Stock Thread (39 Viewers)

[identikit]

Anyone here still holding on to DIS and AMT? They've been anchors for me since I've got them.

Formerly holding

 

[BassNBrew]

Anyone here still holding on to DIS and AMT? They've been anchors for me since I've got them.

I tossed out the idea of swapping all my DIS at a healthy loss for NVDA back in April/May when they were both within a couple of bucks of each other. Thankfully I received good advice here and made the swap. I wouldn't suggest that now, but I would suggest looking for an exit. Disney is at the same price it was in 2015. If you aren't in stocks that have 20% annual upside, I don't think the risk is worth it with so many high yield fixed income options. I would make a large wager that Amazon, Meta, AMD, GOOG, and MST all beat Disney over the next five years. I don't know enough about Disney's near term prospects to suggest an exit time.

Also Disney just took a 70% stake in Fubo. IMO they should stick to parks and creating content, not distributing it.

 

[Sand]

AMZN, MSTR, KTOS, CLS pushing ye olde gamboooling account up bigly this morning.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

AMZN, MSTR, KTOS, CLS pushing ye olde gamboooling account up bigly this morning.

This is like finding out your accountant friend is dating a stripper.

 

[steelerfan1]

Anyone here still holding on to DIS and AMT? They've been anchors for me since I've got them.

I tossed out the idea of swapping all my DIS at a healthy loss for NVDA back in April/May when they were both within a couple of bucks of each other. Thankfully I received good advice here and made the swap. I wouldn't suggest that now, but I would suggest looking for an exit. Disney is at the same price it was in 2015. If you aren't in stocks that have 20% annual upside, I don't think the risk is worth it with so many high yield fixed income options. I would make a large wager that Amazon, Meta, AMD, GOOG, and MST all beat Disney over the next five years. I don't know enough about Disney's near term prospects to suggest an exit time.

Also Disney just took a 70% stake in Fubo. IMO they should stick to parks and creating content, not distributing it.

down 36% in DIS and 24% in AMT. Luckily it's only 2% total of our holdings, but with META being down the last couple days really considering just selling both now and dumping it into that...

 

[Sand]

AMZN, MSTR, KTOS, CLS pushing ye olde gamboooling account up bigly this morning.

This is like finding out your accountant friend is dating a stripper.

Not quite the right dancing, but close enough.

 

[jamny]

I bought some CABA earlier this week after reading some recommendations over the weekend and looking at the chart. Been trending sideways the past few days, just hoping the next move is upward. Will have some good room to run if it is.

Bio's are always volatile but this one seems to have a solid reputation and had a lot of recommends.
Nice pop today!

 

[General Malaise]

I see you little Hydrograph.

 

[McBokonon]

Anyone in FUBO? This one has been on my radar for a while but haven't pulled trigger, down 18% today after earnings.

Yep, they are losing money but an important thing is their subscribers and that is going up.

I have zero interest in it whatsoever and can't see how they'll truly differentiate in the main two crowded markets they are attempting to compete in, but Beth Kindig (I mentioned her a few pages back as a super smart tech person worth following) is really bullish on FUBO. I'm going to let her be right while I stay on the sidelines. The fact she likes it so much is the only reason I even pay attention to them.

I correctly trashed FUBO as an investment over and over in this thread, but as I posted in the YTTV thread:

“Just signed up for a free trial of FUBO becauseof this and the picture quality is light years ahead of YTTV. I don’t want to switch but it’s a much tougher decision now.”

My g/f even noticed independently and she doesn’t notice these things.

Bad investment but great product so far (like Weber.)

 

[FreeBaGeL]

Also added Adobe on the weakness....

Adobe falls despite Wall Street analysts' positive commentary after MAX event

Oct. 29, 2025 12:07 PM ETAdobe Inc. (ADBE) StockGOOG, GOOGL, OPENAIBy: Ravikash Bakolia, SA News Editor

• 
  
• https://seekingalpha.com/news/45103...ve-commentary-after-max-event#scroll_comments

Welcome to Seeking Alpha!
Articles on ADBE are available to you for free for the next 30 days.

