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The OFFICIAL 2007 Boston Red Sox Thread (1 Viewer)

Who has Sox ALDS tix???<------------------this guyWill be at either Game 1 or 3 (depending upon finish) to see either Beckett or Dice-K. I am not sure what would be more satisfying...seeing Beckett pitch 8 innings of shutout ball to start things off, or to see Dice-K strikeout 11 to complete the Sox sweep...
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
Absolutely.im 99% confident that he has been a huge dissapointment since the all star break. Look that up in your funking prospectus
wow, take it easy dude...it's just a baseball game... :thumbup:
my how the opinions have changed....
 
Who has Sox ALDS tix???<------------------this guyWill be at either Game 1 or 3 (depending upon finish) to see either Beckett or Dice-K. I am not sure what would be more satisfying...seeing Beckett pitch 8 innings of shutout ball to start things off, or to see Dice-K strikeout 11 to complete the Sox sweep...
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
Absolutely.im 99% confident that he has been a huge dissapointment since the all star break. Look that up in your funking prospectus
wow, take it easy dude...it's just a baseball game... :)
my how the opinions have changed....
huh?Anyway...another solid game from Clay, he has cemented his spot in the rotation for 08. Two big Q marks are Wake and Schill... I gotta think the Sox resign Schill, wake though, I am unsure
 
Who has Sox ALDS tix???<------------------this guyWill be at either Game 1 or 3 (depending upon finish) to see either Beckett or Dice-K. I am not sure what would be more satisfying...seeing Beckett pitch 8 innings of shutout ball to start things off, or to see Dice-K strikeout 11 to complete the Sox sweep...
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
Absolutely.im 99% confident that he has been a huge dissapointment since the all star break. Look that up in your funking prospectus
wow, take it easy dude...it's just a baseball game... :)
my how the opinions have changed....
who the #### are you? you show up now? go suckle at shady & darth's teats awile before you get all cranked up in this thread. let me guess, you knew back in may that the yanks were going to cut it this close. :) that's why we're hearing from you now. loser.
 
Who has Sox ALDS tix???<------------------this guyWill be at either Game 1 or 3 (depending upon finish) to see either Beckett or Dice-K. I am not sure what would be more satisfying...seeing Beckett pitch 8 innings of shutout ball to start things off, or to see Dice-K strikeout 11 to complete the Sox sweep...
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
:loco: :lmao: :lmao:
 
Who has Sox ALDS tix???<------------------this guyWill be at either Game 1 or 3 (depending upon finish) to see either Beckett or Dice-K. I am not sure what would be more satisfying...seeing Beckett pitch 8 innings of shutout ball to start things off, or to see Dice-K strikeout 11 to complete the Sox sweep...
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
Absolutely.im 99% confident that he has been a huge dissapointment since the all star break. Look that up in your funking prospectus
wow, take it easy dude...it's just a baseball game... :lmao:
my how the opinions have changed....
who the #### are you? you show up now? go suckle at shady & darth's teats awile before you get all cranked up in this thread. let me guess, you knew back in may that the yanks were going to cut it this close. :loco: that's why we're hearing from you now. loser.
Hes been in the Yankee thread before
 
Who has Sox ALDS tix???<------------------this guyWill be at either Game 1 or 3 (depending upon finish) to see either Beckett or Dice-K. I am not sure what would be more satisfying...seeing Beckett pitch 8 innings of shutout ball to start things off, or to see Dice-K strikeout 11 to complete the Sox sweep...
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
Absolutely.im 99% confident that he has been a huge dissapointment since the all star break. Look that up in your funking prospectus
wow, take it easy dude...it's just a baseball game... :D
my how the opinions have changed....
who the #### are you? you show up now? go suckle at shady & darth's teats awile before you get all cranked up in this thread. let me guess, you knew back in may that the yanks were going to cut it this close. :topcat: that's why we're hearing from you now. loser.
sorry I dont live in this thread like most people. You sawx fans can come over to our yankee board when there is a 14 game lead and spout your homerism but now that you guys are playing like a high school softball team you can't take any flack? Sorry I didn't meet your required posts to add my opinions on here but the bottom line is your team is awful right now and they can't get out of their own way. You got swept in Toronto and didn't even see Roy. How are you going to buck up against Lackey, CC, Fausto, Pettite, ect?Before you get all tough and knowledgeable about the american league east take a look at some of the garbage you posted in the yankees thread. From Betemit being an awful pickup to all the "good luck with that" when talking about the yankees making making the playoffs. Maybe you should concentrate on your own coast and focus on surfing and the padres, "bro"Do you really want to contest that you are a better team right now? You may take the division, but our bullpen is superior, our offense is superior, and ill be nice and give the pitching edge to you because we don't have anyone close to Beckett on our 5-man.
 
