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Apple (AAPL) : Tim Cook announces iForum. Dodds and Bryant prepare shut down operations (1 Viewer)

Goonsquad must be feverishly clicking refresh on AppleInsider.com waiting for his talking points to appear so he can copy and paste them here.

 
Engadget
For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
 
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man, I was 100000% dead wrong on this. I thought this quarter would blow away all numbers, and I invested accordingly.

Ramen and tap water at the GunZ household tonight this week this year.

 
Engadget

For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
While this dip in sales is far from a warning bell for Cupertino (hello! record quarterly profit), it certainly doesn't bode well for the halo its products have typically enjoyed.
When I'm not lazy I'll bump ihucks' posts refuting it when I made this call back in December about fruit halo effect dying.
 
Engadget

For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
There's still nothing close to the iPod out on the market IMO. My wife asked me to research those kinds of gadgets as she wanted to buy me one for Christmas...there's NOTHING CLOSE to an iPod Touch.
 
Engadget

For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
While this dip in sales is far from a warning bell for Cupertino (hello! record quarterly profit), it certainly doesn't bode well for the halo its products have typically enjoyed.
When I'm not lazy I'll bump ihucks' posts refuting it when I made this call back in December about fruit halo effect dying.
If you're feeling really ambitious, you can go and find mine as well...it was 2 months or so after Jobs died.
 
The biggest barrier I see is that you are seeing a serious contraction of people going from Ipod->iphone->Ipad->IMac. Many people are also now rejecting the upgrade cycle. Ipad4 was launched with a whimper. Penetration into China has lagged. Lots of bad signs. The Ios has really stagnated as well and this is where IMO Jobs' vision was at the forefront. None of this however should be weighing on the stock right now. Growth is out there to sustain the market cap. :shrug:
Apple never intended this to be a new model iPad launch, it is simply a mid-cycle update of the New iPad. That's why it seems to have launched with a whimper; it was just a side note to the iPad Mini launch instead of getting the spotlight of a new product launch. I'm confident that we will find that the whimper is more of a roar once Apple releases sales numbers for this quarter, even with the Mini being available.Also, what evidence do you have to back up the "serious contraction" of the halo-effect that you are seeing? iPhone and iPad sales are growing and Mac sales have outpaced industry averages for years.
I'll have to dig it up. There was a report out noting how Iphone/Ipad users Imac share topped off for the first time in the last quarter after half a decade now of growth more or less. Was out in the late Oct timeframe. Total share may still be climbing outside the multiplatform base.
Are you looking at just iMac and not the entire Mac lineup? I ask because you wrote IMac twice. If that's the case, it would make sense that iMac sales were lagging as it was long overdue for a refresh while Apple focused on the Air and Retina MBP's. Apple finally released a redesigned iMac this week, although its clear that the portables are their main focus.
It was laptops. I don't own one. I thought they were just called IMac whatever.
Last quarter sales of Mac Portables (Macbook, MB Pro, MB Air) were up 9%YOY. Surely not on pace with the growth of iPhone and iPad but strong none-the-less. Mac Desktops (iMac, Mac Mini, Mac Pro) were down -24%, but all three were long overdue for updates. Combined, Mac computer sales were only up 1% over last year, obviously the desktop lines dragged down the overall.
this exchange with the typically clueless ihucks arguing trees/forest stuff again instead of the actual points.
 
Engadget

For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
I dunno. Seems like a hyperbolic headline to me, "Apple's Q1 2013 earnings reveal Mac and iPod sales down year-over-year"... well, duh. Everyone knows that $1k computers and mp3 players are declining no matter what logo are on them. Still, it is kind of amusing imagining Todem standing next to the apple "ramp" with a rocket duct taped to his back like Wile E. Coyote.

 
(1) Looks like ~600 was a good time to pull the cord. Whew.(2) Should be interesting to watch people rewrite estimates, taking into account the Mac & iPod declines (which should have been taken into account earlier).(3) I'll be watching this very closely now - if Cook & Co. convince me that they're going to do something to innovate and keep the cool factor, I'll be hopping back in... Jobs left these guys a rock-solid brand name, some incredibly cool and profitable products, and an ocean of cash. If they can't do something with that, there needs to be wholesale firings at Apple.

