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Who are the top fantasy WRs for 2006? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Dr. Malo
- Start date
Texasmouth
Footballguy
Guys I am high on:Terrell Owens- I am a Cowboys homer
Randy Moss- Brooks makes dumb decisions but he can chunk the rock
Andre Johnson- Look for a comeback season opposite Moulds
Reggie Brown- Will be the number one in Philly and will run with it
Keyshawn Johnson- In PPR leagues, he will be a great value pick
Derrick Mason- If McNair ends up there, he might get 80-90 rec
Boldin/Fitz- should be even better with some run support
Sleeper pick- Patrick Crayton (Dallas)- reminds a lot of coaches of a faster Cris Carter. Has great hands, not afraid to make the tough catch, has Glenn and Owens to clear open spaces for him
Guys I am down on
Torry Holt- This isn't the same Rams offense anymore, his numbers could suffer a little.
Any wide receiver in Green Bay
Any wide receiver in San Diego
Snoozer pick-Steve Smith- I think defenses will figure out a way to contain him a little more with some extra deep safety help......even though no one could figure out a way to do this last year....ok, youre probably right, I doubt this happens....
JMon348
Footballguy
This year:
1. Chad Johnson
2. Steve Smith
3. Larry Fitzgerald
4. Torry Holt
5. Randy Moss
6. Marvin Harrison
7. Terrell Owens
8. Anquan Boldin
9. Darrell Jackson
10. Reggie Wayne
Dynasty
1. Larry Fitzgerald
2. Chad Johnson
3. Steve Smith
4. Torry Holt
5. Randy Moss
6. Reggie Wayne
7. Terrell Owens
8. Anquan Boldin
9. Roy Williams
10. Marvin Harrison
1. Chad Johnson
2. Steve Smith
3. Larry Fitzgerald
4. Torry Holt
5. Randy Moss
6. Marvin Harrison
7. Terrell Owens
8. Anquan Boldin
9. Darrell Jackson
10. Reggie Wayne
Dynasty
1. Larry Fitzgerald
2. Chad Johnson
3. Steve Smith
4. Torry Holt
5. Randy Moss
6. Reggie Wayne
7. Terrell Owens
8. Anquan Boldin
9. Roy Williams
10. Marvin Harrison
supermark_28
Footballguy
i disagree w/ the assessment on holt,i believe the protection will be better this year allowing bulger to POTENTIALLY finish the season greatly impacting holt. not to mention linehan loves to throw the deep ball which is a specialty of holts'. seattle has gotten better defensively but san fran and az are still suspect. holt top 5.
fridayfrenzy
Footballguy
Seattle absolutely shut him down in the playoffs and I think that film will be used to help contain him next year.
AnonymousBob
Footballguy
If Favre comes back, with that piss poor defense, why wouldn't you be relatively high on one of their wr's?
You might not think he'll be good value but that's different from being a 'top' wr. I don't know I agree with Boldin/Fitz. I could easily see Edge helping the passing game by opening lanes up but let's face it-there's only so many points to go around. These Cardinals won't be the 99 Rams.Ok, I for the most part like your list-save one name. Why the #### do people continue to pimp the likes of Andre Johnson year in, year out? WTF has this guy done to enthrall so many chumps? He puts up Eddie Kennison type numbers while getting drafted in the third or so round. I have a hard time believing he'll be able to live up to a "top fantasy wr" billing this year.
-OZ-
Footballguy
I once had a grade school teacher who bet on the Cleveland Indians every year to win the World Series, his thinking was the long odds would have to pay off at some point. Those putting AJ in their top 10 remind me of that.
I'd prefer Hines Ward to AJ, especially in a redraft. I suspect he can be had later in most drafts.
I'd also add Roy Williams and Chris Chambers to the above lists.
I'd love to see Holt fall in ADP.
I'd prefer Hines Ward to AJ, especially in a redraft. I suspect he can be had later in most drafts.
I'd also add Roy Williams and Chris Chambers to the above lists.
I'd love to see Holt fall in ADP.
nygiants56
Footballguy
because Favre has a penchant for throwing hte ball to the guys wearing the other jerseys..If Favre comes back, with that piss poor defense, why wouldn't you be relatively high on one of their wr's?
