Missed this one..5 PPR flex - Damon Pierce, Penny or Jeff Wilson
IMO you can rely less on Lockett's week-in-week-out opportunities than Zeke's. It's really that simple IMO. And even with Cooper Rush I think the Dallas offense is better than Seattle's.10 team PPR
Which Flex should I start:
Zeke vs Giants
or
Lockett vs Atl?
Zeke has not really been worthy of the start here but?
This should not be such a tough decision. I hate predicting the extent of injury and the impact it may have on a player. Herbert is one of the 5 best QBs in the NFL, and he should remain that for the next 7-8 years (at least). Herbert could throw 30 TDs by accident. And a rib cartilage injury is no joke for a QB, but he still threw some amazing passes last week after the injury.Herbert agains the Jags assuming he gets the injection and plays. I’m just terrified that he won’t make it through the game.
or
Lawrence against the Chargers…very tough matchup.
Jacobs is playing today.If Jacobs is out:
Z.White vs Ten
Stevenson vs Bal
Allgeier vs Sea
PPR and bonus for 15 rushes.
Much as I like Tua I don't think you can bench Kyler.Full ppr ten team:
Flex spot: Marquise, Dotson, Henderson, Zeke, Olave
Also, Kyler over Tua right in 4pt PaTD
Lowest scoring team is kicked out of the league and their players go on waivers. So the goal each week is just to not finish last.I'm honestly not sure what a guillotine league is.Who do you like as the last flex starter in a PPR guillotine league?
Was in bottom third last week so need some points…
R Gage vs GB
R Doubs @ TB
B Perriman vs GB
R James vs DAL
M Hollins @ TEN (Renfrow out)
CAN ANYONE HELP WITH @Lehigh98 's question?
Tougher call here. You cold go a lot of different directions. I take Zeke over Henderson and Marquise over Dotson (barely) so those two guys are out IMO.Flex spot: Marquise, Dotson, Henderson, Zeke, Olave
Gotcha. Doesn't help inform my decision at all. What you have are a bunch of random variables and the goal is to use the pattern recognition machine that is the human brain to try and square that circle.Lowest scoring team is kicked out of the league and their players go on waivers. So the goal each week is just to not finish last.I'm honestly not sure what a guillotine league is.Who do you like as the last flex starter in a PPR guillotine league?
Was in bottom third last week so need some points…
R Gage vs GB
R Doubs @ TB
B Perriman vs GB
R James vs DAL
M Hollins @ TEN (Renfrow out)
CAN ANYONE HELP WITH @Lehigh98 's question?
For anyone interested:
FBG Guillotine Article
Guillotine League Strategy Thread
FTR I am not liking what I am reading about Herbert so far this morning.Herbert agains the Jags assuming he gets the injection and plays. I’m just terrified that he won’t make it through the game.
or
Lawrence against the Chargers…very tough matchup.
Hot weather all day, rained all day yesterday, probably muggy but it's not going to be heavy winds and rain from what I saw.Unless you are in a very unique league format, you can't control points. Get it out of your head and don't let it cloud your judgement.12 team PPR. 0-2 after having 4th most pts in the league through 2 weeks, but giving up the most PA by far. Need a win to right the ship.
QB - Stafford or Tua against a depleted Bills D? Mind says Stafford, but...
WR2 - Curtis Samuel or Tee Higgins
Have J. Taylor as RB1, J. Williams as my Flex, and Kelce as TE.
Stafford over Tua is fine. He probably has a safer floor and a decent ceiling (3TDs & 350 yards or so). The Arizona D is probably not the team we saw in the second half last week and this may turn into a high scoring game.
Weather in Miami looks like 87 degrees ATM with 65-70% humidity. Feels like 101 on the field. Weather reports are highly speculative (anyone in Miami ATM @Ministry of Pain ?) as many of learned the hard way last Thurs but if those reports are correct it's going to be brutal. I still like Tua to perform but he has more stacked against him relative to Stafford.
Stafford>Tua
Samuel v Tee is also a coin flip. The Bengals look a mess ATM and the Jets give up points in bunches. They're surprisingly not terrible against the pass but that may be because they ayed Cleveland. The Bengals have been passing a ton but have also been terribly inefficient at it. But they have to right the ship, right?
OTOH I love what Samuel is doing and how much volume is coming out of Washington but it does feel like a touch matchup and we all wonder if Samuel may be a mirage.
