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The Trent Richardson Thread (3 Viewers)

I'd rather have Christine Michael.
Is there anyone who wouldnt?
No, but both are fail sauce so far in the NFL.
I'm far from a Michael fanboi -- but there's a pretty vast gulf between Richardson being handed a job in two seperate situations and face-planting in both, and Michael still waiting for an opportunity. Michael might actually be pretty good (although it's hugely unlikely he's an elite talent given the almost total lack of use). We've seen enough of Richardson to know what he is at this point.

 
If you were in a deeper week I definitely think he's worth putting on your roster. You look awful in Indy and doesn't seem to get it but he was talented at one point and we have seen former first-round busts rejuvenate their careers later on in life. In redraft I would draft flyer and a dynasty depending on the strength of my running backs I may pick him up as a flyer to see what happened the first eight games this year.

 
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Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.

As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.

Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.

 
Closest comparison to Trent is Ced Benson. He looked alot like Trent does his first few years with the Bears. Hesitant, looking for that monster hole he was used to seeing in college and just not knowing how to explode through the little ones in the pros. Also didn't seem to have the heart needed to excel.

 
I just think it's odd that "we" the Shark Pool has seen enough of him but the NFL clearly hasn't.

In baseball, batting average is a results based metric, while quality at bats is an approach based metric. Usually in fantasy football we are trying to predict what may happen in the future, not celebrate what has already happened. Richardson has looked poor in the past. Richardson clearly has a shot as a bell cow back on a run heavy offense behind (or aside of) a guy that the new head coach is clearly not too impressed with. Thinking Richardson has no value or should be on any dynasty waiver wire is ludicrous. We pray other backs have an opportunity like this.

 
Closest comparison to Trent is Ced Benson. He looked alot like Trent does his first few years with the Bears. Hesitant, looking for that monster hole he was used to seeing in college and just not knowing how to explode through the little ones in the pros. Also didn't seem to have the heart needed to excel.
Perfect comparison!

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.

As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.

Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.
You don't think getting outplayed by a 29 year old UDFA from Coe College, to the point that he was traded mid-season (in his 4th season) qualifies as "disappointed early" in his career? I do.

Bettis was a "bruiser" so his YPC should be low? Bettis was listed at 5'11", 252 lbs. Trent is listed at 5'9", and he says he weighed 230 lbs last year (but looked heavier and was suspended for being overweight, so I would think he was heavier than that). Also, Richardson got the majority of the short-yardage carries in Indy, so his YPC would suffer, according to the "bruiser" logic. So, if you're going to excuse Bettis' YPC based on the "bruiser" argument, you have to excuse Richardson's as well, if you're applying this argument fairly.

But the specifics of the situations aren't important, I've acknowledged they aren't identical. The point is that other RBs have improved upon poor starts to their career, other RBs have have good rookie years, then seen a decline in stats, only to revive their career later. Just because Trent has been pretty useless the last 2 years doesn't mean he can't have value in the future. Would I give up much in a trade or use a decent pick on him? Absolutely not. Would I pick him up off the WW or get him via a cheap trade? Sure, if I didn't have to to drop/trade a valuable player for him. Right now, he's not costing much. If you can get him cheap/free & stash him to wait and see, he could give you some value. The hurdle isn't huge to overcome. Right now, he's worthless. If he climbs to RB3 value, he's jumped that hurdle.

 
I just think it's odd that "we" the Shark Pool has seen enough of him but the NFL clearly hasn't.

In baseball, batting average is a results based metric, while quality at bats is an approach based metric. Usually in fantasy football we are trying to predict what may happen in the future, not celebrate what has already happened. Richardson has looked poor in the past. Richardson clearly has a shot as a bell cow back on a run heavy offense behind (or aside of) a guy that the new head coach is clearly not too impressed with. Thinking Richardson has no value or should be on any dynasty waiver wire is ludicrous. We pray other backs have an opportunity like this.
"The NFL" hasn't seen enough? More like one team with an extremely bare cupboard at RB took a low risk flyer -- after he cleared waivers despite still being on an affordable (albeit guaranteed) rookie contract. He got a smaller contract than the same team gave journeyman role-player Roy Helu, and also less than aging DeAngelo Williams got to be a straight backup to LeVeon Bell.

As far as opportunity, yeah, maybe at the moment. But there are still free agents out there that could easily muddy those waters not to mention the draft. And possible short term opportunity <<< talent in dynasty FF anyway. If Oakland doesn't add anyone at RB, Richardson might be a decent late redraft flyer for those wanting to fade Murray, but even then, Oakland ran for < 1300 yards as a team last year and scored only 4 rushing TDs. Even if Richardson ends up as the lead RB, the Oakland offense is going to be a massive limiting factor for FF.

