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2018 FBG Subscriber Contest (7 Viewers)

TheWinz said:
Cut line is at 154.70 going into the Monday night game...

QB - Eli (287) - he won't be moving the line unless he scores a bazillion

RB - Breida (835), Saquon (319), Gallman (38), Juszczyk (32) - Saquon's a mover, Breida's a wildcard

WR - Goodwin (958), Shepard (109), OBJ (59), Taylor (28), Pettis (27) - too rare except Goodwin

TE - Kittle (233), Engram (39), Celek (10) - Kittle could be the biggest line mover with a good game

K - Gould (228), Rosas (184) - may move the line a point or two

D - SF (30), NYG (25) - too rare to move the line

My guess - line moves less than 6, under 160
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Cut line has moved up to 158.65 at halftime.

 
Jesus Christo!  Hanging on at 167.25.  Only .10 over.... are there stat corrections here I have to worry about?  Sitting at 1598 out of 1600.

 
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QuizGuy66 said:
Wow about 13 points of movement altogether.  Unofficial number 167.15

-QG
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High scoring week.  Gonna be brutal for some good teams getting passed.

Hoping for another strong performance week 11.  Would soooo love to make it to week 12 where a ton of studs will be out.  Wondering if that team with most of his roster on week 12 bye is still rolling.  

 
jeaton6 said:
174.6 with Gurley and Goedert 100% counting still. With Gronk out and Brady stinking it up I may be the last Brady/Gronk stack left after this week.
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4 of us Brady/Gronk stacks left now of 9 to start the week. Hoping Dalton keeps me afloat another week before Brady and hopefully a healthy Gronk are back week 12.

 
Updated (Ownership percentages are from start of the contest.)

QB - Matthew Stafford - DET/6 - $15  7.60%  (used 2)

QB - Philip Rivers - LAC/8 - $13  19.10%  #16 Owned (used 4)

QB - Andy Dalton - CIN/9 - $6  19.60%  #15 Owned (used 4)

Wasn't pretty this week but got what I needed out of this group.

RB - Ezekiel Elliott - DAL/8 - $35  7.89% (used 8 times) I think he's the single most important player on my team now.

RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/4 - $26  28.40%  #6 Owned (used 8 times)

RB - Royce Freeman - DEN/10 - $16  35.08%  #5 Owned (used 3)  Worried he won't matter the rest of the year.

RB - Peyton Barber - TB/5 - $8  41.12%   #1 Owned (used 2) maybe good for a flex or two the rest of the way

RB - James Conner - PIT/7 - $4  35.84%  #4 Owned (used 6 - and no Bell - another huge piece of my team)

RB - John Kelly - LAR/12 - $3  3.76% (used 0 - STILL hasn't dressed yet)

RB - Jeremy Hill - NE/11 - $3  8.72% (used 0 - he's out for the year)

Best part of my team - hands down.  Maybe Kelly helps out in garbage time weeks if I get that far?!?

WR - Marvin Jones - DET/6 - $20  5.03% (used 4) In hindsight hasn't been worth the $ - worried about his injury now.

WR - Marquise Goodwin - SF/11 - $13  36.70%  #2 Owned (used 3) expect more from him

WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $6  15.09%  #31 Owned (used 2)  Not exactly lighting it up.

WR - Chris Godwin - TB/5 - $6  13.86%  #35 Owned (used 6) - better than I hoped for.

WR - John Brown - BAL/10 - $6  21.05%  #13 Owned (used 6)  - He has slowed down lately.

WR - Dede Westbrook - JAX/9 - $5  7.48% (used 4) - like most of my WR he's a dart throw

WR - John Ross - CIN/9 - $5  24.43%  #11 Owned (used 2) - just when I gave him up for dead he puts up a score that counts.

WR - Chad Williams - ARI/9 - $3  0.67% (used 0) - saving up his scoring for the end?  A bust even at $3

WR - Phillip Dorsett - NE/11 - $2  12.26%  #45 Owned (used 2) - gotta hope for that random week where Belichick spams him against an opponent.

Weak sauce this bunch.

