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Stock Thread (10 Viewers)

TQQQ or SQQQ from here? 
 

Feels like we should bounce unless fundamentally we are still ripe for a bit more correction. 
 

This might get the Right on board with additional stimulus. 45 does love him some stock market talking points. 

 
When the Vix is down 2% tomorrow, UVXY will be up 4% to make up for it.
I started a small position at close.  We'll see if these talking heads on TV are right, and that we won't see the bounce back up until the VIX has it's big day.  

 
A caller asked Cramer about UTZ. He said it was too small for his trust to invest in it, but he was otherwise very positive.

 
Oh oh

(Reuters) - AstraZeneca Plc has put a hold on the late-stage trial of its highly-anticipated COVID-19 vaccine candidate after a suspected serious adverse reaction in a study participant, health news website Stat News reported on Tuesday.

market probably up 20% in the morning

 
Oh oh

(Reuters) - AstraZeneca Plc has put a hold on the late-stage trial of its highly-anticipated COVID-19 vaccine candidate after a suspected serious adverse reaction in a study participant, health news website Stat News reported on Tuesday.

market probably up 20% in the morning
For a lot of the tech stocks this would be good news. It shouldn’t be that binary because a lot of things like cloud computing were exploding before CV. That said it’s hers mentality right now so it would be a positive in terms of 2020 investing.

 
Oh oh

(Reuters) - AstraZeneca Plc has put a hold on the late-stage trial of its highly-anticipated COVID-19 vaccine candidate after a suspected serious adverse reaction in a study participant, health news website Stat News reported on Tuesday.

market probably up 20% in the morning
Thanks for the heads up.  I just exited my position.  Took a loss but that money can be invested in something else.

 
$NNOX continues to be my shining beacon during this storm.
Up 15% premarket after signing a deployment deal in Mexico. First FDA approval expected in the next several months. I’ve made two purchases to get to about half of what I want, will just sit on these until the FDA decision. Up 50% on the shares I have so far, though.

 
They reported after the close yesterday, didn’t wow anyone. Most are saying their billings disappointed.
Yeah, not 100% familiar with their accounting but Billings were lower than estimates and I believe that’s forward looking revenue down it’s akin to lowering a forecast.

You are also correct on the disappointing side. ZM is still up nicely after earnings, not at the high, but still a chunk up after blowing away numbers. If you are in a similar WFH benefit boat and your stock is way up then you can’t just beat, you have to beat beat. They didn’t even beat on everything so the big haircut.

 
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Sold off some of that cheap DHT at $5.40 this morning for a nice profit.  Will keep buying in the low 5s.

 
What’s going on with FMCI? I bought almost a full share of that and it’s about where my goal was (mid 20s). I don’t plan on selling yet because short term gains taxes suck and I like it long term (wife loves their food). I just wasn’t expecting the insane run up the last month, especially since last Monday.

 
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Sand said:
I bled in a bit of IVV this morning.  I haven't bought anything in a while and cash is piling up now that I don't have a house payment.  Holding off on QQQ for the moment - it was quite overextended.  Hopefully will get the chance to ease into that one soon, as well. 
Bought some QQQ yesterday, too. 

Knock on wood, but this is working out ok so far...

 
ITCI up 70%ish percent today ($13.50ish up) on some good top line phase 3 trials results. The irony is I sold out 70% of my shares yesterday to buy some apple. 🤮.  

 
Yeah, this is my poster child for not getting into speculative stocks on a whim. The argument for it sounded good at the time. Doh!. Down just about 50% on this flea infested turd.
Yeah, it's kind of amazing how with the notable exception of a couple, everytime I buy just to try to make a quick buck, I lose. But if I buy companies I actually want, they tend to do well.

I might have learned that multiple times already. 😶

 
Yeah, not 100% familiar with their accounting but Billings were lower than estimates and I believe that’s forward looking revenue down it’s akin to lowering a forecast.

You are also correct on the disappointing side. ZM is still up nicely after earnings, not at the high, but still a chunk up after blowing away numbers. If you are in a similar WFH benefit boat and your stock is way up then you can’t just beat, you have to beat beat. They didn’t even beat on everything so the big haircut.
WORK is interesting because it wasn't really way up already. It was up about 30% from pre-covid levels so that's not nothing but was pretty paultry next to the 400%+ run up of many of these WFH leaning companies. 

