GoBirds
Footballguy
You like jumping in here or wait and watch?Tech Sale today.
Why did my company 401K match have to go in Friday and not today? LORD!!!! LOL.
You like jumping in here or wait and watch?Tech Sale today.
Why did my company 401K match have to go in Friday and not today? LORD!!!! LOL.
1,015% is good, right?CEG is just a freight train. Got in way later than a lot of you in this thread and still up big time. Yowsa
Believe me, there is a lot more overextended stuff out there. Hopefully, earnings will calm the jitter down but there’s definitely a lot of froth available to take off.1,015% is good, right?CEG is just a freight train. Got in way later than a lot of you in this thread and still up big time. Yowsa
The market gods did not appreciate our hubris.
I noticed that, too.Apparently people are no longer going to require tin.
Nibbling and taking 1-2% positions in some great names.You like jumping in here or wait and watch?Tech Sale today.
Why did my company 401K match have to go in Friday and not today? LORD!!!! LOL.
I mean it is at Labor Day prices I guess, took a nibble too.Tiny nibble on NVDA. I find it's better to buy a little something on these days as a reminder that these are good days, not bad days.
The first time NVDA has been below its 200 day moving average since January '23.I mean it is at Labor Day prices I guess, took a nibble too.Tiny nibble on NVDA. I find it's better to buy a little something on these days as a reminder that these are good days, not bad days.
That's normal.Oof. Nvidia shed 600 billion today. That was their entire market cap two years ago.
But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.
Or, Jevons Paradox. Which like most people I’d never heard of until today.But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.
I'll play and gamble on some NVDL here.
I just DeepSeeked thatOr, Jevons Paradox. Which like most people I’d never heard of until today.But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.
Lol yea that’s a big deal out of nowhere.But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.
Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
Yea...thanks to all the attention I'm trying to do some specific work projects in deepseek today and keep getting "server is busy" and nothing back. Thanks Obama!!I just DeepSeeked thatOr, Jevons Paradox. Which like most people I’d never heard of until today.But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.![]()
I had seen in my search you were working with this thing earlier and were left impressed.Yea...thanks to all the attention I'm trying to do some specific work projects in deepseek today and keep getting "server is busy" and nothing back. Thanks Obama!!I just DeepSeeked thatOr, Jevons Paradox. Which like most people I’d never heard of until today.But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.![]()
I’m banking on this being way overhyped…as an investor very nervous. I’m not well position for thisLol yea that’s a big deal out of nowhere.But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.
There's a reason David Tepper keeps a pair of iron-clad bulls' testicles hanging in his office. This game takes some cajones.I'll play and gamble on some NVDL here.
I went full degenerate and bought a few NVDL calls before market close yesterday. I can’t see any way I hang onto them beyond today.
ETA out for a small gain about 5 minutes in. Might try again today or tomorrow when things settle a bit.
Good call on this one. I got some a few cents above 143 by tailing you.JNJ on sale this morning, trading below $143 per share. Soft outlook for 2025 is depressing the price. Pays a nice dividend, near its 52-week low. I'm in.
…sameI’m banking on this being way overhyped…as an investor very nervous. I’m not well position for thisLol yea that’s a big deal out of nowhere.But the guy’s point in the posted Twitter thread wasn’t that Nvidia isn’t still top of the heap, it’s that there will be significant less need for their product which was driving their ridiculous growth.Yea idk. I’ve always read nvda is the clear leader here and nobody is even in the same universe as them and then this morning china all of a sudden has a very real competitor out of nowhere? Weird.Twitter thread from a fintwit guy with a Deepseek 101: https://x.com/morganb/status/1883686162709295541?s=46
I’m definitely not an expert but seems like a good summary of why the blood in the streets. The question I have (and others did in the comments) is what happens when the big boys with deep pockets apply these innovations to their own stuff. One answer is capex could be reduced or redirected to lower cost items. Seems like a bad thing for NVDA and data center types but maybe good for those who use AI to drive efficiency? For example, GOOGL and AMZN aren’t getting clobbered like NVDA and ANET right now (still down.) AMD also not down as much - maybe they’re more of a player if companies realize they don’t need to pay filet mignon prices?
Of course, this could all be nonsense and noise. It’s interesting, though.![]()
It's also timing out today a lot....so maybe it's not ready for primetime and maybe they need more servers and chips?Two things I think to note that could give hope if you're heavy into NVDA/AI.
1) Reading around a lot in AI groups, the consensus seems to be that DeepSeek is 75% as good at 10% of the cost. So bang for the buck, pretty good. But the question is are the big companies doing really complex stuff where the real money is made going to settle for 75% as good, even at a huge discount, if some of their competitors are paying for 100% and leaving them behind.
2) It's China, and all the things that come with that. Right now the news is all positive because it's new. Once things settle down a bit, I could easily see this part of the narrative start taking off. Are companies really going to let their products be driven by a backend that will almost certainly be majorly influenced by pro-China bias.
Taco Bell and Starbucks? I don’t drink coffee but are they planning to charge per bathroom visit to increase sales?So thoughts on Starbucks?
Now sure if it was Niccols idea to charge 35 cents for cream in my over priced $3.95 coffee but that was the nail in the coffin for me.
Might as well go for the trifecta and add Charmin to your portfolio.Taco Bell and Starbucks? I don’t drink coffee but are they planning to charge per bathroom visit to increase sales?So thoughts on Starbucks?