TE - Trey Burton - CHI/5 - $14  25.58%  #10 Owned (6 used) - solid but not as good as I had hoped.

TE - David Njoku - CLE/11 - $12  20.08%  #14 Owned (3 used) - randomly decent - like this whole group.

TE - Ricky Seals-Jones - ARI/9 - $7  10.52%  #60 Owned (3 used) - finally makes another appearance.

TE - Nick Vannett - SEA/7 - $3  3.06% (2 used) - another guy that basically could randomly help

PK - Harrison Butker - KC/12 - $4  16.93%  #23 Owned  (used 3) - really not as good as I hoped

PK - Josh Lambo - JAX/9 - $3  13.67%  #37 Owned (used 2.5)

PK - Kaimi Fairbairn - HOU/10 - $2  18.33%  #18 Owned (used 4.5) - I was worried about his job security early but he's been my best dude

TD - Jets - Jets/11 - $3  2.97% (used 3)

TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3  7.77% (used 3)

TD - Oakland Raiders - OAK/7 - $2  7.11% (used 1)

TD - Cleveland Browns - CLE/11 - $2  22.17%  #12 Owned (used 3)

Diversification has helped - the last 2 weeks though this bunch has tapered off.  Hoping the Bengals firing people will help spur the defense.

27 of 30 used now.  Chad Williams, John Kelly and Jeremy Hill (IR) have not hit the board.  Chad may get there randomly.  Kelly never dresses so I think he basically only would count in the final if the Rams decided to rest Gurley.

26 of 30 have been used twice - which I admit is surprising as I usually bomb a few picks worse than that.

On to Week 11! :excited:

-QG

 
TheWinz said:
I still think Goodwin is your most important bye for week 11.  Your WR's look like mine, and with that corps, you need all the dart throws you can get.  Also, I think week 11 vs NYG is where TB gets off your "dead money" list.  Good luck
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True, but all in all, if that's the most important missing player I have in Week 11, I can hopefully live with it...especially if he can come back in Week 12 and have a big game against that TB defense.

 
Top 5 most owned players by position...

QB - Mahomes (859), Dalton (380), Darnold (351), Goff (306), Rivers (280) - Goff jumped Rivers this week

RB - Conner (1239), Barber (860), McCaffrey (782), Breida (684), R. Freeman (553) - no change from last week

WR - Cole (742), Goodwin (672), John Brown (554), Ross (553), Hill (519) - no change from last week

TE - Burton (655), Goedert (402), Njoku (368), Hooper (260), Seals-Jones (214) - no change from last week

K - Fairbairn (408), Butker (365), Lambo (292), Vinatieri (267), Parkey (232) - Lambo jumped Vinatieri this week

D - CHI (707), CLE (483), MIN (214), LAR (185), CIN (178) - no change from last week

Overall survival rate is 10.63%

18 - 192/4051 - 4.74%

19 - 121/1741 - 6.95%

20 - 115/1390 - 8.27%

21 - 130/1189 - 10.93%

22 - 117/1104 - 10.60%

23 - 137/1008 - 13.59%

24 - 125/895 - 13.97%

25 - 108/785 - 13.76%

26 - 113/670 - 16.87%

27 - 104/562 - 18.51%

28 - 83/470 - 17.66%

29 - 87/440 - 19.77%

30 - 174/810 - 21.48%

My heroes...

- 6 teams with only 1 QB, 5 teams with 7 QB's 

- 2 teams with only 2 RB's, 1 team with 12 RB's

- 7 teams with only 3 WR's, 1 team with 14 WR's  

- 31 teams with only 1 TE, 1 team with 7 TE's   

- 93 teams with only 1 K, 1 team with 6 K's

- 84 teams with only 1 D, 1 team with 6 D's

Honorable mention goes to team "What's a bye?"   http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/105400.php

 
(HULK) said:
Okay, been meaning to do this since rosters locked, finally going to do a roster breakdown since I have the time:

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/108410.php

(The fraction in parenthesis on each line is active remaining of that player / original count of how many teams that player was on)

QB:

Roethlisburger $14: Used twice (430 / 1707)

Mahomes $11: Used 5 times (1857 / 4243)

Lamar Jackson $4: Used zero (81 / 295)

I planned on taking 2 guys who had potential for big games plus figured Jackson would take over late in the year and maybe be a difference maker if I survive until the end.  Looks like Mahomes was much more than I bargained for, guy is a monster and carrying me and many others.  149 teams still alive with both Roeth and Mahomes, 4 of them have Jackson too.