I thought it might have more Leeway for that reason but it appears it was stuck in the unfortunate position of WFH expectations and fallout without the big WFH stock price run up ahead of it. 

WORK is actually the same price right now as it was pre-covid, even with some pretty heavy growth now built in. I'm not sure if that makes it tempting to me but if someone liked the stock pre covid (and several major analysts did) it has to be enticing to have an opportunity to buy it at the same price despite the numbers looking a lot better now than they did early this year. 

Contrast that with something like DOCU that had similar good but not great earnings and also didn't beat all the way across the board. But it had already run up so much even with that earnings drop it is still up 300% from pre-covid levels, while WORK is flat. 

 
Yeah, it's kind of amazing how with the notable exception of a couple, everytime I buy just to try to make a quick buck, I lose. But if I buy companies I actually want, they tend to do well.

I might have learned that multiple times already. 😶
Oh, I know I've learned that multiple times too. But, clearly losing the $ just makes me want to do it all over again. At this point it's a matter of figuring out if I want to eat the $ now, and cut loose from said turds. 

 
What’s going on with FMCI? I bought almost a full share of that and it’s about where my goal was (mid 20s). I don’t plan on selling yet because short term gains taxes suck and I like it long term (wife loves their food). I just wasn’t expecting the insane run up the last month, especially since last Monday.
Spacs are on fire right now and that is a popular one that is also nearing its merger date. 

I am in the same boat as you. Can't decide if I should sell and take the profits or just hold because I love their product. 

I do think it has plenty of room to run higher. 

 
Spacs are on fire right now and that is a popular one that is also nearing its merger date. 

I am in the same boat as you. Can't decide if I should sell and take the profits or just hold because I love their product. 

I do think it has plenty of room to run higher. 
Yeah they are.  I've been out of FMCI for a little while now.  Kind of lost track of it and never got back in.  What a run it's been on though.

SPACS I'm in now:  DPHC-Lordstown (sold once, bought back in) +17%.  KCAC-QuantumScape +21% (was over 30% last week).  FVAC-MP Materials +21%.  Not sure how high these will have to go before I sell.  Want to ride them out, but at some point the profits start looking too tempting.

 
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WORK is interesting because it wasn't really way up already. It was up about 30% from pre-covid levels so that's not nothing but was pretty paultry next to the 400%+ run up of many of these WFH leaning companies. 

I thought it might have more Leeway for that reason but it appears it was stuck in the unfortunate position of WFH expectations and fallout without the big WFH stock price run up ahead of it. 

WORK is actually the same price right now as it was pre-covid, even with some pretty heavy growth now built in. I'm not sure if that makes it tempting to me but if someone liked the stock pre covid (and several major analysts did) it has to be enticing to have an opportunity to buy it at the same price despite the numbers looking a lot better now than they did early this year. 

Contrast that with something like DOCU that had similar good but not great earnings and also didn't beat all the way across the board. But it had already run up so much even with that earnings drop it is still up 300% from pre-covid levels, while WORK is flat. 
WORK has some serious competition with Microsoft as well so that could put a bit of a lid on it. The other thing is that WORK is a recent IPO, so it started being worth $22B day one. DOCU has very little competition and while it’s worth $39B now, it was worth almost half of WORK a year ago so it had more room to run. Also, DOCU is down almost 25% since it’s report.

WORK may be getting close to undervalued if it can stay ahead of Microsoft, but I think because it started off not cheap and missed it’s down about the same as DOCU. Heck, ZM is down about 20% as well from the peak but still up from before earnings unlike the other two.

 
Yeah, it's kind of amazing how with the notable exception of a couple, everytime I buy just to try to make a quick buck, I lose. But if I buy companies I actually want, they tend to do well.

I might have learned that multiple times already. 😶
Yeah, I like IPOs and SPACs a bit better because typically you get a more established company. CYDY worked out well, dwarfing the little bit I lost on the Swiss one. That said these highly speculative stocks are nerve racking and most don’t work out. They also tend to be highly recommended.