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Wall Street analysts largely had positive views after attending Adobe's (ADBE) MAX event, but some did note that an "AI existential threat may continue to weigh on the stock" in the near term.

Shares of Adobe fell about 6% on Wednesday.

Piper Sandler maintained its Overweight rating and $470 price target on Adobe's stock.

"We were encouraged by the rapid pace of innovation on display at Adobe MAX in Los Angeles, but acknowledge the AI existential threat may continue to weigh on the stock near term, especially given AI adoption and monetization remain in the early innings," said analysts led by Hannah Rudoff.

The analysts noted that the robust product innovation pipeline and open ecosystem, coupled with enforcement of generative credit limits (which recently started), could position Adobe as a better business a year from now. The addition of total annual recurring revenue, or ARR, as a new key performance indicator, or KPI, to anchor investors could help bring clarity to the story over the coming quarters, according to the analysts.

Stifel kept its Buy rating and $480 price target on Adobe.

Analysts led by J. Parker Lane said that based on their experience at MAX and recent customer conversations, GenAI adoption in the creative space is much further along than other industries.

With that, GenAI advancements dominated the longer-than normal, three-hour MAX keynote and following investor session. More specifically than "genAI", a key focus area of the event was third party models and partnerships. By hosting the majority of state-of-the-art genAI models natively, and simultaneously developing its own Firefly models, Adobe continues to solidify itself as the Creative OS for the coming years, the analysts added.

"The waters ahead remain muddy as forward-looking fears around seat counts in creative departments and competition are difficult to disprove, but we see Adobe actively improving its competitive positioning through web and mobile developments and expect the company's positioning as the creative system of record for businesses to remain durable," said Lane and his team.

RBC Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating on Adobe with a $430 price target.

"We had the opportunity to attend Adobe Max and came away impressed with the strategic focus on establishing a broader ecosystem for content creation and distribution. Expanded partnerships, embedding additional models, workflow automation and AI assistants all seem well suited for enterprises to both create and capture value through generative design," said analyst Matthew Swanson and his team.

The analysts noted that Adobe highlighted new products and partnerships around its Creative Cloud suite. From an investor standpoint, the analysts believe partnerships were the most material positives including embedded models and expanded partnerships with Alphabet's (GOOG) (GOOGL) Google and OpenAI (OPENAI) showing demos of integrations for both YouTube and ChatGPT.

In terms of financials, the company reiterated both fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 guidance. While no numbers were given, management did lay out the metrics they will report and guide to in fiscal 2026, including total Adobe ARR which will be guided to annually.

Swanson and his team added that while not quantifying momentum, Adobe's management noted that they are seeing seat expansion as well as an "explosion" of content creation.

"Overall, we viewed the event as a step forward in articulating the long-term strategy around generative AI which is increasingly focused around providing an ecosystem and a consistent digital record for creative content regardless where it is created," said the analysts.

ADBE is an insane case. With alllllll of this crazy AI spending in the industry, Adobe are pretty much the only ones that have made a truly amazing/improved product out of it. As a regular Adobe user what they've managed to do with AI already is absolutely insane, and genuinely massively useful.

Yet over that same period, the stock is down 50% because all that incredible product innovation has done is allow them to hold on to current users by making sure someone else didn't beat them to it and replace their staple product, essentially just protecting already existing revenue while massively raising their expenses.

That's why I go back and forth on google. I bought a ton when they started really going hard at integrating Gemini into search, noting that it gives them a huge advantage for getting their LLM out in front of more people than any others. It has done awesomely since then. But then on the flipside, what's really the upside on that? That they dominate search, which they already dominate, but in a way that is more difficult to monetize and with much higher expenses to do so?

 

[Desert_Power]

That's why I go back and forth on google. I bought a ton when they started really going hard at integrating Gemini into search, noting that it gives them a huge advantage for getting their LLM out in front of more people than any others. It has done awesomely since then. But then on the flipside, what's really the upside on that? That they dominate search, which they already dominate, but in a way that is more difficult to monetize and with much higher expenses to do so?