Ok, I for the most part like your list-save one name. Why the #### do people continue to pimp the likes of Andre Johnson year in, year out? WTF has this guy done to enthrall so many chumps? He puts up Eddie Kennison type numbers while getting drafted in the third or so round. I have a hard time believing he'll be able to live up to a "top fantasy wr" billing this year.
1. Johnson2. Fitz
3. Boldin
4. 5. Smith
5. DJax
6. T.O.
7. Holt
8. Roy Williams
9. S. Moss
10. AJ
Adding Lloyd and Randel El actually makes Moss more lethal as a WR, teams can't double him anymore. He was covered like a blanket in '05, and still had a career year.
SA is the Madden coverboy,and if you believe the curse, he'll get hurt at some point..Moe Morris is a far cry from SA talent-wise, so if/when SA goes down, the 'Hawks will throw, throw, throw..Djax was on pace for 108 catches in 2005 before the knee flared up.
Roy Williams in his 3rd year is primed for a breakout season of 90+ catches, he's the only WR on the Lions that can actually catch the ball and run with it..Martz will put him in the Pro Bowl in '06..
Fitz and Boldin are the newest version of Randy Moss & Chris Carter in a Denny Green offense.
Holt's #'s take a hit this year..injuries to Bulger and a new coaching staff with a new playbook temper the enthusiasm for him just a bit..still a top 10 WR, no longer the #1 or 2 wr off the board, IMO.
AJ finally compiles his best season with Moulds and Reggie Bush on board..look for him to post Rod Smith type numbers..
Blackjacks
Footballguy
I hate to disagree with someone's opinion because it is someone's opinnion they're not saying they're right or wrong it's just what they think. However I've been pimping my boy Holt for awhile now on these boards so just here me out real quick. Yes, I agree they don't have Martz offense anymore but they do have Linnehan's. The same offense that just made C. Chambers a top 5 wr last year and made Moss the most feared wr in the game for multiple years. Linehan likes to get his #1 wr the ball. I believe Torry will get more targets than ever and will his talent the end result could be scary. Torry Holt has been one of the most reliable wr's in NFL history. Now bringing in a coach that likes to protect his qb and likes to get the ball to his #1 will make Holt a top 5 guy and in my opinion the #1 wr in fantasy football.
KnowledgeReignsSupreme
Footballguy
My first tier right now is Holt, TO & Harrison.
streamkeeper
Footballguy
Good post. My early feeling is that the WR pool is deep this season. To me there are at least 15+ players (Listed above) that could create enough production to be a #1 WR. This is good news because I again will be focusing on RB early.
KnowledgeReignsSupreme
Footballguy
I agree with this 100%.Unfortunately, Holt still has ADP of #18, so no real slippage there. What I really like about Holt this year, is that St. Louis has a capable QB backup should Bulger get hurt again.
If Drew Bledsoe or Jake Delhomme get hurt... :X
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Shooter McGavin
Down the middle
If Chad Johnson has Anthony Wright throwing him the ball for any significant part of the season, his value drops significantly in my eyes.
Texasmouth
Footballguy
OK, you guys are getting out of hand on this torry Holt issue. I said his numbers will suffer a little and I think they will. That is all fine that there is a new coach. I dont care who the coach is, it isn't Mike Martz. They wont be throwing the ball 200 times a game. Second, I have heard whispers, and not in just one place that the rams are still concerned about Bulgers shoulder holding up. He has had an injured shoulder two years in a row IIRC. He is due for a down year on top of all of that. I am not saying the guy is going to throw down 50 catches and 800 yards but I don't think he is going to be top three this season, maybe still top 5 but not top three. Again, this was MY OPINION.
KnowledgeReignsSupreme
Footballguy
By the time the season starts, Palmer will be a mere 8 months removed from injuring his ACL.
Texasmouth
Footballguy
I never said AJ was in my top ten. I just think he will have a bounce back year and put up the numbers people were expecting last year. I don't think 1000+ yards and 5-8 TD is out of the question. Not projecting 1500 and 15. I was talking more about some value picks, not that the guys on my list are my top ten.