RB:

Gordon $30: Used 6 times (405 / 1203)

Fournette $29: Used zero (398 / 2599)

Freeman $16: Used 3 times (1531 / 5303)

Chubb $10: Used twice (133 / 562)

Conner $4: Used 4 times (2295 / 5417)

Here I planned to build around 2 studs, Freeman as a 3rd guy to work as insurance, Chubb for late season upside, and Conner just as a bonus starter for who knows how long.  Fournette has been a complete miss, but if I somehow keep surviving until he's healthy, he could be a big difference maker at the end... the talent is there as is the opportunity, he just needs to stop emulating Fred Taylor and toughen up.  Gordon has been super reliable at least.  Conner a pleasant surprise.  Freeman, a little less than I hoped but he's pitched in.  Chubb has stepped up when I've really needed it, and isn't highly owned, could be a big difference maker for me.  I spent the majority of my funds at RB as I saw way better bargains in the WR bin than here.  Only 32 teams left alive with Gordon and Fournette, only 3 of them with Chubb (other 2 have Gordon/Fournette/Chubb/Barber/Prosise and Gordon/Fournette/Chubb/Miller/Barber/Conner).  Pretty glad I chose to avoid Barber, my thought was that he'd not be useful late season, and that still looks to be playing out.

WR: 

Fuller $13: Used 4 times (380 / 1369)

Lockett $9: Used 5 times (668 / 2008)

Miller $7: Used zero (362 / 1241)

Kirk $7: Used 4 times (119 / 403)

Cole $7: Used 3 times (1775 / 5514)

Gallup $6: Used once (717 / 2281)

Ross $5: Used twice (1231 / 3693)

Washington $4: Used zero (330 / 1024)

Taylor $4: Used once (241 / 728)

Chark $3: Used zero (36 / 155)

Smith $3: Used once (430 / 1042)

For WR I decided to go with a bunch of cheap options that had potential for big games.  So far Lockett has been a real hero, along with Fuller when he's on the field.  Miller still has some potential in Chicago, but he hasn't done much yet.  Kirk is getting a lot of use and will keep counting sometimes.  Cole will have a game here and there.  Gallup I dunno, maybe he counts another time or two, maybe not.  Ross, I definitely picked the wrong cheap Cincy WR, at least thus far.  Taylor might've been a waste of $4.  Chark definitely was a waste of $3.  Smith has only counted once, but he's now established as the #2 WR in New Orleans and will definitely count again in the future.  Threw a bunch of stuff against the wall, and enough of it stuck that I'm pretty happy with this group overall.  66 with Fuller and Lockett.  Only 2 left when you add in Kirk.  That guy's team also has Cole in common with my WRs, but that's it.  He does have Chris Godwin and John Brown, who were on my roster numerous times but not on the final one, which is something I'm still upset about.

TE:

Reed $16: Used 4 times (237 / 1177)

Njoku $12: Used 4 times (998 / 3035)

Howard $11: Used 5 times (148 / 542)

Vannett $3: Used zero (163 / 462)

For TE, I wanted 3 guys who could score but didn't break the bank.  I think I'm pretty happy with them all, Reed is underperforming a bit but I have to figure Alex Smith will wake up to him being his best option for a pass at some juncture.  Nojuku has come on the past 4 games, and Howard is turning into the stud he is supposed to become.  Vannett appears to be a waste of money.  FYI, a TE has been a flex scorer for me 6 separate times.  There were only 2 teams in the entire contest that went Reed/Njoku/Howard, and the other was eliminated week 2 (Hi JoeT!)