As far as Richardson having roster value -- it's 100% dependent on league format. It's certainly not "ludicrous" for him to be unrostered in smaller leagues or leagues with limited roster space in the offseason ( < 50 RBs rostered). In deep / large leagues with 100ish RBs held, then yeah, he should be on a team. Anything in between those extremes it's a judgement call and reasonable either way.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.
You don't think getting outplayed by a 29 year old UDFA from Coe College, to the point that he was traded mid-season (in his 4th season) qualifies as "disappointed early" in his career? I do.Bettis was a "bruiser" so his YPC should be low? Bettis was listed at 5'11", 252 lbs. Trent is listed at 5'9", and he says he weighed 230 lbs last year (but looked heavier and was suspended for being overweight, so I would think he was heavier than that). Also, Richardson got the majority of the short-yardage carries in Indy, so his YPC would suffer, according to the "bruiser" logic. So, if you're going to excuse Bettis' YPC based on the "bruiser" argument, you have to excuse Richardson's as well, if you're applying this argument fairly.

But the specifics of the situations aren't important, I've acknowledged they aren't identical. The point is that other RBs have improved upon poor starts to their career, other RBs have have good rookie years, then seen a decline in stats, only to revive their career later. Just because Trent has been pretty useless the last 2 years doesn't mean he can't have value in the future. Would I give up much in a trade or use a decent pick on him? Absolutely not. Would I pick him up off the WW or get him via a cheap trade? Sure, if I didn't have to to drop/trade a valuable player for him. Right now, he's not costing much. If you can get him cheap/free & stash him to wait and see, he could give you some value. The hurdle isn't huge to overcome. Right now, he's worthless. If he climbs to RB3 value, he's jumped that hurdle.
Trent had a good rookie year, in FF, based on sheer volume and a ridiculously and unsustainably high percentage of his team's TDs. In NFL terms he was decidedly below average. And then he was historically abysmal for two years in Indy. Way worse than Benson / Jones / early Bettis / etc levels of bad -- he was "worst RB in the entire NFL" style bad. And this in a good offense that provided room for every other crappy RB on the roster to find success.

 
I just think it's odd that "we" the Shark Pool has seen enough of him but the NFL clearly hasn't.

In baseball, batting average is a results based metric, while quality at bats is an approach based metric. Usually in fantasy football we are trying to predict what may happen in the future, not celebrate what has already happened. Richardson has looked poor in the past. Richardson clearly has a shot as a bell cow back on a run heavy offense behind (or aside of) a guy that the new head coach is clearly not too impressed with. Thinking Richardson has no value or should be on any dynasty waiver wire is ludicrous. We pray other backs have an opportunity like this.
If T-Rich was a 3rd, 4th or beyond draft pick.....he would be unemployed.

He was clearly over drafted but due to the draft pedigree, his impressive physical measurable's and impressive college career, he is being given one more chance.

He will fail yet again in all likelihood

Was any portion of this 2 year deal guaranteed? Bonus? Roster bonus? Otherwise it must be a no risk deal for the Raiders. Gotta assume that.

 
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I just think it's odd that "we" the Shark Pool has seen enough of him but the NFL clearly hasn't.

In baseball, batting average is a results based metric, while quality at bats is an approach based metric. Usually in fantasy football we are trying to predict what may happen in the future, not celebrate what has already happened. Richardson has looked poor in the past. Richardson clearly has a shot as a bell cow back on a run heavy offense behind (or aside of) a guy that the new head coach is clearly not too impressed with. Thinking Richardson has no value or should be on any dynasty waiver wire is ludicrous. We pray other backs have an opportunity like this.
"The NFL" hasn't seen enough? More like one team with an extremely bare cupboard at RB took a low risk flyer -- after he cleared waivers despite still being on an affordable (albeit guaranteed) rookie contract. He got a smaller contract than the same team gave journeyman role-player Roy Helu, and also less than aging DeAngelo Williams got to be a straight backup to LeVeon Bell.
Just like most people are assuming that Oakland has no real risk, I am assuming they gave him a decent contract because he had other suitors or other options. The speculation after being cut was he would be a league minimum contract and probably close to camp time. Instead he landed with a 2-year contract with decent incentives a week or so after getting waived. Seems like Oakland was acting with some level of urgency.

(also, don't understand how Helu is a journeyman having been only with the team he was drafted on, but that is neither here nor there.)

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Some do. Among the top 75% qualifiers he's been a top 10 on PFF in their elusive rating for the past two seasons. Oddly enough he was worse in his rookie season, finishing 16th.

That's a bad mark on the PFF ratings, I'm sure they hate it when they compile their numbers and how him scoring so highly, makes the entire rankings seem dubious.

So PFF elusive ratings aside no one will get zero argument out of me that the past two seasons he's been one of the worst RB's ever.