Red Sox just need 6 of 11 to wrap up the best record in the AL. I have complete confidence they will do that.
:lmao: Red Sox are 90-61, with 11 games left...Cleveland and Anaheim are both 88-62, with 12 games left...To "wrap up" best record the Sox would have to go either 10-1 or 11-0 (depending on tiebreakers I don't feel like researching), since Anaheim and Cleveland can both obviously get to a maximum of 100 wins...
I was not referring to 'theoretical'...Neither team will go 10-1, or 9-2. Sox win both tie-breakers so both teams would need to pull ahead of them
I don't think theoretical means what you think it means...
how about 'statistical'If the Sox finish with 96 wins, either Cle or LAA would need to go 9-3 to overtake the lead. I don't see that happening for either team. (The Yankees would need to go 10-2 on their end, which also isn't happening). So, for me, 6 / 11 is the golden number.
The Yanks just finished a 10-2 12 game stretch against Seattle (2 games), KC, Toronto, Boston, and Baltimore (1 game)...Doesn't seem outrageous to think they could do the same against Baltimore, Toronto and Tampa...:shrug:Is it likely?Probably not, but to dismiss it out of hand seems a bit rash...
A common thing to use in statistics is the 95% confidence interval...96 wins puts it in my 95% confidence interval
:lol:Do you know what you are talking about?Show you work on this "confidence interval"
 
harryhood said:
Who has Sox ALDS tix???<------------------this guyWill be at either Game 1 or 3 (depending upon finish) to see either Beckett or Dice-K. I am not sure what would be more satisfying...seeing Beckett pitch 8 innings of shutout ball to start things off, or to see Dice-K strikeout 11 to complete the Sox sweep...
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
Absolutely.im 99% confident that he has been a huge dissapointment since the all star break. Look that up in your funking prospectus
wow, take it easy dude...it's just a baseball game... ;)
my how the opinions have changed....
who the #### are you? you show up now? go suckle at shady & darth's teats awile before you get all cranked up in this thread. let me guess, you knew back in may that the yanks were going to cut it this close. :scared: that's why we're hearing from you now. loser.
sorry I dont live in this thread like most people. You sawx fans can come over to our yankee board when there is a 14 game lead and spout your homerism but now that you guys are playing like a high school softball team you can't take any flack? Sorry I didn't meet your required posts to add my opinions on here but the bottom line is your team is awful right now and they can't get out of their own way. You got swept in Toronto and didn't even see Roy. How are you going to buck up against Lackey, CC, Fausto, Pettite, ect?Before you get all tough and knowledgeable about the american league east take a look at some of the garbage you posted in the yankees thread. From Betemit being an awful pickup to all the "good luck with that" when talking about the yankees making making the playoffs. Maybe you should concentrate on your own coast and focus on surfing and the padres, "bro"Do you really want to contest that you are a better team right now? You may take the division, but our bullpen is superior, our offense is superior, and ill be nice and give the pitching edge to you because we don't have anyone close to Beckett on our 5-man.
when did i say we were better than the yankees right now? the sox are a ####### mess right now. i have always told the truth, when the yankees were sucking big time, i was on them. what can i say now? nothing, they're kicking the #### out of the sox . betemit still sucks, pretty sure i could come close to hitting .227. & just to clarify, the "good luck with that" comment was in relation to taking the division :bag: not making the playoffs. the 3 best teams in the AL since the break are easily the yanks, angels & cle. so go take your racial slurs & shove it up your funking bronx ###.
 
Do you know what you are talking about?Show you work on this "confidence interval"
Trust me, I do, engineer with plenty of statistics application. It was sort of tongue in cheek, but I still stand by it, that if the Red Sox reach 96 wins I am highly confident they will end up with the best record in baseball. There is no work behind it, just an eyeball at the records other teams will need to pass the Red Sox to reach 97 wins (or 96 in the case of the Yankees)
 
Here are some stats for you...

BP Postseason Odds

Red Sox Avg. W: 95.8 (82.2% chance to take division)

Yankees Avg. W: 93.7 (17.8% chance to take division)
Relying on BP is like closing a barn door after a horse got away. What was BP saying about the Yanks in June?
Yea those odds don't seem so correct. Say if the yankees win tonight and boston were to lose, are you telling me that the odds for the red sox would drop 32%, down to 50-50?Because, if the yankees were to tie anytime this weekend, I would feel confident in a race to the end, that they could keep pace with them. All they have to do is have the same record.

 
Here are some stats for you...

BP Postseason Odds

Red Sox Avg. W: 95.8 (82.2% chance to take division)

Yankees Avg. W: 93.7 (17.8% chance to take division)
Relying on BP is like closing a barn door after a horse got away. What was BP saying about the Yanks in June?
Yea those odds don't seem so correct. Say if the yankees win tonight and boston were to lose, are you telling me that the odds for the red sox would drop 32%, down to 50-50?Because, if the yankees were to tie anytime this weekend, I would feel confident in a race to the end, that they could keep pace with them. All they have to do is have the same record.
The system takes opponents into account
 
Here are some stats for you...

