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**TNF on Prime - Ravens 2-5 at Dolphins 2-6**(+7.5, 50.5) 8:15 (4 Viewers)

This over/under feels high to me. Ravens D is healthy again, and Dolphins D has played better in recent games.

I think Lamar is a little rusty and while I expect a solid game, I'm not expecting him to jump back into 30-point weeks. With lots of good WRs on bye, I think DeAndre Hopkins and his rising snap counts are a good bet for a TD.

I think the Ravens contain Achane a good bit, but Waddle has a week pretty similar to Odunze last week.

I think Miami keeps it close enough to cover.
 
travdogg said:
This over/under feels high to me. Ravens D is healthy again, and Dolphins D has played better in recent games.

I think Lamar is a little rusty and while I expect a solid game, I'm not expecting him to jump back into 30-point weeks. With lots of good WRs on bye, I think DeAndre Hopkins and his rising snap counts are a good bet for a TD.

I think the Ravens contain Achane a good bit, but Waddle has a week pretty similar to Odunze last week.

I think Miami keeps it close enough to cover.
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Easily could see something like 27-14 Ravens, this has the smell of a Ravens in total control game but I agree with you on the under despite some weak secondaries both ways
Short week, Miami does get the advantage of coming home on short rest, still I can see Baltimore up 3 scores before some late Miami window dressing

27-14, 27-21, the under works,
I'd skip the 7.5 both ways, Miami has looked mostly awful outside of last week
Turnovers, very simple what will decide this game
 
Closest we get to a Halloween game this year.
Hard to ignore Edgar Allens favorite team this week
so...

Scary Ravens- 27

Scary Mammals- 20
 
Here's my parlay for the game:

Tua 175+ pass yards
Lamar 25+ rush yards
Waddle 4+ receptions
Lamar o1.5 pass TDs

Don't care who wins, just give me some offense.
 
I'm expecting a big comeback for Lamar tonight. I usually proceed with caution doing rankings on a player returning from an injury. Well he has the usual free-space Miami Dolphins and is my QB2 for the week.
 
Pip's Invitation said:
Thursday night games often behave weirdly. Miami and Baltimore have both behaved weirdly this year. I expect this game to have lots of weird behavior.
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Week 1 - 24-20, PHI over DAL
Week 2 - 27-18, GB over WAS
Week 3 - 31-21, BUF over MIA
Week 4 - 23-20, SEA over ARI
Week 5 - 26-23, SF over LAR
Week 6 - 34-17, NYG over PHI
Week 7 - 33-31, CIN over PIT
Week 8 - 37-10, LAC over MIN

First 5 weeks look pretty normal, but the last 3 are definitely behaving weirdly.
 
Why doesn’t Lamar Jackson get anywhere close to the number of commercials that Mahomes gets? I’ve only seen him in one or two. I’ve seen this many times with lots of players though. I suppose some don’t have the right personality for it. Peyton Manning hasn’t played in years and he’s all over the airwaves. I don’t recall Dan Fouts being in many, but maybe I’m just not remembering. I’m sure some of these guys don’t want to do them. If that’s the case they are losing out on a lot of money. I bet Gronk is raking in the money with USAA. OJ Simpson was on TV as a spokesperson in many adds and movies. I often wonder what drives this.
 
Miami has injuries in the secondary. Slot CB will be a major issue and 1 safety spot. TEs coukd feast.

If the BAL defense is back, expect Tua to struggle and ATL will be an anomaly.

BAL 34 - MIA 17.
 
there they went on that stupid stat again. Hey dumb-butts....high carries are correlated with wins....but correlation isn't causation. YOu have it backwards. Control of a game, WINNING, leads to more RB carries
 
JohnnyU said:
Why doesn’t Lamar Jackson get anywhere close to the number of commercials that Mahomes gets? I’ve only seen him in one or two. I’ve seen this many times with lots of players though. I suppose some don’t have the right personality for it. Peyton Manning hasn’t played in years and he’s all over the airwaves. I don’t recall Dan Fouts being in many, but maybe I’m just not remembering. I’m sure some of these guys don’t want to do them. If that’s the case they are losing out on a lot of money. I bet Gronk is raking in the money with USAA. OJ Simpson was on TV as a spokesperson in many adds and movies. I often wonder what drives this.
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Its weird who ends up getting commercials. There was that stretch a few years back, where every football game had like 10 Baker Mayfield lives at the stadium commercials.

Maybe Lamar just doesn't wanna act?
 
Don’t love that FG for MIA. Lamar back, I don't see FG’s winning this one. I get that they’re home & moving the ball well, but they needed 7 on that drive.
 
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