Stock Thread (19 Viewers)

[BassNBrew]

Courts just halted the tariffs and stocks took off. Tomorrow has potential.

This has been a generational wealth building opportunity. Although I didn't vote for this, the current policies implemmanation/de-implemmanation has been yuge for me.

Can you weigh in on if the funds collected "illegally" going to be returned to the companies they were collected from?

 

[Sand]

Never owned NVDA until this year as I had checked out on stocks from 2021 until last December for the most part. Thank you Tariff Tantrum for $92.xx NVDA shares.

Grabbed a decent pile at a hundred. Awesomeness.

 

[Capella]

Yea bought a bunch of nvda at 102 average over the last few months. May unload at 150 and pay for some vacations.

 

[ghostguy123]

Bought

AMZN - Jeff, save a seat next to you at the next board meeting. Now at 18% of my account.
AVGO
NVDA
VRT -
AXON
MSFT

Sold all my TECS at a 20% gain.

Sold LYB, bought more MSFT. I still like LYB, but decided this gap down on MSFT was very investable.

Thats a pretty good idea. You don’t make friends with salad and you dont retire early with LYB

Wish I had trimmed every last bit of my non-tech stuff. Oh well.

Well, in mine andy wife's Roth account we are at like 85% cash.
So......buy up a bunch tomorrow? Wait for a further drop??

What do you think the absolute downside is?

Zero clue.
This isn't a huge amount of money though. Our Roth accounts combined are only like 1/10 what I have in my 403b, which just stays 100% equities.

If you keep it in cash forever then it will stay small. When NVDA is $160 at the end of the year are you won't remember if you bought it at $105, $100, $90, or even $80, but you will remember that you screwed up by not buying it.

Hope your backed up the bus @ghostguy123

I did.................not

 

[Todem]

And to think I was getting some shade from some non regulars in here because I was telling everyone to jump in during the height of the Tariff Tantrum.

Amateurs I tell you.

 

[BassNBrew]

And to think I was getting some shade from some non regulars in here because I was telling everyone to jump in during the height of the Tariff Tantrum.

Amateurs I tell you.

But hedge funds and big banks were all selling while stupid retail was buying.

Special shout to the peeps who claimed this was going to worse than Covid.

Mark Mobius, the veteran emerging-markets investor and co-founder of Mobius Capital Partners, stated in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Wednesday, April 30, 2025, that 95% of his funds are held in cash. He emphasized, "At this stage, cash is king," citing trade-related uncertainties as the reason for this conservative stance. Morningstar+8Business Insider+8The Economic Times+8Bloomberg+6Investing.com+6Bloomberg Government+6


Mobius expressed concerns over escalating trade tensions, particularly the new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, which have introduced significant market volatility and raised fears of inflation and recession. He mentioned that he plans to hold this high level of cash for no more than three to four months and is eyeing investment opportunities in emerging markets, especially in countries like India, once the trade situation stabilizes. The Economic Times+1Business Insider Africa+1


This cautious approach mirrors that of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, which has significantly increased its cash holdings over the past two years. As of the third quarter, Berkshire's cash reserves have exceeded $300 billion, reflecting a similar strategy of maintaining liquidity amid market uncertainties.

I feel kind of dumb for moving from 7% cash to 9-10% today. Just feel naked without any cash to deploy when the market manipulation or next tantrum hits.

 

[Runkle]

My only regret is that I didn't have more dry powder to deploy. I've been throwing cash into this market with a shovel for months. I've raided the piggy banks and the couch cushions and all the margin I could get. I would have liked it to go a few more months so I could have unlocked some tied-up reserves I'd just been waiting to vest.

 

[Sparky Polastri]

Courts just halted the tariffs and stocks took off. Tomorrow has potential.

This is life for at least the next year. Maybe it will calm a bit in the midterms if power shifts. Until then, its feels feels and more feels. Fundamentals be damned. Thanks Algos!!!!!

 

[BassNBrew]

Courts just halted the tariffs and stocks took off. Tomorrow has potential.

