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Oh, I understand. I just think in a world of analytics like we have now, everything is so condensed now. As soon as the bear signs are gone the recovery will probably be just as immediate. There’s no more gradual anymore. The amount of 10% swings I’ve seen in the few dozen stocks I watch is amazing.
I've looked at past selloffs and recessions and that is correct. Really wild swings happen. Good day traders got to be loving it. 

Here's the list of largest gains & drops: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_in_the_S%26P_500_Index

They happen in times like this. Eventually this will turn one way or another. I'm leaning towards this is going down further. A magical cure will send it rocketing upward and will probably set new records on the above page.

 
Important CYDY conference call this afternoon at 4pm EST.  Here are the dial in details.  They should talk about every important opportunity and issue facing the company at this point.  

 
I remember last week, when I scalped 41% on TVIX and felt like a genius.

NARRATOR: If he had let it ride, he would be up over 200% now.

 
I remember last week, when I scalped 41% on TVIX and felt like a genius.

NARRATOR: If he had let it ride, he would be up over 200% now.
Yeah, I've been thinking about you over this. Sucks good buddy but never take a good profit for granted and take encouragement for having a good call on this.  

Was tempted to puke up all my gold and silver last week but sat on my hands instead, which was hard.  

This is nucking futs, man. 

 
Lol dude you’ve been crying about the market tanking for 2 years. So either you lost your ### going short over that period and made some today or you’re just BS’ing to sound good on a message board. 
I don't like being called a liar. #######, ########, arrogant any of those go right ahead, one thing I don't do is lie. 

Took this when it cracked $20k this morning

Still love Shak, only position I'm still holding until I evaluate further. 

YoY comps are down, restaurants to get slaughtered in general, massive premium in comparison to CMG or MCD. 

$30 stock in 3 months. 

 
I'd be worried about some sort of bailout on AAL or UAL, slightly scared to short those down here, but I'm sure there is more downside, just not sure how much... Easy money has been made there.

For anyone who wants to make a good very profitable trade, look at Shak, then compare important metrics like store traffic, YoY comps, P/E, etc. to CMG & MCD. It's a stock that retail investors are going to get carried out on a stretcher. Scale in, it's gotten killed already, could be ripe for a bounce, I'd sell a strong bounce on that stock as hard as anything. 

You're all welcome!

 
I'd be worried about some sort of bailout on AAL or UAL, slightly scared to short those down here, but I'm sure there is more downside, just not sure how much... Easy money has been made there.

For anyone who wants to make a good very profitable trade, look at Shak, then compare important metrics like store traffic, YoY comps, P/E, etc. to CMG & MCD. It's a stock that retail investors are going to get carried out on a stretcher. Scale in, it's gotten killed already, could be ripe for a bounce, I'd sell a strong bounce on that stock as hard as anything. 

You're all welcome!
Yes, but all that has been true forever and not kept the price from being unreasonably high. What's to keep those same buyers from being unreasonable even among this? How do you rely on the price of a stock that's never been priced on fundamentals?

I'm not saying you're wrong. Just that there's a lot of TSLA in SHAK.

 
TVIX going nuts today.

I was able to recoup most of my recent losses ... but missed out on todays rip unfortunately.

 
Yes, but all that has been true forever and not kept the price from being unreasonably high. What's to keep those same buyers from being unreasonable even among this? How do you rely on the price of a stock that's never been priced on fundamentals?

I'm not saying you're wrong. Just that there's a lot of TSLA in SHAK.
Their last earnings report is the nail in the coffin (have a detailed look at it, for a restaurant trading at that valuation, it's absolutely atrocious), especially facing a world where gatherings and restaurants won't be visited for some time. Also, if stocks fall and liquidity is needed, I'd expect selling of the garbage more so, garbage being SHAK. 

Listen, while I disagree with TSLA price and bulls, I can understand their argument ( I don't think it will ever live up to what they say it will, but you can at least make sense of it... One of the reasons I didn't slam puts on them)... SHAK is a burger stand.

RSI indicates oversold, so I do expect a technical bounce, I'd pounce on that. Furthermore, look at what they did yesterday, market was up 1200 points, they hardly budged. This one is going to continue heading south. One of the best shorts out there, imo. 

 
Today will be forever known as Black Thursday ... and I expect it will only get worse with Kung-Fu Flu shutting things down.

Glad I pulled everything out a week ago. I feel like I'm making money today ... by not losing money.today.

