Stock Thread (74 Viewers)

[BassNBrew]

BA should be there from that day. 

PPL was added to the list a while back as well. 

I would add KO and PEP to that list as well as XOM (if you want just one big oil company).

You won’t go wrong with that portfolio.  

BRK’B is something I would sell. 

@BassNBrew I am in all these positions on my list except CAT and I sold BRK'B

1. Welcome back.  I hope the move went well and you are enjoying your dream home.

2. I believe Comcast is on the list.

3. Did I convince you to sell BRK'B?

 

[Bob Sacamano]

What the hell is Barph-f?

 

[BassNBrew]

@Todem has been dealing out some great advice over the past few months. Thought I would revisit "his list". I think he posted an earlier list but I couldn't find it.  This is from March 27th. Prices listed are March 27th Close / Close Today / Increase (BTW - no losers!)

It would be great to see Todem's current take. What is still on the list, what has moved off and most importantly what has he added to it.

For reference S&P $2,541.47 / $3,257.30 / 28.166%

AMZN $1,900.10 / $3,138.29 / 65.164%

AAPL $247.74 / $388.00 / 56.616%

GOOGL $1,110.71 / $1,558.42 / 40.308%

NFLX $357.12 / $490.10 / 37.237%

FB $156.79 / $241.75 / 54.187%

INTC $52.37 / $61.47 / 17.376%

HD $190.55 / $262.42 / 37.717%

CSCO $38.82 / $47.35 / 21.973%

EXC $35.50 / $38.74 / 9.127%

LMT $348.38 / $375.12 / 7.676%

MSFT $149.70 / $208.75 / 39.446%

PFE $30.90 / $36.69 / 18.738%

PG $110.17 / $125.071 / 3.525%

TGT $94.74 / $120.20 / 26.874%

CAT $105.44 / $135.87 / 28.860%

PM $69.15 / $75.92 / 9.790%

MCD $164.01 / $193.19 / 17.792%

YUM $68.53 / $91.11 / 32.949%

DOW $28.56 $43.04 / 50.700%

BRK'B $179.66 / $192.27 / 7.019%

DEO $125.71 / $143.33 / 14.016%

GIS $51.82 / $64.50 / 24.469%

JPM $91.13 / $99.41 / 9.086%

PFE $30.90 / $36.79 / 19.061%

UTX $90.53 / $97.17 / 7.335%

EMR $45.58 / $63.79 / 39.952%

VZ $52.77  / $55.87 / 5.875%

T $29.84 / $30.21 / 1.240%

GCV $4.50 / $5.41 / 20.222%

PEO $8.49 / $11.93 / 40.518%

ADX $12.40 / $15.73 / 26.855%

Let's try to thin the list down for those of us wanting to add.  SP500 is up 28% over this time.  I've start by eliminating anything up 40% as the value shouldn't be there relative to the others.  I'll also eliminate anything Todem mentioned as off his list.

NFLX $357.12 / $490.10 / 37.237%

INTC $52.37 / $61.47 / 17.376%

HD $190.55 / $262.42 / 37.717%

CSCO $38.82 / $47.35 / 21.973%

EXC $35.50 / $38.74 / 9.127%

LMT $348.38 / $375.12 / 7.676%

MSFT $149.70 / $208.75 / 39.446%

PFE $30.90 / $36.69 / 18.738%

PG $110.17 / $125.071 / 3.525%

TGT $94.74 / $120.20 / 26.874%

PM $69.15 / $75.92 / 9.790%

MCD $164.01 / $193.19 / 17.792%

YUM $68.53 / $91.11 / 32.949%

DEO $125.71 / $143.33 / 14.016%

GIS $51.82 / $64.50 / 24.469%

JPM $91.13 / $99.41 / 9.086%

PFE $30.90 / $36.79 / 19.061%

UTX $90.53 / $97.17 / 7.335%

EMR $45.58 / $63.79 / 39.952%

VZ $52.77  / $55.87 / 5.875%

T $29.84 / $30.21 / 1.240%

GCV $4.50 / $5.41 / 20.222%

ADX $12.40 / $15.73 / 26.855%

So what sticks out here as the best adds.

 

[BassNBrew]

A little help on UTX.  I'm drawing a blank.

 

[Don't Noonan]

A little help on UTX.  I'm drawing a blank.

Now RTX after merger with Raytheon.

