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What if Brees had stayed in San Diego? (1 Viewer)

twistd

Footballguy
Would the Chargers have won a Super Bowl if they had kept Brees? Particularly if they had drafted Fitzy instead of drafting Eli Manning with the first pick in 2004. Rivers has been good but Brees is amazing. Would Brees have been as productive without Sean Payton? They have been an awesome team, Payton and Brees.

 
Brees wouldn't have been prolific in SD. He'd have had to dealt with a declining LT ##### about not getting the ball enough.

Brees/Payton are a perfect marriage.

 
One key is the play calling. I was amazed when Saints were trying to respond to scoring drive by Lions. Sure, they ran it. But then going for 30 yd bombs downfield instead of trying to run clock. Keeping offensive pressure. So fun to watch. Chargers don't play like that.... :wall:

 
One key is the play calling. I was amazed when Saints were trying to respond to scoring drive by Lions. Sure, they ran it. But then going for 30 yd bombs downfield instead of trying to run clock. Keeping offensive pressure. So fun to watch. Chargers don't play like that.... :wall:
The Saints just refuse to play it safe. They just keep the pedal to the metal. I really hope we get to see the Packers play the Saints in the NFC Championship. There could be 1200 yards of offense and 100 points scored.
 
So who do they draft in 2004? Gallery or Fitzgerald? Or Sean Taylor? :unsure:
You wonder, but my guess is that they probably would of selected Gallery. He seemed to be the consensus number one non-quarterback pick if I remember correctly. But it would have been fun to see Brees playing with Fitzy.
 
Would the Chargers have won a Super Bowl if they had kept Brees?
I think it would be difficult to pinpoint their QB play as one of the primary reasons that the Chargers have lost any of their playoff games since Brees has left. Coaching decisions, on the other hand...Actually, I was just thinking what would have happened if the Cowboys had held onto Sean Payton.
 
The Chargers weren't upset to lose Brees at all. I remember being amazed at the thoughts expressed here by the Chargers fans. They wanted Rivers. It wasn't that they hated Brees at all, it was simply time to roll with Rivers; they drafted him for a reason etc.

QB controversies wreck most NFL teams so if he stayed I don't believe it would have been good for Brees or Rivers.

I have felt like Brees was under a microscope in San Diego and able to just play in New Orleans.

I haven't been impressed with the Chargers coaching or player personnel moves for a little while now. They seem to lose more than they gain each year. I don't think their staff understands how much easier life is for players if they're transparent.

IMO The Chargers have the proper attitude or mindset in making things a competition where the best player or guy that gives the best effort will eventually start. Somewhere along the way though, they mess it up. I don't feel like any player ever relaxes and is assured of their position and at some point that's gotta happen so they can develop.

 
they drafted him for a reason
The reason was pretty simple. After three seasons, Brees had just barely managed to beat out Flutie for a starting job and hadn't looked very impressive when he did. Even Brees said he completely understood why management would spend a high first-rounder to upgrade the QB position.
 
Payton would have probably signed Dante Culpepper or Jon Kitna in 2006. As it was, Kitna signed with the Lions and stayed there 3 years, and Culpepper went to the Dolphins. The Saints may have drafted QB Trent Edwards in 2007 or Josh Freeman in 2009.

People also forget that the Lions owned the #1 pick in 2009 and weren't really high on QB Matt Stafford. Lions GM Martin Mayhew said he was willing to trade down. The Saints had the 14th pick in each round and may have traded up to get Stafford. Since they had Brees, the Saints instead traded their 2nd and 5th round picks to the Giants for TE Jeremy Shockey that year.

 
2006-2011

Brees: 62-33, 2488 of 3670 (68%), 201 TDs, 93 INTs, 7.7 Y/A

Rivers: 63-33, 1913 of 3007 (64%), 163 TDs, 78 INTs, 8.0 Y/A

When you consider that Brees is coming off of a record-breaking year and Rivers just had the worst season of his career, there really isn't a great deal of difference in the performance of these two guys. This might be a case of too much "what have you done for me lately."

