Shutout said:
But the point isn't "let's look at their schedule" in terms of what it will be. The point is "let's look at their schedule" to see what they did and, against whom, and, honestly, every year or two, you just see these quirky scenarios align where a player or team's porduction is just crazy-skewed due to how it lined up. It's like that year a couple of years ago where all these DEs had 10+ sacks and then you looked and saw that 8 out of the 10 Des had a common denominator: They played both the alwful Raiders and the God-awful Cardinals that year and had multiple sacks in those games.
Situation is worth noting.
Use your eyeballs, man. The guy can get open, he can make catches in traffic, he has great body control, and a nose for the end zone. He's the #1 WR of a solid NFL QB, with enough other weapons to keep defenses honest. He'll be productive no matter what happens.
The defenses he faces may change; so may the fact that San Diego was 22nd in pass attempts in 2013. Who are you going to pick over him, Dwayne Bowe?
He finished 17th amongst WRs this year in basically 12 games. Here are some of the guys ahead of him who he's likely to outscore next year:
Eric Decker
Pierre Garcon
Alshon Jeffrey (or Brandon Marshall)--will the Bears #2 WR be better than the Chargers #1 WR? [No.]
I'd also rather have Allen than Desean (Go Bears) or Vincent Jackson. Add in older guys like Andre Johnson and Anquan Boldin that he may pass and you're loking at a top WR2, low WR1 ranking, which is probably where he'll be drafted.
There aren't many guys behind him who could plausibly perform better in 2014. Here's a list of a few possibilities there:
TY Hilton
Torrey Smith (?)
Victor Cruz
Julio Jones
Someone in Minnesota if they get a QB?
Someone in Oakland if they get a QB?
That's it, and I think Hilton, Cruz, and Jones are the only real threats back there.