K: 

Succop $4: Used twice (102 / 384)

Hopkins $3: Used twice (357 / 1141)

Fairbairn $2: Used 3 times (1022 / 2770)

For TE I tried to get guys that don't have byes on weeks where I didn't have too much money already out, on teams who's offense can move the ball but are prone to stalling.  Looks like I hit the mark on all 3, pleased with them.  3 teams had these kickers, the other two eliminated week 1 (that was 22 kicker guy) and week 6.

Defense:

Bears $5: Used 3 times (1409 / 3969)

Redskins: $3 Used twice (150 / 487)

Bucs $3: Used zero (137 / 510)

Browns $2: Used twice (1166 / 3351)

Also pretty happy with this group.  Early byes (except cheap Brownies), they've put up double digits all but 2 weeks.  4 options really helps you get the most out of this position.  I was the only person in the contest to roster these 4 defenses together.

So, overall construction was to build a team of 30 with a plethora of cheap, upside WRs, QBs/RBs who had upside and no conflicting bye weeks to maintain strength, hopefully 3 under-rated TEs with potential to score weekly, and a couple of guys who could be big difference makers late in the season (Jackson, Chubb).  So far it is working, haven't been too close to the cut line despite my second most expensive player failing to count even once.

Week 1: 177.5 (147.3)

Week 2: 227 (164.15)

Week 3: 170.65 (152.65)

Week 4: 168.7 (156.2)

Week 5: 197.3 (149.3)

Week 6: 199.9 (166.35)

Week 7: 164.3 (142.8) 

Outlook:

Next couple of weeks will be tough without Gordon... if I make it to week 10 I feel really good about my chances.  Interesting thing, when Mahomes has his bye, the entire rest of my team does not, so I've got a decent chance at surviving the Mahomes cull coming week 12.  L. Bell not coming back to the Steelers has been really helping my team out too, hopefully he stays away as long as possible.  Anyways, I like the chances for my team at this point.  Of course, now that I have posted this and jinxed myself, I'll be bounced next week, but so it goes.  Good luck all. 
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Alright, this is now definitely my best team ever.  I think I've got a solid shot at surviving until the top 250, but no clue how the last few weeks will play out, especially with my WR group looking pretty weak at this point.

Here is everything updated:

QB:

Roethlisburger $14: Used 3 times (221 / 1707)  **Hope he has a big week on Mahomes's bye week

Mahomes $11: Used 7 times (859/ 4243)  **over a 20% survival rate, wow!

Lamar Jackson $4: Used zero (30 / 295)  **Looks like he may be getting his shot starting this week due to injury.  This is earlier than I anticipated, I figured he'd get in once Balt was out of contention

RB:

Gordon $30: Used 8 times (133 / 1203)  **steady Eddie

Fournette $29: Used ONCE FINALLY! (171 / 2599)  **6.58% survival rate.  Hopefully he's an important stretch contributor now that he's healthy.

Freeman $16: Used 3 times (553 / 5303)  **should be back from injury, but he's been more of a backstop than a big scorer thus far

Chubb $10: Used 5 times (71 / 562)  **8 teams left with Fournette and Chubb together.  3 also have Gordon (Hi Buffaloboy and Entry 100249)

Conner $4: Used 7 times (1239 / 5417)  **22.87% survival rate on this guy!

WR: 

Fuller $13: Used 5 times (144 / 1369)  **this dude was a critical part of my squad, losing him hurt bigtime

Lockett $9: Used 6 times (278 / 2008)  **keeps finding the end zone when I need him to

Miller $7: Used three times (200 / 1241)  **definitely woke up, used the last 3 games

Kirk $7: Used 5 times (45 / 403)  **kinda falling off lately, I need him to step up

Cole $7: Used 3 times (742 / 5514)  **where did this guy go?  Such a promising start to weeks of nothing much.