Good post with a lot to chew on.

This Google piece will be an interesting decision to look back on. They made their core search product much worse and shifted people to a relatively weak AI.

 

[Runkle]

That's why I go back and forth on google. I bought a ton when they started really going hard at integrating Gemini into search, noting that it gives them a huge advantage for getting their LLM out in front of more people than any others. It has done awesomely since then. But then on the flipside, what's really the upside on that? That they dominate search, which they already dominate, but in a way that is more difficult to monetize and with much higher expenses to do so?

Good post with a lot to chew on.

This Google piece will be an interesting decision to look back on. They made their core search product much worse and shifted people to a relatively weak AI.

The crazy part to me is that thing I use AI for the most is to get the kind of good results on questions that I used to be able to get from Google before they crippled their own search. The AI of today is basically the Google of 15 years ago.

 

[St. Louis Bob]

That's why I go back and forth on google. I bought a ton when they started really going hard at integrating Gemini into search, noting that it gives them a huge advantage for getting their LLM out in front of more people than any others. It has done awesomely since then. But then on the flipside, what's really the upside on that? That they dominate search, which they already dominate, but in a way that is more difficult to monetize and with much higher expenses to do so?

Good post with a lot to chew on.

This Google piece will be an interesting decision to look back on. They made their core search product much worse and shifted people to a relatively weak AI.

The crazy part to me is that thing I use AI for the most is to get the kind of good results on questions that I used to be able to get from Google before they crippled their own search. The AI of today is basically the Google of 15 years ago.

I'll use it occasionally to check an email correspondence for missing punctuation etc.

If I took all of the suggestions, it would sound like I'm a 1700's British nobleman.

 

[stbugs]

That's why I go back and forth on google. I bought a ton when they started really going hard at integrating Gemini into search, noting that it gives them a huge advantage for getting their LLM out in front of more people than any others. It has done awesomely since then. But then on the flipside, what's really the upside on that? That they dominate search, which they already dominate, but in a way that is more difficult to monetize and with much higher expenses to do so?

Good post with a lot to chew on.

This Google piece will be an interesting decision to look back on. They made their core search product much worse and shifted people to a relatively weak AI.

The crazy part to me is that thing I use AI for the most is to get the kind of good results on questions that I used to be able to get from Google before they crippled their own search. The AI of today is basically the Google of 15 years ago.

Agreed on the search, the AI results are worse than what they were before. If I “believe” the AI results I still go to the links it used and most of the time it’s not exactly the same. I find myself using the search results anyway because the AI summary is not good enough to trust.

 

[identikit]

KVUE up around 20% premarket on news that Kimberly-Clark will buy them out

Almost gets me to break-even

Phew

 

[Capella]

Big day for Amazon if it’s going to end the year decently.

Amazon took this personally I guess

 

[urbanhack]

MongoDB likes the new CEO change.


edit to add: or not...

 

[stbugs]

MongoDB likes the new CEO change.


edit to add: or not...

lol. It was even when I just looked. I sold most of my MDB when it went above $500 so I wouldn’t mind it getting back there.

 

[pecorino]

KVUE up around 20% premarket on news that Kimberly-Clark will buy them out

Almost gets me to break-even

Phew

As Thomas Dolby said: "Science!"

 

[Bob Sacamano]

KVUE up around 20% premarket on news that Kimberly-Clark will buy them out

Almost gets me to break-even

Phew

This seems like such a smart move by them I'm tempted to hold on for the shares. Between the dividend and the purchase price, that's nearly 20% upside in a year, with the biggest risks being KMB stock price and the deal falling through. KMB current PE is historically reasonable. Risks they inherit are ones we already owned.

 

[Senor Schmutzig]

CAVA cratering

The cratering continues, especially in light of the Chipotle news that their core demographic (younger consumers) is pulling back on spending at fast casual restaurants.

