titusbramble
Footballguy
Anyone else starting players today you usually wouldn’t, just to avoid last minute outs?
I think this is a reasonable thing to consider doing, but it's kind of specific circumstances, namely:
- You'd need to be a favourite, giving up a couple of points of expected value to reduce the variance of hitting a zero due to unexpected late coof list (or, for that matter, other inactive reasons) seems sensible. On the contrary, if you're an underdog you need to swing for the fences
- You need to have a fairly big dropoff to the third guy in your equation. If it's a choice of A now or B/C later and both B/C project around the same as A, then I think you can take the risk and wait. Both players being unexpectedly out
- Not a big deal, but if the knowledge that an earlier start giving you a big or small score will give you additional clarity as to Sunday lineup decisions in terms of knowing you can be conservative or that you have to be aggressive, then go for it. This is something I think you should be doing anyway for TNF games, particularly if your opponent is more limited in his options than you are