Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
This whole thread is becoming too much to bear.I'm the polar opposite - very proud of you.Grizzly beariffs!
Very disappointed in myself
This whole thread is becoming too much to bear.I'm the polar opposite - very proud of you.Grizzly beariffs!
Very disappointed in myself
This whole thread is becoming too much to bear.I'm the polar opposite - very proud of you.Grizzly beariffs!
Very disappointed in myself
That's healthier than dipping some Kodiak..........eats bush and leaves.
or eating a gummyThat's healthier than dipping some Kodiak..........eats bush and leaves.
That's bad Carmyor eating a gummyThat's healthier than dipping some Kodiak..........eats bush and leaves.
These two post win the last 10 pagesI'm the polar opposite - very proud of you.Grizzly beariffs!
Very disappointed in myself
I don't CareThat's bad Carmyor eating a gummyThat's healthier than dipping some Kodiak..........eats bush and leaves.
tsla still even steven. hopefully a nothing burger. I need it to go down from 250Like a lot of other news recently, this is going to cause an increase on auto stocks when people don't really understand what exactly is happening. There's still going to be 25% tariffs on imported autos and 25% imported auto parts. So is this better than before? Yes. Is it ultimately that helpful to the auto industry? I think 25% is enough to stifle a large part of that market.So maybe rolling back tariffs on auto companies now it looks like.
Maybe the plan to save face here is to roll back tariffs on each industry one by one until eventually there are none left.
To me, this seems like the "pause." Market will move on the headline, and then people will see that "oh, a 10% blanket tariff worldwide is still bad." I think that kind of happened today also regarding relaxing hostilities with China.
April 23 (Reuters) - Chip-making equipment supplier Lam Research (LRCX.O), opens new tab beat Wall Street expectations for third-quarter revenue on Wednesday, fueled by robust demand for advanced AI chips, sending the company's shares up 4.5% in extended trading.
The increased appetite for high-performance AI chips and processors — essential for powering AI workloads — is prompting major chip manufacturers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (2330.TW), opens new tab, one of Lam's biggest customers, to ramp up orders. This surge is benefiting equipment suppliers such as Lam as well.
So, what does that tell you?
I dragged the average down - I bought a bit near the bottom and sold nothing (or at least the temporary bottom).So, what does that tell you?
Retail maybe isn't as dumb as everyone thought.
So, what does that tell you?
I was a lot more concerned about the plowing into mag7 until I saw the PE ratios coming down. Sure they aren't at utility levels, but they are below Cava, Chipolte, and Walmart. Actually Duke Power is at 21 PE so they are approaching utility levels.We've read the articles on zh that asset inflation is a thing. It's bothered me that retail and the world basically consolidated their money into 6-7 stocks. 401k etfs went the same way.
Maybe retail just drove the volatility because they just plow into mag7 and tarrifs were the gasoline to that fire. When mag unwound alot of broad market stuff went with it as retail sold mostly etf holdings in retirement accts.
Forward PE’sSo, what does that tell you?
I was a lot more concerned about the plowing into mag7 until I saw the PE ratios coming down. Sure they aren't at utility levels, but they are below Cava, Chipolte, and Walmart. Actually Duke Power is at 21 PE so they are approaching utility levels.We've read the articles on zh that asset inflation is a thing. It's bothered me that retail and the world basically consolidated their money into 6-7 stocks. 401k etfs went the same way.
Maybe retail just drove the volatility because they just plow into mag7 and tarrifs were the gasoline to that fire. When mag unwound alot of broad market stuff went with it as retail sold mostly etf holdings in retirement accts.
Rippy rippy today.This is a good company with a strong balance sheet and a great valuation down here.@Todem what do you think of $URI at these levels?
I like it.
Forward PE’sSo, what does that tell you?
I was a lot more concerned about the plowing into mag7 until I saw the PE ratios coming down. Sure they aren't at utility levels, but they are below Cava, Chipolte, and Walmart. Actually Duke Power is at 21 PE so they are approaching utility levels.We've read the articles on zh that asset inflation is a thing. It's bothered me that retail and the world basically consolidated their money into 6-7 stocks. 401k etfs went the same way.