I'm usually a buy-and-hold type of investor, but damn, after topping out at $140 earlier in the year (I bought in at $86 in April, thinking they were at their low), they are now at $53 with an upcoming earnings call tomorrow. I'm interested in hearing about SRS (it was only +2.1% in Q2), new restaurant openings. and update on profit margin (~25%.)

 

[The Z Machine]

KVUE up around 20% premarket on news that Kimberly-Clark will buy them out

Almost gets me to break-even

Phew

This seems like such a smart move by them I'm tempted to hold on for the shares. Between the dividend and the purchase price, that's nearly 20% upside in a year, with the biggest risks being KMB stock price and the deal falling through. KMB current PE is historically reasonable. Risks they inherit are ones we already owned.

Yeah, I'm not bailing now to get a minor tax loss... I think there may be more upside here.

 

[BassNBrew]

CAVA cratering

The cratering continues, especially in light of the Chipotle news that their core demographic (younger consumers) is pulling back on spending at fast casual restaurants.

I'm usually a buy-and-hold type of investor, but damn, after topping out at $140 earlier in the year (I bought in at $86 in April, thinking they were at their low), they are now at $53 with an upcoming earnings call tomorrow. I'm interested in hearing about SRS (it was only +2.1% in Q2), new restaurant openings. and update on profit margin (~25%.)

I'll watch but I'm not buying until until next year. CAVA is a prime target for tax harvesting as the type of investor who would buy it likely cashed in some Palantir some time during the year.

 

[BassNBrew]

Long read but maybe of interest for anyone interest in Adobe....

Adobe: The Forgotten AI Winner Looking Ready For A Breakout​

Nov. 03, 2025 10:41 AM ETAdobe Inc. (ADBE) StockADBE
Cedric Pfort


Summary

• Adobe is positioned to benefit from AI, leveraging Firefly and seamless integration to strengthen its creative software moat.
• Adobe’s AI strategy enhances productivity, ensures commercially safe content, and expands its addressable market through usage-based monetization.
• Valuation is highly attractive, with shares trading at a multi-year low and a significant discount to peers despite superior margins and growth prospects.
• I initiate coverage on the stock with a Strong Buy rating, viewing it as a compelling long-term opportunity with limited downside risk.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4836924-adobe-the-forgotten-ai-winner-looking-ready-for-a-breakout?mailingid=42307804&messageid=2800&position=rta_analysis_control_main_2_textlink&serial=42307804.830&source=email_2800&utm_campaign=rta-stock-article&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=42307804.830

 

[ericttspikes]

Long read but maybe of interest for anyone interest in Adobe....

Adobe: The Forgotten AI Winner Looking Ready For A Breakout​

Nov. 03, 2025 10:41 AM ETAdobe Inc. (ADBE) StockADBE
Cedric Pfort


Summary

• Adobe is positioned to benefit from AI, leveraging Firefly and seamless integration to strengthen its creative software moat.
• Adobe’s AI strategy enhances productivity, ensures commercially safe content, and expands its addressable market through usage-based monetization.
• Valuation is highly attractive, with shares trading at a multi-year low and a significant discount to peers despite superior margins and growth prospects.
• I initiate coverage on the stock with a Strong Buy rating, viewing it as a compelling long-term opportunity with limited downside risk.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4836924-adobe-the-forgotten-ai-winner-looking-ready-for-a-breakout?mailingid=42307804&messageid=2800&position=rta_analysis_control_main_2_textlink&serial=42307804.830&source=email_2800&utm_campaign=rta-stock-article&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=42307804.830

Long ADBE and have been DCA'ing all the way down. Not been a fun hold but I use their products regularly and feel the street doesn't get it. Firefly AI isn't there yet, but as mentioned, Adobe is one of, if not the the only company creating ethical AI (or commercially safe as mentioned here). Companies paying for design, video or marketing services aren't going to want AI deliverables that open themselves up to IP lawsuits. Other AI offerings are used in process for quicker storyboarding or layouts, but final commercial products that use stolen IP is just asking for problems down the line.