On the other hand I have always and will continue to argue he was good his rookie season and I don't just mean for fantasy. The YPC were not great but considering he got his knee scoped and played with broke ribs I thought it was decent and I thought he ran hard and tough that season. In fact after his first game against the Ravens some member of their defense said he was the hardest RB in the league to tackle. They did not say he was the best, but that still says a lot when a defense is labeling you the hardest back in the league to tackle. I still believe that ability is present, but he's got to get his mind right and rework his conditioning to what is optimal for the football field and not looking good in the weight room.

 
"The NFL" hasn't seen enough? More like one team with an extremely bare cupboard at RB took a low risk flyer -- after he cleared waivers despite still being on an affordable (albeit guaranteed) rookie contract. He got a smaller contract than the same team gave journeyman role-player Roy Helu, and also less than aging DeAngelo Williams got to be a straight backup to LeVeon Bell.
Don't let facts get in the way of an argument.

 
I just think it's odd that "we" the Shark Pool has seen enough of him but the NFL clearly hasn't.

In baseball, batting average is a results based metric, while quality at bats is an approach based metric. Usually in fantasy football we are trying to predict what may happen in the future, not celebrate what has already happened. Richardson has looked poor in the past. Richardson clearly has a shot as a bell cow back on a run heavy offense behind (or aside of) a guy that the new head coach is clearly not too impressed with. Thinking Richardson has no value or should be on any dynasty waiver wire is ludicrous. We pray other backs have an opportunity like this.
If T-Rich was a 3rd, 4th or beyond draft pick.....he would be unemployed.

He was clearly over drafted but due to the draft pedigree, his impressive physical measurable's and impressive college career, he is being given one more chance.

He will fail yet again in all likelihood

Was any portion of this 2 year deal guaranteed? Bonus? Roster bonus? Otherwise it must be a no risk deal for the Raiders. Gotta assume that.
Nothing announced, but I assume it's little. Even if he makes the team it's a cheap salary in today's NFL - for example, a 32 year old DeAngelo Williams got $1.1M guaranteed and will earn $2M if he makes the Steelers roster.

 
(also, don't understand how Helu is a journeyman having been only with the team he was drafted on, but that is neither here nor there.)
Journeyman is euphemism for 'sucks'.

As a 3rd down back he's one of the best and has a career 7.4 YPT - compare that to Sproles at 6.9 YPT.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.
You don't think getting outplayed by a 29 year old UDFA from Coe College, to the point that he was traded mid-season (in his 4th season) qualifies as "disappointed early" in his career? I do.Bettis was a "bruiser" so his YPC should be low? Bettis was listed at 5'11", 252 lbs. Trent is listed at 5'9", and he says he weighed 230 lbs last year (but looked heavier and was suspended for being overweight, so I would think he was heavier than that). Also, Richardson got the majority of the short-yardage carries in Indy, so his YPC would suffer, according to the "bruiser" logic. So, if you're going to excuse Bettis' YPC based on the "bruiser" argument, you have to excuse Richardson's as well, if you're applying this argument fairly.

But the specifics of the situations aren't important, I've acknowledged they aren't identical. The point is that other RBs have improved upon poor starts to their career, other RBs have have good rookie years, then seen a decline in stats, only to revive their career later. Just because Trent has been pretty useless the last 2 years doesn't mean he can't have value in the future. Would I give up much in a trade or use a decent pick on him? Absolutely not. Would I pick him up off the WW or get him via a cheap trade? Sure, if I didn't have to to drop/trade a valuable player for him. Right now, he's not costing much. If you can get him cheap/free & stash him to wait and see, he could give you some value. The hurdle isn't huge to overcome. Right now, he's worthless. If he climbs to RB3 value, he's jumped that hurdle.
Trent had a good rookie year, in FF, based on sheer volume and a ridiculously and unsustainably high percentage of his team's TDs. In NFL terms he was decidedly below average. And then he was historically abysmal for two years in Indy. Way worse than Benson / Jones / early Bettis / etc levels of bad -- he was "worst RB in the entire NFL" style bad. And this in a good offense that provided room for every other crappy RB on the roster to find success.
You and I have different definitions of "below average," I guess.

As a rookie, Richardson was 8th among RBs in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and 10th in reception % (50 or more targets). Those are not only NOT "below average" numbers, they are above average.

And, Richardson doesn't have to improve to great level to provide value (from a FF perspective), he only has to improve to not worthless. He can be had essentially for free now, in many leagues. If he produces RB3 numbers, or even bye-week fill in RB numbers, for the cost of a WW pickup, throw-in on a trade, or last round pick up, that's value. DMC was RB 35 in both PPR and non-PPR last year in Oakland (155 carries/534 yards/2 TD/36 rec/212 yards/0TD). Those are pedestrian numbers, and would require only a very slight improvement in YPC for Richardson (while allowing him to decline in his YPR numbers).

Again, Richardson could present FF value this year; not stud-level, bring you to a championship value, but RB3/bye-week value.