 
Payton would have probably signed Dante Culpepper or Jon Kitna in 2006. As it was, Kitna signed with the Lions and stayed there 3 years, and Culpepper went to the Dolphins. The Saints may have drafted QB Trent Edwards in 2007 or Josh Freeman in 2009. People also forget that the Lions owned the #1 pick in 2009 and weren't really high on QB Matt Stafford. Lions GM Martin Mayhew said he was willing to trade down. The Saints had the 14th pick in each round and may have traded up to get Stafford. Since they had Brees, the Saints instead traded their 2nd and 5th round picks to the Giants for TE Jeremy Shockey that year.
I think the Saints were set on drafting Matt Lienart had they not signed Brees. I wonder how many Super Bowls that would have brought :yucky:

 
they drafted him for a reason
Yeah but part of that reason is that they had the #1 pick. If the Chargers had won just 1 or 2 more games in 2003, then they probably wouldn't have drafted a QB and Brees might still be there.
 
2006-2011Brees: 62-33, 2488 of 3670 (68%), 201 TDs, 93 INTs, 7.7 Y/ARivers: 63-33, 1913 of 3007 (64%), 163 TDs, 78 INTs, 8.0 Y/AWhen you consider that Brees is coming off of a record-breaking year and Rivers just had the worst season of his career, there really isn't a great deal of difference in the performance of these two guys. This might be a case of too much "what have you done for me lately."
Probably true but that is because Brees has put himself in the HoF lately. Rivers still has a ways to go.Even so Brees would not likely have become the HoF QB that he is today had he stayed in SD. Just look at the discrepancy in attempts in that time frame, Brees is throwing the ball 110 more times/season than Rivers.If Rivers had somehow ended up in New Orleans he is probably the one that we would be talking about as a sure fire HoFer.
 
I'd like to know what happened to Rivers this year. Was he hurt? He just did not seem like the same player he has been in the past. Does he rebound next year? Or have we seen his best?

 
I'd like to know what happened to Rivers this year. Was he hurt? He just did not seem like the same player he has been in the past. Does he rebound next year? Or have we seen his best?
We can read between the lines on his statement to the press on October 27th, 2011.http://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/sports/Philip-Rivers-Insists-Hes-Healthy-132653983.html

Philip Rivers hasn't been playing his best football.

"I'm as healthy as I've been through six weeks," said Rivers, whose nine interceptions are tied for second-most in the league. "I'm doing the best I can to lead a 4-2 team."

Notice how carefully he worded that. He didn't claim he was healthy in the first 6 weeks. He said he was healthy at that point, in week 7.

So let's go with what Rivers said, where he claims that he's healthy as of week 7 and split his season in two at that point.

Through the first 6 weeks, he threw 7 TDs and 9 INTs.

From week 7 on, he threw 20 TDs and 11 INTs.

 
I'd like to know what happened to Rivers this year. Was he hurt? He just did not seem like the same player he has been in the past. Does he rebound next year? Or have we seen his best?
We can read between the lines on his statement to the press on October 27th, 2011.http://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/sports/Philip-Rivers-Insists-Hes-Healthy-132653983.html

Philip Rivers hasn't been playing his best football.

"I'm as healthy as I've been through six weeks," said Rivers, whose nine interceptions are tied for second-most in the league. "I'm doing the best I can to lead a 4-2 team."

Notice how carefully he worded that. He didn't claim he was healthy in the first 6 weeks. He said he was healthy at that point, in week 7.

So let's go with what Rivers said, where he claims that he's healthy as of week 7 and split his season in two at that point.

Through the first 6 weeks, he threw 7 TDs and 9 INTs.

From week 7 on, he threw 20 TDs and 11 INTs.
So you think that he comes back next year as the QB we saw from week 7 on, rather than the QB we saw early in the season?
 
If Rivers had somehow ended up in New Orleans he is probably the one that we would be talking about as a sure fire HoFer.
I think it might be too early to close the door on Rivers' Hall of Fame chances.
I'm not closing the door. I think he is one of the best in the game, but he has a very long way to go. Particularly without, at the very least, a Super Bowl appearance. Right now I put him closer to Romo than Brees as an HoF candidate.
 