 
Now I'm not regretting getting out sub-500 during this last pull-back, after it climbed back above these last few days.Really excited I held on to my Netflix, too.

 
man, I was 100000% dead wrong on this. I thought this quarter would blow away all numbers, and I invested accordingly.

Ramen and tap water at the GunZ household tonight this week this year.
Why do you think your buddy Al Gore just dumped ~60K shares last week? :)

 
Last quarter sales of Mac Portables (Macbook, MB Pro, MB Air) were up 9%YOY. Surely not on pace with the growth of iPhone and iPad but strong none-the-less. Mac Desktops (iMac, Mac Mini, Mac Pro) were down -24%, but all three were long overdue for updates. Combined, Mac computer sales were only up 1% over last year, obviously the desktop lines dragged down the overall.
this exchange with the typically clueless ihucks arguing trees/forest stuff again instead of the actual points.
The iMac refresh suffered from extreme supply chain shortages; the wait for the 21" model is up to month or more and they had to completely push back the release of the 27" to January. They are selling every one they can make, they just can't make them fast enough. This has nothing to do with the Apple halo contracting; sales are down due to buyers waiting for/ unable to find the updated product. This is no different than the big lull in sales before the release of the iPhone 5.
 
Engadget

For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
There's still nothing close to the iPod out on the market IMO. My wife asked me to research those kinds of gadgets as she wanted to buy me one for Christmas...there's NOTHING CLOSE to an iPod Touch.
Music wise there are better choices. Anyway here's how they are dong.
As for its lagging iPod performance, that category also saw a steep decline, dropping down by nearly 3 million in year-over-year sales and amassing just 12.7 million units sold on the backs of its latest iPod touch and iPod nano.
 
Engadget

For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
There's still nothing close to the iPod out on the market IMO. My wife asked me to research those kinds of gadgets as she wanted to buy me one for Christmas...there's NOTHING CLOSE to an iPod Touch.
How is the ipod touch any better than one of these?http://www.virginmobileusa.com/shop/cell-phones/htc-one-v-phone/features/I picked one of these up for $50 brand new over the holidays. I listen to a ton of podcasts so it's nice to have an mp3 player that can download directly to the device rather than the need to transfer files from a computer to the device. I think they've hit that $50 price point two more times since then.
 
man, I was 100000% dead wrong on this. I thought this quarter would blow away all numbers, and I invested accordingly.

Ramen and tap water at the GunZ household tonight this week this year.
Why do you think your buddy Al Gore just dumped ~60K shares last week? :)
Actually, Al Gore bought 60k shares last week.
Are you sure there shouldn't be a small * next to that?
Whatever makes you feel good. Just correcting the statement that he "dumped" 60k shares when in fact he bought them, even if he got them on the cheap. :shrug:
 
Engadget

For the the company's recently ended quarter, Mac sales totaled 4.1 million -- that's in stark contrast to the 5.2 million sold in the previous year-ago quarter. This startling nugget comes despite the fact that Apple issued a refreshed iMac just before the close of the holiday season -- normally a boon time for sales.
There's still nothing close to the iPod out on the market IMO. My wife asked me to research those kinds of gadgets as she wanted to buy me one for Christmas...there's NOTHING CLOSE to an iPod Touch.
maybe that's why it costs 10x as much as the competitors?
 
A record quarter but the expectations have reached epic proportions.Stock is oversold. But this is how it goes sometimes.Stocks with 300+ PE's go up (Amazon, Netflix) on .15 cent per share earnings.A stock with a now ex cash PE of 3X EPS is going down. LOL gotta love the stock market.A smart investor buys a high quality company when no one wants it. Apple is strong buy for a long term investor. I will say it again. I still think this company has room to grow, and yes margins are contracting right now.....but that is what happens with competition. Which will breed more innovation from Apple. That is the"X" factorI am sure the pipeline has some things in store and when that happens this stock can take a rocket ship north again.12 month price target is still 700.