 

[eaganwildcats]

An interesting way to play bitcoin if you don’t want to actually deal with the headache of buying and subsequently not getting them stolen / losing them is to invest in $BRPHF aka Galaxy Digital Holdings. Current market cap is 62.9 million. Has around 80 million in bitcoin alone. Looks like first quarter wasn’t pretty trading but seems like there is upside in the investments above and beyond just the trading. 

This represents your ewildcat obscure ticker of the evening. 

@Bob Sacamano

 

[BassNBrew]

Excellent article for those looking for value dividend stocks...several on Todem's list.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4359257-build-ultimate-sleep-well-night-retirement-portfolio-15-high-yield-blue-chips

 

[Slapdash]

A very good day for the things I'm overweight today. Value is under-performing a lot though.

 

[BassNBrew]

A very good day for the things I'm overweight today. Value is under-performing a lot though.

Are you going to make the shift?

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

I don't know about everyone else, but I'll be talking about stocks (including CYDY) right here in this thread.

Is this like a version of the mask defiant shtick?

the CYDY thread is already four pages long. You are gonna FOMO in. 

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Half of my GOOGL retirement shares. Maybe I didn’t phrase it properly.

I had X number of GOOGL shares. Sold half of them to buy BA shares.

Id say I have 2-3% of my retirement in BA. 

Finally, there is 0 chance BA goes to 0.  Their manufacturing and operations infrastructure makes this impossible. 

Since you aren’t talking about valuation, that’s clearly not part of the equation.

so we are talking growth based on the rationale expressed.

you seriously think Boeing is going to grow more than Amazon.

I’m no stock genius but that seems ... bold. Kinda like calling the top way too early.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

@Todem has been dealing out some great advice over the past few months. Thought I would revisit "his list". I think he posted an earlier list but I couldn't find it.  This is from March 27th. Prices listed are March 27th Close / Close Today / Increase (BTW - no losers!)

It would be great to see Todem's current take. What is still on the list, what has moved off and most importantly what has he added to it.

For reference S&P $2,541.47 / $3,257.30 / 28.166%

AMZN $1,900.10 / $3,138.29 / 65.164%

AAPL $247.74 / $388.00 / 56.616%

GOOGL $1,110.71 / $1,558.42 / 40.308%

NFLX $357.12 / $490.10 / 37.237%

FB $156.79 / $241.75 / 54.187%

INTC $52.37 / $61.47 / 17.376%

HD $190.55 / $262.42 / 37.717%

CSCO $38.82 / $47.35 / 21.973%

EXC $35.50 / $38.74 / 9.127%

LMT $348.38 / $375.12 / 7.676%

MSFT $149.70 / $208.75 / 39.446%

PFE $30.90 / $36.69 / 18.738%

PG $110.17 / $125.071 / 3.525%

TGT $94.74 / $120.20 / 26.874%

CAT $105.44 / $135.87 / 28.860%

PM $69.15 / $75.92 / 9.790%

MCD $164.01 / $193.19 / 17.792%

YUM $68.53 / $91.11 / 32.949%

DOW $28.56 $43.04 / 50.700%

BRK'B $179.66 / $192.27 / 7.019%

DEO $125.71 / $143.33 / 14.016%

GIS $51.82 / $64.50 / 24.469%

JPM $91.13 / $99.41 / 9.086%

PFE $30.90 / $36.79 / 19.061%

UTX $90.53 / $97.17 / 7.335%

EMR $45.58 / $63.79 / 39.952%

VZ $52.77  / $55.87 / 5.875%

T $29.84 / $30.21 / 1.240%

GCV $4.50 / $5.41 / 20.222%

PEO $8.49 / $11.93 / 40.518%

ADX $12.40 / $15.73 / 26.855%

Interesting to note one of the biggest laggards. The bank. JPM.

banks will be a market that we are early cycle

 

[-OZ-]

Wait, you sold google for Boeing?  

Before lunch today i swapped half my retirement position in GOOGL for BA shares

I’m pretty heavy in tech already with AMZN and MSFT. I also love the duopoly and am not afraid of China. They don’t instill confide in me with their latest releases and forcing lower carriers to purchase those planes. 

You must like working.

I’m gambling that in 5 years those BA shares will be worth more than those GOOGL shares.

Most tech stocks have completely rebounded already. Many of them having all time highs.

Boeing?  Looks to me like a great 5-10 year investment.  Also, many plane owners retiring planes and some (like AMZN) already buying new ones. 

