Elevencents
Footballguy
This. Gives you a chance to check the wind. I think it benefits the kicker.Plus you're giving him a practice shot if you call TO. From that exact spot of the field under the actual game conditions.
This. Gives you a chance to check the wind. I think it benefits the kicker.Plus you're giving him a practice shot if you call TO. From that exact spot of the field under the actual game conditions.
"Icing" the kicker is done to give the kicker extra time to contemplate the kick, so it probably works on nervous kickers. Coaches have probability statistics on everything, so obviously there is merit in this strategy. But if I were the kicker and the ball gets hiked, I am going through with my "practice" kick. I've seen many instances where the ball gets hiked, the timeout is called, and the kicker just stands there because he hears a whistle. Take the free practice.This. Gives you a chance to check the wind. I think it benefits the kicker.
I believe a lot of kickers say it doesn't bother them and some actually like the fact that they can get a practice kick in before the one that counts. They don't have to kick the first one at all, it's a freebie. Who wouldn't like a practice attempt before something like that?it’s one of the dumbest things in all of sports.
i’d be interested to see the actual data on it, i doubt it’s an effective strategy.
Logic says coaches have access to the data, and since it is a tactic used by nearly every team, it HAS to have merit. If the data showed it to be ineffective, it wouldn't be a weekly occurrence. FWIW, I think it's stupid how they go about it, with the coach standing next to a ref. If the team wants to call a TO, why can't they just tell the ref to call a TO at a given amount of seconds left on the play clock?it’s one of the dumbest things in all of sports.
i’d be interested to see the actual data on it, i doubt it’s an effective strategy.
Didn't I just see you posting in this thread?Logic says coaches have access to the data, and since it is a tactic used by nearly every team, it HAS to have merit. If the data showed it to be ineffective, it wouldn't be a weekly occurrence. FWIW, I think it's stupid how they go about it, with the coach standing next to a ref. If the team wants to call a TO, why can't they just tell the ref to call a TO at a given amount of seconds left on the play clock?
It may be a net benefit to kickers overall, but Parkey was not a very confident kicker to begin with. Pederson said after the game he was definitely icing him no matter what. Eagles' players said they could tell after the TO was called that Parkey was missing the kick.From what I remember, the numbers say icing is a net benefit to the kicker, but the effect is small. I will say that as a viewer, I find it annoying irrespective of its outcome on the game.
They knew they were going to get a fingertip on the ball, have it doink off two crossbars, and come down on the wrong side? Wow, those Eagles players were amazingly prescient!It may be a net benefit to kickers overall, but Parkey was not a very confident kicker to begin with. Pederson said after the game he was definitely icing him no matter what. Eagles' players said they could tell after the TO was called that Parkey was missing the kick.
Pederson knew Parkey's recent history with uprights and thought it was a good call. He said as much in his post-game presser. IDK for sure, but I'd guess the Eagles had a pretty good read on Parkey. He wasn't the most-confident of kickers entering that game.They knew they were going to get a fingertip on the ball, have it doink off two crossbars, and come down on the wrong side? Wow, those Eagles players were amazingly prescient!
Anyway, I'd be curious to know if the data show any difference in the effect of icing on kickers based on factors such as their accuracy, experience, etc. (ie, you should ice Parkey but not Justin Tucker or Vinatieri).
I actually think that he would have missed even more to the left if it had not been tipped... if you watch the replays that's what it looks likeThis is totally out of context at this point. The kick was blocked. Did Pederson 'freeze' the Bears' o-line?
No, he literally doesn't. He still needs to only make one...the second one.But from the kickers POV he has to make 2 kicks instead of 1.
he would have been fine if he missed the first oneBut from the kickers POV he has to make 2 kicks instead of 1.
either team can call timeout up until the ball is snapped....maybe they have 12 men on the field, etc....I agree with OP. No skin in this particular game. Could care less.
I think the solution is the timeout has to be called before the kicker lines up the 1st kick. Maybe the kicker has to give a sign for that to happen since they all have their own routines. But there needs to be some way.
Not only because the icing comes late at times, but because the kicker often sneaks in a practice try - like in this game.