Maybe retail just drove the volatility because they just plow into mag7 and tarrifs were the gasoline to that fire. When mag unwound alot of broad market stuff went with it as retail sold mostly etf holdings in retirement accts.
AMZN 29 (never been this low)
AAPL 28 (not a cheap stock and revenue growth has stalled my least favorite of the Mag 6)
META 21 (screaming buy)
GOOGL 18 (screaming buy)
MSFT 27 (not screaming but I still love it for the AI growth which is not even being expressed yet)
NVDA 23 (insane buy)
These stocks should have been piled into and overweighted again on Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th
But that’s just my opinion…..they were fire sold back then.
I wanna diversify with you, cowboy.Here is a perfect example of asset allocation.
My high yield income model which is 55% equity 31% Fixed Income 11.5% Alts and 3% cash
Gross return YTD 4.15% with a portfolio yield of 6.20%
Stocks held in this portfolio;
AAPL
AEP
AMZN
DE
DOW
EXC
GLPI
GOOGL
KO
META
MO
NVDA
O
PEP
PG
PM
T
VZ
ETF’s
BXMX
GCV
JEPI
PFXF
PHX
The rest is institutional share class bond mutual funds.
This is my sleep at night income in retirement portfolio for non tax sensitive people. Tax sensitive will have munis in place of corporates.
Asset allocation is alive and well in this market we are currently in. Even holding some Mag 6 stocks to boot.
Sector weightings
20% consumer defensive
3% healthcare
17.5% Utilities
22% Communication Services
4% Energy
6 % Industrials
8% Technology
2.4% Basic Materials
3.5% Consumer Cyclical
4.5% Financial Services
10% Real Estate
Bond quality
46% invesment grade short 5-9 years
13% investment grade Intermediate (7-10 years)
33% high yield short
7% high yield long (over 10 years)
No ultra short except the 3% cash
Been running this model for 20 plus years and yes some stocks and funds have changed over two decades but the strategy and investment policy and risk management has never waivered.
High current income with a small bit of growth and short to medium duration on all fixed income and preservation of capital In high stress event driven downturns.
The standard deviation on this high income portfolio over 5 years is 10.5 vs 17 on the S&P 500
Over 10 years 10 vs 15.38 on the S&P 500
Alpha over the last year is an astounding 7.5% (return assuming a zero return market)
The boring income portfolio has been a rock star this year.
The last 10 years this is a snoozer
Simply paying reliable, steady income in retirement with just enough growth to stay out in front of inflation over the long term.
Harvesting is just as important as growing. Both sides need to be asset allocated properly so you can basically sleep at night and ignore the “headlines”.
Here is a perfect example of asset allocation.
My high yield income model which is 55% equity 31% Fixed Income 11.5% Alts and 3% cash
Gross return YTD 4.15% with a portfolio yield of 6.20%
Stocks held in this portfolio;
AAPL
AEP
AMZN
DE
DOW
EXC
GLPI
GOOGL
KO
META
MO
NVDA
O
PEP
PG
PM
T
VZ
ETF’s
BXMX
GCV
JEPI
PFXF
PHX
The rest is institutional share class bond mutual funds.
This is my sleep at night income in retirement portfolio for non tax sensitive people. Tax sensitive will have munis in place of corporates.
Asset allocation is alive and well in this market we are currently in. Even holding some Mag 6 stocks to boot.
Sector weightings
20% consumer defensive
3% healthcare
17.5% Utilities
22% Communication Services
4% Energy
6 % Industrials
8% Technology
2.4% Basic Materials
3.5% Consumer Cyclical
4.5% Financial Services
10% Real Estate
Bond quality
46% invesment grade short 5-9 years
13% investment grade Intermediate (7-10 years)
33% high yield short
7% high yield long (over 10 years)
No ultra short except the 3% cash
Been running this model for 20 plus years and yes some stocks and funds have changed over two decades but the strategy and investment policy and risk management has never waivered.
