Stock Thread (14 Viewers)

[cosjobs]

Mancini - 2850 very important on the downside - on Tuesday we tested this zone 3x and this is the level that "cancels out" the recent breakout to new highs. If we test it again I'd expect a good bounce, but its likely the last that zone will offer with the next test breaking it down.

I didn't understand this first read and there's no way I'm reading Mancini twice

 

[lod001]

I didn't understand this first read and there's no way I'm reading Mancini twice

The way I read it is that we go down to 2850, he expects a bounce back up for the last time before going under it....if it does go under it. If it doesn't bounce he is going short. If it bounces and then goes under, he's going short.

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

I didn't understand this first read and there's no way I'm reading Mancini twice

Maybe if you post it twice, it will be easier to read

 

[lod001]

Russell 2k has just about given back all of yesterday's gains.

 

[cosjobs]

Stocks down, bonds up and if gold keeps heading up and S&P dips under 2850, we could see an avalanche.

They're a big part  of the leveraged positions held by TVIX.

I would never recommend a novice buy VIX, but if I did, it would be here. You have a good chance of losing, but I see it like buying a quinella ticked and getting a  a trifecta payout.

 

[cosjobs]

Russell 2k has just about given back all of yesterday's gains.

LIFO

 

[kevzilla]

Stocks down, bonds up and if gold keeps heading up and S&P dips under 2850, we could see an avalanche.

They're a big part  of the leveraged positions held by TVIX.

I would never recommend a novice buy VIX, but if I did, it would be here. You have a good chance of losing, but I see it like buying a quinella ticked and getting a  a trifecta payout.

Just barely up now, but holding

 

[-OZ-]

.

I would never recommend a novice buy VIX, but if I did, it would be here. You have a good chance of losing, but I see it like buying a quinella ticked and getting a  a trifecta payout.

I'm probably missing out on opportunities but among the things I don't buy - VIX, crypto, and gold. 

So all 3 are probably going to crush it.

 

[cosjobs]

Just barely up now, but holding

Its in the lead, on the rail with slow early fractions.

 

[kevzilla]

Its in the lead, on the rail with slow early fractions.

Yeah, you just know there's a big pop out there somewhere, and I'm prepared to wear a stupid hat and drink some bourbon when it happens.

 

[-OZ-]

English people!

 

[cosjobs]

Yeah, you just know there's a big pop out there somewhere, and I'm prepared to wear a stupid hat and drink some bourbon when it happens.

At the track I bet trifectas, in sports I bet parlays, in the casino I bet full odds on the hard numbers, and in the stock market (if I just want to gamble), I bet TVIX

 

[Don Hutson]

New interview with Nader and Bruce

https://www.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/918569/cytodyn-continues-to-report-strong-results-from-covid-19-patients-using-leronlimab-918569.html

 

[cosjobs]

New interview with Nader and Bruce

https://www.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/918569/cytodyn-continues-to-report-strong-results-from-covid-19-patients-using-leronlimab-918569.html

I'll be very interested in reading what they said.

Spoiler

I'm not spending 10 minutes listening to 

those guys

 

[pecorino]

Betting into earnings is extremely dangerous.  The market acts completely irrationally (i.e. my rant about BA the other day).

Further, there are massive bets already placed on earnings in the options market.  Those bets have already been placed and where if you want to take a stab you could.

To me, AMZN is really priced to perfection right now and if their numbers aren't blow out, well, could be trouble.  I own AMZN, I am not going to trade it here for sure.  Honestly, people think it's their shipping numbers that move the stock, but it's really AWS.  Major competition out there right now from Azure.  There are definitely better places to trade, imho.

Yep. On another but similar note, AAPL puts for Friday are very reasonably priced. After a bit of a run-up, and with who knows what kind of earnings report later today, it might be worth a roll of the dice to buy some Friday puts. As for AMZN, I sold 15% of my holdings heading into earnings, taking a bit of profit.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I don't think I will ever sell a share of AMZN.

 

[fruity pebbles]

What was the "no way it can happen" number for unemployment? 

We are around 20% right now. Probably drops from here but that normally would be quite stunning. But its not.

Believe it was the 24.9% of the Great Depression. 

 

[stbugs]

4:01 today is gonna be wild either way. I’m so excited. 

Right there with you. I’m sure AWS will take a hit (not real hit but less growth) like all cloud/software companies I’m sure will in Q2. This is Q1 numbers so not sure if they’ll have much of an impact. That’s the hard part, here, these earnings numbers are through March and most of Q1 wasn’t impacted. The forecast will be interesting.

It’ll be exciting, no idea what to expect.

 

[guru_007]

I don't think I will ever sell a share of AMZN.

