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Christine Michael (2 Viewers)

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I'm not arguing that his value isn't declining. Obviously it is.

I'm just arguing that him being locked in as a like-for-like replacement behind a guy who's putting together a decent HOF case doesn't (or at least might not) say much about his ability.
I completely agree but the longer he is in Seattle the more irrelevant his ability/potential becomes.
Different strokes. Happy to ride him all the way down to the ground. Just like I was/am with Jonathan Stewart.
Depends on roster sizes I guess.
I don't know about that. In FFPC leagues which required cut down to 14 position players I did not see him cut anywhere. I've got him in one league myself and even with that short roster I'm fully prepared to hold on for at least two more seasons, unless of course someone made me an attractive offer.
I can't drop him either. It sucks though. I wouldn't take anything less than a mid 1st for him.
Yea, I don't think I'd move him for a late 1st in this draft. Kinda depends on who drops though.

I'm not in love with this rookie crop and I don't think there are 3-4 backs in the draft who I'd clearly prefer.

I haven't added him in any leagues since his rookie season, but this latest news will test his owners' patience. Might be a good time to take a shot.

 
Yea, I don't think I'd move him for a late 1st in this draft. Kinda depends on who drops though.

I'm not in love with this rookie crop and I don't think there are 3-4 backs in the draft who I'd clearly prefer.

I haven't added him in any leagues since his rookie season, but this latest news will test his owners' patience. Might be a good time to take a shot.
Didn't you drop this schtick about week 3 or 4 in season? I would take many of these backs in a good situation over Michael and I'm not talking Gurley and Gordon... I'm talking Ameer, Coleman, Yeldon, Duke Johnson... and in the right round, right team David Johnson and David Cobb. I feel like a dog chasing his tail but if you can get an early 3rd/late 2nd take it and run.

 
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I don't know about that. In FFPC leagues which required cut down to 14 position players I did not see him cut anywhere. I've got him in one league myself and even with that short roster I'm fully prepared to hold on for at least two more seasons, unless of course someone made me an attractive offer.
Out of curiosity, what is your minimum sell price?
Depends on the league. I own him two places.

One is the FFPC league I mentioned. Those leagues have smaller roster sizes so holding a guy for potentially two more season is tough. I have pick 1.11 in that league, if anyone offered me a pick in front of my pick at 11 they are probably the proud new owner of Michaels and all of his glorious potential. Only hesitation I would have in this particular league is if the Lynch owner came at me for Michaels, I might make him pay more.

I own Michaels in another league that I think has 22 roster spots and a taxi squad of two that a player can remain on for two seasons. Michaels has been on it the whole time so up till now he's only taken up a taxi spot but now he'll need to be removed. But I also own Lynch and Turbin so in this case a #1 pick would not get it done due to roster size and owning entire Seattle backfield.

 
There are people that would still turn down a 1st for Michael? Wow. Delusional. Patience.
Fixed.
He's not going to get a chance to play until he's at least 26 and it might not be until he's a free agent at age 27.

Patience is fine but passing up a 1st for a guy who is going to be old for his position by the time he's plays is a mistake.
Exactly. You don't even have to take the risk of using that pick, you can trade it for immediate return at RB right now if you want, and ditch the gamble that Michael ever becomes relevant.

I used to be a big Michael supporter. Probably in this very thread. I sold a long, long time ago.

 
There are people that would still turn down a 1st for Michael? Wow. Delusional. Patience.
Fixed.
He's not going to get a chance to play until he's at least 26 and it might not be until he's a free agent at age 27.

Patience is fine but passing up a 1st for a guy who is going to be old for his position by the time he's plays is a mistake.
I disagree he'll be to old in a year to two but I don't necessarily disagree on not taking a first for him, like I said in one league I would accept that offer in seconds and if I did not own the rest of the Seattle backfield I would in that league as well if it was a decent first. I would trade him him in any format regardless of my roster for a high first, but I don't think anyone is offering that anytime soon.

 
ConnSKINS26 said:
There are people that would still turn down a 1st for Michael? Wow. Delusional.
Even more delusional would be anyone who would still pay a 1st for Michael.
What's the difference? Turning down a 1st isn't any different than paying a 1st. Just sayin.

Yeah, I'd take a 1st for him
The difference is that Michael's current owners may feel they have to recoup what they have invested in him, as far as price originally paid (in many cases a 1st) plus what the dead roster space may have cost them in missed opportunities. That may make them irrationally reluctant to sell.

Someone who does not own Michael isn't carrying that baggage, and is hopefully smart enough at this point not to pay a 1st for a player who has proven nothing in the regular season, can't beat out Turbin and is a longshot to see any fantasy relevance (unless Lynch gets hurt and even then, who knows?).

Someone of course has to double down here because he repeatedly pimped Michael as a no risk, no downside investment - a "can't miss" proposition (barring injury) even going so far to say that it was his success in the NFL was "inevitable".