 
WORK is interesting because it wasn't really way up already. It was up about 30% from pre-covid levels so that's not nothing but was pretty paultry next to the 400%+ run up of many of these WFH leaning companies. 

I thought it might have more Leeway for that reason but it appears it was stuck in the unfortunate position of WFH expectations and fallout without the big WFH stock price run up ahead of it. 

WORK is actually the same price right now as it was pre-covid, even with some pretty heavy growth now built in. I'm not sure if that makes it tempting to me but if someone liked the stock pre covid (and several major analysts did) it has to be enticing to have an opportunity to buy it at the same price despite the numbers looking a lot better now than they did early this year. 

Contrast that with something like DOCU that had similar good but not great earnings and also didn't beat all the way across the board. But it had already run up so much even with that earnings drop it is still up 300% from pre-covid levels, while WORK is flat. 
Where did DOCU miss?

 
How do you guys feel about investing in wal mart long term?
I think walmart has great growth potential.

Good economy, people spend, bad economy, people wh normally dont shop at wallmart, now do.

I dont drive by often, but everytime I have, parking lot full.  ALL the spaces for pick up are full.  I think the app is a winner.

 
So took a pretty substantial position in Google today and am now only 35% cash...after playing this last pullback.

Current Holdings

SLV - not sure what I'm going to do with this

MAR - holding long

DKNG - holding long

GOOGL - could just be a swing trade, get out before election

AAPL - could just be a swing trade, get out before the election

 
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TripItUp said:
So took a pretty substantial position in Google today and am now only 35% cash...after playing this last pullback.

Current Holdings

SLV - not sure what I'm going to do with this

MAR - holding long

DKNG - holding long

GOOGL - could just be a swing trade, get out before election

AAPL - could just be a swing trade, get out before the election
I agree with the election info.  I plan on being all cash before the election except for pot stocks.  

No matter who is elected, I think there can be a swing.  in either direction.

 
So, for about a year, I've been researching 2 different cars.  Both under 50K.

EVERY time I've searched CVNA they are purchase pending.  All in my search.  I think they are selling quite a few cars.

 
I think all you guys making investment decisions based on the election are making a mistake. Good article here:

Linky
I like that article. Reminds me of something that my economics professor in college preached: the economy was always cyclical no matter the political party in office. I've always remembered that all these years later.

 
I still am scratching my head on this NKLA deal for both parties. All I see is that this provides credibility to NKLA. What does that mean? See this article:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-class-powertrain-technology-affirmed-174705132.html 

What is the benefit to NKLA other than actually getting a product made? If it affirms GM technology, what’s in it for NKLA and what are they providing other than a $2B payment to GM. How is this any different than GM just being a huge supplier? GM battery and power train. GM fuel cells outside of Europe? Who’s fuel cells are in Europe? GM manufacturing the trucks?

Other than the name and fancy drawings, what is NKLA doing? Does GM get to then build their own trucks using their platform?

Maybe NKLA stock is down on the same thoughts. It doesn’t take away my vapor ware thoughts when GM isn’t getting lauded for their platform. NKLA is supposed to be the truck EV company.

 
I still am scratching my head on this NKLA deal for both parties. All I see is that this provides credibility to NKLA. What does that mean? See this article:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-class-powertrain-technology-affirmed-174705132.html 

What is the benefit to NKLA other than actually getting a product made? If it affirms GM technology, what’s in it for NKLA and what are they providing other than a $2B payment to GM. How is this any different than GM just being a huge supplier? GM battery and power train. GM fuel cells outside of Europe? Who’s fuel cells are in Europe? GM manufacturing the trucks?

Other than the name and fancy drawings, what is NKLA doing? Does GM get to then build their own trucks using their platform?

Maybe NKLA stock is down on the same thoughts. It doesn’t take away my vapor ware thoughts when GM isn’t getting lauded for their platform. NKLA is supposed to be the truck EV company.
I agree.  GM is already going to build the GMC Hummer EV pick-up, so why agree to build a truck that will compete with your own product*?

There was chatter from an analyst about GM spinning off their EV business.  Perhaps somehow they see NKLA as the partner to help accomplish this?  :shrug:

*Yes, I know they have Silverado and Sierra which do this.  But I see this as a totally different situation.

 
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