The Finist
Footballguy
Moss (comeback year...brushes the haters off)
Owens
Holt
Fitz
Harrison
Chad (misses Palmer for the first 1/3 of the season)
S. Smith (regression to the mean)
Anquan
Roy Williams (Mike Martz)
DJax
Owens
Holt
Fitz
Harrison
Chad (misses Palmer for the first 1/3 of the season)
S. Smith (regression to the mean)
Anquan
Roy Williams (Mike Martz)
DJax
Texasmouth
Footballguy
I am not high on any of the Green Bay receivers because who the heck are they? Donald Driver is decent at best and then..........Boldin was hurt a lot of the season last year. Warner was hurt a lot of the year last year. Both of these actions affected the numbers of Boldin and Fitz. If Kurt Warner and Boldin stay healthy this year, their numbers will be better. The addition of Edge also opens things up a bit. Teams will no longer be able to have their safeties come up and drape themselves all over the receivers because if they do, Arizona will actually have a player that can get some yards. Defenses will be forced to keep an extra guy in the box, thus leaving one of the receivers in single coverage. They will exploit this.If Favre comes back, with that piss poor defense, why wouldn't you be relatively high on one of their wr's?
Ok, I for the most part like your list-save one name. Why the #### do people continue to pimp the likes of Andre Johnson year in, year out? WTF has this guy done to enthrall so many chumps? He puts up Eddie Kennison type numbers while getting drafted in the third or so round. I have a hard time believing he'll be able to live up to a "top fantasy wr" billing this year.
I all ready stated my opinion on Andre Johnson. I am not predicting the guy will lead the league in receiving, I am just saying there are many things in his favor this season: new coach, new system, better blocking scheme, better talent around him including a pro bowl caliber receiver and an actual TE, two players he has never had.
Shooter McGavin
Down the middle
But John Kitna three seasons ago >>>> Anthony Wright
KnowledgeReignsSupreme
Footballguy
Of course, Kitna never performed like he did before Chad Johnson emerged.Chicken or egg?
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-OZ-
Footballguy
I didn't read your list as a top 10, although I'd love to see Reggie Brown as a top 10. I have however, seen and heard from others who rank AJ in their top 10. I might be mistaken, but I suspect AJ's ADP will be higher than Hines. AJ might pose value, but I highly doubt I'd take him near his ADP. At least until there's noticeable improvement at the line.
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bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
my top 24:
S.Smith
Fitz
Holt
TO
ChadJ
Boldin
Marv
R.moss
D.Jax
S.Moss
Wayne
Plaxico
Chambers
Ward
Galloway
Branch
Roy Williams
Horn
Kennison
TJ Hous
R.Smith
A.Johnson
Walker
Evans
S.Smith
Fitz
Holt
TO
ChadJ
Boldin
Marv
R.moss
D.Jax
S.Moss
Wayne
Plaxico
Chambers
Ward
Galloway
Branch
Roy Williams
Horn
Kennison
TJ Hous
R.Smith
A.Johnson
Walker
Evans
H.K.
Footballguy
Hines Ward is the new Tiki Barber....he's been top 10 at his position in FBG FF scoring for 3 out of the last four years and very few people are mentioning him.
Roth can still improve and Hines is still option #1 and #2 in the passing game, so I expect Ward to be top 10 again this year.
Roth can still improve and Hines is still option #1 and #2 in the passing game, so I expect Ward to be top 10 again this year.
Frank Black
Footballguy
Andre Johnson? Did I miss something, or is Carr still the QB?
bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
Nope he's still there. I have him ranked 22, but top 10 just isn't gonna happen for him.
Frank Black
Footballguy
Moss? Moss may be a top 10 on a PPG basis, but his days as a top 10 at the end of the season are essentially done. The guy is hurt every year. Unlike elite WRs like TO, Moss cannot produce at an elite level when he's playing hurt.
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bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
I hear what your saying frank.he is very hard to rank right now.
I have him 8th but man I'd have a hard time pulling the trigger there.
Good thing is someone else will usually take him there so I wont have to.
M
MLBrandow
Guest
Call me crazy but:
1) Terrell Owens
2) Torry Holt
3) Santana Moss
4) Steve Smith
5) Plaxico Burress
TO is going to go ape #### in a Cowboys' uniform. I think he'll hit the triple crown this year like Smith did last year. And I still think the Cowboys are 8-8 at best.