This is life for at least the next year. Maybe it will calm a bit in the midterms if power shifts. Until then, its feels feels and more feels. Fundamentals be damned. Thanks Algos!!!!!

What fundamentals are you concerned about. Earnings growing for most of these companies. Economic indicators at least fair. Feds in a good position interest rate wise. Deregulation coming. Outside of our massive spending problem, there's not much to be damned at this time.

 

[Sparky Polastri]

Courts just halted the tariffs and stocks took off. Tomorrow has potential.

This is life for at least the next year. Maybe it will calm a bit in the midterms if power shifts. Until then, its feels feels and more feels. Fundamentals be damned. Thanks Algos!!!!!

What fundamentals are you concerned about. Earnings growing for most of these companies. Economic indicators at least fair. Feds in a good position interest rate wise. Deregulation coming. Outside of our massive spending problem, there's not much to be damned at this time.

Again, not concerned. Just know that they aren't the main driver in the circus these days.

 

[Sand]

And to think I was getting some shade from some non regulars in here because I was telling everyone to jump in during the height of the Tariff Tantrum.

Amateurs I tell you.

Wall of worry to the tower of worry, now back to the wall of worry.

I put in about 1%. Slow and steady.

 

[fruity pebbles]

Surprised futures aren’t up a lot more to be honest.

 

[Todem]

Surprised futures aren’t up a lot more to be honest.

It does not know is this good? Is it bad? Is it going to drag on now a lot longer instead of being negotiated out.

If you think about it…..more uncertainty lies ahead vs clarity. Which will create again more long term opportunities in the market.

Now this IMO will be tied up in courts for a while.

 

[Sand]

Surprised futures aren’t up a lot more to be honest.

IMO this was mostly baked in. The chances that this would be the outcome were very high according to everything I read before this trial.

 

[The Z Machine]

Surprised futures aren’t up a lot more to be honest.

It does not know is this good? Is it bad? Is it going to drag on now a lot longer instead of being negotiated out.

If you think about it…..more uncertainty lies ahead vs clarity. Which will create again more long term opportunities in the market.

Now this IMO will be tied up in courts for a while.

If there is an injunction, then 1) money might be refunded for tariffs paid that shouldn't have been, and 2) Q3 earnings are not likely to be impacted as much as previously thought.

But your point remains, this uncertainty makes it quite hard for businesses to plan and act. There's a lot of burned effort (and possibly capital) trying to rejigger supply chains.

 

[Nick Vermeil]

Surprised futures aren’t up a lot more to be honest.

It does not know is this good? Is it bad? Is it going to drag on now a lot longer instead of being negotiated out.

If you think about it…..more uncertainty lies ahead vs clarity. Which will create again more long term opportunities in the market.

Now this IMO will be tied up in courts for a while.

If there is an injunction, then 1) money might be refunded for tariffs paid that shouldn't have been, and 2) Q3 earnings are not likely to be impacted as much as previously thought.

But your point remains, this uncertainty makes it quite hard for businesses to plan and act. There's a lot of burned effort (and possibly capital) trying to rejigger supply chains.

Anecdotal, and I do not work at a publicly traded company, but pretty much all I've worked on the past 2 months is tariff related issues. It has effected every part of our business and we have had to bake the tariffs into our retail for the long term. It will be hard to roll them back without clarity. All this news means to me is I've got many more months of uncertainty ahead.

 

[Nugget]

Betting bond yields calm a bit. In TMF at 33.70 this morning.

Exiting now as I don't know where yields go from here. With the extra uncertainty, shifting to SOXS @11.90.

 

[BassNBrew]

ELF up 25% today. I dont get it, but will take it. Thats a 45% swing in less than a day.

 

[kevzilla]

I have this One Weird Trick where I convince myself that my poorly-timed buy was only a half-position, and I double down at minus 30-40%. In my defense, it worked like a charm on AMZN and BX.

Having said all that, does anyone have a long stick, so I can find the bottom on UAMY? TIA.

