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Stock Thread (70 Viewers)

FreeBaGeL said:
So obviously we're still awaiting more details in the results but early indications are that we are probably headed for a phase 3 trial, right?

The early data seems neither good enough to skip phase 3 and go straight into production nor bad enough to squash phase 3 before it even begins.

Pending results on the severe trial, of course.
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was skipping phase 3 really a viable possibility here? 

 
FreeBaGeL said:
So obviously we're still awaiting more details in the results but early indications are that we are probably headed for a phase 3 trial, right?

The early data seems neither good enough to skip phase 3 and go straight into production nor bad enough to squash phase 3 before it even begins.

Pending results on the severe trial, of course.
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What does phase 3 do to the stock price. 

 
Chaz McNulty said:
Why?

Just stop talking!
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No kidding.  Why is he talking to her?  Why isn't he on the phone with ABC news, NBC, CBS, Fox... Disney Junior, Netflix, Wayne's World.  He's spending time responding to bashers of the company.  Man.

"We have impressive results for the world."  The world:  *crickets*

Isn't Covid treatment an important topic these days?  Proactive Pam is the only person he can talk to?   :shrug:

 
He says that if a person dies in a car accident that is considered an SAE.  So did the one person in the treatment arm die from a car accident or from Covid?

 
FreeBaGeL said:
adonis said:
And now he's saying that next week is the safety review for the severe trial?  
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I thought that's been the timeline we were all operating under.  Mild/moderate this week, severe next week.
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If that's the case, I'm happy to be wrong.  Was under the impression from the call last monday that all this was happening this week.  Results, safety review, shareholder meeting, etc.

 
[icon] said:
UPDATED official CYDY COVID study results odds: 

very positive / effective +225
moderately positive +100
negative / ineffective +120
Inconclusive / errors/flaws in study -175*
Study data not released until AUG for no ####### reason +175

*very large wager skewed odds exposure 
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those getting money in on Bolded a week ago are looking good right now. 
 

ICON'S UPDATED 7/21 ODDS: 

very positive / effective +375
moderately positive -170
negative / ineffective +120
Inconclusive / Errors  / Ooops +155

PROP: 
Full Study data not released until AUG for no ####### reason -110 

 
When he says that they have enrolled over 220 patients in Covid trials, is that just the severe/critical or is that M2M and S/C combined?  That would be great if it's just S/C but horrible if it's both combined.  He does follow that up by saying we've enrolled over 800 in the last 7 or 8 days.  Maybe I'll hearing his ramblings incorrectly but more likely he is just misspeaking per usual.

 
adonis said:
If that's the case, I'm happy to be wrong.  Was under the impression from the call last monday that all this was happening this week.  Results, safety review, shareholder meeting, etc.
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The severe trial isn’t done. They’ve mentioned something about a preview of the results to potentially end it early or use the preliminary results for approval along with the phase 2.

NP just needed to be silent and then let the results speak for themselves. Do an interview after the results or as part of a company call.

 
adonis said:
If that's the case, I'm happy to be wrong.  Was under the impression from the call last monday that all this was happening this week.  Results, safety review, shareholder meeting, etc.
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It always takes longer to process trial data than people want it to take. I'd just tell everyone to ignore what anyone from the company is saying in terms of timelines. The data will get out there when it does. This one isn't huge in terms of participants, but there are numerous endpoints to study and make sure everything is correct. It could be a few days, or honestly it could be a few weeks. I'd be more surprised if we got full results before the end of the week. It isn't impossible, but I'd set that mental expectation rather than be sitting on pins and needles every day.

 
I am trying to understand today's PR and calculate some p-values based on the numbers.  Placebo had 28 participants and 11 SAEs for a success rate of 17/28.  Drug had 56 participants and 8 SAEs for a success rate of 48/56.

Here are the inputs and result from a two proportion hypothesis test.  It returns a p-value of ~0.0078 which is very significant.  However, this doesn't tell the entire tale because some patients had more than one SAE so the total number of placebo patients who had an SAE was 6/28 and total drug patients with an SAE was 5/56.  

I don't know how to adjust for the above--anyone have a suggestion.  Anyone have a suggestion?

 
JerseyToughGuys said:
maybe we really do need a second LL thread. 
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fruity pebbles said:
Seconded. I’ve got some shares but I liked this thread a lot better when it was about the actual stock market.
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Capella said:
I mean it’s totally overwhelmed this thread to the point where no other stonk has any chance of getting discussed. And I am as guilty of that as anybody. Chet should fire up a new one. 
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So I think this is the right thing to do.  It will make the Stock Thread a lot more useful and allow a place for 24/7 CYDY talk

https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/786660-official-chet-diddy-talk/

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Where would the stock be right now if Nadar had said last week:

" we will have the safety data out next week, and hope to have the efficacy data out the following week".

 
I didn't see a single non-CYDY question go unanswered. Not today, not in the last week or more that everyone's been complaining.  :shrug:  

 
kevzilla said:
I didn't see a single non-CYDY question go unanswered. Not today, not in the last week or more that everyone's been complaining.  :shrug:  
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Agreed. Two threads sucks. It was a big news day with the safety results. Woopideedoo. Without CYDY, this thread wouldn’t stay on the first page. 

 
chet said:
I am trying to understand today's PR and calculate some p-values based on the numbers.  Placebo had 28 participants and 11 SAEs for a success rate of 17/28.  Drug had 56 participants and 8 SAEs for a success rate of 48/56.

Here are the inputs and result from a two proportion hypothesis test.  It returns a p-value of ~0.0078 which is very significant.  However, this doesn't tell the entire tale because some patients had more than one SAE so the total number of placebo patients who had an SAE was 6/28 and total drug patients with an SAE was 5/56.  

I don't know how to adjust for the above--anyone have a suggestion.  Anyone have a suggestion?
Click to expand...
Sorry, can't help. I am decent at reading/interpreting. Not good at calculating.

 
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