1) Terrell Owens
2) Torry Holt
3) Santana Moss
4) Steve Smith
5) Plaxico Burress
TO is going to go ape #### in a Cowboys' uniform. I think he'll hit the triple crown this year like Smith did last year. And I still think the Cowboys are 8-8 at best.
Blackjacks
Footballguy
He has been hurt the last 2 years and last year was still top 15. The year before that he was on pace to break all records at the position. I'll still take a Moss who gets dinged up (like anyone could) over TO who has a good chance of getting benched or suspended.
jurb26
Footballguy
1. R.Moss - When helathy he is still the best and proved that early in the season last year. Brooks looks to be an upgrade for him.
2. TO - When not shotting himslef in the foot by opening his mouth, will be right along side Moss or above him as the best WR in the game.
3. S.Smith - Delhomme still has tunnell vision, I don't care how many WR they add...
4. Fitz - Ubber talent and makes his move into elite this year.
5. Holt - I'm a little worried about the new coaching, but not enough to slip him out of the top 5.
6. Chambers - This guy has had a world of talent for his entire career and most people only saw it for the 1st time last year. With Cpep and an improved Mia team, this guy continues his rise to stardom.
7. Harrison - Not much to say, still has the skills, still has Manning.
8. C.Johnson - Fantastic player but I'm worried about Palmers recovery for some reason.
9. D.Jackson - With a full season this guy should be top 10.
10. S.Moss - The little guy just continues to make big plays.
2. TO - When not shotting himslef in the foot by opening his mouth, will be right along side Moss or above him as the best WR in the game.
3. S.Smith - Delhomme still has tunnell vision, I don't care how many WR they add...
4. Fitz - Ubber talent and makes his move into elite this year.
5. Holt - I'm a little worried about the new coaching, but not enough to slip him out of the top 5.
6. Chambers - This guy has had a world of talent for his entire career and most people only saw it for the 1st time last year. With Cpep and an improved Mia team, this guy continues his rise to stardom.
7. Harrison - Not much to say, still has the skills, still has Manning.
8. C.Johnson - Fantastic player but I'm worried about Palmers recovery for some reason.
9. D.Jackson - With a full season this guy should be top 10.
10. S.Moss - The little guy just continues to make big plays.
M
MLBrandow
Guest
I agree with you that Randy Moss is unquestionably the most talented WR in football. I also will agree that Brooks is an upgrade (albeit slight) over Collins. I don't believe he'll be a top 5 receiver though next year. Another new offense, a new QB, a new Coach.... just seems like too many X-Factors this year.I am also with you that Chad Johnson will be seriously crippled by Palmer's recovery. I am still hoping for the best though, as I love rooting for the Bengals.
From: http://www.footballtimes.org/Article.asp?ID=162
Rarely does a rookie WR come in and contribute in a meaningful way, with the exception of Randy Moss when he first came out and scored 17 touchdowns in his rookie year. Hence, we will hold this discussion without the inclusion of the possible rookie WR. Further, the 2006 draft does not include any “impact” receivers that will end up in teams where they are really going to make a huge difference.
The WR position is one of the most difficult fantasy positions to evaluate, and is not a “premium” position for fantasy managers. Most managers don't begin drafting WRs until the 4th round or later. By then they have a few running backs, and maybe a QB.
This year's WR corps can be divided into tiers as we always do. We like using tiers, because it makes the decision making process easier. If you have a third tier WR left, and are thinking of drafting a sixth tier RB, the decision is simple. The WRs we have placed in each category are interchangeable. We would be just as happy with the first one in the same way we would be just as happy with the last one in each tier. This article is also available as a podcast.
First Tier:
Steve Smith- CAR
Tha's it! No other WR is in this tier. Why? In 2004, Muhsin Muhammad was the top fantasy WR. In 2005, Steve Smith stepped into that same role. Two consecutive years of a the NFL's best receiver coming from the same team. That is very rare. But, it's also consistent. There is no reason to believe that anything will change in Carolina. Carolina of all the teams with top flight WRs has had the least amount of off season shakeups. All they did was add Keyshawn Johnson. They haven't lost a QB or RB. Yes, they do need an RB, but they have plenty in the stable, and anyone can run behind their line.