I own AMZN, but I've sold about 30% of my stake.  I don't get the never sell a share theory.  Yes, it's a great company, but it's market cap is 1.2 trillion right now.  For it to double now, you'd be looking at a $5000 stock with a 2.4 trillion market cap.  Is that going to happen any time soon?  My guess is no.  Additionally, it's such a massive component of index funds (which have the bulk of my money) that I'm always going to be tied to this stock any way.  I am fairly sure I can find another individual stock which will double before AMZN.  And if I'm wrong, well, my index funds will bear the win any way.

 

[stbugs]

What was the "no way it can happen" number for unemployment? 

We are around 20% right now. Probably drops from here but that normally would be quite stunning. But its not.

It was 30%. There was a quote from one of Trump’s advisors when they were trying to get the bill passed. I was the one that said people don’t get what that number means. As posted above the high during the Great Depression was 24.9%. I hope we don’t get to 30%, that would be the worst ever recorded. Due to the mass layoffs for complete shutdowns, I don’t think we get to the Great Depression record. We also aren’t going through anything close to that. The Great Depression was years of that 20% level. This will be a few months.

 

[stbugs]

I own AMZN, but I've sold about 30% of my stake.  I don't get the never sell a share theory.  Yes, it's a great company, but it's market cap is 1.2 trillion right now.  For it to double now, you'd be looking at a $5000 stock with a 2.4 trillion market cap.  Is that going to happen any time soon?  My guess is no.  Additionally, it's such a massive component of index funds (which have the bulk of my money) that I'm always going to be tied to this stock any way.  I am fairly sure I can find another individual stock which will double before AMZN.  And if I'm wrong, well, my index funds will bear the win any way.

Once I get to long term gains, I’ll be shaving some as well. There is a ceiling in gains just because of the size. That said I’m going to be holding some for years. 

 

[BassNBrew]

Yeah, I never understand why people do. And the rationale is they're taking profits but won't Amazon just continue to profit at pretty nice rates compared to most?  So, wouldn't it be smart to just continued to own higher amounts of stock in Amazon than give them up?

I own AMZN, but I've sold about 30% of my stake.  I don't get the never sell a share theory.  Yes, it's a great company, but it's market cap is 1.2 trillion right now.  For it to double now, you'd be looking at a $5000 stock with a 2.4 trillion market cap.  Is that going to happen any time soon?  My guess is no.  Additionally, it's such a massive component of index funds (which have the bulk of my money) that I'm always going to be tied to this stock any way.  I am fairly sure I can find another individual stock which will double before AMZN.  And if I'm wrong, well, my index funds will bear the win any way.

Exactly. The price of rice will always go up but I’m not buying and holding a 10 yr supply

 

[Don Hutson]

I'll be very interested in reading what they said.

Spoiler

I'm not spending 10 minutes listening to 

those guys

They mostly repeat what they said in Monday's conference call.  But they say it more concisely and coherently.

 

[beef]

I don't think I will ever sell a share of AMZN.

Your kids and grandkids will like that.  

 

[Don Hutson]

I'll be very interested in reading what they said.

This is from another message board:

https://investorshangout.com/post/view?id=5752706

Bullet Points from the Proactive Video

- Montefiore patients were very, very sick – and, amazingly, 4 survived
- However, after the Montefiore patients, 95% of patients are showing improvement
- In fact, there have been NO patient deaths after Montefiore patients
- In other words, the rate of survival with leronlimab is 100%
- Dr. Patterson found a protein in COVID that has not been talked about
- It is 100x the normal level in critical patients
- And it is 5x the normal level in mild to moderate patients
- That protein happens to be Rantes (CCL5)
- And Rantes is the specific target that leronlimab blocks
- Rantes is a like a magnet for immune cells
- There are high levels of Rantes found in the lungs, liver, and kidneys
- This explains the morbidity and mortality due to these end organ processes
- By blocking Rantes, leronlimab blocks the mass migration of immune cells which produce toxic cytokines that destroy lung tissue
- Leronlimab blocks this protein, it is the key to COVID, and it is a brand new discovery that nobody has ever talked about
- Leronlimab is the only drug in the world that quiets the cytokine storm, improves immunologic homeostasis, and decreases viral load
- No other drug can claim that
- Anthony Fauci said yesterday that the antiviral remdesivir would have to be combined with an anti-inflammatory that addresses the immunological problems
- Leronlimab is one drug that addresses the immunological issues and drops the viral load as if it was an antiviral
- We have figured out this disease

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

They mostly repeat what they said in Monday's conference call.  But they say it more concisely and coherently.

Dr Patterson with the heat starting around 7 minutes

Hope this is really the catalyst that takes this mainstream soon

 

[Don Hutson]

Dr Patterson with the heat starting around 7 minutes

Here is a Patterson quote from today's video:

https://investorshangout.com/post/view?id=5752708

This is the only drug in the world, that we’re reporting on tomorrow, that both: quiets the cytokine storm, improves the immunologic homeostasis, and decreases viral load. No other drug can claim that. In fact, Anthony Faucci said yesterday that the anti-viral Remdisivir would have to be combined with an anti-flamatory. Or a drug that addressed the immunologic issues with these patients. Well, we have one drug that addresses the immunologic issues and by the way, drops viral load as if it were an anti-viral. So, that’s what is very, very exciting.