Valuation reminds me of GOOGL 6-7 months ago. The street was convinced GOOGL didn't know what they were doing with AI and were losing the race, search was dead, etc. Similar vibe with ADBE. Being in the space, competition is real but not a huge threat IMO. ADBE has had more serious competitive threats in prior decades like QuarkXpress and Pagemaker in the 90's. ADBE usually just buys competition like Aldus to get Pagemaker. They tried and failed to do that with FIG, but they are usually successful in staying competitive via innovation or aquisition, and with deep pockets and 30,000 employees, I expect that to continue. Looks like a screaming buy, BUT the street does hate it and I'm not sure I expect much movement in the short term. May even get cheaper. Hoping my bull thesis is correct over the long term though.

 

[kevzilla]

Why is the Kraken getting harpooned?

 

[urbanhack]

Long read but maybe of interest for anyone interest in Adobe....

Adobe: The Forgotten AI Winner Looking Ready For A Breakout​

Nov. 03, 2025 10:41 AM ETAdobe Inc. (ADBE) StockADBE
Cedric Pfort


Summary

• Adobe is positioned to benefit from AI, leveraging Firefly and seamless integration to strengthen its creative software moat.
• Adobe’s AI strategy enhances productivity, ensures commercially safe content, and expands its addressable market through usage-based monetization.
• Valuation is highly attractive, with shares trading at a multi-year low and a significant discount to peers despite superior margins and growth prospects.
• I initiate coverage on the stock with a Strong Buy rating, viewing it as a compelling long-term opportunity with limited downside risk.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4836924-adobe-the-forgotten-ai-winner-looking-ready-for-a-breakout?mailingid=42307804&messageid=2800&position=rta_analysis_control_main_2_textlink&serial=42307804.830&source=email_2800&utm_campaign=rta-stock-article&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=42307804.830

Long ADBE and have been DCA'ing all the way down. Not been a fun hold but I use their products regularly and feel the street doesn't get it. Firefly AI isn't there yet, but as mentioned, Adobe is one of, if not the the only company creating ethical AI (or commercially safe as mentioned here). Companies paying for design, video or marketing services aren't going to want AI deliverables that open themselves up to IP lawsuits. Other AI offerings are used in process for quicker storyboarding or layouts, but final commercial products that use stolen IP is just asking for problems down the line.

Valuation reminds me of GOOGL 6-7 months ago. The street was convinced GOOGL didn't know what they were doing with AI and were losing the race, search was dead, etc. Similar vibe with ADBE. Being in the space, competition is real but not a huge threat IMO. ADBE has had more serious competitive threats in prior decades like QuarkXpress and Pagemaker in the 90's. ADBE usually just buys competition like Aldus to get Pagemaker. They tried and failed to do that with FIG, but they are usually successful in staying competitive via innovation or aquisition, and with deep pockets and 30,000 employees, I expect that to continue. Looks like a screaming buy, BUT the street does hate it and I'm not sure I expect much movement in the short term. May even get cheaper. Hoping my bull thesis is correct over the long term though.

Do you use Figma at all? Curious to get your take on them. I keep talking to more and more creatives and this is always at the top of their list.

 

[ericttspikes]

Long read but maybe of interest for anyone interest in Adobe....

Adobe: The Forgotten AI Winner Looking Ready For A Breakout​

Nov. 03, 2025 10:41 AM ETAdobe Inc. (ADBE) StockADBE
Cedric Pfort


Summary

• Adobe is positioned to benefit from AI, leveraging Firefly and seamless integration to strengthen its creative software moat.
• Adobe’s AI strategy enhances productivity, ensures commercially safe content, and expands its addressable market through usage-based monetization.
• Valuation is highly attractive, with shares trading at a multi-year low and a significant discount to peers despite superior margins and growth prospects.
• I initiate coverage on the stock with a Strong Buy rating, viewing it as a compelling long-term opportunity with limited downside risk.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4836924-adobe-the-forgotten-ai-winner-looking-ready-for-a-breakout?mailingid=42307804&messageid=2800&position=rta_analysis_control_main_2_textlink&serial=42307804.830&source=email_2800&utm_campaign=rta-stock-article&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=42307804.830

