I'm not refuting anything, I just happen to believe that Vince will not make as good an NFL QB, at least without some changes, as you. I think learning the 3, 5 and 7 step drops from center is going to be tougher then you think, that he will have some passes batted down at first until he adjusts and that although he may be bigger and tougher than Mike Vick, he isn't nearly as fast and he won't be able to take those hits in the NFL.
But I certainly could be wrong.
Actually, although I've not gone into it much, I have said in this thread that I think he will need to change his game some. The thing is I don't think he'll have that much of a problem doing that. He's changed his game a lot from the time he got to Texas until now. He'll have to get used to more snaps under center, less running, reading more complex defenses, etc. That's all given. It may take time and work, but nobody works harder.
Nobody with any sanity is coming on here saying Young is going to run in the NFL as much as he did in college. That would be crazy. But to discount his passing ability is a serious error in judgement...one which many have made, with sad endings for them. Combine that with his everpresent ability to take off, and he's a serious headache for D-coordinators.
Can we be realistic here for a second? Vince Young's ability does not translate well into the NFL, no matter how many coaches he works with. His game is always going to be run first, and with the fast and quick NFL defenses, he will have no where to go. He will turn out to be another Michael Vick (the Vick now, not before), where he has no arm and is plenty overated. He hasnt developed enough to be a good QB in the NFL. It should take him a good 6 or 7 years before he can become decent in the NFL. Learning all of the drops, and learning how to stay in the pocket and throw will not be an easy task for Vince. I mean realistically, without his running game, hes nothing. The only reason he threw well in college was because of his ability to run. When the NFL defenses realize they dont have to put 8 people in the box to stop the QB run, they can drop more into coverage. Vince Young is not a good QB.
By saying that Young will be another Vick, you're just exposing your lack of knowledge of either Vick's or Young's style and abilities, or both. By saying Young's a run-first qb, you just prove that you
realistically haven't watched much of Young this year. The lion's share of his runs and yardage came when most qbs would have taken a coverage sack or thrown it away...or on designed qb runs, which were far scarcer than in 2004. Young made his reads, saw all his receivers covered, then took 2, 3, 5, 10, or 80 yards from the defense...whatever was there....but he never gave up looking for open receivers.
There were many times in '05 that we were scratching our heads in the stands as the play developed, screaming "Run!", because there was daylight in front of him and he had always taken any open running room in '04. This year, though, he'd stay put and hit a big pass play that he wouldn't have even seen before. Did it over and over...and over. Defenses could never figger out what he'd do next.
A run-first qb does not throw for 3000 yards. If he was run-first, as you say, he would have run for a LOT more than the almost 1200 yards he gained this year. The opportunities were there...and I'm not just saying all this as a homer. I'm saying it as a person who knows a lot more about Young's football abilities than you do.
without his running game, hes nothing
...and without his lightning fast release, great arm, and accuracy, Dan Marino would be a guy you never heard of working in a steel mill in Pa. Do you think VY will be "without his running game" in the NFL? There are several QBs in the NFL who are considered good running QBs, to the point where defenses have to respect their running ability. Now, tell me how many of them, next year, will be as good or better at running with the football than Vince Young.
I can think of exactly one, who is, probably due to some of his own lobbying, mired in a horrific offensive gameplan devoid of focus or direction.
Vince Young is no worse than the 2nd best running qb in the nfl the day he gets drafted. To think he won't be able to run, force defenses to respect him and account for him, and create mismatches in the process is just naive.