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WR Jaylin Noel, HOU (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Faust
- Start date
BigTex
Don't mess with Texas
Faust
MVP
NFL Draft Files
Jaylin Noel had a monster combine, including a 4.39 40, 23 reps on bench, and a 41.5” vertical
But how’s the tape? Well…
lightning play speed
Easily a top 50 player.
Faust
MVP
Clint Goss
At first I was blind, but now I see Iowa State WR Jaylin Noel.
Rose all the way into my Top 10 receivers and a top 75 player
rockaction
Footballguy
Eh, I see what you're saying, but the guy I think of when I think of a guy that looked like a running back and never broke because he had a running back's body was Skyy Moore. Now that guy looked like a running back so much so that Andy Reid was saying something about it. That's when you knew Skyy was in trouble.
crushedspirit
Footballguy
Harmon's take on this kid is impressive. Puts him as a vertical slot receiver archetype, and has similarities to his writeup on Josh Downs coming out of college.
One to watch where he lands.
One to watch where he lands.
Faust
MVP
Matt Harmon
Jaylin Noel 2025 #ReceptionPerception Prospect Profile
Some highlights:
- 74.1% success rate vs. man coverage (84th percentile)
- 81.8% success rate vs. zone coverage
- 80% contested catch rate in the sample
Guy is a baller, and I can easily see how he's going to help an NFL team as a vertical slot who can also play a little flanker. You'll love some of the RP comps I threw out in this profile.
Full profile:
receptionperception.com/jaylin-noel-20…
pinkstapler
Footballguy
He's ahead of his teammate Higgins at this point for me. Anyone else? I imagine his ceiling is a little lower than Higgins, but his floor feels much higher and less of a bust potential. Pending RB landing spots I can see me taking a shot at Noel in the 2nd round. He and Bech are leading the way of my favorite WRs once the big names are off the board.
crushedspirit
Footballguy
Bech is another who received praise from Harmon in his writeup, but not so much with Higgins.
pinkstapler
Footballguy
They just both feel safe. Can be used in multiple ways, win in multiple ways, would fit in multiple schemes, and very reliable. Kinda like bargain value Egbukas. I'd temper expectations and draft them knowing I'll likely get a WR3/flex player, and hope they can become a WR2 in the right situation. But in the 2nd round of rookie drafts, that feels like a win to me.
I think Harmon brought it up on one of his recent podcasts, the only thing with Bech is I believe he runs almost all his routes from one side of the field and rarely got moved around the lineup. That does tend to be a pretty big red flag historically for WRs.
crushedspirit
Footballguy
Yup, that's why he doesn't like him playing outside and would rather see him employed as a power slot.
Where these guys land and how they'll be employed will be vital for any success.
Soulfly3
Footballguy
Absolutely not, for me.
Higgins legitimately might be my WR3 in this draft, behind Travis and Tet. I just get such good vibes from him. I might even like him more than Tet, considering what it'd cost to acquire.
Faust
MVP
The 33rd Team
Jaylin Noel ranked 5th in the FBS in yards per route run from the slot last season(min. 150 routes as a slot receiver)
Noel finished 7th in receiving yards from the slot despite ranking 28th in slot routes
greenmountaingoat
Footballguy
New shareholder here. He fell well below adp in my draft and so here we are..
Extremely happy with the Harmon profile which I just listened to. Excellent vertical slot who has very above average win rates vs man and press coverage. This man is wicked strong.. leading bench press vs the WRs , only bested by one running back and two tight ends.
I see now why he fell. Christian Kirk has his exact role. He’s going to have to get past him on the depth chart.
Extremely happy with the Harmon profile which I just listened to. Excellent vertical slot who has very above average win rates vs man and press coverage. This man is wicked strong.. leading bench press vs the WRs , only bested by one running back and two tight ends.
I see now why he fell. Christian Kirk has his exact role. He’s going to have to get past him on the depth chart.
Ray Barboni
Footballguy
Perfect player to learn from. Kirk seems like a one-year player in Houston anyways.
greenmountaingoat
Footballguy
Due to the win rates vs press and man, the expectation is that he's potentially very capable of staying on the field in 2 WR sets. Though with Nico, it's going to come down to a Cyclone on Cyclone competition once Kirk is out of the picture, depending on how things progress with Tank Dell's injury.
It's pretty funny that he and Higgins were neck and neck in terms of production at Iowa last year.
Noel 81- 1,194- 8
Higgins 87- 1,183- 9
Higgins has the frame for the prototypical X but is categorized by Harmon as "more of a power slot than an X due to "struggles to separate vs man."
I feel like every year we have lots of big bodied receivers that have a much better film grade as power slots that teams try to train and deploy as outside X receivers that end up struggling or failing. Burks, QJ, yadda yadda.
It's pretty funny that he and Higgins were neck and neck in terms of production at Iowa last year.
Noel 81- 1,194- 8
Higgins 87- 1,183- 9
Higgins has the frame for the prototypical X but is categorized by Harmon as "more of a power slot than an X due to "struggles to separate vs man."
I feel like every year we have lots of big bodied receivers that have a much better film grade as power slots that teams try to train and deploy as outside X receivers that end up struggling or failing. Burks, QJ, yadda yadda.
He went 3.04 in both of my previous rookie drafts, and I just moved up to get him at 3.07 in another when (to me) he was far and away the best player available.
Interesting that people are still sleeping on him. I think he belongs in that conversation with Bech and Williams around the 2/3 turn.
Interesting that people are still sleeping on him. I think he belongs in that conversation with Bech and Williams around the 2/3 turn.
JohnnyU
Footballguy
It seems to me that the fantasy community is too high on Kyle Williams. The problem with Noel is he's at best #3 on his own team, but I like him more than Williams, who I view as a 3rd round pick. He's going in the 2nd in most rookie drafts.
socrates
Footballguy
I have both as Round 2 rookie picks. In terms of immediate opportunity, Williams gets the nod ahead of Noel, but situations change quickly. Noel has some alignment versatility, although he was deployed primarily out of the slot at Iowa State. He reminds me a bit of Amon-Ra St. Brown, with better wheels and athleticism. It is a crowded receiver room in Houston, and you have to bake that into his value. On the positive side of the ledger, however, Noel gets a young, talented signal caller in Stroud, Tank Dell is no guarantee to return at all this season (and perhaps never to pre-injury form), Noel brings a different set of skills than either Collins or Higgins, and Christian Kirk is a stop-gap for the Texans.
osubuckeyeman
Footballguy
He feels like if Will Fuller and Christian Kirk had a baby, Noel would be the offspring. Will Fuller's speed and little hands may also be some of his drops, and Kirk's mannerisms when running routes and blocking.
osubuckeyeman
Footballguy
He went 3.7 in a .5 ppr one QB performance scoring league draft that ended yesterday.
Love the value there.