Could be a really good value play.

I like where you're going here.

There are multiple scenarios where the military portion of the company remains and shareholders get nothing or very little.

Highly doubtful. Maybe not implausible, but I'd bet on Boeing delivering value to it's shareholders for a while.

 

[Steeler]

banks will be a market that we are early cycle

can you explain what "early cycle" means?

 

[eaganwildcats]

For those with play money looking for potential big upside over the next few years - I've been slowly accumulating a position in $ORRCF (Oroco Resources). See more information here. And related videos here.

If copper prices keep climbing this could hit sooner rather than later. 

 

[-OZ-]

Let's try to thin the list down for those of us wanting to add.  SP500 is up 28% over this time.  I've start by eliminating anything up 40% as the value shouldn't be there relative to the others.  I'll al so o eliminate anything Todem mentioned as off his list.

Interesting. I'll generally prefer to let my winners ride. 

I bought 13 assets in my Roth IRA in late May, many of these I had previously but I went all in for these companies (2 ETFs).  (Return is for the quarter, so it won't be exactly right from May 26 for those I held earlier). I had sold some Tesla for Disney 2 weeks ago.

Sea limited - over 100%

Tesla - up basically 100%

QCLN  +69%

TDOC +40%

AMZN +28%

BABA +26%

SBIO +18%

Wolverine worldwide +17%

Discover +13%

Google +8%

Home Depot +6%

Disney -.3%

Overrall for the quarter +39%

Only loser here is Disney, and I suspect theyll be a laggard until the parks are fully operational.

Now the only real question is whether to rebalance again or to let it ride. But that would mean selling off Tesla, Sea limited, and QCLN. 

Another option I might take is selling some of the profits and adding FIVG, DEO, or LRNZ (one of my favorite ETFs currently in my trading account)

 

[sporthenry]

If I'm really being honest, feels like the great dump from institutions to retail is getting ready to conclude. Blow off top, mom and pop hopping in, fundamentals and reality completely detached. The ingredients appear to be there, and when you look for warning signs and say how did I miss it, I think greed took over. I'm just about at the point where I want to start taking some gains off the table. 

Meh, I'd like to think so. I think we could be here for a while. Where the market is devoid of fundamentals. The tail is wagging the dog. It's really the Fed that matters. HFs could play around but they love the carry trade. Why would they care that much if mom and pop are making a few % when they can play the carry game, lever it up and get their 10%, 15%, 20% returns. Think most would welcome a low vol return. 

 

[sporthenry]

Finally, there is 0 chance BA goes to 0.  Their manufacturing and operations infrastructure makes this impossible. 

This is just wrong. The value of operations are only one input into the value of the company. While I'd say it's unlikely that it goes bankrupt, it's not out of the realm of possibilities. If their liabilities outweigh their assets, they go bankrupt. They keep putting debt on and have more hiccups along the way, even with government support, the equity could still go to 0. Equity going belly up doesn't mean government gets hurt. They'll give them relief financing but the government doesn't want to be in this game and will do it as a last resort to avoid bankruptcy and the disruptions / costs associated with it. They also know the executives have been making millions so bailing out their stock would be political suicide. 

Maybe it's just semantics but there is a chance it could go to 0. The support both explicitly and implicitly from the government reduce that chance. I'd say that is already priced into the stock. But one, I don't think anyone should invest in a stock at $170 on the basis it won't go to 0. Still a lot of bad outcomes in between. But two, bankruptcy doesn't mean it goes away. You can still rent a car at Hertz. 

 

[Slapdash]

Are you going to make the shift?

Still have a lot of cash personally based on what I freed up in late May. Have been splitting reinvestment between the index and the value stocks with good dividends for a couple of months. Happy with the prices but it keeps underperforming the index.

Wary I'm waiting on a broader pullback that is not going to happen while I'm building massive cash locked down. Always looking for good long term value over here.

 

[BassNBrew]

Interesting. I'll generally prefer to let my winners ride. 

I bought 13 assets in my Roth IRA in late May, many of these I had previously but I went all in for these companies (2 ETFs).  (Return is for the quarter, so it won't be exactly right from May 26 for those I held earlier). I had sold some Tesla for Disney 2 weeks ago.