 
Some piece of ####, broke into about 70 cars in my neighborhood overnight. This completely threw me off in the morning and def distracted me from maximizing profits.

https://i.imgur.com/FwyLU5e.png

He couldn't break mine (not like there is anything of value in the car), but there were about 5 streets littered with glass. Was talking to the cops, guy goes you're a big dude, better off if you catch him then us, he'll be out in 8 hours if we caught him. Bail reform #### in NY is a complete joke. Literally cause $50k of damage to 70 people and walk free in hours. 

But this def cost me like $5k, maybe more just from the distraction, plus the $1k to repair. ####### hate people!

 
I mean bloomberg bit on WSB isn't wrong.  If a bunch of message board people start buying OTM options the algos see that as volatility and react.   

I have a hard time seeing how a bunch of kids buying some OTM stuff confuses pro trade algos so much that it flips the spreads.  

Instead of looking at WSB you could look at algos viewing call/put spreads as some implied vol figure.  but that's less fun.

 
Today will be forever known as Black Thursday ... and I expect it will only get worse with Kung-Fu Flu shutting things down.

Glad I pulled everything out a week ago. I feel like I'm making money today ... by not losing money.today.
Up 2% in my 401k fund that tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, but feel like I'm up 15% since I didn't take the big S&P Tracking fund hits.   I have limited safe options so I have the whole damn thing sitting in that.

 
Up 2% in my 401k fund that tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, but feel like I'm up 15% since I didn't take the big S&P Tracking fund hits.   I have limited safe options so I have the whole damn thing sitting in that.
I got everything sitting in VALIC Company I Capital Conservation Fund (VCCCX). At one time I had it all in Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Fund Investor Shares (VUSTX). Man, if I had the balls to stay in that as this bond meltdown continued, I'd be up that exact same amount, for the year, after today.

 
https://old.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/fe5s7e/the_fed_repos_are_an_attempt_to_prop_up_the/

Sometimes these guys come up with some good stuff.  The reddit link is giving basically a boiled down version of this guy's schtick.

https://alhambrapartners.com/author/jsnider/

Truth here?
Post itself would require more time & attention than I have, but would imagine "September BAC $18 puts" are going to see some volume tomorrow. Might buy some at the open just for kicks.

 
What do you guys think about ZM - Zoom video communications and fsly - Fastly?
Long term, I like them. I own both. I wish I bought more ZM. Picked it up in the 60s. Still kicking myself for not grabbing more of a bunch of stocks in October. I would have had a double in TDOC. Even at 95 in January, I should have bought some. It’s almost harder to by something that you’ve already watched go up 50% but early in Amazon or Apple, etc. you just had to jump in.

Shout out to OKTA last night crushing it. Post market was a nice pop and pre-market barely up. ZM was down to start yesterday so maybe a similar action where ZM ended way up.

 
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What do you guys think about ZM - Zoom video communications and fsly - Fastly?
Our company uses them and they've made some nice improvements over existing competitors like gotomeeting.  

The space evolves fast though...I work in this vertical and there is a lot of competition that moves fast.

 
So I'm getting completely out again at market open after 1.5% gains this week.  

I'll also be going inverse ETF for the day...all of the newscycle is negative.

 
So I'm getting completely out again at market open after 1.5% gains this week.  

I'll also be going inverse ETF for the day...all of the newscycle is negative.
S&P is already pointing 3%ish lower at the open...be careful buying inverse at the open.  Not to say its not going lower...just crazy volatility.

 
Jobs report in 15 minutes. Can't imagine it will be much of a factor to the upside. Downside however, that's another story.

 
S&P is already pointing 3%ish lower at the open...be careful buying inverse at the open.  Not to say its not going lower...just crazy volatility.
One other thing for those of you that are playing the market right now.  Understand that you are playing fire.  Lots of money can be made and lost in a minute in this sort of market.  So consider your position sizes.  25% of your normal stake is probably the more than the equivalent to 100% in a normal market.  We are literally seeing moves in a minute that would be huge in a day.

Be careful out there.

 
One other thing for those of you that are playing the market right now.  Understand that you are playing fire.  Lots of money can be made and lost in a minute in this sort of market.  So consider your position sizes.  25% of your normal stake is probably the more than the equivalent to 100% in a normal market.  We are literally seeing moves in a minute that would be huge in a day.

Be careful out there.
I'm making boatloads...playing with house money.

 

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