What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

WR Deebo Samuel, WAS (2 Viewers)

Just for some (late) perspective … I offered 2 late 2nds to the Deebo owner last year, at the trade deadline - rejected.

For more perspective, this is a dynasty contract league. Deebo was/an expiring contract - he’s a RFA in this league, in our auction upcoming.

Point is. Guy rejected 2 2nds (2.09, 2.11) for a player he’s going to have to pay fake dynasty salary for.

I don’t know if that makes him stupid or smart. Just saying there are a lot of peeps out there who still value Deebo very high.

I’m one of them. For the next 3yrs at least, regardless of team.
 
there are a lot of peeps out there who still value Deebo very high.

I’m one of them. For the next 3yrs at least, regardless of team.
I’m with you. Bet on talent, not narratives. Especially the nebulous “what if he’s on a different team!” narrative.

So what - then he’s an elite talent on a different team.
 
Last edited:
Just for some (late) perspective … I offered 2 late 2nds to the Deebo owner last year, at the trade deadline - rejected.

For more perspective, this is a dynasty contract league. Deebo was/an expiring contract - he’s a RFA in this league, in our auction upcoming.

Point is. Guy rejected 2 2nds (2.09, 2.11) for a player he’s going to have to pay fake dynasty salary for.

I don’t know if that makes him stupid or smart. Just saying there are a lot of peeps out there who still value Deebo very high.

I’m one of them. For the next 3yrs at least, regardless of team.
Was he contending for a playoff push? Or just refusing to listen to offers? This was more my point about why I posted that Deebo managers want more than what I would be willing to give up. I like the two seconds, but in my Dynasty league, that would have been Marshawn Llyod and Ray Davis. That would have been Troy Franklin and Roman Wilson in my contract salary-keeper league. I would take Deebo all day over those four players combined. I'm unsure how your contract salary league works, but is he tagging Deebo? Or does he have the ability to resign Deebo to a higher contract than the contract he had signed? I think this looks like your league Deebo manager was wise in not making that deal and paying the extra if this was the deal he was looking at.
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.
100% agreed. That’s the biggest one with Deebo. People talk about him like he’s getting Tomlinson usage out there.
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.
That is a great point @menobrown I have seen Deebo take some heavy shots, but you do a good job putting this into perspective. Deebo's aggressive style of play reminds me of Anquan Boldin, and Boldin, although arguably built more ruggedly, had a long career.
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.

Deebo's touches are close to the line of scrimmage, and his damage is from YAC. I don't know what to tell you if you think Deebo's style isn't conducive to wear and tear. Again, there's a reason he's never played a full schedule.


*Big fan of Deebo's talent. That isn't in question.
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.

Deebo's touches are close to the line of scrimmage, and his damage is from YAC. I don't know what to tell you if you think Deebo's style isn't conducive to wear and tear. Again, there's a reason he's never played a full schedule.


*Big fan of Deebo's talent. That isn't in question.
7 touches a game on average last two years, a little less in his career, and for sure not all close to the line of scrimmage. Can't believe anyone would really think that kind of workload is a concern for longevity.
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.

Deebo's touches are close to the line of scrimmage, and his damage is from YAC. I don't know what to tell you if you think Deebo's style isn't conducive to wear and tear. Again, there's a reason he's never played a full schedule.


*Big fan of Deebo's talent. That isn't in question.
7 touches a game on average last two years, a little less in his career, and for sure not all close to the line of scrimmage. Can't believe anyone would really think that kind of workload is a concern for longevity.
"Samuel is one of the biggest injury risks at WR.
  • He’s never played a full season, missing a total of 17 games across five years.
  • Our Injury Predictor gives him an 86.6% chance of injury and 3.4 projected games missed this season. Those are the third-highest and highest marks among WRs."


"All models are wrong, some are useful, some deadly." I could be overthinking this. But I'm hedging my bets as someone who's been heavy on Deebo since he came into the league. I'll still have some of him, but I am one foot off the train. Good luck!
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.

Deebo's touches are close to the line of scrimmage, and his damage is from YAC. I don't know what to tell you if you think Deebo's style isn't conducive to wear and tear. Again, there's a reason he's never played a full schedule.


*Big fan of Deebo's talent. That isn't in question.
7 touches a game on average last two years, a little less in his career, and for sure not all close to the line of scrimmage. Can't believe anyone would really think that kind of workload is a concern for longevity.
"Samuel is one of the biggest injury risks at WR.
  • He’s never played a full season, missing a total of 17 games across five years.
  • Our Injury Predictor gives him an 86.6% chance of injury and 3.4 projected games missed this season. Those are the third-highest and highest marks among WRs."