Now sure if it was Niccols idea to charge 35 cents for cream in my over priced $3.95 coffee but that was the nail in the coffin for me.
case and point:I take anything China says with a grain of salt....Not there yet for this and others (CEG) but not sure this is as big a deal as the market seems to. See how it shakes out.I’ll be buying NVDA this morning.
Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
The company deepseek has spent over 500 million on nvidia chips previously for AI training.
However, whether the cost is 5 million or greater, they released their code as open source. This is just as big of news.
Really? I haven't seen that reported.Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
The company deepseek has spent over 500 million on nvidia chips previously for AI training.
However, whether the cost is 5 million or greater, they released their code as open source. This is just as big of news.
My understanding is that open source is a misnomer here. It's open model, so they share the process, but the actual code itself is not available (true open source). The two terms do run together a bit when people talk about it, but I think the difference is relevant here as there's no direct access to the code to know if there is intentional Chinese bias built-in or if the Chinese government has a backdoor to any of the data/operations.
Really? I haven't seen that reported.Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
The company deepseek has spent over 500 million on nvidia chips previously for AI training.
However, whether the cost is 5 million or greater, they released their code as open source. This is just as big of news.
My understanding is that open source is a misnomer here. It's open model, so they share the process, but the actual code itself is not available (true open source). The two terms do run together a bit when people talk about it, but I think the difference is relevant here as there's no direct access to the code to know if there is intentional Chinese bias built-in or if the Chinese government has a backdoor to any of the data/operations.
Really? I haven't seen that reported.Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
The company deepseek has spent over 500 million on nvidia chips previously for AI training.
However, whether the cost is 5 million or greater, they released their code as open source. This is just as big of news.
My understanding is that open source is a misnomer here. It's open model, so they share the process, but the actual code itself is not available (true open source). The two terms do run together a bit when people talk about it, but I think the difference is relevant here as there's no direct access to the code to know if there is intentional Chinese bias built-in or if the Chinese government has a backdoor to any of the data/operations.
I honestly could be misunderstanding it. It's a bit over my head.
Here are a couple of good reddit threads on it from geeks that are smarter than me.
Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
What is the importance of the MIT license? Is it like a certification that the code is truly open source and replicable?Really? I haven't seen that reported.Strikes me that the media is being a little too credulous on the origins of DeepSeek. I highly doubt it is truly some $5mm side project.
The company deepseek has spent over 500 million on nvidia chips previously for AI training.
However, whether the cost is 5 million or greater, they released their code as open source. This is just as big of news.
My understanding is that open source is a misnomer here. It's open model, so they share the process, but the actual code itself is not available (true open source). The two terms do run together a bit when people talk about it, but I think the difference is relevant here as there's no direct access to the code to know if there is intentional Chinese bias built-in or if the Chinese government has a backdoor to any of the data/operations.
I honestly could be misunderstanding it. It's a bit over my head.
Here are a couple of good reddit threads on it from geeks that are smarter than me.
I work in software, and I may have misused the "open source", but frequently anything that falls under the MIT license is called open source by my coworkers. Pretty much if it falls under MIT license we are free to include it in our own software products that we develop.
There is probably a more technical "open source" definition which also means they release source code so anyone can make their edits, but that is generally not what my coworkers refer to when they use open source.
Sorry, I probably use that term wrong and it was not what i meant.
What is the importance of the MIT license? Is it like a certification that the code is truly open source and replicable?
Starbucks’ same-store sales in China, its second-largest market, fell 6%, fueled by a 4% decline in average ticket. The coffee giant has been leaning into discounts in China to compete with rivals that have much lower prices, such as Luckin Coffee.
Is that the same book cookin' Luckin that bent investors over and gave them a *uckin?
Starbucks’ same-store sales in China, its second-largest market, fell 6%, fueled by a 4% decline in average ticket. The coffee giant has been leaning into discounts in China to compete with rivals that have much lower prices, such as Luckin Coffee.
Is that the same book cookin' Luckin that bent investors over and gave them a *uckin?
Indeed it is. “Cleaned house” and emerged from bankruptcy a few years ago after investors got nothing. I wasn’t in this one but was in some other chinese companies that also cooked their books, never again!
Starbucks’ same-store sales in China, its second-largest market, fell 6%, fueled by a 4% decline in average ticket. The coffee giant has been leaning into discounts in China to compete with rivals that have much lower prices, such as Luckin Coffee.
Is that the same book cookin' Luckin that bent investors over and gave them a *uckin?
Indeed it is. “Cleaned house” and emerged from bankruptcy a few years ago after investors got nothing. I wasn’t in this one but was in some other chinese companies that also cooked their books, never again!
And now NVDA is almost 20% off its ATH due to one of those same Chinese companies that may be lying their arse off.
I actually made decent money on Luckin on the bounce in the junior market.Starbucks’ same-store sales in China, its second-largest market, fell 6%, fueled by a 4% decline in average ticket. The coffee giant has been leaning into discounts in China to compete with rivals that have much lower prices, such as Luckin Coffee.
Is that the same book cookin' Luckin that bent investors over and gave them a *uckin?
Indeed it is. “Cleaned house” and emerged from bankruptcy a few years ago after investors got nothing. I wasn’t in this one but was in some other chinese companies that also cooked their books, never again!