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I'd like to know what happened to Rivers this year. Was he hurt? He just did not seem like the same player he has been in the past. Does he rebound next year? Or have we seen his best?
We can read between the lines on his statement to the press on October 27th, 2011.http://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/sports/Philip-Rivers-Insists-Hes-Healthy-132653983.html

Philip Rivers hasn't been playing his best football.

"I'm as healthy as I've been through six weeks," said Rivers, whose nine interceptions are tied for second-most in the league. "I'm doing the best I can to lead a 4-2 team."

Notice how carefully he worded that. He didn't claim he was healthy in the first 6 weeks. He said he was healthy at that point, in week 7.

So let's go with what Rivers said, where he claims that he's healthy as of week 7 and split his season in two at that point.

Through the first 6 weeks, he threw 7 TDs and 9 INTs.

From week 7 on, he threw 20 TDs and 11 INTs.
So you think that he comes back next year as the QB we saw from week 7 on, rather than the QB we saw early in the season?
Yes.
 
They'd be a hell of a lot closer to a Super Bowl than with Philip Rivers.
Specifically, what did Rivers do that has cost the Chargers a shot at a Super Bowl?
Specifically, he sucks.
The Chargers lost with Brees QB in 2004 at home vs the Jets. In 2006 Rivers led them to a 14-2 record. They lost at home against the Pats and Rivers had a terrible game. Maybe Brees plays better and they win and get the Colts at home. I still don't think Brees gets them past the Colts and Bears in the SB.The next year they lost to the undefeated Patriots and I doubt Brees would have been the difference there either.They lost at Pittsburgh in 2008 and Rivers played great. Brees probably wouldn't have been the difference there either.Then they lost to the Jets last year with Rivers having a good game except for 2 INT's. Brees might have won that game but the Chargers weren't a great team and would have had trouble with the Colts on the road.
 
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If Rivers had somehow ended up in New Orleans he is probably the one that we would be talking about as a sure fire HoFer.
Not sure that's true. Don't get me wrong Rivers has tremendous talent, but the reason Brees is so successful is he plays QB like a point guard, distributing the ball to anybody and everybody who lines up on offense. He makes 4-5 reads on every single play. The only other QB in the league that demonstrates such a total control over his offense is Peyton Manning.
 
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Not sure abyone has mentioned it but the afc was a lot tougher during that stretch with Pitt, Indy, and the patriots. Chargers would have been competitive for sure, but makin the super bowl against those teams would have been no easy task.

 
The fact that the Chargers don't get attacked frequently for their decision is a real testament to Rivers. If you let a guy go who ends up shattering NFL records and winning a Super Bowl...the guy you ditched him for had better be pretty special.

Rivers is special imo. He plays hurt, has competitive fire, makes good decisions and seems fine letting a star RB get the glory or slinging it depending on what the situation requires.

Yes, he had an awful 2011, and we can't throw that out. But it shouldn't dominate his body of work, either. Rivers is the reason the Chargers don't look like total idiots for letting Brees go.

To answer the question, I don't think the Chargers would have been much better off. Their problem really hasn't been QB play over the past few years. The Saints would be nowhere, though.

 
they drafted him for a reason
The reason was pretty simple. After three seasons, Brees had just barely managed to beat out Flutie for a starting job and hadn't looked very impressive when he did. Even Brees said he completely understood why management would spend a high first-rounder to upgrade the QB position.
that so wasn't a question.Anyhow, Flutie was ridiculous at somehow making every game a close game. Few QBs have ever captured fans attention like Flutie did. He was best (or the most fun?) in Buffalo. He had played football for a long time, by the time he was on the Chargers and it's quite predictable that a young QB would pass him on the depth chart. Like some, pretending Brees and Rivers entered the NFL at the same time, both would have surely beat out Flutie.Brees is not a tall quarterback. I wonder if his autobiography will include notes about what he learned from Flutie- when he retires and writes one. I don't see them as the same type of quarterback at all and don't feel like one could replace the other well. I don't know that Brees is as "nails" as Rivers can be, nor that Rivers can flat out "air it out" like Brees can. I do feel like the Saints have a system built for Brees and that the Chargers do an old fashioned system where they simply replace cogs. Top or near top draft picks do not come around often for most franchises. When teams get the opportunity they want a franchise player, a star, a stud etc. It's not the same as the rest of the draft or the rest of the first round. The picks are often times obvious to everyone regardless of which team is drafting. Brees wasn't a 5000 yard passer then a Rivers was a fine pick, however Manning iis a HOF QB and Luck will be a fine pick too. We like to say they CAN take anyone from thousands of players, but in reality there's usually just a few they can or will take. Remember the Bush versus Mario debates? It was Rivers or Eli then. Roth and Losman were so not considered top pick guys. FItz or Gallery maybe could have been reasonably drafted but it probably stops there. Drafting a S or TE first overall isn't likely in any draft. Yes from there, we can discuss Eli's trade demands, but still it's not as most people here describe the experience.
 