"All models are wrong, some are useful, some deadly." I could be overthinking this. But I'm hedging my bets as someone who's been heavy on Deebo since he came into the league. I'll still have some of him, but I am one foot off the train. Good luck!
Ok, you are going in a different direction then I was thinking as I was focusing on his performance and not injury risk.

But I'll go there and just say I don't think his usage has even the tiniest bit to do with his injury history. It's always been an issue for him, back when he was a very young man in college. High majority of his injuries have been soft muscle pulls, mainly hamstring. Just don't think it's had anything to do with hits, wear or tear.
 
Michael Silver
If you're wondering what's going on re Aiyuk, this is part of the deal: Deebo showed up in great shape with a competitor's mindset and is having a monster camp. He is being the adult.
This is kind of a jerk thing to say.

He's not being a child. He's trying to get more money, which is fine. We see people do this every year. It's very much normal.
 
Michael Silver
If you're wondering what's going on re Aiyuk, this is part of the deal: Deebo showed up in great shape with a competitor's mindset and is having a monster camp. He is being the adult.
This is kind of a jerk thing to say.

He's not being a child. He's trying to get more money, which is fine. We see people do this every year. It's very much normal.
The word adult gets thrown around in NFL circles pretty poorly. Remember when the Browns needed an adult at QB and decided somehow Watson>Mayfield, and all it cost was the worst contract in NFL history, 3 1st rounders, and their credibility as a franchise.
 
I'm sorry, but mature, adult professional business-minded people don't go about handling their business like Aiyuk and his management team have been handling this situation.

There is a classy way to handle these things. This is not it.
 
Really surprised Deebo is going in the 3rd (and sometimes the 4th) in a 12 team PPR.

Understanding the Aiyuk situation, why wouldn't Deebo land somewhere in the 2nd round? Ahead of the likes of London, Olave, Pittman, etc?

Strange.

He's a no brainer to me if he's there in the 3rd.

Aiyuk I'd think at minimum will be on a snap count early in the season. And if he holds out or is traded? To the moon.
 
Really surprised Deebo is going in the 3rd (and sometimes the 4th) in a 12 team PPR.

Understanding the Aiyuk situation, why wouldn't Deebo land somewhere in the 2nd round? Ahead of the likes of London, Olave, Pittman, etc?

Strange.

He's a no brainer to me if he's there in the 3rd.

Aiyuk I'd think at minimum will be on a snap count early in the season. And if he holds out or is traded? To the moon.
I would have gladly taken him at 3.2 in my draft (Aiyuk went 3.1) but I felt I had better lock in my RB1 there and took Jacobs instead.

I think many worry about the number of mouths to feed in SF, even though they seem to do just fine with reduced touches, and would rather hang their hats on possible target hogs like the guys you mentioned above. With the 49ers you’ve got to think more in terms of quality over quantity. But, yes, Deebo is a great value play starting in the 3rd.
 
Graham Barfield
No defense played more two-high safety coverage in Week 1 than the Minnesota Vikings (83.7%)

If that sticks = great for Deebo Samuel

Since last season, Samuel (26.3%) leads the 49ers in target share vs. 2-hi safety looks over Brandon Aiyuk (18.9%) & George Kittle (15.4%)
 
But, yes, Deebo is a great value play starting in the 3rd.
Went in the 2nd in every one of my leagues. I never had a chance at him due to position.

But I’m super glad I dealt for him last year in my dynasty league.

Maybe you play with SF homers?

Got him a ton. Uncomfortably large amount considering his nicks and I was not at all a fan of his RB usage but he's on a close to 1/3rd of my teams. Did not even realize I did a draft on 9/3, 9/4, 9/6 and 9/7 and took him 4 straight times, there were no other drafts in that timeframe. They just kept leaving him, was trying to deviate but just had no choice.

I got him at 4.6 and 4.8 in two of those drafts. Took him 7x in total and highest was 3.8.

All leagues can be different, these are FFPC national type contest and he might have gone a tad lower in your leagues because typically he went after 5-7 TE's had been drafted. Not very often after any QB though so even if you remove all the TE's he was still not rising to level of a second round guy.
 
I got him at 4.6 and 4.8 in two of those drafts. Took him 7x in total and highest was 3.8.
That’s wild. Especially with the Aiyuk situation. I kept seeing him go earlier and earlier with every bad update.

Maybe you drafted early in the offseason?
I gave the dates, they were all a few days before the opener, some after the two games were played.