 
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A record quarter but the expectations have reached epic proportions.Stock is oversold. But this is how it goes sometimes.Stocks with 300+ PE's go up (Amazon, Netflix) on .15 cent per share earnings.A stock with a now ex cash PE of 3X EPS is going down. LOL gotta love the stock market.A smart investor buys a high quality company when no one wants it. Apple is strong buy for a long term investor. I will say it again. I still think this company has room to grow, and yes margins are contracting right now.....but that is what happens with competition. Which will breed more innovation from Apple. That is the"X" factorI am sure the pipeline has some things in store and when that happens this stock can take a rocket ship north again.12 month price target is still 700.
Baird? There are a lot of conflicting views right now. I can pretty much find a way with agreeing with everyone but ACI. I sold out but will buy in again if it hits #400. I think Pacific Crest had it Sector Perform ant a top of $440-$550. I think they have it pegged about right for now. A major new product or something interesting out of the product pipeline could move it to your $700 but I'm just not seeing it right now.I do still hold some of the companies in the supply chain though such as Qualcomm, Cirrus and Nuance. They are all be hit in after hours trading to.
 
A record quarter but the expectations have reached epic proportions.Stock is oversold. But this is how it goes sometimes.Stocks with 300+ PE's go up (Amazon, Netflix) on .15 cent per share earnings.A stock with a now ex cash PE of 3X EPS is going down. LOL gotta love the stock market.A smart investor buys a high quality company when no one wants it. Apple is strong buy for a long term investor. I will say it again. I still think this company has room to grow, and yes margins are contracting right now.....but that is what happens with competition. Which will breed more innovation from Apple. That is the"X" factorI am sure the pipeline has some things in store and when that happens this stock can take a rocket ship north again.12 month price target is still 700.
I like it at this level but this may go down for the next couple of days as people panic and sell off especially if they bought at ~$200 or so. I don't think it will get down that far as Apple has to come forth with some news as to what is coming up... Apple TV or bigger iPad or something. I could see ~$375 or so in the coming month.I'm hating myself for not buying FaceBook when it hovered in the $20 range for so long. I need a good penny stock to begin again with. I've been watching Zynga but that is doing nothing.http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/aapl/after-hours#.UQB4Pugaobj
 
A record quarter but the expectations have reached epic proportions.Stock is oversold. But this is how it goes sometimes.Stocks with 300+ PE's go up (Amazon, Netflix) on .15 cent per share earnings.A stock with a now ex cash PE of 3X EPS is going down. LOL gotta love the stock market.A smart investor buys a high quality company when no one wants it. Apple is strong buy for a long term investor. I will say it again. I still think this company has room to grow, and yes margins are contracting right now.....but that is what happens with competition. Which will breed more innovation from Apple. That is the"X" factorI am sure the pipeline has some things in store and when that happens this stock can take a rocket ship north again.12 month price target is still 700.
I like it at this level but this may go down for the next couple of days as people panic and sell off especially if they bought at ~$200 or so. I don't think it will get down that far as Apple has to come forth with some news as to what is coming up... Apple TV or bigger iPad or something. I could see ~$375 or so in the coming month.I'm hating myself for not buying FaceBook when it hovered in the $20 range for so long. I need a good penny stock to begin again with. I've been watching Zynga but that is doing nothing.http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/aapl/after-hours#.UQB4Pugaobj
Not penny stocks but those are all chance any way not to mention the Pink Sheets are sketchy at best. Here is what I'm looking at. Moving more into Cirrus (CRUS). They are pretty tied in with Apple and a new iDevice would be great for them.IPO of Zoetis which is the Animal division of Pfizer (PFE).Cell towers. American Tower Corp (AMT) or Crown Castle International(CCI).
 
So what's the play here? Do we just short this puppy into the ground? Does Tim Cook starting making calls asking if there's any TARP money left over?

 
ATTENTION, FELLOW APPLE INVESTORS. WE ARE ARRIVING AT THE TRANSFER PLATFORM FOR THE NOKIA EXPRESS LINE. NOKIA TRAIN SCHEDULED TO TAKE OFF 1/24. WE HOPE YOU HAD A PLEASANT RIDE. PLEASE WATCH YOUR STEP AT THE EXIT.

 
It's been a hell of a run, but with no big new ideas in the pipeline, declining margins, increased competition, and decline of the coolness factor, Apple was priced for perfection.

 
Apple was priced for perfection.
- P/E Ratio of 11.- Sell some of the highest-quality and 'coolest' gadgets on Earth, in a market that's growing astronomically.- Enough cash sitting in the bank to just outright BUY companies like 3M, Altria, or Caterpillar.- 2% dividend.This has to do with expectations and momentum, not value. Apple is a screaming buy as a cash cow value investment. You just don't want to get caught holding when they disappoint on earnings.
 

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