 

[Desert_Power]

I sold about a quarter of my core NVDA position yesterday at 137. Not unhappy the rest of it is going up, just wanted to realize some of those massive gains from 22. Can't time them all.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

When people suggest I put money in miners, I used to listen. Now I just punch them in the neck and light some money on fire. It saves time.

Bump for Kev

 

[Bob Sacamano]

(I still bought tin)

 

[Todem]

Took another nibble into CRM today.

QCOM also looks cheap.

 

[MTskibum]

Going to lose 2 of 5 of my team, my best developer got a retirement package that they will sign. They wanted to work 2 more years, but if they don't take it there is no protecting them regardless of how good they are.

They spent 10+ years working on the software, it was so easy to explain enhancement's/big fixes.

:-(

 

[General Malaise]

I have this One Weird Trick where I convince myself that my poorly-timed buy was only a half-position, and I double down at minus 30-40%. In my defense, it worked like a charm on AMZN and BX.

Having said all that, does anyone have a long stick, so I can find the bottom on UAMY? TIA.

My cost basis is $1.63 and yeah, I probably should have sold half when it doubled but I didn't. Nor will I sell absent any sort of horrible news or something that spooks me like China reversing course on their critical metal policies.

I'm in this thing because I think the catalysts ahead are positive: Joining the Russell Microcap Index this year, increased earnings and revenue, very little domestic competition, increased smelter capacity, potential grants from Dept of Defense, upgraded price targets across several brokerage shops.

Plus, I think the CEO is a ringer. And, not to get political, but he knows how to play nice with the likes of the Money Honey and has access to the key cogs in our administration. He has had some major successes prior to this (and a dud) but the guy is a serial entrepreneur who knows how to pilot a growth company. Right jockey for the horse, so to speak.

Sure would like to see it reach the price targets on the lofty side but know this one could also test patience of shareholders.

 

[McBokonon]

Took another nibble into CRM today.

This is been on my watchlist for about two years and I finally bought today, too. Agentforce looks like it could be something.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I like to buy and hold long-term, but for some reason this has never qualified as a long-term hold for me. Too much noise? Not sure why. I've been in and out of it a few times since '20. Just missed a buy in '24 after an earnings pummeling. Before it took off, of course. Willing to be sociable here.

 

[BassNBrew]

I have this One Weird Trick where I convince myself that my poorly-timed buy was only a half-position, and I double down at minus 30-40%. In my defense, it worked like a charm on AMZN and BX.

Having said all that, does anyone have a long stick, so I can find the bottom on UAMY? TIA.

My cost basis is $1.63 and yeah, I probably should have sold half when it doubled but I didn't. Nor will I sell absent any sort of horrible news or something that spooks me like China reversing course on their critical metal policies.

I'm in this thing because I think the catalysts ahead are positive: Joining the Russell Microcap Index this year, increased earnings and revenue, very little domestic competition, increased smelter capacity, potential grants from Dept of Defense, upgraded price targets across several brokerage shops.

Plus, I think the CEO is a ringer. And, not to get political, but he knows how to play nice with the likes of the Money Honey and has access to the key cogs in our administration. He has had some major successes prior to this (and a dud) but the guy is a serial entrepreneur who knows how to pilot a growth company. Right jockey for the horse, so to speak.

Sure would like to see it reach the price targets on the lofty side but know this one could also test patience of shareholders.

@General Malaise

Any thoughts on this company?

MP Materials Corp. produces specialty materials that are vital inputs for electrification and other advanced technologies. The Company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing Facility (Mountain Pass) located in California. It is also developing a rare earth metal, alloy and magnet manufacturing facility in Fort Worth, Texas (Independence Facility). The Company’s segments include Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment operates Mountain Pass, which produces refined rare earth products as well as rare earth concentrate and related products. The Materials segment primarily generates revenue from sales of rare earth concentrate, primarily sold for further distribution to a single, principal customer in China, and sales of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal, primarily sold to customers in Japan, South Korea, and broader Asia. The Magnetics segment operates the Independence Facility, where it produces magnetic precursor products.

