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Stock Thread (16 Viewers)

I swear.....CNBC makes me crack up.

"Day of Reckoning" on the market today....Lions And Tigers And Bears oh my!!! 

 
They have some pipeline and oil exposure but they are a power provider first and foremost. Hence they have a little more volatility than a tradtional utility. Great company. Getting hammered today....cheap stock.
You sure about that? PPL had generation risk but spun that off into Talen Energy. I don't believe they have any oil/pipeline exposure and if they do, it is much less than Dominion. Think PPL is cheaper due to UK exposure. 

ETA: I should clarify that they do have some regulated generation in KY and do work with pipelines there but it's not as risky as MLP pipelines. Generation is the riskiest of all utility activities especially in de-regulated markets like PA. Hence, why they sold their PA generation assets. Regulated transmission companies are the least volatile as they are just paid to run the electric through the wires. Something that won't change much and allowed to earn a set ROE.

 
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So I have some big picture questions.

With the wild volatility this year, I've been able to outperform the S&P by making a bunch of swing trades. As that easy money dries up, though, I'm wanting to move towards stronger long-term investments that I can leave an autopilot. 

Virtually all my investment $$$ is in a Roth IRA. Currently, my Roth is 30% VOO + VTI and 70% stocks. I'm on the younger side, so it'll probably be at least 30 years until I retire. My long-term stock list looks like this, ordered from largest position to smallest:

AAPL
MSFT
NFLX
BABA
JPM
DIS
MCD
WMT

These are the questions I have:

-Since this is a Roth, should I be focusing more on individual stocks instead of indexes? Or is the 70/30 split I have right now alright?

-Do those 8 long-term names look good, or are there some I should add/subtract? Is 8 too many (or too few)? Pretty much all of the names on that list have already "arrived," should I be looking into stocks with higher growth potential?

Due to risk aversion & ignorance, I was mostly in indexes until this year -- so I'm trying to figure out how to balance things now that I'm in the world of individual stocks. Thanks in advance.

 
DFS anyone adding?
I’m done for a bit. I think there’s a bit more downside even if tomorrow is an up day. Definitely don’t think March lows but I could see a 10-15% dip. Those happen a lot and the market is ripe for it considering how torrid the upswing from March has been.

 
What's the quickest way to get funds from my bank account into my Schwab account?
Start banking with Schwab.  I made the switch a few years ago and have no regrets.  Fantastic customer service and i can transfer $$ to my brokerage ASAP.   Only downside is limited offices if I ever need to deposit cash, but that happens maybe once a year and i'll pay for things with cash rather than always using my CC.

 
Start banking with Schwab.  I made the switch a few years ago and have no regrets.  Fantastic customer service and i can transfer $$ to my brokerage ASAP.   Only downside is limited offices if I ever need to deposit cash, but that happens maybe once a year and i'll pay for things with cash rather than always using my CC.
How do you deposit checks? How are they on ATM fees? I think if my wife had to re-enter all the online bill pay info she might shoot me.

 
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I couldn't imagine the pressure of actively managing my actual retirement. It's stressful/fun just for play money.
Oh, my actual retirement is definitely not actively managed. TSP plus 2 pensions.

My wife's Roth IRA is the next part which might just pay for grandkids college and charity while mine will probably just be used to travel. 

 
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Sure, I agree at the bottom it presented more upside than DALand I’m glad you made “huge money” (just like you could have on 75% of the stocks out there over the same time frame).  But now?  Does it still offer boatloads upside?   It’s a still at a bit of a discount compared to DAL, so if you’re still confident in the short term upside and essentially day trading it, go for it.   But it’s a terrible airline in an industry that’s going to be impacted long term.  So I guess my confidence level isn’t the same if you’re looking for anything other than a quick flip, and I think there’s plenty of downside from $17.
I agree.  Could easily go back to $8-9.  I'm dripping money back. If it goes back up, I'll take a very small profit.  Every 10-15% down, I'll double down.  

 
Here we are folks......buy the dips. 

Probably some more pain.....but hard to time a bottom. 

Anyway. take advantage because this is a big sell off today. Pure sentiment....just like the run up. The media blaring Covid is spiking badly...we are in huge trouble, the Fed gave a gloomy outlook......lot's of headline news on this sell off.....oh and profit taking.

Buckle in for the long term. Stocks are not on a fire sale (that time came and went in March) but lots of good stuff down 4-5-6-7%.

BUYING OPPORTUNITY. FEAR IS EVERYWHERE ON WALL STREET TODAY!!!

 
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Here we are folks......buy the dips. 

Probably some more pain.....but hard to time a bottom. 

Anyway. take advantage because this is a big sell off today. Pure sentiment....just like the run up. The media blaring Covid is spiking badly...we are in huge trouble, the Fed gave a gloomy outlook......lot's of headline news on this sell off.....oh and profit taking.

Buckle in for the long term. Stocks are not on a fire sale (that time came and went in March) but lots of good stuff down 4-5-6-7%.

BUYING OPPORTUNITY.
Been half in cash waiting for the chance for a week or so...sadly AAPL ran up way past what I expected and I was selling all along the way.

Appreciate you continuing to point out solid buys like you have been.

 
Here we are folks......buy the dips. 