Gallup $6: Used once (311 / 2281)  **might count one more time if I'm lucky

Ross $5: Used twice (553 / 3693)  **looks like he might be contributing now that Green is dinged up

Washington $4: Used zero (140 / 1024)  **waste of $4 so far, somehow has a 13.67% survival rate despite delivering nada

Taylor $4: Used once (118 / 728)  **hurt for a couple more weeks

Chark $3: Used zero (11 / 155)  **it'd be nice if he did something

Smith $3: Used twice (199 / 1042)  **this guy got my hopes up, but Brees isn't throwing him the ball

TE:

Reed $16: Used 6 times (101 / 1177)  **As a Redskins fan, I am mystified as to why he isn't being utilized more

Njoku $12: Used 4 times (368 / 3035)  **got hot, then lost it.  Hopefully recalibrates during the bye week

Howard $11: Used 7 times (66 / 542)  **I'm thrilled on 66 people left with this guy, he's capable of really big days

Vannett $3: Used once (88 / 462)  **looks like Wilson learned to find him lately

K: 

Succop $4: Used twice (43 / 384)  **I thought this guy would be used more than he has been

Hopkins $3: Used 4 times (171 / 1141)  **He's been as expected

Fairbairn $2: Used 4 times (408 / 2770)  **great for $2

Defense:

Bears $5: Used 5 times (707 / 3969)  **very happy with them

Redskins: $3 Used 3 times (71 / 487)  **they've come up big one days where my other Ds didn't, lucky timing

Bucs $3: Used zero (56 / 510)  **complete waste of $3.  I'll still probably try 4 Ds next year, I just need to avoid one this awful

Browns $2: Used twice (483 / 3351)  **they've been alright

Week 1: 177.5 (147.3) +30.2

Week 2: 227 (164.15) +62.85

Week 3: 170.65 (152.65) +18

Week 4: 168.7 (156.2) +12.5

Week 5: 197.3 (149.3) +48

Week 6: 199.9 (166.35) +33.55

Week 7: 164.3 (142.8) +21.5

Week 8: 187.55 (156.05) +31.5

Week 9: 195.55 (149.3) +46.25

Week 10: 226.1 (167.15) +58.95

Average Score: 191.455

Average Cutline: 155.125

As you can see, I haven't really had to sweat the turk this season... never within less than 10 points of the line.  I guess that's the nice thing about a 30 man roster.  But, I don't think I'm scoring enough to finish in the top 10 if I do make it to the finals.  Anyone remember what the final scores were last season for the top 10?

 
Moving on to week 11!

USAGE, players with remaining bye weeks in bold

M Trubisky 6, A Smith 3, M Mariota 1 - I honestly thought that Trubisky was my throw-in because I wanted three QBs.  Probably saved my season thus far.

D Johnson 8, M Gordon 8, J Conner 7, P Barber 2, R Freeman 1

J Brown 9, J Landry 8,  Allison 4, K Cole 3, T Taylor 1, J Ross 1, T Williams (DAL) 0.  Welcome to the party, John Ross!  I actually used the 4.20 points from Landry this week.  Allison is done for the season, Cole had 22 snaps and no targets this week, Williams has a broken foot.  When they print my obituary in this year's contest, there will be an entire paragraph about how I whiffed on the WR position. 

T Kelce 9, G Olsen 6, D Goedert 2, N Vannett 1, B Jarwin 0 

H Butker 6, M Crosby 2, J Lambo 2 

Bears 6, Browns 4, Titans 0  

So only four byes left, but 27 games from those four players. and I'm down to just three unused players totalling $11.

I've never been within ten points of the cut, and I've beaten by an average of 28 points per week.  That said, I'm on borrowed time (but then again, so are 1,350 of us that are left.)

 
Looking at the last 4 years (before that it was only weeks 15 and 16 for the finals), average winning score is 631.6.  So, 210.5333 per week.

So, if you're averaging above that currently (I bet some are), you're in great shape.