 
(also, don't understand how Helu is a journeyman having been only with the team he was drafted on, but that is neither here nor there.)
Journeyman is euphemism for 'sucks'.

As a 3rd down back he's one of the best and has a career 7.4 YPT - compare that to Sproles at 6.9 YPT.
I didn't mean Helu "sucks." Journeyman means a decent experienced player to me. Not great, not exciting, but a solid pro.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.

As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
While that is true, you have to realize you are producing two examples in the entirety of all RBs. I'm sure there's more out there but the point is, for every RB that has the talent AND the desire to bounce back, AND doesn't get to an age before they turn it around to where teams just say "forget about this 26-27 year old, he'll be too old before he helps us", AND falls into a really good RB opportunity, there are hundreds of guys that had talent that was out of the league before being in it for three or four years.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.
You don't think getting outplayed by a 29 year old UDFA from Coe College, to the point that he was traded mid-season (in his 4th season) qualifies as "disappointed early" in his career? I do.Bettis was a "bruiser" so his YPC should be low? Bettis was listed at 5'11", 252 lbs. Trent is listed at 5'9", and he says he weighed 230 lbs last year (but looked heavier and was suspended for being overweight, so I would think he was heavier than that). Also, Richardson got the majority of the short-yardage carries in Indy, so his YPC would suffer, according to the "bruiser" logic. So, if you're going to excuse Bettis' YPC based on the "bruiser" argument, you have to excuse Richardson's as well, if you're applying this argument fairly.

But the specifics of the situations aren't important, I've acknowledged they aren't identical. The point is that other RBs have improved upon poor starts to their career, other RBs have have good rookie years, then seen a decline in stats, only to revive their career later. Just because Trent has been pretty useless the last 2 years doesn't mean he can't have value in the future. Would I give up much in a trade or use a decent pick on him? Absolutely not. Would I pick him up off the WW or get him via a cheap trade? Sure, if I didn't have to to drop/trade a valuable player for him. Right now, he's not costing much. If you can get him cheap/free & stash him to wait and see, he could give you some value. The hurdle isn't huge to overcome. Right now, he's worthless. If he climbs to RB3 value, he's jumped that hurdle.
Trent had a good rookie year, in FF, based on sheer volume and a ridiculously and unsustainably high percentage of his team's TDs. In NFL terms he was decidedly below average. And then he was historically abysmal for two years in Indy. Way worse than Benson / Jones / early Bettis / etc levels of bad -- he was "worst RB in the entire NFL" style bad. And this in a good offense that provided room for every other crappy RB on the roster to find success.
You and I have different definitions of "below average," I guess.As a rookie, Richardson was 8th among RBs in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and 10th in reception % (50 or more targets). Those are not only NOT "below average" numbers, they are above average.

And, Richardson doesn't have to improve to great level to provide value (from a FF perspective), he only has to improve to not worthless. He can be had essentially for free now, in many leagues. If he produces RB3 numbers, or even bye-week fill in RB numbers, for the cost of a WW pickup, throw-in on a trade, or last round pick up, that's value. DMC was RB 35 in both PPR and non-PPR last year in Oakland (155 carries/534 yards/2 TD/36 rec/212 yards/0TD). Those are pedestrian numbers, and would require only a very slight improvement in YPC for Richardson (while allowing him to decline in his YPR numbers).

Again, Richardson could present FF value this year; not stud-level, bring you to a championship value, but RB3/bye-week value.
Receptions and receiving yards are volume #s based on usage and may or may not be a reflection of ability. Reception % -- come on now. That's digging pretty deep as far as a metric for RB performance; it's hugely dependent on a whole slew of other factors related to system and usage. Either way, if you want to say that Richardson was above average as a receiver as a rookie, have at it. He was definitely below average as a runner, which is his primary function, and he's definitely not close to a (+) blocker. Given Helu's presence, his receiving ability is probably not super relevant to any projections moving forward in Oakland anyway.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.
You don't think getting outplayed by a 29 year old UDFA from Coe College, to the point that he was traded mid-season (in his 4th season) qualifies as "disappointed early" in his career? I do.Bettis was a "bruiser" so his YPC should be low? Bettis was listed at 5'11", 252 lbs. Trent is listed at 5'9", and he says he weighed 230 lbs last year (but looked heavier and was suspended for being overweight, so I would think he was heavier than that). Also, Richardson got the majority of the short-yardage carries in Indy, so his YPC would suffer, according to the "bruiser" logic. So, if you're going to excuse Bettis' YPC based on the "bruiser" argument, you have to excuse Richardson's as well, if you're applying this argument fairly.