 

[General Malaise]

I have this One Weird Trick where I convince myself that my poorly-timed buy was only a half-position, and I double down at minus 30-40%. In my defense, it worked like a charm on AMZN and BX.

Having said all that, does anyone have a long stick, so I can find the bottom on UAMY? TIA.

My cost basis is $1.63 and yeah, I probably should have sold half when it doubled but I didn't. Nor will I sell absent any sort of horrible news or something that spooks me like China reversing course on their critical metal policies.

I'm in this thing because I think the catalysts ahead are positive: Joining the Russell Microcap Index this year, increased earnings and revenue, very little domestic competition, increased smelter capacity, potential grants from Dept of Defense, upgraded price targets across several brokerage shops.

Plus, I think the CEO is a ringer. And, not to get political, but he knows how to play nice with the likes of the Money Honey and has access to the key cogs in our administration. He has had some major successes prior to this (and a dud) but the guy is a serial entrepreneur who knows how to pilot a growth company. Right jockey for the horse, so to speak.

Sure would like to see it reach the price targets on the lofty side but know this one could also test patience of shareholders.

@General Malaise

Any thoughts on this company?

MP Materials Corp. produces specialty materials that are vital inputs for electrification and other advanced technologies. The Company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing Facility (Mountain Pass) located in California. It is also developing a rare earth metal, alloy and magnet manufacturing facility in Fort Worth, Texas (Independence Facility). The Company’s segments include Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment operates Mountain Pass, which produces refined rare earth products as well as rare earth concentrate and related products. The Materials segment primarily generates revenue from sales of rare earth concentrate, primarily sold for further distribution to a single, principal customer in China, and sales of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal, primarily sold to customers in Japan, South Korea, and broader Asia. The Magnetics segment operates the Independence Facility, where it produces magnetic precursor products.

I had plenty of thoughts on this 15 years ago as a shareholder of Neo Materials, which was bought by MP. But then MP fell apart, bad management, REE price collapse, etc and I left. I never revisited and can see an argument for it now that it's the big domestic player of REE (and has been) and seems to be ramping up operations. We don't own it as a firm and I think there's better gambles out there in metals and mining. They aren't profitable, which underscores just how expensive the REE game is and why China dominates the space.

Any accountants out there want to take a look at their financials and opine? I see loss after loss after loss but not an accountant and haven't slept in a Holiday Inn in years.

 

[General Malaise]

FYI, Mountain Pass has been producing REE for decades - chiefly europium which was used in the production of color TVs back in the 60s. All you owners of Curtis Mathis and Zenith TVs back in the halcyon days of America can thank Mountain Pass for seeing Marsha Brady in full color.

 

[kevzilla]

I am also in MP, lol. If they start filling PO #1 for finished neodymium/praseodymium magnets to General Motors in the back half of the year, I might sell on the news.

 

[Todem]

Trade update

TTD - sell
CRM - buy

Rotate this trade

 

[General Malaise]

Trade update

TTD - sell
CRM - buy

Rotate this trade

Done your way, cowboy.

 

[BassNBrew]

I am also in MP, lol. If they start filling PO #1 for finished neodymium/praseodymium magnets to General Motors in the back half of the year, I might sell on the news.

I took a starter position a couple of weeks ago and another nibble at 5% down. I feel like the pieces are in place for a pop on some news.

To GM's points, the income statement looks like crap and the balance sheet isn't great either. Not sure how building the processing plant in Texas is impact this. China not sending us material should help it but I wouldn't be surprised at some dilution.

 

[The Z Machine]

Took another nibble into CRM today.

QCOM also looks cheap.

Tailing here

 

[Berlin]

New here and sitting in the cheap seats……
Love this valuable thread.

Any takes on $NVTS?

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-05-28/navitas-rides-nvidia-coattails-with-energy-partnership-video

 

[Dezbelief]

Courts just halted the tariffs and stocks took off. Tomorrow has potential.