This post persuaded me to make waffles.All this icing talk...good thing I have cinnamon rolls for lunch today
what happens if I say give me a timeout with 5 seconds left on the play clock but they snap it at 6.....Logic says coaches have access to the data, and since it is a tactic used by nearly every team, it HAS to have merit. If the data showed it to be ineffective, it wouldn't be a weekly occurrence. FWIW, I think it's stupid how they go about it, with the coach standing next to a ref. If the team wants to call a TO, why can't they just tell the ref to call a TO at a given amount of seconds left on the play clock?
Just a bunch of bros in here.This post persuaded me to make waffles.
Then they don't get the TO - it's a chess match to pick the right # of secondswhat happens if I say give me a timeout with 5 seconds left on the play clock but they snap it at 6.....
It's just noise.For the record, I Googled the subject, and the results were all over the map. Bill Barnwell at Grantland said in 2011 that it didn't work. So did Freakanomics (both were citing the book Scorecasting). ESPN said it improved kickers' chances. A separate ESPN Stats and Info piece suggested it did work. Mixpanel ran a bunch of numbers in 2016 and concluded that it actually had more of an effect in regular action compared to late-game situations, but also that it was more effective on longer FG attempts. I look at all that data and have no idea what to make of it.
Right. If a coach wants to do it, then he should. Intuitively, it does seem to make more sense to do it to shaky kickers like Parkey, and maybe Pederson did have data indicating it was the right call (if Vance Joseph had done it, I wouldn't have given them the benefit of the doubt).It's just noise.
Icing is perfectly designed to prey on human confirmation bias. When a coach doesn't ice, the kicker usually makes the kick anyway (at least, at the NFL level). If he does ice and the kicker misses, people see a cause-and-effect relationship that probably doesn't exist. But no one ever says "that kicker missed because he didn't get iced." The evidence against icing only turns up when you intelligently study a large sample of data. And if coaches don't have a nuanced understanding of what kinds of decisions can be accurately analyzed with statistics, they're likely to stick with their gut, experience, and mainstream opinion.
I would mix it up. If you always do one thing all the time then the other kicker probably knows you are going to call time out and isn't expecting to have to kick the first time. So switch it up and act like you are going to call time out and then don't.either team can call timeout up until the ball is snapped....maybe they have 12 men on the field, etc....
personally...I am calling the timeout every time if I am a coach.....I'm gonna roll the dice on the mental side of things....I do think there is something to be said for making them think a little longer about it at that particular moment.....you can't really practice what that moment is actually like...
Ahhhh, the old reverse icing, I like it. I would also love to see a coach pull out his challenge flag and run up and down the sidelines the whole game, threatening to throw it out on every play, even obvious incomplete passes.I would mix it up. If you always do one thing all the time then the other kicker probably knows you are going to call time out and isn't expecting to have to kick the first time. So switch it up and act like you are going to call time out and then don't.
I don't think it makes much difference but if you mix things up then maybe you can catch a guy off guard one way or the other. I haven't really seen a coach go up to the official acting like he is going to call time out but then never do it. The reverse icing. That's what I would do.
I once heard that the most effective tactic used by baseball catchers to throw off hitters is telling them what pitch is coming. Maybe it's true, maybe it's not, but either way you get in their heads.I would mix it up. If you always do one thing all the time then the other kicker probably knows you are going to call time out and isn't expecting to have to kick the first time. So switch it up and act like you are going to call time out and then don't.
I don't think it makes much difference but if you mix things up then maybe you can catch a guy off guard one way or the other. I haven't really seen a coach go up to the official acting like he is going to call time out but then never do it. The reverse icing. That's what I would do.
Two things.....I think it's BS to call a timeout right before a field goal attempt . Bears make a field goal but philly called a TO. Then Bears missed the second attempt and Philly wins. Nothing against the Eagles or for the Bears I just dislike this strategy. Essentially forcing the team to make two field goals in a row. Not sure what can be done to correct the problem.
Thoughts?
Because if they miss that’s what’s in their head.I understand calling the timeout to "ice" the kicker before the ball is snapped. There's a reason you see kickers warming up on the sideline before they come in to kick. Practicing mechanics, visualizing, muscle memory, focusing on the kick, etc. Once they're out on the field they don't have time to run back and take another practice swing and have another minute or so to stand around and think about it.