Long ADBE and have been DCA'ing all the way down. Not been a fun hold but I use their products regularly and feel the street doesn't get it. Firefly AI isn't there yet, but as mentioned, Adobe is one of, if not the the only company creating ethical AI (or commercially safe as mentioned here). Companies paying for design, video or marketing services aren't going to want AI deliverables that open themselves up to IP lawsuits. Other AI offerings are used in process for quicker storyboarding or layouts, but final commercial products that use stolen IP is just asking for problems down the line.

Valuation reminds me of GOOGL 6-7 months ago. The street was convinced GOOGL didn't know what they were doing with AI and were losing the race, search was dead, etc. Similar vibe with ADBE. Being in the space, competition is real but not a huge threat IMO. ADBE has had more serious competitive threats in prior decades like QuarkXpress and Pagemaker in the 90's. ADBE usually just buys competition like Aldus to get Pagemaker. They tried and failed to do that with FIG, but they are usually successful in staying competitive via innovation or aquisition, and with deep pockets and 30,000 employees, I expect that to continue. Looks like a screaming buy, BUT the street does hate it and I'm not sure I expect much movement in the short term. May even get cheaper. Hoping my bull thesis is correct over the long term though.

Do you use Figma at all? Curious to get your take on them. I keep talking to more and more creatives and this is always at the top of their list.

I'm aware of Figma and have played around in it, but it isn't a tool I need to use that often in my business and isn't really crucial for our workflow. We are a small design firm, and I feel a tool like Figma is great for larger scale site development (or apps) that are developed in collaboration with a large team. I have friends who work in big agencies that use it a lot though, and it is the industry standard for prototyping. Adobe's similar product XD was discontinued so they got out of that space completely after the Figma deal was torpedoed. That said, XD was such a small amount of rev for Adobe, estimated at $17 mil a year, that it wasn't worth throwing more money at it. I feel they really wanted Figma for it's cloud integratiton and collaboration tools. I think their vision was to bring that to all their apps. It is kind of interesting that Adobe ceded the space completely, but they felt putting money toward AI and developing Adobe Express to better compete with lower end products like Canva was a better use of resources.

 

[urbanhack]

Here’s How the AI Crash Happens

The U.S. is becoming an Nvidia-state.

www.theatlantic.com

Here is where the bubble dynamics get complicated. Tech firms don’t want to formally take on debt—that is, directly ask investors for loans—because debt looks bad on their balance sheets and could reduce shareholder returns. To get around this, some are partnering with private-equity titans to do some sophisticated financial engineering, Paul Kedrosky, an investor and a financial consultant, told us. These private-equity firms put up or raise the money to build a data center, which a tech company will repay through rent. Data-center leases from, say, Meta can then be repackaged into a financial instrument that people can buy and sell—a bond, in essence. Meta recently did just this: Blue Owl Capital raised money for a massive Meta data center in Louisiana by, in essence, issuing bonds backed by Meta’s rent. And multiple data-center leases can be combined into a security and sorted into what are called “tranches” based on their risk of default. Data centers represent an $800 billion market for private-equity firms through 2028 alone. (Meta has said of its arrangement with Blue Owl that the “innovative partnership was designed to support the speed and flexibility required for Meta’s data center projects.”)

In this way, the data-center financing ends up being a real-estate deal as much as an AI deal. If this sounds complicated, it’s supposed to: The complexity, investment structure, and repackaging make exactly what is going on hard to parse. And if the dynamics also sound familiar, it’s because not two decades ago, the Great Recession was precipitated by banks packaging risky mortgages into tranches of securities that were falsely marketed as high-quality. By 2008, the house of cards had collapsed.