Yeah, this is a real go with your gut situation.
My W.A.G. is
Samuel>Tee but it's very close
I absolutely agree. Samuel may be a mirage but, IDK I think it isn't and he may be this year's Cordarrelle. Probably lower ceiling than Cordarrelle last year because there is a lot of receiving talent in Washington, but I love how they have been using him.Half PPR follow up question from earlier in the week, need 1 flex:
Samuel vs Eagles
Dobbins @ Pats
Allen (Q, Herbert doubtful) vs Jags (afternoon)
JRob (Q) @ Clippers (afternoon)
Zeke @ Giants (MNF)
Seems to me to be an easy take the Samuel now, Dobbins likely to be at best 50/50 of touches, Allen's situation not great if active, Robinson is an option with a pivot to Zeke if needed I guess?
Aiyuk>Lockett10 Team PPR
Aiyuk vs Den
OR
Lockett vs ATlanta
Thank you sir. Exactly what I wanted to hear.Hot weather all day, rained all day yesterday, probably muggy but it's not going to be heavy winds and rain from what I saw.Unless you are in a very unique league format, you can't control points. Get it out of your head and don't let it cloud your judgement.12 team PPR. 0-2 after having 4th most pts in the league through 2 weeks, but giving up the most PA by far. Need a win to right the ship.
QB - Stafford or Tua against a depleted Bills D? Mind says Stafford, but...
WR2 - Curtis Samuel or Tee Higgins
Have J. Taylor as RB1, J. Williams as my Flex, and Kelce as TE.
Stafford over Tua is fine. He probably has a safer floor and a decent ceiling (3TDs & 350 yards or so). The Arizona D is probably not the team we saw in the second half last week and this may turn into a high scoring game.
Weather in Miami looks like 87 degrees ATM with 65-70% humidity. Feels like 101 on the field. Weather reports are highly speculative (anyone in Miami ATM @Ministry of Pain ?) as many of learned the hard way last Thurs but if those reports are correct it's going to be brutal. I still like Tua to perform but he has more stacked against him relative to Stafford.
Stafford>Tua
Samuel v Tee is also a coin flip. The Bengals look a mess ATM and the Jets give up points in bunches. They're surprisingly not terrible against the pass but that may be because they ayed Cleveland. The Bengals have been passing a ton but have also been terribly inefficient at it. But they have to right the ship, right?
OTOH I love what Samuel is doing and how much volume is coming out of Washington but it does feel like a touch matchup and we all wonder if Samuel may be a mirage.
Yeah, this is a real go with your gut situation.
My W.A.G. is
Samuel>Tee but it's very close
Yesterday however at Hard Rock, there were vids on Twitter, entire tents toppled over, no place to hide and stay dry.
Thanks !!Aiyuk>Lockett10 Team PPR
Aiyuk vs Den
OR
Lockett vs ATlanta
Not really close for me. I love Lockett but that is a low volume, low scoring team that can't support two magic football receivers in the same week. This could easily be a DK week.
No on is happier that Lance got injured than Aiyuk (and his magic football managers), he'll get decent volume (6-8 targets) from a competent QB. Plus he and Deebo don't really vulture each other because of the different ways they use Deebo
DJ Moore is a proven WR, I understand Mayfield and their offense creeps you out. Sometimes the Stars had a good game and remind us why we were happy to have them prior to the current season. Moore is capable of having a strong outing most weeks, but with Mayfield it limits him and I also feel Rhule is in over his head.0.5 ppr pick my two flex plays
Conner (dortch if he's ruled out after early games start)
Juju
Moore
Dobbins
Have Conner and Juju in right now.
Don't trust Moore against a good defense and want to see Dobbins first before I play him
DJ Moore is a proven WR, I understand Mayfield and their offense creeps you out. Sometimes the Stars had a good game and remind us why we were happy to have them prior to the current season. Moore is capable of having a strong outing most weeks, but with Mayfield it limits him and I also feel Rhule is in over his head.0.5 ppr pick my two flex plays
Conner (dortch if he's ruled out after early games start)
Juju
Moore
Dobbins
Have Conner and Juju in right now.
Don't trust Moore against a good defense and want to see Dobbins first before I play him
JuJu is starting, good snap count, playing the slot, Indy has to win today, could be good amount of points out there.
Dobbins I would sit, Baltimore running game is awful outside of their QB.
Like AZ almost anything right now. Dortch isn't a bad option, like Conner if he plays.