What I don't understand is calling the TO so close to the snap that the kicker gets a practice try. I would think when the practice of calling the TO just before the snap occurred started that kickers said to snap it anyway and give me a warm up / practice kick to test the wind. I can't imagine a kicker would decide to not take the meaningless kick and rather wait around for another couple minutes before taking the real kick. They're kickers, they kick, that's all they do in practice, etc... what's the difference between kicking it once or twice? (Except, of course, for Janikowski this weekend.) After the kickers figured out how to get a practice try out of it, I'm surprised coaches then didn't start calling it earlier to prevent the practice try.
Watching the game, I felt the same..It may be a net benefit to kickers overall, but Parkey was not a very confident kicker to begin with. Pederson said after the game he was definitely icing him no matter what. Eagles' players said they could tell after the TO was called that Parkey was missing the kick.
I've always thought situations like this were actually beneficial for the kicker. Who wouldn't want a no pressure practice kick?In this case he didn't even have to kick the first one. The whistle came in plenty of time, he kicked it anyway just for practice.
Agree 100%I hate it. No idea on it's effectiveness... I just hate using the officials to disrupt the game. The whole coach standing there with an incomplete "T" in front of the refs face... wait for it... wait for it... OK NOW!
No problem with "icing" the kicker, but would like it to limit it to giving him more time to think about it. Ask the opposing team if they want to take a TO. If they decline, then play on.
I believe most everyone in the thread is discussing this as a whole, not just the Bears gameThis is totally out of context at this point. The kick was blocked. Did Pederson 'freeze' the Bears' o-line?
I think people might underestimate what goes on during those timeouts also. I realize kicking formations are set and standard but defensive players can time their rush based on the snap count. Teams do this on defensive during ordinary offensive snaps so I don't see why they would not do it for special teams snaps, and in fact I know they do because the Broncos did it to the Saints a couple years back. It just so happens that this kick was blocked, and yeah the defense probably talked timing and alignment during the TO.I believe most everyone in the thread is discussing this as a whole, not just the Bears gameThis is totally out of context at this point. The kick was blocked. Did Pederson 'freeze' the Bears' o-line?
The NFL has enough special rules. Good lord, you get three TOs, and the ball is in play when snapped, it's a simple game.I think the timeout should have to be called as soon as they come to the line. We shouldn't have to watch 2 kicks.
I could be wrong, but I thought the OP was talking about the coaches standing by the official trying to time his timeout call a split second before the ball is snappedI think people might underestimate what goes on during those timeouts also. I realize kicking formations are set and standard but defensive players can time their rush based on the snap count. Teams do this on defensive during ordinary offensive snaps so I don't see why they would not do it for special teams snaps, and in fact I know they do because the Broncos did it to the Saints a couple years back. It just so happens that this kick was blocked, and yeah the defense probably talked timing and alignment during the TO.
I understand that, but I think there's more going on. If a HC wants to screw with the kicker and also give his defense more time to look over their alignment and coordinate more, let them, it only helps. There's an extra TO left over, use it. Let these guys play football, there's enough interference from the NFL already.I could be wrong, but I thought the OP was talking about the coaches standing by the official trying to time his timeout call a split second before the ball is snapped
Those are the ones that I think are dumb.
If a coach wants to call a timeout to talk timing and alignment idk why he would want to stand next to the official with his hands close to one another trying to time it a split second before the snap
Icing the kicker isn't playing football. It's bush league.I understand that, but I think there's more going on. If a HC wants to screw with the kicker and also give his defense more time to look over their alignment and coordinate more, let them, it only helps. There's an extra TO left over, use it. Let these guys play football, there's enough interference from the NFL already.
I'm all for icing the kicker, but they can do it before he actually kicks the ball. It's having to watch him kick twice is the problem.The NFL has enough special rules. Good lord, you get three TOs, and the ball is in play when snapped, it's a simple game.
Just what NFL games need, more dead time.Sometimes I think people like to complain for the sake of complaining. It's strategy and it worked for the Eagles this time. Next time maybe it backfires. Each team has 3 and only 3 TOs per half; who cares when they choose to use them. The game didn't get any longer.