Data-center build-outs aren’t the same as subprime mortgages. Still, there is plenty of precarity baked into these investments. Data centers deteriorate rapidly, unlike the more durable infrastructure of canals, railroads, or even fiber-optic cables. Many of the chips inside these buildings become obsolete within a few years, when Nvidia and its competitors release the next wave of bleeding-edge AI hardware. Meanwhile, the returns on scaling up chatbots are, at present, diminishing. The improvements made by each new AI model are becoming smaller and smaller, making the idea that Silicon Valley can spend its way to superintelligence more tenuous by the day.

Much is in flux. Chatbots and AI chips are getting more efficient almost by the day, while the business case for deploying generative-AI tools remains shaky. A recent report from McKinsey found that nearly 80 percent of companies using AI discovered that the technology had no significant impact on their bottom line. Meanwhile, nobody can say, beyond a few years, just how many more data centers Silicon Valley will need. There are researchers who believe there may already be enough electricity and computing power to meet generative AI’s requirements for years to come.

 

[pecorino]

KMB hammered on potential buyout of KVUE. What a bargain. I’ll start legging into KMB on Tuesday. Too busy today at work and missed an entry.

 

[msudaisy26]

Quick question. I bought 16 shares of Nvidia at 90ish a share. Then it split now it is 160 shares at 200ish. Should I sell a few off to get into KMB or ride the Nvidia train longer?

 

[identikit]

Quick question. I bought 16 shares of Nvidia at 90ish a share. Then it split now it is 160 shares at 200ish. Should I sell a few off to get into KMB or ride the Nvidia train longer?

Stay on the train for now

IMO

FWIW

 

[fruity pebbles]

KMB hammered on potential buyout of KVUE. What a bargain. I’ll start legging into KMB on Tuesday. Too busy today at work and missed an entry.

Honest question. Why? I was looking at it myself because of the drop but there’s just very little growth in either company and it looks to me like they overpaid. It looks cheap with a good dividend but what’s the growth driver? Other than the dividend you haven’t made a money on this stock in 10 years.

 

[BassNBrew]

Quick question. I bought 16 shares of Nvidia at 90ish a share. Then it split now it is 160 shares at 200ish. Should I sell a few off to get into KMB or ride the Nvidia train longer?

KMB

[th]

2024 12/31/2024​

[/th]​

[th]

2023 12/31/2023​

[/th]​

[th]

2022 12/31/2022​

[/th]​

[th]

2021 12/31/2021​

[/th]​

[th]

Revenue​

[/th]​

[td]

20,058​

[/td][td]

20,431​

[/td][td]

20,175​

[/td][td]

19,440​

[/td]​

Fwd P/E (NTM)14.00

NVIDA

Income StatementQUARTERLYANNUAL

[th]

​

[/th]
[th]

2025 01/26/2025​

[/th]​

[th]

2024 01/28/2024​

[/th]​

[th]

2023 01/29/2023​

[/th]​

[th]

2022 01/30/2022​

[/th]​

[th]

Revenue​

[/th]​

[td]

130,497​

[/td][td]

60,922​

[/td][td]

26,974​

[/td][td]

26,914​

[/td]​

Fwd P/E (NTM)35.84

I would buy sell some NVDA for KMB if you don't like money.

 

[pecorino]

KMB hammered on potential buyout of KVUE. What a bargain. I’ll start legging into KMB on Tuesday. Too busy today at work and missed an entry.

Honest question. Why? I was looking at it myself because of the drop but there’s just very little growth in either company and it looks to me like they overpaid. It looks cheap with a good dividend but what’s the growth driver? Other than the dividend you haven’t made a money on this stock in 10 years.

Yes, the dividend and relative safety in a frothy market.

 

[Sand]

New issues hitting the market.

Choose.

 

[fruity pebbles]

KMB hammered on potential buyout of KVUE. What a bargain. I’ll start legging into KMB on Tuesday. Too busy today at work and missed an entry.

Honest question. Why? I was looking at it myself because of the drop but there’s just very little growth in either company and it looks to me like they overpaid. It looks cheap with a good dividend but what’s the growth driver? Other than the dividend you haven’t made a money on this stock in 10 years.