PPR, son's league
Flex-RB Tony Pollard or JuJu Smith Schuster
I honestly am scratching my head here. I like Dallas and the momentum they created last week, Giants are undefeated, maybe not a high scoring football game but I imagine the RBs for Dallas will be heavily involved.
JJSS seems ready to breakout, will it be vs the Colts this week? KC has limited option passing and from my notes, JJSS is taking up the slot area.
JuJu will have big games for sure but I am not sure it is something that will be sustainable week-to-week. This feels like a whack-a-mole situation where MVS, Hardman & JuJu will all have the opportunity for a big game. Maybe this is JuJu's week, but I can't say that with any sort of logic to defend the position.PPR, son's league
Flex-RB Tony Pollard or JuJu Smith Schuster
I honestly am scratching my head here. I like Dallas and the momentum they created last week, Giants are undefeated, maybe not a high scoring football game but I imagine the RBs for Dallas will be heavily involved.
JJSS seems ready to breakout, will it be vs the Colts this week? KC has limited option passing and from my notes, JJSS is taking up the slot area.
ArizonaDJ Moore is a proven WR, I understand Mayfield and their offense creeps you out. Sometimes the Stars had a good game and remind us why we were happy to have them prior to the current season. Moore is capable of having a strong outing most weeks, but with Mayfield it limits him and I also feel Rhule is in over his head.0.5 ppr pick my two flex plays
Conner (dortch if he's ruled out after early games start)
Juju
Moore
Dobbins
Have Conner and Juju in right now.
Don't trust Moore against a good defense and want to see Dobbins first before I play him
JuJu is starting, good snap count, playing the slot, Indy has to win today, could be good amount of points out there.
Dobbins I would sit, Baltimore running game is awful outside of their QB.
Like AZ almost anything right now. Dortch isn't a bad option, like Conner if he plays.
I agree with all that but you didn't choose two haha
I think you should be looking for the safest floor, which is probably Perriman or James - but that's a WAGLowest scoring team is kicked out of the league and their players go on waivers. So the goal each week is just to not finish last.I'm honestly not sure what a guillotine league is.Who do you like as the last flex starter in a PPR guillotine league?
Was in bottom third last week so need some points…
R Gage vs GB
R Doubs @ TB
B Perriman vs GB
R James vs DAL
M Hollins @ TEN (Renfrow out)
CAN ANYONE HELP WITH @Lehigh98 's question?
For anyone interested:
FBG Guillotine Article
Guillotine League Strategy Thread
I think you go with Conner here because, if anyone has a shot at a score it's him and, last I heard he was practicing.0.5 ppr pick my two flex plays
Conner (dortch if he's ruled out after early games start)
Juju
Moore
Dobbins
Have Conner and Juju in right now.
Don't trust Moore against a good defense and want to see Dobbins first before I play him
JuJu will have big games for sure but I am not sure it is something that will be sustainable week-to-week. This feels like a whack-a-mole situation where MVS, Hardman & JuJu will all have the opportunity for a big game. Maybe this is JuJu's week, but I can't say that with any sort of logic to defend the position.
Wow.12 team - half ppr - 1 QB league
Marcus Mariotta vs Justin fields
I am stuck streaming them until I get Watson back. I like the upside of Fields but I don't have any confidence the bears are going to actually open up the playbook and do anything more than run the ball.
I would be tempted to play Dobbins to but I agree with your gut.Full ppr, pick one for RB2
Patterson vs Sea
Zeke vs NYG
Dobbins vs NE
Edmonds vs Buff
Starting Patterson over Zeke as of now for his ceiling, but tempted to play Dobbins with Drake now being out. My gut still says sit Dobbins until we see his play/usage.
Thanks Chaka. Yeah, I'm not in an envious position. :(Wow.12 team - half ppr - 1 QB league
Marcus Mariotta vs Justin fields
I am stuck streaming them until I get Watson back. I like the upside of Fields but I don't have any confidence the bears are going to actually open up the playbook and do anything more than run the ball.
Uhhhhhhhhh...wow.
No one is throwing less than the Bears and it's not even close. All but two teams have thrown twice as many passes as Chicago. There is a correction coming, probably this week, but how many passes does that make? From 14 to 21 attempts? 24 attempt ceiling? Obviously you have to account for rushing usage but Marcus is rushing just as much and doing it more effectively.