 
Little further look into how my team is scoring and it's cost:

QB: 3 players, 39.715 ppg, Cost $29 (11.6%)

RB: 5 players, Cost $89 (35.6%)

RB1: 27.85 ppg

RB2: 18.02 ppg

RB as FLEX: 4 times, 67 total points, 16.75 ppg

WR: 10 players, Cost $68 (27.2%)

WR1: 19.05 ppg

WR2: 15.23 ppg

WR as FLEX: 8 times, 104.4 total points, 13.05 ppg

TE: 4 players, 17.41 ppg, Cost $42 (16.8%)

TE as FLEX: 8 times, 113.4 total points, 14.175 ppg

KICKER: 3 players, 12.9 ppg, Cost $9 (3.6%)

DEFENSE: 4 teams, 12.8 ppg, Cost $13 (5.2%)

I'm not sure what to take away from all of that, except maybe I will throw a few more dollars at TE next year.  Although really, maybe "get lucky and get the new hotness at QB for $11" is the better advice.

 
(HULK) said:
So it looks like the winner averaged 211 across the last 3 weeks.  And if you averaged 200 you finished top 5.  Good to know.  I scored 609.2 the last 3 weeks with byes and all... so I have to figure I'd have a shot, assuming the right players blow up.

Now that I've looked, and feel optimistic, I'm sure I'll get bounced this week lol
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Different scoring rules, I think.  As I recall, TD passes were only 4 points last year.  That, together with higher NFL scores set the target much higher this year.  Looking at last year's cut lines, they were 

0.00 139.45 163.80 145.95 133.85 140.65 140.50 125.85 116.05 128.75 140.05 181.90 165.00

This year:

147.30 164.15 152.65 156.20 149.30 166.35 142.80 156.05 149.30 167.15

Although a few weeks are lower this year (probably dependent on how many and which teams are on byes), on the whole cuts this year are much higher--and the last few weeks have been 30 points higher.  I would guess you'd need to average much higher this year to cash in.

 
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apalmer said:
Different scoring rules, I think.  As I recall, TD passes were only 4 points last year.  That, together with higher NFL scores set the target much higher this year.  Looking at last year's cut lines, they were 

0.00 139.45 163.80 145.95 133.85 140.65 140.50 125.85 116.05 128.75 140.05 181.90 165.00

This year:

147.30 164.15 152.65 156.20 149.30 166.35 142.80 156.05 149.30 167.15

Although a few weeks are lower this year (probably dependent on how many and which teams are on byes), on the whole cuts this year are much higher--and the last few weeks have been 30 points higher.  I would guess you'd need to average much higher this year to cash in.
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QB - 4 passing TD last year vs 6 passing TD this year

RB - 1 PPR last year vs .5 PPR this year

All other scoring from last year remained the same

 
I am the only team alive with the Russell Wilson/Trubisky combo. Farthest I ever made it so far and good luck to the teams that remain.

 
Week 12 will be interesting with both the Chiefs and Rams on bye.  I suspect that a relative higher than average number of teams remaining have several Chiefs/Rams players that have allowed them to get this far.  And with only those 2 teams on bye their absences will hurt more than in a week with 4+ byes.

 
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Kenag122002 said:
Week 12 will be interesting with both the Chiefs and Rams on bye.  I suspect that a relative higher than average number of teams remaining have several Chiefs/Rams players that have allowed them to get this far.  And with only those 2 teams on bye their absences will hurt more than in a week with 4+ byes.
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How many teams are left with no Rams/Chiefs players? 

 
8 of us left with Mahomes/Goff/Eli. 

Really need Eli to have one more nice game and not get benched for week 12 when those 2 horses are on bye.

 
Grid71 said:
?That team is steam rolling through the contest.  If all the players get traded to teams with an earlier bye, he'll be considered the Uber Ultimate Legendary Master G.O.A.T. of the Subscriber Contest. 

Thanks Winz
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Team is averaging 199 a game and he almost hit the late season mini-lottery with Dez Bryant. It's too bad Mahomes and Goff had the same bye week. What a killer QB combo that turned out to be for $22. 

 
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Starting out week 11 with Packers vs Seahawks on Thursday night:

QB - Rodgers (38), Wilson (11)

RB - Carson (262), Jones (195), Williams (98), Penny (8), Prosise (8)

WR - Lockett (278), Adams (185), Brown (23), Cobb (12 - likely out), St. Brown (9), Baldwin (6)

TE - Graham (97), Vannett (88), Dickson (4)

K - Crosby (183), Janikowski (102)

D - GB (80), SEA (20)

I will be rooting for Aaron Jones and Tyler Lockett (along with 29 others).  We surely won't be seeing a 13.80 cut line after this game.