But the specifics of the situations aren't important, I've acknowledged they aren't identical. The point is that other RBs have improved upon poor starts to their career, other RBs have have good rookie years, then seen a decline in stats, only to revive their career later. Just because Trent has been pretty useless the last 2 years doesn't mean he can't have value in the future. Would I give up much in a trade or use a decent pick on him? Absolutely not. Would I pick him up off the WW or get him via a cheap trade? Sure, if I didn't have to to drop/trade a valuable player for him. Right now, he's not costing much. If you can get him cheap/free & stash him to wait and see, he could give you some value. The hurdle isn't huge to overcome. Right now, he's worthless. If he climbs to RB3 value, he's jumped that hurdle.
Trent had a good rookie year, in FF, based on sheer volume and a ridiculously and unsustainably high percentage of his team's TDs. In NFL terms he was decidedly below average. And then he was historically abysmal for two years in Indy. Way worse than Benson / Jones / early Bettis / etc levels of bad -- he was "worst RB in the entire NFL" style bad. And this in a good offense that provided room for every other crappy RB on the roster to find success.
You and I have different definitions of "below average," I guess.

As a rookie, Richardson was 8th among RBs in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and 10th in reception % (50 or more targets). Those are not only NOT "below average" numbers, they are above average.

And, Richardson doesn't have to improve to great level to provide value (from a FF perspective), he only has to improve to not worthless. He can be had essentially for free now, in many leagues. If he produces RB3 numbers, or even bye-week fill in RB numbers, for the cost of a WW pickup, throw-in on a trade, or last round pick up, that's value. DMC was RB 35 in both PPR and non-PPR last year in Oakland (155 carries/534 yards/2 TD/36 rec/212 yards/0TD). Those are pedestrian numbers, and would require only a very slight improvement in YPC for Richardson (while allowing him to decline in his YPR numbers).

Again, Richardson could present FF value this year; not stud-level, bring you to a championship value, but RB3/bye-week value.
Yes and no. A lot of leagues don't have the luxury of being able to hold a roster spot for a RB that MIGHT get you decent points one or two times a year IF the guys in front of him are hurt or IF bye weeks fall a certain way, etc.

We all know a RB has a certain value just by their designation but I see it every year: there are teams in leagues that will have 3 or 4 roster spots eaten up by the Robert turbins, TRICHS, Danny Woodheads, etc and at the end of the year, they might combine for 100 points but in the meantime, you amputated your waiver wire arm to create REAL value.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.

As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
While that is true, you have to realize you are producing two examples in the entirety of all RBs. I'm sure there's more out there but the point is, for every RB that has the talent AND the desire to bounce back, AND doesn't get to an age before they turn it around to where teams just say "forget about this 26-27 year old, he'll be too old before he helps us", AND falls into a really good RB opportunity, there are hundreds of guys that had talent that was out of the league before being in it for three or four years.
There are also probably hundreds of guys who hung around for a few years and put up RB3/bye-week fill in FF numbers. Which is all I'm suggesting here. The examples I produced were just to demonstrate that a RB can climb from really bad to really good. If that's possible, then it isn't a stretch to climb from really bad to average. And average would be an improvement for Richardson. Maybe you get lucky, and he doesn't just become average; that's a bonus. Maybe he doesn't improve and stays really bad. You haven't lost anything, IF you don't give up much to get him.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.
You don't think getting outplayed by a 29 year old UDFA from Coe College, to the point that he was traded mid-season (in his 4th season) qualifies as "disappointed early" in his career? I do.Bettis was a "bruiser" so his YPC should be low? Bettis was listed at 5'11", 252 lbs. Trent is listed at 5'9", and he says he weighed 230 lbs last year (but looked heavier and was suspended for being overweight, so I would think he was heavier than that). Also, Richardson got the majority of the short-yardage carries in Indy, so his YPC would suffer, according to the "bruiser" logic. So, if you're going to excuse Bettis' YPC based on the "bruiser" argument, you have to excuse Richardson's as well, if you're applying this argument fairly.

But the specifics of the situations aren't important, I've acknowledged they aren't identical. The point is that other RBs have improved upon poor starts to their career, other RBs have have good rookie years, then seen a decline in stats, only to revive their career later. Just because Trent has been pretty useless the last 2 years doesn't mean he can't have value in the future. Would I give up much in a trade or use a decent pick on him? Absolutely not. Would I pick him up off the WW or get him via a cheap trade? Sure, if I didn't have to to drop/trade a valuable player for him. Right now, he's not costing much. If you can get him cheap/free & stash him to wait and see, he could give you some value. The hurdle isn't huge to overcome. Right now, he's worthless. If he climbs to RB3 value, he's jumped that hurdle.
Trent had a good rookie year, in FF, based on sheer volume and a ridiculously and unsustainably high percentage of his team's TDs. In NFL terms he was decidedly below average. And then he was historically abysmal for two years in Indy. Way worse than Benson / Jones / early Bettis / etc levels of bad -- he was "worst RB in the entire NFL" style bad. And this in a good offense that provided room for every other crappy RB on the roster to find success.
You and I have different definitions of "below average," I guess.As a rookie, Richardson was 8th among RBs in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and 10th in reception % (50 or more targets). Those are not only NOT "below average" numbers, they are above average.