 
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ConnSKINS26 said:
There are people that would still turn down a 1st for Michael? Wow. Delusional.
Even more delusional would be anyone who would still pay a 1st for Michael.
What's the difference? Turning down a 1st isn't any different than paying a 1st. Just sayin. Yeah, I'd take a 1st for him
The difference is that Michael's current owners may feel they have to recoup what they have invested in him, as far as price originally paid (in many cases a 1st) plus what the dead roster space may have cost them in missed opportunities. That may make them irrationally reluctant to sell.Someone who does not own Michael isn't carrying that baggage, and is hopefully smart enough at this point not to pay a 1st for a player who has proven nothing in the regular season, can't beat out Turbin and is a longshot to see any fantasy relevance (unless Lynch gets hurt and even then, who knows?).EBF of course has to double down here because he repeatedly pimped Michael as a no risk, no downside investment - a "can't miss" proposition (barring injury) even going so far to say that it was his success in the NFL was "inevitable".
Right and this is the conundrum CM presents his owners at this point. If you've invested heavily in him, you have seen his value decrease year after year. Eventually you reach a point where it's just better to go down with the ship. Recapping what you I itially invested in him is pretty much a pipe dream at this point. Most logical FFers are not going to give up a 1st for him. Most CM owners are still valuing him as such.

 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.

 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
This. Or that really perceptive comment in the previous post. One of those.

 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
There is always that possibility, but the only real "arguments" supporting that conclusion at this point are weak due to their indirect nature.

The argument about Michael's talent won't be settled until he succeeds or fails on the field.

 
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Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
There is always that possibility, but the only real "arguments" supporting conclusion at this point are weak due to their indirect nature. The argument about Michael's talent won't be settled until he succeeds or fails on the field.
Every year he fails to beat out Turbin as the 2nd RB in Sea seems to be a growing problem.
 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
There is always that possibility, but the only real "arguments" supporting conclusion at this point are weak due to their indirect nature. The argument about Michael's talent won't be settled until he succeeds or fails on the field.
Every year he fails to beat out Turbin as the 2nd RB in Sea seems to be a growing problem.
Only if you think Turbin being a better COP option than Michael makes him a better talent, and the likely lead back should Lynch fall out of the picture.

Personally, I don't think that's nearly as damning an argument against Michael as some others seem to believe, but I fully admit that it could go either way. We know for sure that SEA likes Turbin better in that specific role than Michael, and everything beyond that is speculation.

 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
There is always that possibility, but the only real "arguments" supporting conclusion at this point are weak due to their indirect nature. The argument about Michael's talent won't be settled until he succeeds or fails on the field.
Every year he fails to beat out Turbin as the 2nd RB in Sea seems to be a growing problem.
Only if you think Turbin being a better COP option than Michael makes him a better talent, and the likely lead back should Lynch fall out of the picture.Personally, I don't think that's nearly as damning an argument against Michael as some others seem to believe, but I fully admit that it could go either way. We know for sure that SEA likes Turbin better in that specific role than Michael, and everything beyond that is speculation.
Right, but CM has been crowned an ubber talent by many. An ubber talent should be able to beat out a COP back, regardless of the role. I really don't see how you can convince yourself he is an ubber talent that Sea just loves hiding as the 3rd guy on their roster. Maybe he still has a ton of talent. Regardless, this should be making you think twice about it.
 
Truthfully, I haven't read this entire thread (or even 10 pages of it), so I don't know what sort of claims have been thrown around about his talent by his supporters in here. I just saw the last page's discussion and felt like I could contribute.

I've always seen Michael as a tremendous physical talent who demonstrated some nice running traits in college, but whose overall game lacked a lot of polish. I thought he had 3 down potential, but also thought that it was going to take work to get there. Took him at 2.03 in the 2013 rookie draft for my dynasty league with the understanding that he was a long-term high-potential project. Talented, but raw.

Based on my thoughts back then, it's really not a surprise for me to see him stuck behind Turbin for the COP role. Turbin's a decent physical talent in his own right, and much more polished in the passing game. I actually liked him enough that I had him on my roster at the time when I drafted Michael.

I've always thought Michael was a more dynamic runner than Turbin, and I think Michael is the better bet to put up RB1 numbers at some point in his career between the two (although I think that's far from a lock). When I watch Turbin run, I just don't see someone that an offense is going to willingly rely on to be "the guy."

Michael has kept himself out of trouble, and the coaches seem to think his work ethic is where it should be. Those were two big concerns for me when I drafted him. He's flashed in his very limited touches, so that's another plus.

He still needs to prove that he can polish his game to be trusted and treated as a foundation back, but I wasn't expecting that to be a quick process. This will be a big year for him, given that it is his third year in the league. That's generally around the time when less polished guys really start putting things together in the NFL. If he doesn't take a step forward from last year, that will be a legitimate concern for me.

