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WR Gabriel Davis, Free Agent (1 Viewer)

He is currently being drafted in the 25-ish range... what output are we seeing from him to justify ADP over guys like Amon-Ra, JuJu, Devonta Smith, Elijah Moore (all WR1 on their respective teams). In fact, some of you are even suggesting taking him over Brandin Cooks, DK Metcalf, A. Rob, Sutton, Jeudy and Waddle... which puts him inside the top 20.
Are we confident any of those guys locked in as the #1 WR on their team?

For the others:
Metcalf is a beast but he has, without question, a bottom tier QB and a top WR pulling value from him. Russell could support two WR1s, Geno Lock cannot.

Waddle was the best of a bunch of bad options and the team changed systems and brought in one of the top WRs in the league.

Sutton & Jeudy will probably be Diggs & Davis we just don't know which is which ATM.

Cooks will probably eat all the pie.

A.Rob is a safer bet.

Yeah, Davis should be valued among these guys, where is up to you, but he belongs.

For me, in redraft I take Sutton, Amon, Cooks & A.Rob before him and the others after him. Love DK, but not with Geno Lock.

Amon-Ra's last 5-6 games looked pretty good, which is why he is going ahead of Davis in most drafts but I just don't see the Davis hype. If you're telling me, "I took him 20 expecting him to be top 20" that isn't value. That's reaching. I don't see the separation between Sutton and Jeudy (Sutton made your list and Jeudy didn't). Jeudy is a juiced version of Lockett and Russ loved Lockett.

I think you really have to love Gabe to take him over DK, Waddle or Moore... I just don't see it and I don't see the separation from a guy like Amon-Ra and a guy like DK. I respect what you're saying but the teams are virtually playing with the same goal. DK is going to eat and Waddle is a higher level version of Gabriel Davis?
I prefer the Waddles and Moores of the world but do like Gabe over Amon-Ra. A good portion of that is situation - I'll take the piece in the Bill's offense. Yes, the last 5-6 games were good - not sure that continues with a healthy Swift, Hockenson and eventually Williams.
 
Crash and burn
Buy the cheaper options on this team
What does this mean?
I would rather draft Shakir in dynasty and McKenzie in redraft. I'm not drafting him in the 3rd or 4th because I don't see the value.
I agree, it’s a tough pick in the 4th and I have not been able to pull the trigger at that price. But don’t fool yourself into thinking that McKenzie or Shakir have near or equal value. They are dart throws and Davis is a WR2 with TD upside.
McKenzie is going to split time with Crowder in the slot. I don’t mind the “not drafting Davis in the 4th” part - I wouldn’t either.

But let’s not pretend you’re going to get that level of production out of McKenzie.
What position has been the most productive than split end?
 
What position has been the most productive than split end?
The phrasing of this question is confusing. Can you clarify?
Who did Josh throw to other than Diggs, out of the WR group?

It's a bit misleading though, as it doesn't account for injury or ineffectiveness. I also don't know how many of those targets were actual targets, vs throw-aways or moonshot deep bombs on free plays.
 
I would raher have McKenzie(slot) and Shakir(all positions) than Davis at his value.
Noted.
Dynasty and keeper are the only formats I play.
Ah - yeah, in dynasty I'm inclined to agree, and I roster Davis in both of my leagues. I got him at extremely reasonable prices though.

At current pricing I wouldn't be trying to acquire him. That said, I feel like by the time Shakir is ready to make an impact, Diggs might be riding into the sunset.

Also we have an edit feature! :)
 
Over the last 2 years, Sanders was the one that Allen threw to on the outside when it wasn't Diggs. And a mixture when Sanders was out injured. And Beasley in the slot.

Davis was a 20-year-old rookie drafted in the 4th round and earned snaps regardless. It took a couple of years but by the end of last season, he had supplanted Sanders on the outside across from Diggs. The slot role was/is still up for grabs. He has 18 TDs before the age of 23 (in a largely PT role) with very solid efficiency. Go look at Sanders' numbers when he was healthy and I think you see Davis' floor. It isn't bad. And I think everybody can agree that his 4 TD playoff game will be his best career game ever, but is there really any reason to doubt that he has a great ceiling week to week?

He's going to be playing FT snaps like he did during the last 6 games of the season last year. He is *probably* going to return value on even 4th/5th round ADP. The Bills are going to pass the ball 650+ times and people act like he is a scrub. BTW go back 20 years and you will find that *most* fantasy WR1s had teammates that finished as either another WR1 or as a WR2. Good offenses support 2 fantast relevant pass catchers. All. The. Time.

Note - sometimes those FF relevant pairings are a WR and a TE
 
So let’s get to it.

Who’s starting him this week and, if so, over who?

I’m benching him for Allen Robinson. Start 2 WR, 12 team non PPR league.
 
Over the last 2 years, Sanders was the one that Allen threw to on the outside when it wasn't Diggs. And a mixture when Sanders was out injured. And Beasley in the slot.

