JFS171 said:
I typically look for kickers whose offenses offer a lot of attempts. It’s kinda like volume for RBs, except the talent pool is much broader - most of these kickers can do the job. You’re always going to have the top guys on the Chiefs, etc, but you can stream K just like streaming D. It’s much more random early in the season, however, until we start to get more data on these offenses.
I like this strategy and try to use it in season if I have to, but I prefer to try to find a guy that is semi-consistent so I can set/forget. Kicker points are so random that I find streaming doesn't usually offer much advantage (or at least how I've been doing it) and the consistent guys change up fairly regularly year to year, so early in the season if you're lucky you can get a top guy off the wire.
I'd be curious who people think might be on the wire with the best chance to be top 5 this year and what your strategy for picking them is.
My usual guidelines are basically try to get guys from high scoring offenses that have the highest number of either dome or warm weather venues for the season. Seems to make sense, but I can't say it's ever really been successful at finding me a top guy.
Right now I'm trotting Succop out there who is the posterchild for high scoring offense in a warm weather venue. The problem is... TB always gets into the end zone. If they don't score 42+ pts you're looking at a mediocre to below average score. Week 1 was a perfect example... 4XP, 1FG for 36yds. I'll take that 7.6pts if I can get it every single week, but more often than not that line is going to be 4pts or 5pts... and there isn't a ton of upside as TB12 isn't going to get blanked on endzone tries 3-4 times in a game. He was 17th in ppg in 2020 though TB was 3rd in total regular points scored. Most rankings sites have Succop in the top5 or at least 8, but he wasn't even close to that last year on a Super Bowl winning team.
Of the likely-on-the-wire guys, these seem interesting to me:
>McPherson (CIN): + youth, leg, potentially high scoring O - youth, outdoor stadium
>Gould (SFO): +vet, high scoring O - 30/32 ppg in 2020, not going to hit the long ones, outdoor stadium
>Prater (ARI): +vet, leg, high scoring O, indoor stadium - missed 7 FG in 2020 (3rd worst)
>McManus (DEN): +vet, more scoring opps with Teddy, leg, mile high stadium? 11th ppg 2020 - outdoor stadium, questionable Offense
Others: Nick Folk, Dustin Hopkins (on a tear 2020 weeks 9-14), Tristan Vizcaino, ???
Anyways, I'm curious what other people are thinking about potential set and forget guys on the wire... and whether anyone thinks Succop is one of those guys.