I'd like to know what happened to Rivers this year. Was he hurt? He just did not seem like the same player he has been in the past. Does he rebound next year? Or have we seen his best?
We can read between the lines on his statement to the press on October 27th, 2011.http://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/sports/Philip-Rivers-Insists-Hes-Healthy-132653983.html

Philip Rivers hasn't been playing his best football.

"I'm as healthy as I've been through six weeks," said Rivers, whose nine interceptions are tied for second-most in the league. "I'm doing the best I can to lead a 4-2 team."

Notice how carefully he worded that. He didn't claim he was healthy in the first 6 weeks. He said he was healthy at that point, in week 7.

So let's go with what Rivers said, where he claims that he's healthy as of week 7 and split his season in two at that point.

Through the first 6 weeks, he threw 7 TDs and 9 INTs.

From week 7 on, he threw 20 TDs and 11 INTs.
So you think that he comes back next year as the QB we saw from week 7 on, rather than the QB we saw early in the season?
Yes.
You may very well be right, but I know I am not drafting him for fantasy next season. I didn't like what I saw at all this year. Gates is aging and probably will miss time. Vincent Jackson runs hot and cold. I just think there will be better values at QB, and I think that this season drops Rivers down quite a bit. When you look at the stud QBs, Brady, Rodgers, and Brees. And Newton probably could be considered not far behind that group. Stafford really came through this year. Romo puts up fantasy points. IF Vick stays healthy he can be a stud. I'd probably draft all of them before I'd pick Rivers.
 
they are both good but brees is a special talent and basically it is a lot like when you got the burrito cart and they have two burritos and you know they are both pretty good but you also know that the spicy one with the green chiles in it is the best even if it will give you the gassers and make the other guys down the line from you mad again

 
The Chargers weren't upset to lose Brees at all. I remember being amazed at the thoughts expressed here by the Chargers fans. They wanted Rivers. It wasn't that they hated Brees at all, it was simply time to roll with Rivers; they drafted him for a reason etc.
They didn't draft him.
 
The Chargers weren't upset to lose Brees at all. I remember being amazed at the thoughts expressed here by the Chargers fans. They wanted Rivers. It wasn't that they hated Brees at all, it was simply time to roll with Rivers; they drafted him for a reason etc.
They didn't draft him.
Call it what you want of a planned draft day trade where a player is never going to be on the drafting team
 
If Rivers had somehow ended up in New Orleans he is probably the one that we would be talking about as a sure fire HoFer.
Not sure that's true. Don't get me wrong Rivers has tremendous talent, but the reason Brees is so successful is he plays QB like a point guard, distributing the ball to anybody and everybody who lines up on offense. He makes 4-5 reads on every single play. The only other QB in the league that demonstrates such a total control over his offense is Peyton Manning.
Remember when Brady was hitting 9 different receivers a game? He doesn't do that much anymore because his top 3 options are that good, but give credit where credit is due.
 
The bigger question to me is: Why did San Diego give up on Brees after only 1 3/4 seasons as a starter? He may have regressed during his 2nd year as a starter, but is that enough to justify drafting another 1st-round quarterback 6 months later? Why assume that the 1st year was a fluke instead of the 2nd year?

How many other teams have drafted a quarterback in the 1st round after their young starter put up stats similar to Brees?

 
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The bigger question to me is: Why did San Diego give up on Brees after only 1 3/4 seasons as a starter? He may have regressed during his 2nd year as a starter, but is that enough to justify drafting another 1st-round quarterback 6 months later? Why assume that the 1st year was a fluke instead of the 2nd year?How many other teams have drafted a quarterback in the 1st round after their young starter put up stats similar to Brees?
He had a major shoulder injury (labrum tear I believe) in the final game of that season. Without that injury I think they would have kept him.
 