Probably some more pain.....but hard to time a bottom. 

Anyway. take advantage because this is a big sell off today. Pure sentiment....just like the run up. The media blaring Covid is spiking badly...we are in huge trouble, the Fed gave a gloomy outlook......lot's of headline news on this sell off.....oh and profit taking.

Buckle in for the long term. Stocks are not on a fire sale (that time came and went in March) but lots of good stuff down 4-5-6-7%.

BUYING OPPORTUNITY. FEAR IS EVERYWHERE ON WALL STREET TODAY!!!
Funny thing is, this is exactly what many of us predicted. Just didn't act on it because we don't "know" ####.

 
We are about 7% away from the May 15th close before this rally really took off. 

So as we thought we are having that 7-10% correction (we are just about there on the 10%) correction.

The thing is....you get these fast violent down swings......this is what is so different this time around...vs slow bleed corrections. Elevator down today. Not the stairs.

I expect a little more selling.....but then we start our swing back and we should be range bound thru the election. We have been talking about this for months. 

 
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Funny thing is, this is exactly what many of us predicted. Just didn't act on it because we don't "know" ####.
Look for long term investors (like myself) I constantly talk to my clients about this so they don’t get nervous or broadsided by the headlines and panic. We knew it was coming, and we know it is not staying down here long term. So don’t worry about it. Your portfolio has great companies, solid yields. You can sleep. 

This is what being in the market is. Short term it is phycological and long term.....it is always economical. 

We deployed some cash today.....these are the days we love to do that. 

There is not much left either. 

I say we may see a lot of buying heading into the close.....would not shock me at all.

 
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I LOVE utilities. 

I am always over weight in them.....even when the so called “experts” on tv rotate out.....I buy more. Never has failed me......ever.
My dad has owned SO for a long time.  He was complaining about it the other day and I told him when you factor in your dividends how much you are up.  He had also forgotten a 2:1 stock split it had in the past.  My parents were good savers but this was the first and only stock he ever bought.  Had to teach myself about the markets.

 
Not sure where all these bargains are? Most of the stocks I follow are nowhere near where they were even 2-3 weeks ago. Add to that they are at or near the price targets of most analysts?

 
Here we are folks......buy the dips. 

Probably some more pain.....but hard to time a bottom. 

Anyway. take advantage because this is a big sell off today. Pure sentiment....just like the run up. The media blaring Covid is spiking badly...we are in huge trouble, the Fed gave a gloomy outlook......lot's of headline news on this sell off.....oh and profit taking.

Buckle in for the long term. Stocks are not on a fire sale (that time came and went in March) but lots of good stuff down 4-5-6-7%.

BUYING OPPORTUNITY. FEAR IS EVERYWHERE ON WALL STREET TODAY!!!
Thanks for the heads up on PPL, just grabbed some. Would you average in as a long term hold or as a utility is there less risk to jump in at one time?

 
Not sure where all these bargains are? Most of the stocks I follow are nowhere near where they were even 2-3 weeks ago. Add to that they are at or near the price targets of most analysts?
Price targets change as often as my underwear.

If your following big tech....no value at all.

If your following energy, industrials, some select utilities, REITS, some consumer discretionary......there is value.

You gotta dig deeper.

 
Not sure where all these bargains are? Most of the stocks I follow are nowhere near where they were even 2-3 weeks ago. Add to that they are at or near the price targets of most analysts?
Someone else has CNBC on right now....

 
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We are about 7% away from the May 15th close before this rally really took off. 

So as we thought we are having that 7-10% correction (we are just about there on the 10%) correction.

The thing is....you get these fast violent down swings......this is what is so different this time around...vs slow bleed corrections. Elevator down today. Not the stairs.

I expect a little more selling.....but then we start our swing back and we should be range bound thru the election. We have been talking about this for months. 
Says the guy who's been giving us bad advice and only 30% returns for the last couple of months.

- Warrior

 
My dad has owned SO for a long time.  He was complaining about it the other day and I told him when you factor in your dividends how much you are up.  He had also forgotten a 2:1 stock split it had in the past.  My parents were good savers but this was the first and only stock he ever bought.  Had to teach myself about the markets.
It's probably not the "right" choice but I've started to use utilities (VPU mostly) as a significant part of my "bonds". I know they're not the same, adds some risk, but I'm good with it.

 
It's probably not the "right" choice but I've started to use utilities (VPU mostly) as a significant part of my "bonds". I know they're not the same, adds some risk, but I'm good with it.
I actually like that play. I don't have access to historical yields between utilities and corporate bonds. But right now, XLU yielding 3.33% vs ICE Corporate Bond at 2.3%. I'd pick up an extra 100 bps in yield and also probably have more upside in the utility to begin with. Fed destroying corporate bond yields. 

 
I'd still want to caution on the discretionary stuff like travel. TSA traffic is still down 80-85% depending on the day. As far as casinos, Vegas is a ghost town. Sure there was a pop on opening weekend but from my research it seems like it was a lot of locals and Californians. They're hurting bad with being limited on capacity and I think we'll see the same thing we saw in retail with their expenses skyrocketing due to COVID-19 procedures. Not to mention those with exposure to Macau are not seeing anywhere near the visitors they were prior to February. 

 

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