Second Tier:
Terrell Owens- DAL
That's it! No one else qualifies for this tier. Normally, Owens would be above in the first tier, but a new coach, new QB, new location renders him slightly less valuable than the consistency that is Carolina. But he is Terrell Owens, and you can never count him out. No matter where he has played, no matter who is throwing the ball, he finds a way to produce.
Third Tier:
Chad Johnson- CIN
Torry Holt- STL
Marvin Harrison- IND
Anquan Boldin- ARI
Larry Fitgerald- ARI
Chad Johnson would be in the first tier, but his starting QB, Carson Palmer is recovering from a knee injury. WR performance is greatly impacted by who is throwing the ball to them.
Torry Holt is here because he is consistent. Year after year, he produces great top 5 numbers. While St. Louis has not lost any impact players, they have lost their coach. However, the new head coach has had tons of experience running tremendous offenses, including that of Minnesota when they had Moss and Culpepper and went on a nice run.
Both Boldin and Fitzgerald had amazing years with two different QBs. They fiished 4th and 5th overall last year and with the addition of Edggerin James, we can only expect more from these two. With the threat of an actual running game, defenses will have to leave more players in the box, and allow these two to roam free. Both of these guys have the potential of matching Terrell Owens in production this year.
Fourth Tier:
Santana Moss- WAS
Plaxico Burress- NYG
Randy Moss- OAK
Santana Moss is getting a lot of help this year with the addition of Randel El and Lloyd. Last year he finished as the second best receiver after Steve Smith, but this is not as likely this year with the addition of more top flight WRs to their team.
Plaxico has amazing talent and the G-men are in contention. Eli is a little older and should be able to deliver the ball to him. If it wasn't for the last few games, Plaxico would have finished in the top 5.
We aren't sure who will be throwing to Randy Moss, it may be Aaron Brooks, or Vincent Young, but Moss is Moss, and even last year he finished in the top 15 of WRs.
Fifth Tier:
Chris Chambers- MIA
Rod Smith- DEN
Hines Ward- PIT
Reggie Wayne- IND
Eddie Kennison- KC
Deion Branch- NE
Joe Horn- NO
This is probably the last tier where WRs are actually useful and worth picking up before taking a QB. The rest are pretty much gambles. All of these guys are the No 1 receiver on their teams and should do well. Chambers finished in the top 10 for WR even though he had a QB carousel throwing to him. Now with Culpepper and possibly a veteran like Harrington throwing for a few games, he should stay in the top 10. Rod Smith has been producing for over a decade and has not been pushed out of Denver by the young guys. He is their top receiver year in and year out. The Steelers have opened up the passing playbook for Big Ben and Ward should get plenty of receptions and TDs this year. His offensive coordinator ended up staying and they should have an offensive explosion. Although Reggie Wayne is the No 2 on his team, their offense is so prolific, that he may even end up with better numbers than some teams' No 1 WRs.
Branch benefited from the lack of a running game in New England and Brady's best year as a QB. Normally, New England WRs are the ones you should be avoiding, but with the departure of Givens and the others, Branch clearly becomes a No 1 on his team now. Brady no longer will be distributing the ball to 6 different guys. But, Branch will probably be the least productive in this tier. Kennison is streaky. Some years he plays well, other years he does awful. New coach, new offensive coordinator, too many question marks, but he is still the No 1 in Kansas City, regardless of what happens. Joe Horn was a perpetual contributor, he still is the No 1 on his team, a new QB and a new coach. He may have a slow start, but once things pick up, he should be okay.