And, Richardson doesn't have to improve to great level to provide value (from a FF perspective), he only has to improve to not worthless. He can be had essentially for free now, in many leagues. If he produces RB3 numbers, or even bye-week fill in RB numbers, for the cost of a WW pickup, throw-in on a trade, or last round pick up, that's value. DMC was RB 35 in both PPR and non-PPR last year in Oakland (155 carries/534 yards/2 TD/36 rec/212 yards/0TD). Those are pedestrian numbers, and would require only a very slight improvement in YPC for Richardson (while allowing him to decline in his YPR numbers).

Again, Richardson could present FF value this year; not stud-level, bring you to a championship value, but RB3/bye-week value.
Receptions and receiving yards are volume #s based on usage and may or may not be a reflection of ability. Reception % -- come on now. That's digging pretty deep as far as a metric for RB performance; it's hugely dependent on a whole slew of other factors related to system and usage. Either way, if you want to say that Richardson was above average as a receiver as a rookie, have at it. He was definitely below average as a runner, which is his primary function, and he's definitely not close to a (+) blocker. Given Helu's presence, his receiving ability is probably not super relevant to any projections moving forward in Oakland anyway.
Well based on that logic, rushing yards must also be considered volume #s based on usage, and you've already discounted his TD numbers. What stats do count, in your estimation? Is the only stat that matters to you YPC? Because if that is your argument, then you are absolutely right, Richardson was a below average NFL RB in his rookie year.

Since I'm not choosing to ignore EVERY STAT that doesn't support my stance, I still contend he was an average to above-average receiving RB in his rookie year. I also hold firm in the argument that he is worth a pickup now (at his current prices). If he gets cut/doesn't beat out Helu for the #2 job (or Murray for the #1), you've lost nothing. If you wait, though, and he DOES beat out one (or both) of those RBs, his price will rise, and the value will vanish.

 
Depending heavily on the league and the team, he's worth an early roster spot. You could see what happens in training camp, and if he looks the same, you dump him. But I wouldn't invest much of anything OTHER than that roster spot (opportunity cost). I have him in one league with fairly tight rosters and he will be one of the guys I look at getting rid of at cut-down time.

The light could come on and he could produce, but I put it at about 1 in 10. That's probably about the same as a late round draft pick, or a little worse.

 
Dutch Kincade said:
Zyphros said:
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
I hate rehashing these arguments, but how does 1000 4.0+ ypc seasons and one pro-bowl in his first two seasons equal disappointing early? Lynch isn't even in the same equation as TRich in terms of early results. Also, Bettis was a 250 pound bruiser, of course his ypc is going to be on the lower side. Even so, 1429 yards and 4.9 ypc for Bettis his rookie year is hardly disappointing.Thomas Jones is the only one I would say is similar in terms of first 3 years of disappointing results. That said, he actually improved from years 1 through 3 and showed a little bit in year 3. Also, contrary to TRich, when he was traded, he performed better. 4.6 ypc in year 1 with Tampa and 948 yards and 4.0 ypc in year 1 with Chicago followed by 5 straight 1000 yard seasons.

TRich in years 1-3 has under performed every RB listed, so he's got a huge hurdle to overcome. Based on his interviews, I still don't think he's gotten anything yet, so the turn around IMHO won't happen until he does, if ever.
You don't think getting outplayed by a 29 year old UDFA from Coe College, to the point that he was traded mid-season (in his 4th season) qualifies as "disappointed early" in his career? I do.Bettis was a "bruiser" so his YPC should be low? Bettis was listed at 5'11", 252 lbs. Trent is listed at 5'9", and he says he weighed 230 lbs last year (but looked heavier and was suspended for being overweight, so I would think he was heavier than that). Also, Richardson got the majority of the short-yardage carries in Indy, so his YPC would suffer, according to the "bruiser" logic. So, if you're going to excuse Bettis' YPC based on the "bruiser" argument, you have to excuse Richardson's as well, if you're applying this argument fairly.

But the specifics of the situations aren't important, I've acknowledged they aren't identical. The point is that other RBs have improved upon poor starts to their career, other RBs have have good rookie years, then seen a decline in stats, only to revive their career later. Just because Trent has been pretty useless the last 2 years doesn't mean he can't have value in the future. Would I give up much in a trade or use a decent pick on him? Absolutely not. Would I pick him up off the WW or get him via a cheap trade? Sure, if I didn't have to to drop/trade a valuable player for him. Right now, he's not costing much. If you can get him cheap/free & stash him to wait and see, he could give you some value. The hurdle isn't huge to overcome. Right now, he's worthless. If he climbs to RB3 value, he's jumped that hurdle.
Trent had a good rookie year, in FF, based on sheer volume and a ridiculously and unsustainably high percentage of his team's TDs. In NFL terms he was decidedly below average. And then he was historically abysmal for two years in Indy. Way worse than Benson / Jones / early Bettis / etc levels of bad -- he was "worst RB in the entire NFL" style bad. And this in a good offense that provided room for every other crappy RB on the roster to find success.
You and I have different definitions of "below average," I guess.As a rookie, Richardson was 8th among RBs in receptions, 12th in receiving yards, and 10th in reception % (50 or more targets). Those are not only NOT "below average" numbers, they are above average.