Sea limited - over 100%

Tesla - up basically 100%

QCLN  +69%

TDOC +40%

AMZN +28%

BABA +26%

SBIO +18%

Wolverine worldwide +17%

Discover +13%

Google +8%

Home Depot +6%

Disney -.3%

Overrall for the quarter +39%

Only loser here is Disney, and I suspect theyll be a laggard until the parks are fully operational.

Now the only real question is whether to rebalance again or to let it ride. But that would mean selling off Tesla, Sea limited, and QCLN. 

Another option I might take is selling some of the profits and adding FIVG, DEO, or LRNZ (one of my favorite ETFs currently in my trading account)

Most of the posters discussing Todem's master list have been talking about Todem's list as a retreat from stocks they feel are overvalued to value and dividend plays. If you're of the mindset that the market is overvalued, then investing in Tesla at these prices isn't an option.

ETA - Todem has scored some big hits on his list.  I'm thinking the laggards were exactly that and not misses.  If I'm being selective, I want to be in the stocks he felt had more run in them rather than those than already ran unless there's a fundamental reason why they should no longer be on the list.

 

[Todem]

1. Welcome back.  I hope the move went well and you are enjoying your dream home.

2. I believe Comcast is on the list.

3. Did I convince you to sell BRK'B?

Gave it a long hard look and felt you made a great case to dump it. 

A lagger for a little while now. I can mitigate risk in other asset classes than hang on to BRK’B which I have owned for a very long time and did rally well in. But it has zero yield......and acts like a value stock without the value anymore.

 

[Freak Show]

Wasn't STWD on Todem's list?

 

[bshell27]

For those with play money looking for potential big upside over the next few years - I've been slowly accumulating a position in $ORRCF (Oroco Resources). See more information here. And related videos here.

If copper prices keep climbing this could hit sooner rather than later. 

Big jump last March when they acquired property.  Then big fall and another big rise.  I can’t see why it has climbed back up to 52 week high?

 

[caustic]

Another option I might take is selling some of the profits and adding FIVG, DEO, or LRNZ (one of my favorite ETFs currently in my trading account)

I was 100% expecting this to be Five Guys stock when I looked it up. The actual result was way more interesting.  

 

[KGB]

TSLA earnings report tomorrow. 

Inclusion into the Sp500? 

Crash and burn? 

I'm holding.  Wish me luck

 

[FreeBaGeL]

TSLA earnings report tomorrow. 

Inclusion into the Sp500? 

Crash and burn? 

I'm holding.  Wish me luck

I'm also holding.

Godspeed.

 

[Caesar]

@BassNBrew

you said give a heads up next time I see something. ACHV was up 25% yesterday and at one point up another 25% pre-market. Trading just at $.60. High volume. On the NASDAQ. 
I can’t find news more recent than 3 weeks ago. 
it might be worth a look. No real reason for the jump except maybe earnings report coming in a couple weeks. 

 

[-OZ-]

I was 100% expecting this to be Five Guys stock when I looked it up. The actual result was way more interesting.  

Don't get me wrong, I do like five guys.

 

[stbugs]

TSLA earnings report tomorrow. 

Inclusion into the Sp500? 

Crash and burn? 

I'm holding.  Wish me luck

What an implosion that would be if they post a loss and this don’t get in the S&P. I don’t think that will happen but so much of this run up is just that, a huge amount of index funds buying because of the assumed inclusion. There would be a large amount of selling.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

How does one get the ability to short an OTC?

Common sense?

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

can you explain what "early cycle" means?

Early-cycle phase: Generally a sharp recovery from recession, marked by an inflection from negative to positive growth in economic activity (e.g., gross domestic product, industrial production), then an accelerating growth rate. Credit conditions stop tightening amid easy monetary policy, creating a healthy environment for rapid margin expansion and profit growth. Business inventories are low, while sales growth improves significantly.

 

[identikit]

Is this like a version of the mask defiant shtick?

the CYDY thread is already four pages long. You are gonna FOMO in. 

You're right.

Putting on my mask.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

It's good to have the stock thread back. Sorry, not Sorry. 

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Early-cycle phase: Generally a sharp recovery from recession, marked by an inflection from negative to positive growth in economic activity (e.g., gross domestic product, industrial production), then an accelerating growth rate. Credit conditions stop tightening amid easy monetary policy, creating a healthy environment for rapid margin expansion and profit growth. Business inventories are low, while sales growth improves significantly.