Sixth Tier:
Jimmy Smith- JAX
Javon Walker- GB
Reggie Brown- PHI
Darrell Jackson- SEA
Eric Moulds- HOU
Brylon Edwards- CLE
Drew Bennett- TEN
Roy Williams- DET
Keenan McCardell- SD
Isaac Bruce- STL
Terry Glenn- DAL
Jerry Porter- OAK
Donte Stallworth- NO
T.J. Houshmandzadeh- CIN
Antwaan Randle El- WAS
The sixth tier is full of a few WRs that are still No 1 on their team and some No 2's that are very productive. The big questions marks here are Javon Walker and Greg Lewis. Where will Javon Walker end up if he is not in Green Bay? Will he be the No 1 on his new team? Either way, we feel that Javon will perform as good as the rest of the guys in this tier. If Javon returns to his 2004 form, he should be a top 7 WR. Reggie Brown is the beneficiary of Terrell Owens leaving Philly for Dallas. He is the No 1 on the team now, but a lot of questions remain. McNabb likes to distribute the ball and the young Reggie Brown was making great strides last year. We will have to see how pre-season games go to make a final recommendation.
Terry Glenn, Porter, Stallworth, TJ and Isaac Bruce are not No 1 receiver, but their offenses are prolific and they should do well this year. Their numbers are comparable to the others in this tier.
Rarely does a rookie WR come in and contribute in a meaningful way, with the exception of Randy Moss when he first came out and scored 17 touchdowns in his rookie year. Hence, we will hold this discussion without the inclusion of the possible rookie WR. Further, the 2006 draft does not include any “impact” receivers that will end up in teams where they are really going to make a huge difference.
The WR position is one of the most difficult fantasy positions to evaluate, and is not a “premium” position for fantasy managers. Most managers don't begin drafting WRs until the 4th round or later. By then they have a few running backs, and maybe a QB.
This year's WR corps can be divided into tiers as we always do. We like using tiers, because it makes the decision making process easier. If you have a third tier WR left, and are thinking of drafting a sixth tier RB, the decision is simple. The WRs we have placed in each category are interchangeable. We would be just as happy with the first one in the same way we would be just as happy with the last one in each tier. This article is also available as a podcast.
First Tier:
Steve Smith- CAR
Tha's it! No other WR is in this tier. Why? In 2004, Muhsin Muhammad was the top fantasy WR. In 2005, Steve Smith stepped into that same role. Two consecutive years of a the NFL's best receiver coming from the same team. That is very rare. But, it's also consistent. There is no reason to believe that anything will change in Carolina. Carolina of all the teams with top flight WRs has had the least amount of off season shakeups. All they did was add Keyshawn Johnson. They haven't lost a QB or RB. Yes, they do need an RB, but they have plenty in the stable, and anyone can run behind their line.
Second Tier:
Terrell Owens- DAL
That's it! No one else qualifies for this tier. Normally, Owens would be above in the first tier, but a new coach, new QB, new location renders him slightly less valuable than the consistency that is Carolina. But he is Terrell Owens, and you can never count him out. No matter where he has played, no matter who is throwing the ball, he finds a way to produce.
Third Tier:
Chad Johnson- CIN
Torry Holt- STL
Marvin Harrison- IND
Anquan Boldin- ARI
Larry Fitgerald- ARI
Chad Johnson would be in the first tier, but his starting QB, Carson Palmer is recovering from a knee injury. WR performance is greatly impacted by who is throwing the ball to them.
Torry Holt is here because he is consistent. Year after year, he produces great top 5 numbers. While St. Louis has not lost any impact players, they have lost their coach. However, the new head coach has had tons of experience running tremendous offenses, including that of Minnesota when they had Moss and Culpepper and went on a nice run.
Both Boldin and Fitzgerald had amazing years with two different QBs. They fiished 4th and 5th overall last year and with the addition of Edggerin James, we can only expect more from these two. With the threat of an actual running game, defenses will have to leave more players in the box, and allow these two to roam free. Both of these guys have the potential of matching Terrell Owens in production this year.
Fourth Tier:
Santana Moss- WAS
Plaxico Burress- NYG
Randy Moss- OAK
Santana Moss is getting a lot of help this year with the addition of Randel El and Lloyd. Last year he finished as the second best receiver after Steve Smith, but this is not as likely this year with the addition of more top flight WRs to their team.
Plaxico has amazing talent and the G-men are in contention. Eli is a little older and should be able to deliver the ball to him. If it wasn't for the last few games, Plaxico would have finished in the top 5.
We aren't sure who will be throwing to Randy Moss, it may be Aaron Brooks, or Vincent Young, but Moss is Moss, and even last year he finished in the top 15 of WRs.