Yes, the dividend and relative safety in a frothy market.

Is this a long term holding for you or just looking for a bounce?

 

[BassNBrew]

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/11/03/better-use-of-capital-and-better-stories-in-ai-outside-of-palantir-says-jefferies-brent-thill.html

Lol....this Wall Street dude takes a shot at retail not understanding valuation and then goes on to say say Palantir should be trading at a 25 multiple. Morgan Brennan ridicules this moron on his $60 price target. I wonder what they are paying this clown to suck at his job. For a 1/10th of the price @Capella or myself could tell you to buy Amazon.

 

[BassNBrew]

KMB hammered on potential buyout of KVUE. What a bargain. I’ll start legging into KMB on Tuesday. Too busy today at work and missed an entry.

Honest question. Why? I was looking at it myself because of the drop but there’s just very little growth in either company and it looks to me like they overpaid. It looks cheap with a good dividend but what’s the growth driver? Other than the dividend you haven’t made a money on this stock in 10 years.

Yes, the dividend and relative safety in a frothy market.

I made this mistake with them previously. Zero revenue growth. Stock has bounced between $110-$150 for 5 years. If you get a bounce, exit.

Also the market isn't frothy. Palantir and Tesla are frothy and weighting the market that way. Everyone else destroyed estimates and didn't jump accordingly. Market isn't growing with the growth these companies are showing.

Everyone chasing dividends and safety...me UWMC, Todem DOW, etc get kicked in the nuts.

 

[The Z Machine]

Everything looking red this morning...

 

[BassNBrew]

Sold my Palantir 2x Bear shares this morning. These really are short term instruments. I lost 7% and the shares were all purchased when Palantir was at or above this price. Palantir's growth was insane this quarter. I expected huge continued growth, but not not accelerating growth. The time to be short Palantir is just prior to their growth %'s flattening...meaning they only show 50% growth.

 

[Desert_Power]

New issues hitting the market.

Choose.

Not sure the SEC should be allowing those, but I know that is pissing into the wind.

 

[The Z Machine]

New issues hitting the market.

Choose.

Not sure the SEC should be allowing those, but I know that is pissing into the wind.

Why don't you like gambling?

 

[BassNBrew]

New issues hitting the market.

Choose.

Not sure the SEC should be allowing those, but I know that is pissing into the wind.

LOL...5x is insanity.

When can we buy

 

[urbanhack]

got some BROS coming by the house later today....

 

[Nick Vermeil]

Somebody might need to releash the Kraken.

 

[General Malaise]

Brutal week or so. Just painful.

BROS can change all that with one nice little earnings release. C'mon....

 

[BassNBrew]

Pinterest shares plummet 15% on earnings miss, weak forecast

 

[BassNBrew]

Shares of Advanced Micro Devices AMD -3.70% ▼ are down in after-hours trading after the chipmaker reported Q3 earnings results. Earnings per share came in at $1.20, which beat analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.17. In addition, sales increased by 35.6% year-over-year, with revenue hitting $9.2 billion. This also beat analysts’ expectations of $8.76 billion.




Sales were primarily driven by its Data Center segment, which saw revenue jump by 22% year-over-year to $4.3 billion. The main cause of this jump was strong demand for 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors and AMD Instinct MI350 Series GPUs. However, the Client and Gaming segment also showed excellent results after growing 73% to $4 billion.

Guidance for Q4 2025​

Looking forward, management has provided the following guidance for Q4 2025:

• Revenue of between $9.3 billion and $9.9 billion versus analysts’ estimate of $9.2 billion
• Non-GAAP gross margin of approximately 54.5%

As we can see, the company’s revenue outlook at the midpoint of $9.6 billion is better than analysts’ expectations. However, AMD’s strong rally over the past month likely priced in today’s results, which is why its shares slipped in after-hours trading.

 

[fruity pebbles]

Why did everyone buy today?
Picked up a block of Meta at 628. Forward PE of 20 now.