Davis was a 20-year-old rookie drafted in the 4th round and earned snaps regardless. It took a couple of years but by the end of last season, he had supplanted Sanders on the outside across from Diggs. The slot role was/is still up for grabs. He has 18 TDs before the age of 23 (in a largely PT role) with very solid efficiency. Go look at Sanders' numbers when he was healthy and I think you see Davis' floor. It isn't bad. And I think everybody can agree that his 4 TD playoff game will be his best career game ever, but is there really any reason to doubt that he has a great ceiling week to week?

He's going to be playing FT snaps like he did during the last 6 games of the season last year. He is *probably* going to return value on even 4th/5th round ADP. The Bills are going to pass the ball 650+ times and people act like he is a scrub. BTW go back 20 years and you will find that *most* fantasy WR1s had teammates that finished as either another WR1 or as a WR2. Good offenses support 2 fantast relevant pass catchers. All. The. Time.

Note - sometimes those FF relevant pairings are a WR and a TE

Mark Ingram scored 4 TDs and you can easily link to them in the dropdown under the video link.
Has nothing to do with Davis but the 4 TDs always makes me think of Ingram. This video also has the fake spike TD in it.

:towelwave:
 
Davis is one of those guys who is impossible to actually trade away. I put him on my trade bait and within 10 mins had 4 offers... none better than a single 2023 2nd. Everyone wants him, but only at the cost of peanuts.
 
Davis is one of those guys who is impossible to actually trade away. I put him on my trade bait and within 10 mins had 4 offers... none better than a single 2023 2nd. Everyone wants him, but only at the cost of peanuts.
Gotta get creative. Pay for him with valuable assets you don’t want. 💡

I had James Robinson & David Bell, didn’t want either. The Gabe Davis owner wanted both. Voila!

No way in hell I’d sell for a 2nd in dynasty, and I don’t know why anyone would come out swinging with that light a stick with all the preseason hype. I get not wanting to pay for hype, but those aren’t remotely fair offers at the moment.

This may be more a case of “he put him on the block, he must hate him!” or something.
 
Took him again tonight in my final draft, so now own him in 3 of 8 leagues haha

5.10 this time, because the 11 and 12 pick had only 1 WR combined between the two of them, so I thought I might lose him there. Sure enough, 5.11 5.12 6.01 and 6.02 were 4 WR's.
 
So let’s get to it.

Who’s starting him this week and, if so, over who?

I’m benching him for Allen Robinson. Start 2 WR, 12 team non PPR league.
Currently benched for Kupp, Amon-Ra and Metcalf. Really want to put Davis in but expect Amon-Ra to be fed heavily and hard to bench DK
 
I'm very much looking forward to coming into this thread if he does 2 for 35 tomorrow lol

Should have a good game tomorrow.

I have a sinking feeling it will be that type of game, as someone who has him multiple places. Dreading seeing a frustrated Allen staring blankly at an ipad and he and his weapons starting my season off painfully.
 
So let’s get to it.

Who’s starting him this week and, if so, over who?

I’m benching him for Allen Robinson. Start 2 WR, 12 team non PPR league.
League 1: 16 team - starting him over Treylon Burkes
League 2: 12 team starting him over Jaylen Waddle, Toney and Burkes
 
I have two shares so far:

  • 12 Team Dynasty: Likely sitting as I have Diggs and Lamb starting. I could play him in flex over Tannehill, Dillon, Godwin, or Marquise Brown. Currently leaning Tannehill (safest play).
  • 8 Team PPR: Toss up. Have to choose between Davis, Godwin, and Aiyuk. Have no idea what to do.
 
That's a no brainer IMO. Josh Allen or Geno Smith throwing you the rock? I'll take Josh
While I agree I'd start Davis, I wouldn't say no brainer.

FBG has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
Fantasy Pros has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
ESPN has DK ahead of Davis (1 spot)
Sports Illustrated has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
CBS has DK ahead of Davis (7 spots)
 
That's a no brainer IMO. Josh Allen or Geno Smith throwing you the rock? I'll take Josh
While I agree I'd start Davis, I wouldn't say no brainer.

FBG has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
Fantasy Pros has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
ESPN has DK ahead of Davis (1 spot)
Sports Illustrated has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
CBS has DK ahead of Davis (7 spots)
I just don't see it. Geno Smith as his QB and Surtain guarding him most of the night
 
I just don't see it. Geno Smith as his QB and Surtain guarding him most of the night
I guess. I'm just saying every major site has DK higher. And I don't think they're all dumb.
I agree I'd start Davis but it would be close.
I would agree they all aren't dumb, except in ranking Metcalf ahead of Davis this week ;)

As big as a business as FF is, sometimes I think the site "experts" get a little lazy.
 
That's a no brainer IMO. Josh Allen or Geno Smith throwing you the rock? I'll take Josh
While I agree I'd start Davis, I wouldn't say no brainer.

