when it makes sense. Though I'm also fortunate to be free-rolling what I have left. This just feels awfully similar to the lead-in to last quarter's earnings. I won't be surprised if it leaks off a little weekly until they report.
I’m definitely looking to add. The bottom since the huge run up was 65-67 in mid May. If it gets below 70, I’m not going to hold up. Got a couple weeks so we’ll see.

 
$GLBE just keeps on trucking. The only thing that can prevent a violent pullback, IMO, is if they report a dramatic increase in clients based on their Shopify partnership. Basically, if a lot of sellers activated the GLBE option and began selling internationally. Even if it’s early and the valuation isn’t impacted yet you at least might be able to project that growth.
20% swing downward from this post as small cap high valuation growth getting hammered across the board. $COST, $MSFT, and…$NNOX in the green (decided to buy back in, small allocation, waiting it out now.) Plus I have a 2018 Camry which is now worth $345,432.

 
I'm a fan. I'm not dumping mine, and I'm still looking for opportunities to write puts when it makes sense. Though I'm also fortunate to be free-rolling what I have left. This just feels awfully similar to the lead-in to last quarter's earnings. I won't be surprised if it leaks off a little weekly until they report.
I’m not quite freerolling but I sold tranches at $160 and in the $130’s and my existing cost basis is low. I’m not going anywhere. I’ll add but I’m waiting for earnings to add to anything now.

 
20% swing downward from this post as small cap high valuation growth getting hammered across the board. $COST, $MSFT, and…$NNOX in the green (decided to buy back in, small allocation, waiting it out now.) Plus I have a 2018 Camry which is now worth $345,432.
Damn that was a violent drop. What happened? Not a great day for me but started to make some changes to simplify the portfolio.

 
I’m not quite freerolling but I sold tranches at $160 and in the $130’s and my existing cost basis is low. I’m not going anywhere. I’ll add but I’m waiting for earnings to add to anything now.
I think around $69 I'd have a really hard time not DCAing up. That would be a market cap of about 2x expected EOY cash. And core business growth >>>>100%. They may not be the only company in that situation, but I'd bet the list meeting that criteria is really ####ing short.

 
Added FLGT after selling off IPODU. Not much, just 50 but I’d rather own something I like long term than a SPAC.
I just think there's more downside to come. Psychological more than rational. "But they're not going to be testing for COVID forever!!!"

I'm holding HAAC until I see the angels and the locusts carry away my shares.

 
I don't even know what my day actually looks like. I'm getting a little annoyed by Fidelity's "Last Price" of options reflecting Bid rather than actual last price. I've "lost" the same $3k on my HAAC calls every day for the last 2 weeks.

 
I think around $69 I'd have a really hard time not DCAing up. That would be a market cap of about 2x expected EOY cash. And core business growth >>>>100%. They may not be the only company in that situation, but I'd bet the list meeting that criteria is really ####ing short.
I hear ya. It’s a pretty big position for me already, top half anyway, so I’m ok missing a tick or two up.

 
I just think there's more downside to come. Psychological more than rational. "But they're not going to be testing for COVID forever!!!"

I'm holding HAAC until I see the angels and the locusts carry away my shares.
I got tired of the SPACs. Did well over all but I think that run is over and if any good companies go SPAC there will be plenty of time to own them.

There could be more downside but this was just a swap from one position to another so not really worried about the price. If it dips to the 60s, I’ll keep adding. I think my next move may be to swap my handful of BAND to make my NET position larger. Maybe add a little more UPST too. Trying to shave off a few stocks to make it a bit easier to manage and watch.

 
beef said:
Added more NRGU at close.  Anytime it drops 10% in a day, you can usually turn it into a real quick 10%+ profit.  
RE: NRGU 

Maybe the real quick may take some days/weeks, but I'm buying more.  Last couple of times it went below the 50 day MA and RSI 30 it produced some real nice gains.  

Worked out well for me in the past 9-10 months and I'll continue to play it like this until it doesn't.  

 
RE: NRGU 

Maybe the real quick may take some days/weeks, but I'm buying more.  Last couple of times it went below the 50 day MA and RSI 30 it produced some real nice gains.  

Worked out well for me in the past 9-10 months and I'll continue to play it like this until it doesn't.  
Joining you here for a small position.

 
Sold my AAPL to free up funds.  I'll be back.

Purchased a boatload of RIOT
Theoretically: The miners in China closing up shop/relocating + the drop in hash rate due to those miners going offline should lead RIOT and MARA to significantly increased profitability.

The problem is that they're still much more tied to BTC spot than fundamentals, so it's hard to bank on that driving much in the way of price action. I mean, it can't hurt. But you're still likely stuck waiting for a pop in BTC.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Sold my AAPL to free up funds.  I'll be back.

Purchased a boatload of RIOT and Doubled my BLDP position.
In for 300 RIOT. Thanks for the heads up GB. 

Disagree with selling AAPL although now is probably a good time. I hate myself for selling shares in the past.  I still have 200 "free" shares but would have over 3000.  :(

and a mansion and a yacht

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top