BP Postseason Odds

Red Sox Avg. W: 95.8 (82.2% chance to take division)

Yankees Avg. W: 93.7 (17.8% chance to take division)
Relying on BP is like closing a barn door after a horse got away. What was BP saying about the Yanks in June?
Yea those odds don't seem so correct. Say if the yankees win tonight and boston were to lose, are you telling me that the odds for the red sox would drop 32%, down to 50-50?Because, if the yankees were to tie anytime this weekend, I would feel confident in a race to the end, that they could keep pace with them. All they have to do is have the same record.
The system takes opponents into account
Yeah and BP told us in June that the Yanks were all but gone.
 
Here are some stats for you...

BP Postseason Odds

Red Sox Avg. W: 95.8 (82.2% chance to take division)

Yankees Avg. W: 93.7 (17.8% chance to take division)
Relying on BP is like closing a barn door after a horse got away. What was BP saying about the Yanks in June?
Yea those odds don't seem so correct. Say if the yankees win tonight and boston were to lose, are you telling me that the odds for the red sox would drop 32%, down to 50-50?Because, if the yankees were to tie anytime this weekend, I would feel confident in a race to the end, that they could keep pace with them. All they have to do is have the same record.
The system takes opponents into account
Yeah and BP told us in June that the Yanks were all but gone.
Probability-wise, they were. They made an historic comeback by any measure
 
Beckett on winning 20:

"A lot of hard work from a lot of different people goes into winning that many games in a season," said Beckett. "If I stood here and felt like I could take all the credit for that, I just can't do that. There's a lot of people, I can't even name them. It starts with everyone in this room who dresses in that Boston Red Sox uniform day in and day out. Whether it be a strength coach, a trainer or a player that plays behind me, it takes a lot of hard work from a lot of different people."

I have such a giant man-crush on this guy... damn has he matured into a top of the line ace.

:angry: to the AL CY Young winner.

 
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.

 
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
I'd love to see Boston win four out of six, as long as the Yanks take six out of seven to win the divison and home field.
 
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
I'd love to see Boston win four out of six, as long as the Yanks take six out of seven to win the divison and home field.
Are you counting the loss as tomorrow's game vs. Burnett?
I'll take my chances with Andy in the Bronx. EDIT: Brainfart, the Rocket goes and things get a lot dicey. Two out after tomorrow, but I could see a 5-1 vs. a 3-3 to take the division. we'll see
 
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Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
I'd love to see Boston win four out of six, as long as the Yanks take six out of seven to win the divison and home field.
Are you counting the loss as tomorrow's game vs. Burnett?
I'm not sure. While Burnett can dominate a game I think that the Yanks still feel a division title is within their grasp. What I wouldn't give for another three game at the end of the season with Boston though. The MLB scheduler should pencil that in every year..... final weekend series.....BOS at NYY.
 
shadyridr said:
wilked said:
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
I actually think 6 of 7 is very doable for NY
Why not 7 of 7?Yankees have to face Burnett and Kazmir in 2 of the next 4 games...I think you are being a bit optimistic
 
shadyridr said:
wilked said:
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
I actually think 6 of 7 is very doable for NY
Why not 7 of 7?Yankees have to face Burnett and Kazmir in 2 of the next 4 games...I think you are being a bit optimistic
is beatable. Eh, the Yanks fare much better against Kaz than you do. Burnett scares me, he shut the Yanks down, he's been red hot, so that game is tricky, but Wang vs. Kaz, I'll take my chances.
 
wilked said:
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
Wrong math. 5 of 6 clinches the division. Are the Yankees likely to win all 7 left? Probably not. Are they capable? Yes.
 
wilked said:
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
Wrong math. 5 of 6 clinches the division. Are the Yankees likely to win all 7 left? Probably not. Are they capable? Yes.
As I said earlier, I am not talking about the magic number, but rather the 96 win threshold that I feel reasonably confident will clinch
 
Red Sox starter Daisuke Matsuzaka entered yesterday (Sunday) having thrown the eighth-most pitches in baseball, 3,360. ... Matsuzaka threw 2,770 pitches in 27 appearances last season in Japan.

 
Division race

Sox: 86.9%

Yankes: 13.1%

0.09% chance the Yanks miss the playoffs

 
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shadyridr said:
wilked said:
Rough loss, but the big picture is fine. 6 games left, need to win 4 of them to lock up home field. With OAK and MIN left, and all games at home, 4 of 6 seems like a reasonable goal.
I actually think 6 of 7 is very doable for NY
Why not 7 of 7?Yankees have to face Burnett and Kazmir in 2 of the next 4 games...I think you are being a bit optimistic
Yanks have 5 losses in all of September. I dont think winning 6 of 7 is being unrealistic, especially with 6 games vs TB & BAL as
 
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I still have the Sox figured at 96 wins (4-2 over last 6 games).

Sox are at home the rest of the week, Yankees/Angels/Indians are all on the road

Assuming 96, this is what each team will need to pass the Sox

Indians have to go 5-2

Angels have to go 5-1

MFY have to go 6-0

:confused:

 

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