And, Richardson doesn't have to improve to great level to provide value (from a FF perspective), he only has to improve to not worthless. He can be had essentially for free now, in many leagues. If he produces RB3 numbers, or even bye-week fill in RB numbers, for the cost of a WW pickup, throw-in on a trade, or last round pick up, that's value. DMC was RB 35 in both PPR and non-PPR last year in Oakland (155 carries/534 yards/2 TD/36 rec/212 yards/0TD). Those are pedestrian numbers, and would require only a very slight improvement in YPC for Richardson (while allowing him to decline in his YPR numbers).

Again, Richardson could present FF value this year; not stud-level, bring you to a championship value, but RB3/bye-week value.
Receptions and receiving yards are volume #s based on usage and may or may not be a reflection of ability. Reception % -- come on now. That's digging pretty deep as far as a metric for RB performance; it's hugely dependent on a whole slew of other factors related to system and usage. Either way, if you want to say that Richardson was above average as a receiver as a rookie, have at it. He was definitely below average as a runner, which is his primary function, and he's definitely not close to a (+) blocker. Given Helu's presence, his receiving ability is probably not super relevant to any projections moving forward in Oakland anyway.
Well based on that logic, rushing yards must also be considered volume #s based on usage, and you've already discounted his TD numbers. What stats do count, in your estimation? Is the only stat that matters to you YPC? Because if that is your argument, then you are absolutely right, Richardson was a below average NFL RB in his rookie year.Since I'm not choosing to ignore EVERY STAT that doesn't support my stance, I still contend he was an average to above-average receiving RB in his rookie year. I also hold firm in the argument that he is worth a pickup now (at his current prices). If he gets cut/doesn't beat out Helu for the #2 job (or Murray for the #1), you've lost nothing. If you wait, though, and he DOES beat out one (or both) of those RBs, his price will rise, and the value will vanish.
This doesn't appear to be going anywhere. My position is that he's been the same guy all along: awful runner due to terrible vision and burst, although he is powerful and really hard to tackle, solid receiver, subpar blocker. These attributes were masked in FF due to volume in his rookie year -- that Cleveland regime had gone all in on the guy and needed to justify the huge price of trading up. That volume is unlikely to materialize again because at the end of the day he just can't run the ball effectively. The stats and my own eyeball test agree on this, as do the Colts, evidently.

No, I don't consider volume stats as anything more than an indirect reflection of ability -- efficiency metrics are more telling (although neither paint a complete picture). The fact that an awful regime in Cleveland fed him a ton of red zone and passing game touches doesn't outweigh the rest of the evidence that he's terrible IMO. Feel free to disagree and invest in the guy. I'll pass personally.

 
Some do. Among the top 75% qualifiers he's been a top 10 on PFF in their elusive rating for the past two seasons. Oddly enough he was worse in his rookie season, finishing 16th.

That's a bad mark on the PFF ratings, I'm sure they hate it when they compile their numbers and how him scoring so highly, makes the entire rankings seem dubious.

.
The PFF elusiveness rankings always seemed wonky to me. During Ray Rice's prime he was always at the bottom of the list, while anyone with eyes could see that he was at worst above average in elusiveness based on the most fluid hips I've seen on a RB. There are countless other examples as to why I ignore that stats every time its quoted on these message boards and the "lie" you are correctly pointing out if probably the biggest brick in the wall of why it's such a useless stat.

 
This doesn't appear to be going anywhere. My position is that he's been the same guy all along: awful runner due to terrible vision and burst, although he is powerful and really hard to tackle, solid receiver, subpar blocker. These attributes were masked in FF due to volume in his rookie year -- that Cleveland regime had gone all in on the guy and needed to justify the huge price of trading up. That volume is unlikely to materialize again because at the end of the day he just can't run the ball effectively. The stats and my own eyeball test agree on this, as do the Colts, evidently.No, I don't consider volume stats as anything more than an indirect reflection of ability -- efficiency metrics are more telling (although neither paint a complete picture). The fact that an awful regime in Cleveland fed him a ton of red zone and passing game touches doesn't outweigh the rest of the evidence that he's terrible IMO. Feel free to disagree and invest in the guy. I'll pass personally.
What have I suggested investing? A WW pick up? A throw in on a trade? A last round draft pick. Those aren't investments; they are lottery tickets. It doesn't seem to be going anywhere because you seem to want me to agree with you and say "he sucks, he has always sucked, and he always will suck." All I'm saying is he might not suck as much in the future, and if he sucks a little less, he can present some FF value.