Though, who knows if macro economic theory applies anymore with the massive amount of manipulation via MMT, QE, QT, PPP, etc etc etc

 

[Big League Chew]

i see people posting about (just reported this stock just had a huge buy of 250,000)

where / how do you see these stats?

 

[matuski]

i see people posting about (just reported this stock just had a huge buy of 250,000)

where / how do you see these stats?

On the charts below the price you see a bar chart with the volume.

eta - mouse over the bars at bottom of chart

 

[JoeSteeler]

Someone in here had BRPHF with me

I got in 500 shares a few weeks ago

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Anyone own any individual Silver miner stocks? 

 

[shadrap]

Anyone own any individual Silver miner stocks? 

Not sure if this qualifies but it is a mining stock----NAK.    I touted this(actually mentioned it) about a year ago.  It's up 351% since I bought it.  I'm not even close to being a savy investor but this thread has expanded my knowledge lots.

In unrelated news I bought quite a bit of RDS(Royal Dutch Shell) for the dividend.  When oil prices tanked they announced no more dividends.  So it's down 40% & no dividend.  The best laid plans and all.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Anyone scooping up more Microsoft here in hopes of a pop, or is a good quarter presumed and already baked into the price?

 

[I-ROK]

Anyone here invest in cannabis stocks? Which ones?

 

[Caesar]

Anyone here invest in cannabis stocks? Which ones?

I have a small position in GRWG.  

which of course is the wrong one I was thinking of.  

 

[CR69]

Man I should have added KO when it dropped under 44. I was betting on earnings dropping it under 42, got that one wrong. 

 

[beef]

Anyone getting in on Bill Ackman's SPAC, or any rumors on what might be?  Opens today.  

Ackman's SPAC, Pershing Square Tontine Holdings, will initially trade under the ticker PSTH.U. Within a few months, the units will split and shares and warrants can be traded separately, under the symbols PSTH and PSTH.WS, respectively.  

The SPAC will have even more cash at its disposal to pursue potential merger targets over the next two years. Pershing Square also has a forward purchase agreement to acquire between $1 billion and $3 billion of additional units at the time of an eventual combination. That means that Ackman, who is CEO of the SPAC, could have as much as $7 billion at his disposal.

Pershing Square Tontine Holdings intends to seek a minority position in a "private, large capitalization, high-quality, growth company," according to its IPO filings. That includes "mature unicorns," which are privately owned and possibly venture capital-backed tech companies that have ballooned to large valuations and moved past the peak loss-making stage of their growth. Some have suggested Airbnb and Palantir as possible targets in that mold. Large family-owned businesses are also potential targets. Bloomberg LP has been the most-commonly cited name there.

In addition to Pershing Square Tontine Holdings' massive size, the offering includes several innovations in SPAC terms. By convention, SPAC units tend to IPO at $10 each, and include a common share and a fraction of a warrant exercisable at $11.50 -- often one-half or as low as one-fifth, depending on the quality of the sponsor.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

Anyone getting in on Bill Ackman's SPAC, or any rumors on what might be?  Opens today.  

I thought it wouldn't be tradeable until some time in August?

I don't think there are any solid rumors about what it might be.  A lot of people are guessing Rivian or Impossible Foods, but those are just guesses.

It's going to open up at double the price SPACs usually do, but I think it will still run up a bit after it opens as it has a lot of people's attention.

 

[Bluto Blutarsky]

Anyone here invest in cannabis stocks? Which ones?

Got a little YCBD  

 

[BassNBrew]

Took my profit on Albertsons and closed the position.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

Anyone getting in on Bill Ackman's SPAC, or any rumors on what might be?  Opens today.  

Looks like you are right and the units go up today.  I'm going to dive in for some.  It's going to be a ride one way or the other.

 

[beef]

I thought it wouldn't be tradeable until some time in August?

I don't think there are any solid rumors about what it might be.  A lot of people are guessing Rivian or Impossible Foods, but those are just guesses.

It's going to open up at double the price SPACs usually do, but I think it will still run up a bit after it opens as it has a lot of people's attention.

You're probably right about not being tradeable yet.  Read too quick and see it's just the PSTH-U for now.  And right about the hype this thing will probably get since it's Ackman.

 

[beef]

Looks like you are right and the units go up today.  I'm going to dive in for some.  It's going to be a ride one way or the other.

If I can get in on some PSTH.U I'll tag along.  Not sure my account will have access to it or TD will offer.