 

[Big League Chew]

great news for the cydy crew

after this amazing protein discovery im confused as to why nobody in the world is talking about it? should we re-tweet the video and tag Trump?

 

[dkp993]

I don't think I will ever sell a share of AMZN.

Yeah, I never understand why people do. And the rationale is they're taking profits but won't Amazon just continue to profit at pretty nice rates compared to most?  So, wouldn't it be smart to just continued to own higher amounts of stock in Amazon than give them up?

Well at some point you’re gonna have to sell to realize any profits.  Unless of course the plan is to pay those stocks along after you die.  

 

[beef]

great news for the cydy crew

after this amazing protein discovery im confused as to why nobody in the world is talking about it? should we re-tweet the video and tag Trump?

I was thinking someone should spray paint "CYDY" on the Washington monument.  We just need a young healthy buck here to do it.  Sorry, I don't qualify for that.  

 

[BassNBrew]

This is from another message board:

Insane that this isn’t blowing up the airwaves. 

Will leronlimb have similar results with serious flu cases?

 

[cosjobs]

This is from another message board:

doesn't seem to be impacting the price, unless that morning wood was in its anticipation

 

[Big League Chew]

I was thinking someone should spray paint "CYDY" on the Washington monument.  We just need a young healthy buck here to do it.  Sorry, I don't qualify for that.  

wonder if we can hire an artist off Fiverr.com to do this

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

doesn't seem to be impacting the price, unless that morning wood was in its anticipation

proactiveinvestors.com is not going to move the needle.  They definitely need to prove out results in a larger test as well that is not just anecdotal.  They aren't going to be taken seriously until respected media starts picking this up and or the results prove it out

Optimistic that this is all coming soon.

 

[Big League Chew]

how is gilead getting so much exposure without the sameresults

 

[Al Czervik]

how is gilead getting so much exposure without the sameresults

Better PR Department?

 

[Big League Chew]

Better PR Department?

someone get us a cydy bat signal

 

[cosjobs]

proactiveinvestors.com is not going to move the needle.  They definitely need to prove out results in a larger test as well that is not just anecdotal.  They aren't going to be taken seriously until respected media starts picking this up and or the results prove it out

Optimistic that this is all coming soon.

Despite the source, those were well presented, positive points. I was going to dump a few thousand shares for cash on the downward movement, but that article influenced me to buy another thousand instead.

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

how is gilead getting so much exposure without the sameresults

established big pharma company vs a tiny biotech with a somewhat questionable past.    There is no way the small biotech isn't going to be held to a much larger standard and rightfully so, credibility is an issue.

 

[beef]

Better PR Department?

Yeah.  Big Cap, 80% ownership by institutions too.  Lots of people want GILD to be the player here.  jmho...

 

[cosjobs]

how is gilead getting so much exposure without the sameresults

Its like ND compared to the local Jr. High

 

[matuski]

great news for the cydy crew

after this amazing protein discovery im confused as to why nobody in the world is talking about it? should we re-tweet the video and tag Trump?

the only one reporting it is the company.

no actual data yet that I have seen.

 

[cosjobs]

great news for the cydy crew

after this amazing protein discovery im confused as to why nobody in the world is talking about it? should we re-tweet the video and tag Trump?

You need to go through proper channels on something like this. Contact Alex Jones or OAN

 

[FreeBaGeL]

established big pharma company vs a tiny biotech with a somewhat questionable past.    There is no way the small biotech isn't going to be held to a much larger standard and rightfully so, credibility is an issue.

Seems like there have been a bunch of other tiny biotech companies whose stock has exploded on less optimistic news than this.

 

[lod001]

SDC. Smile Direct. 

Yeah, I bought that terd.

 

[BassNBrew]

Am I correct in thinking that the 10% 401(k) withdrawal penalty was drop for 2020?

 

[BassNBrew]

Also I guess the deposit timeframe for 2019 was extended because Fidelity gave me the option this week. Does someone know that new date?

 

[BassNBrew]

the only one reporting it is the company.

no actual data yet that I have seen.

So basically a concern about a Lunken coffee stopSo basically a concern about a Lunken coffee stop

 

[Jayrok]

how is gilead getting so much exposure without the sameresults

Money and politics might have something to do with it.  As mentioned earlier, lots of people want GILD to succeed and not many know or care about a small upstart biotech.  But if the drug saves lives somebody should shake the right tree.    

 

[lod001]

Am I correct in thinking that the 10% 401(k) withdrawal penalty was drop for 2020?

I believe so if not even more than 10%.