 
Some do. Among the top 75% qualifiers he's been a top 10 on PFF in their elusive rating for the past two seasons. Oddly enough he was worse in his rookie season, finishing 16th.

That's a bad mark on the PFF ratings, I'm sure they hate it when they compile their numbers and how him scoring so highly, makes the entire rankings seem dubious.

.
The PFF elusiveness rankings always seemed wonky to me. During Ray Rice's prime he was always at the bottom of the list, while anyone with eyes could see that he was at worst above average in elusiveness based on the most fluid hips I've seen on a RB. There are countless other examples as to why I ignore that stats every time its quoted on these message boards and the "lie" you are correctly pointing out if probably the biggest brick in the wall of why it's such a useless stat.
well, I think you're confusing the title of an index figure with an actual word in the english language

'elusiveness rating' is just a cooked up index of various measurements thrown together like qbr --- I don't know that it's been shown to correlate to anything, and it only measures what it measures.

it doesn't actually measure 'elusiveness'.

pretty sure one of the factors in that are broken tackles, weighted to some degree or other, and I think richardson tends to break a lot of tackles because he's big and slow and gets tackled a lot because he's pretty much the opposite of elusive.

he's indecisive, doesn't know where the play's going because he didn't learn the playbook, and has no vision, so he probably gets hit behind the line a ton, maybe breaking a tackle or two en route to 3 other guys tackling him immediately.

edit: maybe ray rice didn't do as well because he didn't have many broken tackles, as he's a little guy who was able to elude tacklers.

 
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well, I think you're confusing the title of an index figure with an actual word in the english language

'elusiveness rating' is just a cooked up index of various measurements thrown together like qbr --- I don't know that it's been shown to correlate to anything, and it only measures what it measures.

it doesn't actually measure 'elusiveness'.
Oh, I see. I was confusing blue berries for blueberries.

 
Ripping on Richardson never gets old. He was touted as one of the best RB prospects ever, yet is one of the worst to ever play the game.

 
Rotoworld adds some perspective to the guaranteed $600,000:

http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/7462/trent-richardson

Trent Richardson's two-year contract contains just $600,000 in guaranteed money.

This is standard for lower-level free agents. The Raiders will keep Richardson through the offseason. If they don't like what they see, they'll eat the $600,000 and move on. The T-Rich signing was probably a best-case scenario for Latavius Murray' odds of winning Oakland's feature back role. It will likely discourage the Raiders from using an early draft pick at running back. Mar 20 - 12:25 PM

Source: Adam Caplan on Twitter

 
This bumps Latavius Murray in my book. T-rich is clearly there as a body filler and depth reasons, so that only boosts Murray's value in the sense it doesn't look like they will draft a guy this year. He doesn't compete with Murray or Helu in regards to what they can do so the way I'm reading into this signing is that Murray is the guy to own, while Helu is a nice handcuff/3rd down back.
Hard to see this...after seeing the contract. You have to really hate TR if you see this as bumping Murray. Oh yeah...most people here do see him through anger colored glasses.
Numbers don't lie. One of the worst RBs ever man.
Yeah, he has been thus far, but that doesn't mean he can't change.As noted, RBs like T Jones, Lynch dissappointed early, then revived their career later (after changing teams). Another example would be J. Bettis. He had a good rookie year, then sucked in years 2 & 3 (3.3 YPC in his 2nd & 3rd years). He went to Pittsburgh, and had 6 very good years, than hung around for 4 more to get to #6 on the all-time rushing list.

Being one of the worst RBs ever for your 1st few years isn't good, but It can (and has) been overcome.

If Richardson is free (WW pickup), it can't hurt to give him a shot, depending on who you'd have to drop for him.
Does this go for every rb who sucks right now??

 
Jesus. People really need to stop talking about his total numbers from his rookie year like they mean something.

He got a million touches. He was not very good that year. Most any RB in the nfl could just get the ball and run straight ahead with their eyes closed and get the same yards on that many touches.

The knee scope and ribs are just excuses to try and argue he would have been better had those things not happened, yet he played even worse when healthy.

 
Jesus. People really need to stop talking about his total numbers from his rookie year like they mean something.

He got a million touches. He was not very good that year. Most any RB in the nfl could just get the ball and run straight ahead with their eyes closed and get the same yards on that many touches.

The knee scope and ribs are just excuses to try and argue he would have been better had those things not happened, yet he played even worse when healthy.
when running behind joe thomas, he'll get you 3-4 yards. trent would take those 3-4 yards but only manage to get 1-2 out of it.

 

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