Fifth Tier:
Chris Chambers- MIA
Rod Smith- DEN
Hines Ward- PIT
Reggie Wayne- IND
Eddie Kennison- KC
Deion Branch- NE
Joe Horn- NO
This is probably the last tier where WRs are actually useful and worth picking up before taking a QB. The rest are pretty much gambles. All of these guys are the No 1 receiver on their teams and should do well. Chambers finished in the top 10 for WR even though he had a QB carousel throwing to him. Now with Culpepper and possibly a veteran like Harrington throwing for a few games, he should stay in the top 10. Rod Smith has been producing for over a decade and has not been pushed out of Denver by the young guys. He is their top receiver year in and year out. The Steelers have opened up the passing playbook for Big Ben and Ward should get plenty of receptions and TDs this year. His offensive coordinator ended up staying and they should have an offensive explosion. Although Reggie Wayne is the No 2 on his team, their offense is so prolific, that he may even end up with better numbers than some teams' No 1 WRs.
Branch benefited from the lack of a running game in New England and Brady's best year as a QB. Normally, New England WRs are the ones you should be avoiding, but with the departure of Givens and the others, Branch clearly becomes a No 1 on his team now. Brady no longer will be distributing the ball to 6 different guys. But, Branch will probably be the least productive in this tier. Kennison is streaky. Some years he plays well, other years he does awful. New coach, new offensive coordinator, too many question marks, but he is still the No 1 in Kansas City, regardless of what happens. Joe Horn was a perpetual contributor, he still is the No 1 on his team, a new QB and a new coach. He may have a slow start, but once things pick up, he should be okay.
Sixth Tier:
Jimmy Smith- JAX
Javon Walker- GB
Reggie Brown- PHI
Darrell Jackson- SEA
Eric Moulds- HOU
Brylon Edwards- CLE
Drew Bennett- TEN
Roy Williams- DET
Keenan McCardell- SD
Isaac Bruce- STL
Terry Glenn- DAL
Jerry Porter- OAK
Donte Stallworth- NO
T.J. Houshmandzadeh- CIN
Antwaan Randle El- WAS
The sixth tier is full of a few WRs that are still No 1 on their team and some No 2's that are very productive. The big questions marks here are Javon Walker and Greg Lewis. Where will Javon Walker end up if he is not in Green Bay? Will he be the No 1 on his new team? Either way, we feel that Javon will perform as good as the rest of the guys in this tier. If Javon returns to his 2004 form, he should be a top 7 WR. Reggie Brown is the beneficiary of Terrell Owens leaving Philly for Dallas. He is the No 1 on the team now, but a lot of questions remain. McNabb likes to distribute the ball and the young Reggie Brown was making great strides last year. We will have to see how pre-season games go to make a final recommendation.
Terry Glenn, Porter, Stallworth, TJ and Isaac Bruce are not No 1 receiver, but their offenses are prolific and they should do well this year. Their numbers are comparable to the others in this tier.
fsufan
Footballguy
If GB trades Walker, Driver will again be a solid #2, great #3 (leagues that start 3 WRs) fantasy WR in 2006. Favre has to throw the ball to someone. I also think Favre trust Driver.If Favre comes back, with that piss poor defense, why wouldn't you be relatively high on one of their wr's?
I'll try...
Torry Holt, STL
Chad Johnson, CIN
Steve Smith, CAR
Santana Moss, WAS
Terrell Owens, DAL
Anquan Boldin, ARI
Larry Fitzgerald, ARI
Plaxico Burress, NYG
Lee Evans, BUF
Chris Chambers, MIA
Randy Moss, OAK
Darrell Jackson, SEA
Marvin Harrison, IND
Joey Galloway, TB
Donald Driver, GB
Hines Ward, PIT
Reggie Wayne, IND
Roy Williams, DET
Derrick Mason, BAL
Deion Branch, NE
Muhsin Muhammad, CHI
Donte Stallworth, NO
Braylon Edwards, CLE
Joe Horn, NO
Torry Holt, STL
Chad Johnson, CIN
Steve Smith, CAR
Santana Moss, WAS
Terrell Owens, DAL
Anquan Boldin, ARI
Larry Fitzgerald, ARI
Plaxico Burress, NYG
Lee Evans, BUF
Chris Chambers, MIA
Randy Moss, OAK
Darrell Jackson, SEA
Marvin Harrison, IND
Joey Galloway, TB
Donald Driver, GB
Hines Ward, PIT
Reggie Wayne, IND
Roy Williams, DET
Derrick Mason, BAL
Deion Branch, NE
Muhsin Muhammad, CHI
Donte Stallworth, NO
Braylon Edwards, CLE
Joe Horn, NO
bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
Lee Evans waaayyyy to highI like your list, a lot. Not because I agree with it, but because I have Evans, Ward, Mason, Roy, and Braylon in a start-4, 16 team league.