The bigger question to me is: Why did San Diego give up on Brees after only 1 3/4 seasons as a starter? He may have regressed during his 2nd year as a starter, but is that enough to justify drafting another 1st-round quarterback 6 months later? Why assume that the 1st year was a fluke instead of the 2nd year?How many other teams have drafted a quarterback in the 1st round after their young starter put up stats similar to Brees?
He had a major shoulder injury (labrum tear I believe) in the final game of that season. Without that injury I think they would have kept him.
The labrum tear was 3 years later. He was healthy in 2003, just playing poorly.
 
Rivers is a good NFL QB. Brees is a great one, who will likely be in the HOF.

So, odds are that SD would have done better had Brees stayed.

 
The bigger question to me is: Why did San Diego give up on Brees after only 1 3/4 seasons as a starter? He may have regressed during his 2nd year as a starter, but is that enough to justify drafting another 1st-round quarterback 6 months later? Why assume that the 1st year was a fluke instead of the 2nd year?How many other teams have drafted a quarterback in the 1st round after their young starter put up stats similar to Brees?
At the time the Chargers were a pretty bad, unstable organization. It's typical of teams like that to throw in the towel on players (and coaches) prematurely.Having said that, off the top of my head I can't think of anybody giving up on a quarterback with that kind of talent so early.
 
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'twistd said:
I'd like to know what happened to Rivers this year. Was he hurt? He just did not seem like the same player he has been in the past. Does he rebound next year? Or have we seen his best?
We can read between the lines on his statement to the press on October 27th, 2011.http://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/sports/Philip-Rivers-Insists-Hes-Healthy-132653983.html

Philip Rivers hasn't been playing his best football.

"I'm as healthy as I've been through six weeks," said Rivers, whose nine interceptions are tied for second-most in the league. "I'm doing the best I can to lead a 4-2 team."

Notice how carefully he worded that. He didn't claim he was healthy in the first 6 weeks. He said he was healthy at that point, in week 7.

So let's go with what Rivers said, where he claims that he's healthy as of week 7 and split his season in two at that point.

Through the first 6 weeks, he threw 7 TDs and 9 INTs.

From week 7 on, he threw 20 TDs and 11 INTs.
So you think that he comes back next year as the QB we saw from week 7 on, rather than the QB we saw early in the season?
Yes.
You may very well be right, but I know I am not drafting him for fantasy next season. I didn't like what I saw at all this year. Gates is aging and probably will miss time. Vincent Jackson runs hot and cold. I just think there will be better values at QB, and I think that this season drops Rivers down quite a bit. When you look at the stud QBs, Brady, Rodgers, and Brees. And Newton probably could be considered not far behind that group. Stafford really came through this year. Romo puts up fantasy points. IF Vick stays healthy he can be a stud. I'd probably draft all of them before I'd pick Rivers.
Funny, I read this and to me it comes across as a reason to target and go after Rivers. I guarantee all 7 with the exception of maybe Vick will get drafted before Rivers, and I think Eli will as well. So now Rivers is going as QB9 or maybe even QB10 behind Ryan who had a very good 2nd half of the year. Unless something really changes next year, that means his ADP is probably in the 7th round. That screams value to me.Gates missing time is a foregone conclusion, but he wasnt healthy going into this year whereas he may next year. Dont disagree VJax is hit or miss, but he's still a big play guy. Floyd was great once he came back this in week 13, getting 455/4 over the last 5 weeks. Vincent Brown was impressive at times and will be in his 2nd year.

I like Rivers as a QB target next year.