High current income with a small bit of growth and short to medium duration on all fixed income and preservation of capital In high stress event driven downturns.
The standard deviation on this high income portfolio over 5 years is 10.5 vs 17 on the S&P 500
Over 10 years 10 vs 15.38 on the S&P 500
Alpha over the last year is an astounding 7.5% (return assuming a zero return market)
The boring income portfolio has been a rock star this year.
The last 10 years this is a snoozer
Simply paying reliable, steady income in retirement with just enough growth to stay out in front of inflation over the long term.
Harvesting is just as important as growing. Both sides need to be asset allocated properly so you can basically sleep at night and ignore the “headlines”.
Well I use a few high yield bond funds inHere is a perfect example of asset allocation.
My high yield income model which is 55% equity 31% Fixed Income 11.5% Alts and 3% cash
Gross return YTD 4.15% with a portfolio yield of 6.20%
Stocks held in this portfolio;
AAPL
AEP
AMZN
DE
DOW
EXC
GLPI
GOOGL
KO
META
MO
NVDA
O
PEP
PG
PM
T
VZ
ETF’s
BXMX
GCV
JEPI
PFXF
PHX
The rest is institutional share class bond mutual funds.
This is my sleep at night income in retirement portfolio for non tax sensitive people. Tax sensitive will have munis in place of corporates.
Asset allocation is alive and well in this market we are currently in. Even holding some Mag 6 stocks to boot.
Sector weightings
20% consumer defensive
3% healthcare
17.5% Utilities
22% Communication Services
4% Energy
6 % Industrials
8% Technology
2.4% Basic Materials
3.5% Consumer Cyclical
4.5% Financial Services
10% Real Estate
Bond quality
46% invesment grade short 5-9 years
13% investment grade Intermediate (7-10 years)
33% high yield short
7% high yield long (over 10 years)
No ultra short except the 3% cash
Been running this model for 20 plus years and yes some stocks and funds have changed over two decades but the strategy and investment policy and risk management has never waivered.
High current income with a small bit of growth and short to medium duration on all fixed income and preservation of capital In high stress event driven downturns.
The standard deviation on this high income portfolio over 5 years is 10.5 vs 17 on the S&P 500
Over 10 years 10 vs 15.38 on the S&P 500
Alpha over the last year is an astounding 7.5% (return assuming a zero return market)
The boring income portfolio has been a rock star this year.
The last 10 years this is a snoozer
Simply paying reliable, steady income in retirement with just enough growth to stay out in front of inflation over the long term.
Harvesting is just as important as growing. Both sides need to be asset allocated properly so you can basically sleep at night and ignore the “headlines”.
Interesting - my stuff is right at 70/30 (I don't rebalance, so it was a little stock rich early in the year and a bit bond rich now). 1 year alpha 3.5%. 2 year alpha -1%. But that -1% is still +31%, so no complaints (with contributions +44%, so really no complaints there!). I don't have a good beta on my account vs the S&P, but I'd imagine its a bit more than your 10, though for sure under the index.
I'm letting cash pile up for now to try and drive to 60/40, at least. On the bond side I'd love to hear more about the 40% of high yield (long and short) you hold. I hold some JAAA and FSCO, but in smaller percentages than what you have in your bond side portfolio.
Are you considering retirement soon?Here is a perfect example of asset allocation.
My high yield income model which is 55% equity 31% Fixed Income 11.5% Alts and 3% cash
Gross return YTD 4.15% with a portfolio yield of 6.20%
Stocks held in this portfolio;
AAPL
AEP
AMZN
DE
DOW
EXC
GLPI
GOOGL
KO
META
MO
NVDA
O
PEP
PG
PM
T
VZ
ETF’s
BXMX
GCV
JEPI
PFXF
PHX
The rest is institutional share class bond mutual funds.
This is my sleep at night income in retirement portfolio for non tax sensitive people. Tax sensitive will have munis in place of corporates.
Asset allocation is alive and well in this market we are currently in. Even holding some Mag 6 stocks to boot.