FBG has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
Fantasy Pros has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
ESPN has DK ahead of Davis (1 spot)
Sports Illustrated has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
CBS has DK ahead of Davis (7 spots)
I just don't see it. Geno Smith as his QB and Surtain guarding him most of the night
Geno makes bonehead decisions but he’s become an adequate NFL QB. It doesn’t take a great QB for Metcalf to be productive since the guy is so fast and strong and can get the ball. He was TD dependent but did well playing with Geno last year.
 
That's a no brainer IMO. Josh Allen or Geno Smith throwing you the rock? I'll take Josh
While I agree I'd start Davis, I wouldn't say no brainer.

FBG has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
Fantasy Pros has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
ESPN has DK ahead of Davis (1 spot)
Sports Illustrated has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
CBS has DK ahead of Davis (7 spots)
I'm gonna have to disagree with the cumulative expert opinion here. For me this year, if I have anyone viable DK is on the bench until Geno proves he can consistently feed him.
 
That's a no brainer IMO. Josh Allen or Geno Smith throwing you the rock? I'll take Josh
While I agree I'd start Davis, I wouldn't say no brainer.

FBG has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
Fantasy Pros has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
ESPN has DK ahead of Davis (1 spot)
Sports Illustrated has DK ahead of Davis (2 spots)
CBS has DK ahead of Davis (7 spots)
I just don't see it. Geno Smith as his QB and Surtain guarding him most of the night
Geno makes bonehead decisions but he’s become an adequate NFL QB. It doesn’t take a great QB for Metcalf to be productive since the guy is so fast and strong and can get the ball. He was TD dependent but did well playing with Geno last year.
Be quiet you... this tidbit could be absolutely fatal to my huge downgrade of Metcalf! :)
 
For me this year, if I have anyone viable DK is on the bench until Geno proves he can consistently feed him.
DK with Geno as his WB last year:

5 for 98 and 2 TDs
6 for 58 and 0 TD
2 for 96 and 1 TD
6 for 43 and 2 TDs

DK was the #4 Fantasy WR in the NFL last year during his 4 starts with Geno. :oops:
Wow! It is not often that facts shock me, but that information does. I am stubborn though and will persist in my doubt for a couple weeks more at least. With a chance to prepare/focus on Geno and the Seattle offense, I am thinking that there will be a good bit of regression from #4. But yeah, even a good bit of regression could leave DK with an ADP where I had hard passed on him.
 
Wow! It is not often that facts shock me, but that information does. I am stubborn though and will persist in my doubt for a couple weeks more at least. With a chance to prepare/focus on Geno and the Seattle offense, I am thinking that there will be a good bit of regression from #4. But yeah, even a good bit of regression could leave DK with an ADP where I had hard passed on him.
To be fair, I didn't know this either until I just looked it up now and was equally surprised lol
 
For me this year, if I have anyone viable DK is on the bench until Geno proves he can consistently feed him.
DK with Geno as his QB last year:

5 for 98 and 2 TDs
6 for 58 and 0 TD
2 for 96 and 1 TD
6 for 43 and 2 TDs

DK was the #4 Fantasy WR in the NFL last year during his 4 starts with Geno. :oops:
WR13 in my leagues in PPG during that stretch, but your point is valid that he did better those weeks than many thought.
 
So let’s get to it.

Who’s starting him this week and, if so, over who?

I’m benching him for Allen Robinson. Start 2 WR, 12 team non PPR league.
Currently benched for Kupp, Amon-Ra and Metcalf. Really want to put Davis in but expect Amon-Ra to be fed heavily and hard to bench DK
I'd start him over DK without question. He was drafted well before DK in my leagues so I don't understand how this is even a decision.
 
I'd start him over DK without question. He was drafted well before DK in my leagues so I don't understand how this is even a decision.
Game script in Seattle could have them passing all night, so it’s a fair question. Maybe a coin flip.

They’re both pretty good starts. Edge to the dude with the better QB.
 
WR13 in my leagues in PPG during that stretch, but your point is valid that he did better those weeks than many thought.
Not disagreeing, but what format is yours? I went through PPR, half PPR, and PPR, and only looked at averages from those weeks (5-8) that Geno started, and i haven't seen him below WR9 any way I try. Were you looking at only weeks 5, 6, 7, and 8 when Geno started?
 
WR13 in my leagues in PPG during that stretch, but your point is valid that he did better those weeks than many thought.
Not disagreeing, but what format is yours? I went through PPR, half PPR, and PPR, and only looked at averages from those weeks (5-8) that Geno started, and i haven't seen him below WR9 any way I try. Were you looking at only weeks 5, 6, 7, and 8 when Geno started?
Yep same weeks, just sorted by PPG avg for that period of 4 games (PPR) on MFL for my leagues. There were a few guys that missed games due to injuries like Adams, some with Byes with a higher PPG, and we could probably remove a fluke like Peoples-Jones.
 

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