Bayhawks said:
You have a good one also.
Question for you later, if you don’t mind: If, Bell had signed that contract, then underperformed, and Conner hadn’t gotten hurt, but had been what many posters on this board have claimed (i.e.-as good as Bell), do you think the Steelers would have honored the rest of the $30M for the 2nd year? If the situation I presented above had played out like that, would you have wanted them to pay him the 2nd half of that $15M, when they had a comparable player on the bench for less than $1M, and they could have used the remaining $14M to shore up there D?
I think if you are being honest, you’d answer at least 1 of those questions with a “NO,” and THAT is why arguing that “almost” guaranteed money is the same as TRULY guaranteed money is impossible.
If the money is not guaranteed for real, the team can decide “nah, we’re gonna use the money someplace else,” whether it be due to injury, cap problems, maybe Ben retires & they realize they have no shot at a SB, so why pay a RB that much, etc. That’s why only the REAL guaranteed $$ matters.
First, I'm on record stating several things:
1. Conner is by no means as good as Bell. Bell is a superstar, Conner can be an above average back, but the main thing Bell adds is an ability to work as a receiver. It's why he was targeting $15M+ per year with a huge guarantee LAST offseason... he's the star RB and considers himself a star WR too.
2. I completely understand why Bell made the decision he did. It's business and don't fault him for that. His choice, and he owns that. Just like the Steelers made their decision as a business decision in 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2018. They aren't looking out for Bell, nor should they. They're looking out for their own franchise and making the best decisions they can under the cap, and when the Steelers signed Brown long term, that ended the chance for Bell to sign long term.
3. The Steelers aren't being cheap, and Bell's lack of a long term deal has everything to do with his stupidity for a few years followed by cap limitations for the Steelers.
4. I hate that the Steelers seemingly wasted the cap space, but Bell's decision to wait until the season (well after July 16th) to make his plans to skip everything clear cost the Steelers the chance to trade him and cost Bell the chance at a long term contract and a #### ton of money this year, and it cost him a year of his prime that he can no longer offer to anyone else. If nothing else, all this money that's wasted this year gives the Steelers extra space for next year, and that should come in handy.
Second, in answer to your question, yes, I believe the Steelers would've honored their commitment to him and there's nothing in their history to suggest otherwise. The idea that Conner is as good as Bell doesn't hold water, and they would've been better off having Bell on the roster at that amount regardless. In theory, sure, they could've done whatever they wanted after year one, but it's not realistic to think they would have. I think that was a strong offer to a guy who had just served 8 games worth of suspensions the previous two years, which again is why Bell's own agent reportedly expected him to sign it. Do you really think Gurley, Johnson, or Mack would've gotten an offer like that if they had suspensions in 2016 and 2017? Of course not. And that's not even counting the immature BS Bell has pulled like missing the walkthrough and arriving late for the playoff game just last year. Bell has been his own worst enemy in his quest for a long term contract.
I'd say that most people understand why the Steelers didn't guarantee a guy with his history big money after 2015 or 2016. If people want to say the Steelers should've locked him up THIS offseason, well, they couldn't even if they wanted to. And if people think they should've just let him walk out of some sense of "doing the right thing" then they're being very naïve about how the NFL works. If it's OK for Bell to make business decisions, it's OK for the Steelers too.
Bell wants paid, and that's fine. If you want to argue that the CBA gives too much power to the team and screws over top players, that's fine too. I won't argue the point. But as it is, the Steelers aren't being cheap, nor are they ever. They're always right up against the cap and they can't pay everyone.