Sector weightings
20% consumer defensive
3% healthcare
17.5% Utilities
22% Communication Services
4% Energy
6 % Industrials
8% Technology
2.4% Basic Materials
3.5% Consumer Cyclical
4.5% Financial Services
10% Real Estate
Bond quality
46% invesment grade short 5-9 years
13% investment grade Intermediate (7-10 years)
33% high yield short
7% high yield long (over 10 years)
No ultra short except the 3% cash
Been running this model for 20 plus years and yes some stocks and funds have changed over two decades but the strategy and investment policy and risk management has never waivered.
High current income with a small bit of growth and short to medium duration on all fixed income and preservation of capital In high stress event driven downturns.
The standard deviation on this high income portfolio over 5 years is 10.5 vs 17 on the S&P 500
Over 10 years 10 vs 15.38 on the S&P 500
Alpha over the last year is an astounding 7.5% (return assuming a zero return market)
The boring income portfolio has been a rock star this year.
The last 10 years this is a snoozer
Simply paying reliable, steady income in retirement with just enough growth to stay out in front of inflation over the long term.
Harvesting is just as important as growing. Both sides need to be asset allocated properly so you can basically sleep at night and ignore the “headlines”.
Interesting - my stuff is right at 70/30 (I don't rebalance, so it was a little stock rich early in the year and a bit bond rich now). 1 year alpha 3.5%. 2 year alpha -1%. But that -1% is still +31%, so no complaints (with contributions +44%, so really no complaints there!). I don't have a good beta on my account vs the S&P, but I'd imagine its a bit more than your 10, though for sure under the index.
I'm letting cash pile up for now to try and drive to 60/40, at least. On the bond side I'd love to hear more about the 40% of high yield (long and short) you hold. I hold some JAAA and FSCO, but in smaller percentages than what you have in your bond side portfolio.
I've been considering for a while.Are you considering retirement soon?

Price to sales still like 419x?For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
Don't be ridiculous.Price to sales still like 419x?For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
I'm taking advantage of the last few green days to pull back the cash I had put back to work in my 401K. So now back to 100% cash from 80%. I'll take the 4% and wait for the effects of the whipsaw changes to show up in the economic data - I think a better entry point is ahead, IMO. Good luck to all.![]()
:re-open loop: Intel is still terrible :re-closes loop:Closing this loop, Intel cut their dividend this morning by 66%.My linkSometimes companies that used to be good stop being good, permanently. I’m not sure that’s Intel, but I’m not willing to bet it isn’t.Intel very, very low and with a ~5.7% dividend. Seems like a no brainer?
I know. These technical guys swear by this stuff and we even have some of them on the board here.Price to sales still like 419x?For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
Pretty ballsy move swinging for the fences like this. The only guys who call the bottom right are the guys who put out a new youtube video every day.I'm taking advantage of the last few green days to pull back the cash I had put back to work in my 401K. So now back to 100% cash from 80%. I'll take the 4% and wait for the effects of the whipsaw changes to show up in the economic data - I think a better entry point is ahead, IMO. Good luck to all.![]()
Had 1000 shares bought at 10 and sold at 35. The only consolation to seeing that I could've had over a 10 bagger and sent both my kids to college on that profit is that I doubt my brain could ever rationalize me holding that long based on fundamentals. 3x sounded great at the time. Have to believe I would've gotten out sometime before the 100's. Never thought an equity with 2.5 billion shares could move like it does. It's almost GME crazy, albeit with an actual viable growing business. Haunted by PLTR. The lesson I learned is that it's ok to take the initial investment out and let some things ride. Would've, should've, could've.For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
Well I got lucky. I had 100 shares at $12.11. Sold 70 between $100 and $140 as I recall. Only reason I didn't do what you did is that I didn't look at the market for three years starting a new business. I lost 47% in 2022 and gained 36% and 33% the next two. That 47% loss pretty much wiped out my 2020 double up.Had 1000 shares bought at 10 and sold at 35. The only consolation to seeing that I could've had over a 10 bagger and sent both my kids to college on that profit is that I doubt my brain could ever rationalize me holding that long based on fundamentals. 3x sounded great at the time. Have to believe I would've gotten out sometime before the 100's. Never thought an equity with 2.5 billion shares could move like it does. It's almost GME crazy, albeit with an actual viable growing business. Haunted by PLTR. The lesson I learned is that it's ok to take the initial investment out and let some things ride. Would've, should've, could've.For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
If you're going to bash people who use technical analysis to supplement their investment decisions, at least get the metrics correctI know. These technical guys swear by this stuff and we even have some of them on the board here.Price to sales still like 419x?For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
I'm not bashing anyone, considering trailing this. I was pointing out an opportunity that the technical guys may have missed since not many stocks show good technical metrics right now.If you're going to bash people who use technical analysis to supplement their investment decisions, at least get the metrics correctI know. These technical guys swear by this stuff and we even have some of them on the board here.Price to sales still like 419x?For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
PLTR has been trading above its 200 DMA for almost two years
World may not like us right now, but China isn't winning friends either...