I don’t see those as much different than NFFC $350 contests
Similar but I never played that contest and can't recall if it's full PPR and/or start 3 WR minimum?

The TE's in FFPC do tend to drop players a few spots vs non TEP.

His ADP was usually end of round 3 but every now in then he'd slide a little. Made it all way to the 5.5 in one draft a few days before the opener.
 
I own zero shares of Deebo. I really like Deebo. What I don't like is 8 rushing attempts. Just seems like way to many. Dude ain't a young kid anymore.
I hated every single carry.....except the one he scored a TD on.

But not at all a fan of using him at RB. A nice 8 yard run where he takes a bunch of contact does not score as much as a catch for zero yards.
 
Coach Yac
Kyle Shanahan on Deebo Samuel being used as a running back:

“If Deebo fully committed to running back and didn’t play any wideout, I think he would be one of the better running backs in the league. That’s how he’s built, that’s how tough he is. No one likes to tackle Deebo. He’s not really a receiver playing that position, he’s a weapon, and you can put him anywhere. I don’t like to put him there too much because we want his speed and everything he can do outside and between the hashes and everything.

I know the defenses don’t like him back there either because he runs so hard, and punishes them, and if he does get a lane, Deebo is gonna get a house call. He’s a scary guy with the ball in his hands, wherever you can get it to him, and the easiest spot to get anyone the ball is running back because you can just hand it off to him.”

🎥: @NBCS49ers
 
Coach Yac
Kyle Shanahan on Deebo Samuel being used as a running back:

“If Deebo fully committed to running back and didn’t play any wideout, I think he would be one of the better running backs in the league. That’s how he’s built, that’s how tough he is. No one likes to tackle Deebo. He’s not really a receiver playing that position, he’s a weapon, and you can put him anywhere. I don’t like to put him there too much because we want his speed and everything he can do outside and between the hashes and everything.

I know the defenses don’t like him back there either because he runs so hard, and punishes them, and if he does get a lane, Deebo is gonna get a house call. He’s a scary guy with the ball in his hands, wherever you can get it to him, and the easiest spot to get anyone the ball is running back because you can just hand it off to him.”

🎥: @NBCS49ers
Ugh. I didn’t like seeing Deebo handed the ball repeatedly in week 1. Each time I thought he was going to bash people so hard that he would get dinged up.
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.

Deebo's touches are close to the line of scrimmage, and his damage is from YAC. I don't know what to tell you if you think Deebo's style isn't conducive to wear and tear. Again, there's a reason he's never played a full schedule.


*Big fan of Deebo's talent. That isn't in question.
7 touches a game on average last two years, a little less in his career, and for sure not all close to the line of scrimmage. Can't believe anyone would really think that kind of workload is a concern for longevity.
"Samuel is one of the biggest injury risks at WR.
  • He’s never played a full season, missing a total of 17 games across five years.
  • Our Injury Predictor gives him an 86.6% chance of injury and 3.4 projected games missed this season. Those are the third-highest and highest marks among WRs."


"All models are wrong, some are useful, some deadly." I could be overthinking this. But I'm hedging my bets as someone who's been heavy on Deebo since he came into the league. I'll still have some of him, but I am one foot off the train. Good luck!
Ok, you are going in a different direction then I was thinking as I was focusing on his performance and not injury risk.

But I'll go there and just say I don't think his usage has even the tiniest bit to do with his injury history. It's always been an issue for him, back when he was a very young man in college. High majority of his injuries have been soft muscle pulls, mainly hamstring. Just don't think it's had anything to do with hits, wear or tear.
Bump

Deebo is an elite talent. I wish he'd stay healthy
 
The 49ers are HORRIBLE judges of calf injuries. Judging by how wrong they got the CMC injury, and the fact they called Deebo out right away--Deebo may be forced into retirement from this one.
 
Kupp, Puka, Deebo, CMC, KWalker.

Is Arizona gonna be in the hunt for this division?!
Missing Walker hasn't sunk Seattle by any means, even if they'd obviously be better with him.
Ya, just so much star power out in that div
Jacob Cowing could be the cuff, but he muffed a punt yesterday and Pearsall , could be back Week 5. Jauan Jennings is probably not available on waivers
 
Kupp, Puka, Deebo, CMC, KWalker.

Is Arizona gonna be in the hunt for this division?!
Missing Walker hasn't sunk Seattle by any means, even if they'd obviously be better with him.
Ya, just so much star power out in that div
Jacob Cowing could be the cuff, but he muffed a punt yesterday and Pearsall , could be back Week 5. Jauan Jennings is probably not available on waivers
Jennings is avail in a bunch of smaller bench leagues. Should be a hot pick up. Also kittle to the MOON
 
This came out of nowhere time to move to all underdog leagues and never look at anything until week 15 and the start of the playoffs
 
Kupp, Puka, Deebo, CMC, KWalker.