 
If Rivers had somehow ended up in New Orleans he is probably the one that we would be talking about as a sure fire HoFer.
Not sure that's true. Don't get me wrong Rivers has tremendous talent, but the reason Brees is so successful is he plays QB like a point guard, distributing the ball to anybody and everybody who lines up on offense. He makes 4-5 reads on every single play. The only other QB in the league that demonstrates such a total control over his offense is Peyton Manning.
Remember when Brady was hitting 9 different receivers a game? He doesn't do that much anymore because his top 3 options are that good, but give credit where credit is due.
Remember last year when the Chargers had so many injuries plus Jackson's holdout? Consider:Rivers completed passes to 17 different playersRivers completed at least 13 passes to 13 different playersRivers completed TD passes to 11 different playersIt seems more evident for Brees because he throws so many more passes, but the bottom line is that all of these QBs (Brees, Brady, Rivers) are great QBs and are great at distributing the ball. I don't really see this as being particularly relevant to the discussion.
 
The bigger question to me is: Why did San Diego give up on Brees after only 1 3/4 seasons as a starter? He may have regressed during his 2nd year as a starter, but is that enough to justify drafting another 1st-round quarterback 6 months later? Why assume that the 1st year was a fluke instead of the 2nd year?How many other teams have drafted a quarterback in the 1st round after their young starter put up stats similar to Brees?
He had a major shoulder injury (labrum tear I believe) in the final game of that season. Without that injury I think they would have kept him.
The labrum tear was 3 years later. He was healthy in 2003, just playing poorly.
At the time the Chargers drafted Rivers, Brees was coming off his second season as San Diego's starting QB. In 2002, the first of those seasons, he led the team to an 8-8 record and put up a 76.9 QB rating. Not bad for a first year starter. But then he followed that up with a 67.5 QB rating and a 2-9 record... and 41 year old Flutie was 2-3 in the 5 games Brees missed due to injury. The Chargers were justified in thinking they needed to draft another QB.If Rivers hadn't held out as a rookie in 2004, it is very possible he would have beaten Brees out and who knows how things would have transpired... but to his credit, Brees seized that opportunity and put up 2 very good back to back seasons.In Brees's two good seasons in San Diego, his composite QB rating was 96.1, and he was 20-11 as a starter. Rivers' career QB rating is 95.5, and he is 63-33 as a starter. (Regular season only.) Looks like a wash.Back to the thread topic, I don't see a big gap there, as if Brees would have led the Chargers to a Super Bowl victory.
 
At the time the Chargers drafted Rivers, Brees was coming off his second season as San Diego's starting QB. In 2002, the first of those seasons, he led the team to an 8-8 record and put up a 76.9 QB rating. Not bad for a first year starter. But then he followed that up with a 67.5 QB rating and a 2-9 record... and 41 year old Flutie was 2-3 in the 5 games Brees missed due to injury. The Chargers were justified in thinking they needed to draft another QB.
There's no doubt that Brees regressed in his 2nd year as a starter. But a lot of young quarterbacks regressed in their 2nd year. It just seems like most teams give young QBs at least 3 years to prove their case, while Brees was only given 1 3/4.
 
They'd be a hell of a lot closer to a Super Bowl than with Philip Rivers.
Specifically, what did Rivers do that has cost the Chargers a shot at a Super Bowl?
More like Nate Kaeding.In January 2005, Kaeding became only the second rookie in NFL history to attempt a potential game-winning field goal in the playoffs in the 4th quarter or overtime. His 40-yard field goal attempt missed, and the Chargers lost in the wild card round to the New York Jets, who won the game on a Doug Brien field goal.

Kaeding's postseason struggles continued in the 2006 NFL Playoffs, when he missed a potential game tying 54-yard field goal attempt against the New England Patriots. He had not missed a field goal at home in the previous two years prior to that 54-yard attempt.

In the 2007 playoffs, Kaeding missed a field goal each in the Wild Card weekend game against Tennessee (which San Diego won) and against the Indianapolis Colts (which San Diego also won). Nate's streak of consecutive playoff games with a missed field goal stood at 4 but was ended with a made field goal from 40 yards against New England.

In the 2009 NFL season, Kaeding connected on 91.4% (32/35) of his field goals, a percentage that led the NFL. His season long of 54 yards came in a Week 15 victory over Cincinnati Bengals. However, in the AFC Divisional Round against the New York Jets, Kaeding's postseason struggles continued as he missed all 3 of his attempted field goals, from 37, 57, and 40 yards. The Jets won the game 17-14. In the postseason, Kaeding is 3-for-9 on field goal attempts at home.

 

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