 
My score for the week was 179.4 (had to manually score) yet my page says I am not alive and doesnt show the cut line nor my score. Help?

Goff - 28.2

K Johnson - 23.9

Brieda - 26.7

C Davis - 25.5

Lockett - 19.5

Agholor - 13.3

Barkley - 12

Doyle - 8.1

Zuerlein - 13.2

KC - 9

 
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There have been 2 weeks where I would have been eliminated without Mahomes, and one was Carr's bye week. I'm just going to hope to make it through this week again, and then pray to God that Week 12 is not a week where I would be eliminated without Mahomes. My only other week 12 byes are Woods and Kelce. Kelce will hurt if Gronk isn't back.

I'm going to need Alex Smith to hit Vernon Davis on the bomb he overthrew this past weekend when week 12 rolls around. 50 yard TD to Davis is all I need to keep afloat at TE.

 
TheWinz said:
Starting out week 11 with Packers vs Seahawks on Thursday night:

QB - Rodgers (38), Wilson (11)

RB - Carson (262), Jones (195), Williams (98), Penny (8), Prosise (8)

WR - Lockett (278), Adams (185), Brown (23), Cobb (12 - likely out), St. Brown (9), Baldwin (6)

TE - Graham (97), Vannett (88), Dickson (4)

K - Crosby (183), Janikowski (102)

D - GB (80), SEA (20)

I will be rooting for Aaron Jones and Tyler Lockett (along with 29 others).  We surely won't be seeing a 13.80 cut line after this game.
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I'll be looking for my normal contribution from Jaron Brown.  Not the best choice I made, but he did count once for me, so I'm saying there's a chance.

 
Instinctive said:
There have been 2 weeks where I would have been eliminated without Mahomes, and one was Carr's bye week. I'm just going to hope to make it through this week again, and then pray to God that Week 12 is not a week where I would be eliminated without Mahomes. My only other week 12 byes are Woods and Kelce. Kelce will hurt if Gronk isn't back.

I'm going to need Alex Smith to hit Vernon Davis on the bomb he overthrew this past weekend when week 12 rolls around. 50 yard TD to Davis is all I need to keep afloat at TE.
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You have a chance to survive week 12 but I'd say it is likely a pretty low one.  Of your 10 weeks so far you'd only survive 3 of them when you remove the byes and injuries that you have in week 12, and that's assuming Gronk gets healthy in time.

Interestingly those 3 weeks are the same 3 weeks that Conner went off for > 30, so he looks like the key to your survival rather than Davis.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
TwinTurbo said:
How many teams are left with no Rams/Chiefs players? 
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I chose no players off week 12.  I am hoping for a cushion of about 25+ points going into their Monday night matchup.

QB - Mahomes (859 - 54%), Goff (306 - 19%)

RB - Gurley (368 - 23%), Kelly (99 - 6%), Hunt (87 - 5%), Ware (79 - 5%), Brown (11 - 1%)

WR - Hill (519 - 32%), Cooks (105 - 7%), Woods (85 - 5%), Watkins (40 - 3%)

TE - Kelce (176 - 11%), Higbee (17 - 1%), Everett (14 - 1%)

K - Butker (365 - 23%), Zuerlein (122 - 8%)

D - LAR (185 - 12%), KC (86 - 5%)

Over half of the remaining teams have Mahomes, and one-fifth have Goff, so I expect the cut line to climb about 2 seconds after kickoff.  Luckily for those of us with none of these players, only Mahomes, Goff, Gurley, Hill, Kelce, Butker, and the Rams D are common.  Sadly, all of the players are capable of explosive games, so I will be rooting for a defensive battle ending in lots of missed FG's.

OK, I lied a bit.  I do have to root for Mahomes and Cooks, as they are my starters in my league.

 
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