Is Arizona gonna be in the hunt for this division?!
Missing Walker hasn't sunk Seattle by any means, even if they'd obviously be better with him.
Ya, just so much star power out in that div
Jacob Cowing could be the cuff, but he muffed a punt yesterday and Pearsall , could be back Week 5. Jauan Jennings is probably not available on waivers
Jennings is avail in a bunch of smaller bench leagues. Should be a hot pick up. Also kittle to the MOON
Good call.
 
Kupp, Puka, Deebo, CMC, KWalker.

Is Arizona gonna be in the hunt for this division?!
Missing Walker hasn't sunk Seattle by any means, even if they'd obviously be better with him.
Ya, just so much star power out in that div
Jacob Cowing could be the cuff, but he muffed a punt yesterday and Pearsall , could be back Week 5. Jauan Jennings is probably not available on waivers
Jennings is avail in a bunch of smaller bench leagues. Should be a hot pick up. Also kittle to the MOON
Kittle to the moon would be great in my 1 league if it wasn't for the fact I am 0-2 already and also own Pacheco and Kupp as well. :kicksrock:
 
I’m with you. Get on talent, not narratives
Speaking of narratives the one that gets me is “due to the way he’s used I'm going to treat him like a RB with respect his anticipated age decline”

I mean,show me a me a RB getting on average about 3 carries and 4 receptions a game and I'd probably tell you I'm going to treat that RB like a WR with respect to predicting his age decline.

Deebo's touches are close to the line of scrimmage, and his damage is from YAC. I don't know what to tell you if you think Deebo's style isn't conducive to wear and tear. Again, there's a reason he's never played a full schedule.


*Big fan of Deebo's talent. That isn't in question.
7 touches a game on average last two years, a little less in his career, and for sure not all close to the line of scrimmage. Can't believe anyone would really think that kind of workload is a concern for longevity.
"Samuel is one of the biggest injury risks at WR.
  • He’s never played a full season, missing a total of 17 games across five years.
  • Our Injury Predictor gives him an 86.6% chance of injury and 3.4 projected games missed this season. Those are the third-highest and highest marks among WRs."


"All models are wrong, some are useful, some deadly." I could be overthinking this. But I'm hedging my bets as someone who's been heavy on Deebo since he came into the league. I'll still have some of him, but I am one foot off the train. Good luck!
Ok, you are going in a different direction then I was thinking as I was focusing on his performance and not injury risk.

But I'll go there and just say I don't think his usage has even the tiniest bit to do with his injury history. It's always been an issue for him, back when he was a very young man in college. High majority of his injuries have been soft muscle pulls, mainly hamstring. Just don't think it's had anything to do with hits, wear or tear.
Bump

Deebo is an elite talent. I wish he'd stay healthy
Most of the league is hurt
 
Most of the league is hurt
Not really.

Only:

Pacheco
Mixon
Kupp
Puka
Cmc
Aj brown
Walker
Mostert
Higgins
Love
Waddle
Engram
Ferguson
K. Allen
Njoku
Addison
M. Brown
Seems like more to me because I got teams that drafted less than 2 weeks ago with 3-4 of these players on it. One has 5.

That one I drafted on 9/3 has Love, Kupp, Deebo and what was both of my TE’s in a TEP format, Njoku and Ferguson. Also Spears who you did not list and Downs who I drafted injured so can’t complain.

Maybe I’ll draft more guys like Downs next year because at least if you are out the first few weeks you can’t get hurt, they just got a head start in the recovery process.
 
Last edited:
Most of the league is hurt
Not really.

Only:

Pacheco
Mixon
Kupp
Puka
Cmc
Aj brown
Walker
Mostert
Higgins
Love
Waddle
Engram
Ferguson
K. Allen
Njoku
Addison
M. Brown
Seems like more to me because I got teams that drafted less than 2 weeks ago with 3-4 of these players on it. One has 5.

That one I drafted on 9/3 has Love, Kupp, Deebo and what was both of my TE’s in a TEP format, Njoku and Ferguson. Also Spears who you did not list and Downs who I drafted injured so can’t complain.

Maybe I’ll draft more guys like Downs next year because at least if you are out the first few weeks you can’t get hurt, they just got a head start in the recovery process.
I'd laugh at this but we aren't allowed to.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top