Assani's picks for Week 9 (1 Viewer)

[Assani Fisher]

Week 1: 20-10(66.66%), +14 units on 64 units wagered, ROI of +21.9%

Week 2: 14-17-1(45%), -5 units on 66 units wagered, ROI of -7.5%

Week 3: 13-13-2(50%), +54 units on 101 units wagered, ROI of +54%

Week 4: 16-12(57%), +12 units on 54 units wagered, ROI of +22.22%

Week 5: 13-12-1(52%), +74 units on 106 units wagered, ROI of +70%

Week 6: 9-15-1(37.5%), -21 units on 54 units wagered, ROI of -38.88%

Week 7: 14-11-1(56%), +94 units on 163 units wagered, ROI of 57.67%

Week 8: 8-11-1(42%) for -20 units on 53 units wagered, ROI of -37.7%

Year to Date: 107-101-7(51.44%), +203 units (not counting juice) on 661 units wagered, ROI of 30.71%

+170.9 units(counting juice) on 661 units wagered, ROI of +25.85%

Please note that all lines are taken from sportsbook.com at the time of this posting.

KC +3 at STl, o/u 48

STL is just so much better at home. I think this goes under and STl wins fairly easily. STl -3(1 unit), under 48(1 unit)

Cincy +3 at Bal, o/u 41

Baltimore is the choice here for sure. Bal -3(1 unit), under 41(1 unit)

Hous +13 at NYG, o/u 43

NYG are playing way too well right now. This one shouldn't even be close. I love this play. NYG -13(41 units), over 43(11 units)

Tenn +9.5 at Jax, o/u 37.5

Tenn has quietly become a very competitive team. I think they keep this very close in a low scoring affair. Tenn +9.5(6 units), under 37.5(1 unit)

Dal -3 at Wash, o/u 42

Washington coming off of a bye week wins this game outright. Wash +3(4 units), under 42(1 unit)

GB +3 at Buff, o/u 40.5

HFA looms heavily here. Buff -3(2 units), under 40.5(1 unit)

NO -1 at TB, o/u 38.5

TB has won their games on a 62 yard FG and due to a horrible roughing the passer call. There is no reason that they should win here. NO -1(3 units), under 38.5(1 unit)

Atl -5.5 at Det, o/u 47

Atl is simply too good for Detroit here. Atl -5.5(5 units), under 7(1 unit)

Mia +13.5 at Chi, o/u 37.5

Chicago wins by 20+. I love this play. Chi -13.5(52 units), over 37.5(8 units)

Min -5 at SF, o/u 42.5

Gotta go with Minny. Minny -5(1 unit), under 42.5(1 unit)

Cle +12.5 at SD, o/u 41

SD is a different team without the Merry Man. Cle +12.5(3 units), under 41(2 units)

Den +2.5 at Pit, o/u 36

Like everyone else in the world, I have no clue why Pit is favored here. Den +2.5(5 units), under 36(1 unit)

Indy +3 at NE, o/u 48

Manning is playing too good right now. Indy +3(18 units), over 48(2 units)

Oak +7.5 at Sea, o/u 37.5

The extra half point is too much. Oakland has won two in a row. Oak +7.5(1 unit), under 37.5(2 units)

 

[Chase Stuart]

Indy +3 at NE, o/u 48

Manning is playing too good right now. Indy +3(18 units), over 48(2 units)

I think Manning's the best player in football, and has been for a few years. But the Colts will not be able to stop the Patriots running attack, and the Patriots have never stopped Brady. In five regular season games, Brady's averaging 8.1 Y/A and has an 11/3 TD/INT ratio. I've never been one to fawn over Brady (Mark f'n Brunell has posted similar numbers this year, outside of the TDs), but he's more than good enough to shred the Colts D.The only edge the Colts have is when they pass the ball. NE is better at running than Indy is at stopping the run (a blowout), NE is better at passing than Indy is at stopping the pass, and NE is better at stopping the runt han Indy is at running.

Now I could easily see Indianapolis win because Manning is such a great player and the Colts have two terrific wide receivers; but Indy +3 is hardly the lock of the week that you imply (outside of the Giants game) by putting 18 units on it.

I'd probably go with something like New England (-3), 4 units (using your weight system).

 

[djcolts]

Indy +3 at NE, o/u 48

Manning is playing too good right now. Indy +3(18 units), over 48(2 units)

I think Manning's the best player in football, and has been for a few years. But the Colts will not be able to stop the Patriots running attack, and the Patriots have never stopped Brady. In five regular season games, Brady's averaging 8.1 Y/A and has an 11/3 TD/INT ratio. I've never been one to fawn over Brady (Mark f'n Brunell has posted similar numbers this year, outside of the TDs), but he's more than good enough to shred the Colts D.The only edge the Colts have is when they pass the ball. NE is better at running than Indy is at stopping the run (a blowout), NE is better at passing than Indy is at stopping the pass, and NE is better at stopping the runt han Indy is at running.

Now I could easily see Indianapolis win because Manning is such a great player and the Colts have two terrific wide receivers; but Indy +3 is hardly the lock of the week that you imply (outside of the Giants game) by putting 18 units on it.

I'd probably go with something like New England (-3), 4 units (using your weight system).

Wow. That was the first game he picked the Colts all season - what a time to do it (I thought they would lose to NE).

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

Worst threads of all-time on here.