I hate the matchup in Seattle but
Mariota>Fields
I have been fading Dobbins this week and I came into the season very high on Edmonds. We have no data on Dobbins and the data on Edmonds is all over the map. Maybe this is a big usage week for him, maybe not. Who knows? I think you should view these two from the perspective that you need a big play from Edmonds to make him viable and Dobbins needs a short TD to be viable.Edmonds or Dobbins at the flex in 1/2 PPR? Thanks
I agreed with that choice earlier in the thread and I still do.Hockenson cleared on the injury report, I’ve changed my mind and am starting Hock over Thomas. He’s had the most targets of my options so imma give him one more chance. Plus I’ve already got Wentz going, and want to diversify. Vikings are bad against the TE, too.
I never make the right choice when I change my lineup last minute, so everyone should absolutely start Thomas today.
Which, Thomas > Hock?I agreed with that choice earlier in the thread and I still do.Hockenson cleared on the injury report, I’ve changed my mind and am starting Hock over Thomas. He’s had the most targets of my options so imma give him one more chance. Plus I’ve already got Wentz going, and want to diversify. Vikings are bad against the TE, too.
I never make the right choice when I change my lineup last minute, so everyone should absolutely start Thomas today.
Hockensen>ThomasWhich, Thomas > Hock?I agreed with that choice earlier in the thread and I still do.Hockenson cleared on the injury report, I’ve changed my mind and am starting Hock over Thomas. He’s had the most targets of my options so imma give him one more chance. Plus I’ve already got Wentz going, and want to diversify. Vikings are bad against the TE, too.
I never make the right choice when I change my lineup last minute, so everyone should absolutely start Thomas today.
Or Hock > Thomas?
Ah, yeah - I wish I could crack a beer. Working my FM booth.Hockensen>ThomasWhich, Thomas > Hock?I agreed with that choice earlier in the thread and I still do.Hockenson cleared on the injury report, I’ve changed my mind and am starting Hock over Thomas. He’s had the most targets of my options so imma give him one more chance. Plus I’ve already got Wentz going, and want to diversify. Vikings are bad against the TE, too.
I never make the right choice when I change my lineup last minute, so everyone should absolutely start Thomas today.
Or Hock > Thomas?
Crack a beer and take a deep breath, it's all good.
Full PPR:
Perriman (home vs GB) vs Noah Brown (at NYG). Seems like Perriman is going to be leaned on vs Brown who might lose ~30% of his opportunity to a returning Gallup.
This is the week to start pierce, but they’re both good options, IMO.Different league, also full PPR.
Mike Williams home vs Jax (though may be with the backup QB) vs Damien Pierce at CHI (1:00 start so I need to decide very soon). Chicago's porous run d might be Pirece's breakout. Feels like a tossup.
I like Wilson/WilliamsI need two out of these three (PPR, 6 pt TD, bonuses @ 100 yards/10 rec)
J Rob @ LAC
J Williams v. SF
J Wilson @ DEN
Sit Robinson. It's not really close IMOI need two out of these three (PPR, 6 pt TD, bonuses @ 100 yards/10 rec)
J Rob @ LAC
J Williams v. SF
J Wilson @ DEN
I agree.Full PPR:
Perriman (home vs GB) vs Noah Brown (at NYG). Seems like Perriman is going to be leaned on vs Brown who might lose ~30% of his opportunity to a returning Gallup
The handshake emoji on your post was for giving input. These ones are for the results:No. Tua has as high of a ceiling as anyone. Heck, he may finish top 5 this season but Hurts is one of those guys who has a legit chance to finish as the #1 scoring QB in magic football. Plus the Washington defense has been a sieve so far this season (27th in yards overall, 21st in passing yards, 28th in rushing yards, 29th in scoring).Would anyone start Tua over Hurts given Buffalo's ailing secondary? I'm still planning on starting Hurts. But it makes me think about it.
Hurts>Tua
Herbert seems to be talented but I don't know that he has a defined role in Chicago. Lots of people suggest Montgomery is pedestrian and Herbert will take over but that just isn't what the coaching staff is seeing, judging by snap counts and usage stats. This is Monty's team by a wide margin. Herbert hasn't become the receiving back yet and he is barely spelling Montgomery. It's tough to tell because it's only week 3 so we can't bank on the lack of usage. In addition the Texans represent an opportunity for the Bears to grab a win they should be able to handle. So maybe Herbert gets some love, but I'm not confident in that yet.