South Korea’s data protection authority has concluded that Chinese artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek collected personal information from local users and transferred it overseas without their permission.
The authority, the Personal Information Protection Commission, released its written findings on Thursday in connection with a privacy and security review of DeepSeek.
It follows DeepSeek’s removal of its chatbot application from South Korean app stores in February at the recommendation of PICP. The agency said DeepSeek had committed to cooperate on its concerns.
During DeepSeek’s presence in South Korea, it transferred user data to several firms in China and the U.S. without obtaining the necessary consent from users or disclosing the practice, the PIPC said.
The agency highlighted a particular case in which DeepSeek transferred information from user-written AI prompts, as well as device, network, and app information, to a Chinese cloud service platform named Beijing Volcano Engine Technology Co.
While the PIPC identified Beijing Volcano Engine Technology Co. as “an affiliate” of TikTok-owner ByteDance, the information privacy watchdog noted in a statement that the cloud platform “is a separate legal entity and has no relation to ByteDance,” according to a Google translation.
According to PIPC, DeepSeek said it used Beijing Volcano Engine Technology’s services to improve the security and user experience of its app, but later blocked the transfer of AI prompt information from April 10.
watch now
VIDEO03:01
OpenAI calls for U.S. DeepSeek ban
DeepSeek and ByteDance did not immediately respond to inquiries from CNBC.
The Hangzhou-based AI startup took the world by storm in January when it unveiled its R1 reasoning model, rivaling the performance of Western competitors despite the company’s claims that it was trained for relatively low costs and with less advanced hardware.
However, the app’s rising popularity quickly triggered national security and data concerns outside China due to Beijing’s requirement for domestic firms to share data with the PRC. Cybersecurity experts have also flagged data vulnerabilities in the app and voiced concerns about the company’s privacy policy.
PIPC on Thursday said it had issued a corrective recommendation to DeepSeek, which includes requests to immediately destroy AI prompt information transferred to the Chinese company in question and to set up legal protocols for transferring personal information overseas.
When the data protection authority announced the removal of DeepSeek from local app stores, it signaled that the app would become available again once the company implemented the necessary updates to comply with local data protection policy.
That investigation followed reports that some South Korean government agencies had banned employees from using DeepSeek on work devices. Other global government departments, including in Taiwan, Australia, and the U.S., have reportedly instituted similar bans.
Shouldn't matter to you. Just buy the dipRock and rolling in the after hours.
I'm not bashing anyone, considering trailing this. I was pointing out an opportunity that the technical guys may have missed since not many stocks show good technical metrics right now.If you're going to bash people who use technical analysis to supplement their investment decisions, at least get the metrics correctI know. These technical guys swear by this stuff and we even have some of them on the board here.Price to sales still like 419x?For those into technical trading, Palantir has broke through 50 and 200 MA and recent resistance.
PLTR has been trading above its 200 DMA for almost two years
My post could have been clearer...I meant that it broke through all three of the Trinity at the same time; 50 day, 200 day, and trough. Also should have added that it was coming off a double bottom bounce. The only thing missing was a decent spike in volume on the upswing.
Since you're a technical guy, is this the time to buy with all the boxes checked except volume?