Bill Belichick is 0-5.
The Seahawks are a terrible matchup for the Patriots. That is why the Seahawks should be favored to win.
Over the past 3 years, teams with mobile QBs, QB who are a genuine threat to run, or who excel at moving around in the pocket, are undefeated vs Bill Belichick.
The list:
2012; The Patriots lost at home to Colin Kapernick. Allowed 41 points.
2012: The Patriots lost on the road to Russell Wilson. Allowed 24 points.
2013: They lost on the road to Cam Newton. Allowed 24 points.
2014: They even lost to Alex Smith, who is known as a mobile QB. Allowed 41 points.
2014: They lost to Aaron Rodgers, another mobile QB. Allowed 26 points.
The Patriots have played 5 mobile / running QBs. Lost to ALL of them.
0-5.
The Patriots lost 4 games in 2014. One was because they had clinched HFA so they didn't care. Two were to the only two QBs who could run or scramble around on their schedule.
The Patriots are 40-14 over the past 3 seasons. 0-5 vs mobile QBs, 40-9 vs everyone else.
Not sure why this is happening. When you look at the stats, its not like these mobile QBs are having huge days on the ground. But the Patriots have failed to shut down the opposing offense in any of those games. Maybe Belichick is able to guard against the running threat of a mobile QB, but it weakens his defense elsewhere and he hasn't found a solution yet.
Belichick can't beat teams with mobile QBs, and he can't shut down their offenses. I think for the Patriots to win, they'll have to post 30 on the Legion of Boom. Not happening.
Seahawks win.