Londo
Footballguy
1. Larry Fitzgerald (the next uber stud)
2. Randy Moss (comeback player of the year?)
3. TO (should have a monster year if he can behave)
4. Holt (I would be shocked if he doesn't finish top 5)
5. Chad Johnson (When Palmer gets his groove back, CJ will dominate)
6. Steve Smith (Key will help him be open but take a few balls away)
7. Marvin Harrison (I actually think this may be the year he slips out of the top 10 for good, but he has earned the benefit of the doubt from me)
8. Boldin (He will not be double covered often and he is a beast)
9. Koren Robinson (crazy? maybe. I just have a hunch on this one)
10. Chris Chambers (That offense has monster potential)
2. Randy Moss (comeback player of the year?)
3. TO (should have a monster year if he can behave)
4. Holt (I would be shocked if he doesn't finish top 5)
5. Chad Johnson (When Palmer gets his groove back, CJ will dominate)
6. Steve Smith (Key will help him be open but take a few balls away)
7. Marvin Harrison (I actually think this may be the year he slips out of the top 10 for good, but he has earned the benefit of the doubt from me)
8. Boldin (He will not be double covered often and he is a beast)
9. Koren Robinson (crazy? maybe. I just have a hunch on this one)
10. Chris Chambers (That offense has monster potential)
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I really like Lee Evans this year. He's young (25 years old, 3rd year in the league). He's averaging 16.5 yards per catch and 8 touchdowns per season over his first two seasons, with just 48 receptions per year.This year, he's finally the number one receiver, and I think he has a good passer throwing him the ball. When he played last year, Holcomb had a 67.4% completion percentage... In the seven games in which he had more than six attempts, he threw at least one touchdown in all seven games, and two touchdowns in three of those games. I admit Holcomb is fragile, but if he plays all 16 games, Lee Evans might be ranked too low on my list.
Evans' modest production thus far may just be lack of opportunity. In his first two years, he's had 12 games in which he's caught four or more passes:
2004 - WK 4 - 4 rec, 93 yds, 0 td
2004 - WK 9 - 5 rec, 64 yds, 1 td
2004 - WK 12 - 6 rec, 70 yds, 1 td
2004 - WK 13 - 4 rec, 110 yds, 2 td
2004 - WK 14 - 4 rec, 33 yds, 1 td
2004 - WK 15 - 5 rec, 101 yds, 1 td
2004 - WK 16 - 8 rec, 92 yds, 2 td
2005 - WK 11 - 4 rec, 69 yds, 0 td
2005 - WK 12 - 5 rec, 45 yds, 0 td
2005 - WK 13 - 5 rec, 117 yds, 3 td
2005 - WK 14 - 4 rec, 83 yds, 0 td
2005 - WK 16 - 5 rec, 107 yds, 1 td
TOTAL: 12 games, 59 rec, 984 yds, 12 td
Now, as the number one WR, I think 60 receptions is the low end for him...he'll probably be somewhere between 60 and 80 receptions. I doubt his level of touchdown production will increase much, but his yardage certainly should... Do you think 60-80 receptions, 1000-1200 yards, and 10 tds is out of the question?
bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
and I think he has a good passer throwing him the ball.
I dunno Holocomb, Nall ( for you Construx) and Losman = not so good.
While I like Evans upside, you have him a tier too high.
I dunno Holocomb, Nall ( for you Construx) and Losman = not so good.
While I like Evans upside, you have him a tier too high.
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