And they're back

https://www.reuters.com/business/us-ruling-that-trump-tariffs-are-unlawful-stirs-relief-uncertainty-2025-05-29/

May 29 (Reuters) - A federal appeals court on Thursday reinstated the most sweeping of President Donald Trump's tariffs, a day after a trade court had ruled Trump had exceeded his authority in imposing the duties and had ordered an immediate block on them.
An order from the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington provided no opinion or reasoning but directed the plaintiffs in the case to respond by June 5 and the administration by June 9

 

[Maik Jeaunz]

Courts just halted the tariffs and stocks took off. Tomorrow has potential.

And they're back

https://www.reuters.com/business/us-ruling-that-trump-tariffs-are-unlawful-stirs-relief-uncertainty-2025-05-29/

May 29 (Reuters) - A federal appeals court on Thursday reinstated the most sweeping of President Donald Trump's tariffs, a day after a trade court had ruled Trump had exceeded his authority in imposing the duties and had ordered an immediate block on them.
An order from the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington provided no opinion or reasoning but directed the plaintiffs in the case to respond by June 5 and the administration by June 9

be careful standing on any rugs!

 

[kevzilla]

I doubled down on UAMY at $2.35, new cost basis $2.88. At $5 we'll all look back and laugh.

 

[General Malaise]

I doubled down on UAMY at $2.35, new cost basis $2.88. At $5 we'll all look back and laugh.

I bought more today too.

 

[General Malaise]

I doubled down on UAMY at $2.35, new cost basis $2.88. At $5 we'll all look back and laugh.

I bought more today too.

Did not double down though. Jesus, Kevin.

If this hits, I'll see you in Vegas. Just got word a certain band that I saw recently in Vegas is extending into the Spring of '26 and I just happen to know a guy.

Let's go!!!!!

 

[kevzilla]

All the mining plays are in my Little Orphan IRA, but IN

 

[Ridgeback]

@General Malaise - what's your strategy with UAMY? Long-term hold, or trade at a certain strike price? Forgive me if you've stated it before. I'm thinking about going in for a small dip.

 

[Sand]

There were questions in here a bit back on bonds and losing money on those. This article goes into duration effects on individual and bond funds about price action and how you can avoid losing money if you hold long enough (and why). Good, concise article on this and why duration is pretty important when you're choosing a bond fund.

Why You Don’t Lose Money in Bonds (If You Wait Long Enough)

Why losses in individual bonds are only temporary and the challenge of bond funds.

ofdollarsanddata.com

 

[Ridgeback]

There were questions in here a bit back on bonds and losing money on those. This article goes into duration effects on individual and bond funds about price action and how you can avoid losing money if you hold long enough (and why). Good, concise article on this and why duration is pretty important when you're choosing a bond fund.

Why You Don’t Lose Money in Bonds (If You Wait Long Enough)

Why losses in individual bonds are only temporary and the challenge of bond funds.

ofdollarsanddata.com

If only that applied to TLT. FML.

 

[General Malaise]

@General Malaise - what's your strategy with UAMY? Long-term hold, or trade at a certain strike price? Forgive me if you've stated it before. I'm thinking about going in for a small dip.

No real strategy at the moment. The thesis for buying it remains the same - the world is short on antimony which is a critical metal for military use and flame retardant and UAMY is about the only game in town domestically. I added a little more yesterday but think I've got enough for the time being. I'd sure like to see it stabilize in here but volume is pretty light right now, so it's not being sold off hard, just drifting down a little lower in a red market.

 

[Nugget]

Betting bond yields calm a bit. In TMF at 33.70 this morning.

Exiting now as I don't know where yields go from here. With the extra uncertainty, shifting to SOXS @11.90.

Out before the weekend. Quick 12%.

 

[McBokonon]

No real strategy at the moment.

That's all I needed to hear. :allin:

 

[identikit]

Hello again UAMY

 

[General Malaise]

Hello again UAMY

Big liftoff this morning, but drifting back down on quite heavy volume. Short covering, maybe? I dunno.