 
Right and this is the conundrum CM presents his owners at this point. If you've invested heavily in him, you have seen his value decrease year after year. Eventually you reach a point where it's just better to go down with the ship. Recapping what you I itially invested in him is pretty much a pipe dream at this point.
I'm no economist, but "sunken cost" (i.e. what you paid for a player) has no bearing on what you should do with that player going forward. In other words, it doesn't matter what Michael's trade value was 12 or 18 months ago. The only thing to ask yourself if you're a Michael owner right now is, "Is he worth more than what I can get for him in a trade?" I'm guessing that the answer is a strong "yes" for me. Recouping his initial investment is hardly a "pipe dream" given that his rookie draft ADP was late 1st/early 2nd and he'll easily fetch that in a trade with half a good season any time in the next three years.

All decent backs eventually get their shot (i.e. Ben Tate and Toby Gerhart last year). If you think Michael has a good chance to be successful when that time comes then there's really no reason to up and trade him now. If you think he's a Michael Turner/Darren Sproles then you've gotta be patient enough for him to get his shot to prove it. Selling due to blocked opportunity only makes sense if you don't think he'll pan out in the long run. If you're a believer in his potential, it's simply a waiting game at this point. That's been the case since day one. There has never been a clear clock on when he would have utility, which is why he was so much cheaper than Bell and Lacy in the rookie draft that year.

If you're the guy with the itchy trigger finger and the fruit-fly attention span then this was never the right player for you from the jump because we've known all along that Lynch is in the way. Lynch will continue to be in the way until his play drops off or Michael switches teams. So it goes.

 
I'm no economist, but "sunken cost" (i.e. what you paid for a player) has no bearing on what you should do with that player going forward. In other words, it doesn't matter what Michael's trade value was 12 or 18 months ago. The only thing to ask yourself if you're a Michael owner right now is, "Is he worth more than what I can get for him in a trade?" I'm guessing that the answer is a strong "yes" for me. Recouping his initial investment is hardly a "pipe dream" given that his rookie draft ADP was late 1st/early 2nd and he'll easily fetch that in a trade with half a good season any time in the next three years.

All decent backs eventually get their shot (i.e. Ben Tate and Toby Gerhart last year). If you think Michael has a good chance to be successful when that time comes then there's really no reason to up and trade him now. If you think he's a Michael Turner/Darren Sproles then you've gotta be patient enough for him to get his shot to prove it. Selling due to blocked opportunity only makes sense if you don't think he'll pan out in the long run. If you're a believer in his potential, it's simply a waiting game at this point. That's been the case since day one. There has never been a clear clock on when he would have utility, which is why he was so much cheaper than Bell and Lacy in the rookie draft that year.

If you're the guy with the itchy trigger finger and the fruit-fly attention span then this was never the right player for you from the jump because we've known all along that Lynch is in the way. Lynch will continue to be in the way until his play drops off or Michael switches teams. So it goes.
Age is starting to become a factor - he's 25 in November and will be 27 the year he's a free agent. Michael owners need to hope Lynch retires after this year because Michael won't hold much value as a 27 yo free agent.

 
Chaka said:
Pleasantly surprised the Seahawks did not draft a RB. Has to be a good sign. :thumbup:
Good sign for what? They plan to ride Marshawn for another season. Barring injury this will be another "hold" season for Michael owners.
Better than Seattle drafting a decent RB and wondering if Michael will fall to #4 or off the roster.

 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
You are both right. I drafted him based on where he was picked and where he landed. I trust Carroll as an RB talent evaluator. He picked him right behind Lacy and Bell. I acknowledge Carroll's view of his talent might have been off. I also acknowledge my view of Carroll may have been off.

But until I see him actually get a start, he's a hold. Not being able to unseat Beast Mode isn't cut-worthy to me.

 
cstu said:
I'm no economist, but "sunken cost" (i.e. what you paid for a player) has no bearing on what you should do with that player going forward. In other words, it doesn't matter what Michael's trade value was 12 or 18 months ago. The only thing to ask yourself if you're a Michael owner right now is, "Is he worth more than what I can get for him in a trade?" I'm guessing that the answer is a strong "yes" for me. Recouping his initial investment is hardly a "pipe dream" given that his rookie draft ADP was late 1st/early 2nd and he'll easily fetch that in a trade with half a good season any time in the next three years.

All decent backs eventually get their shot (i.e. Ben Tate and Toby Gerhart last year). If you think Michael has a good chance to be successful when that time comes then there's really no reason to up and trade him now. If you think he's a Michael Turner/Darren Sproles then you've gotta be patient enough for him to get his shot to prove it. Selling due to blocked opportunity only makes sense if you don't think he'll pan out in the long run. If you're a believer in his potential, it's simply a waiting game at this point. That's been the case since day one. There has never been a clear clock on when he would have utility, which is why he was so much cheaper than Bell and Lacy in the rookie draft that year.

If you're the guy with the itchy trigger finger and the fruit-fly attention span then this was never the right player for you from the jump because we've known all along that Lynch is in the way. Lynch will continue to be in the way until his play drops off or Michael switches teams. So it goes.
Age is starting to become a factor - he's 25 in November and will be 27 the year he's a free agent. Michael owners need to hope Lynch retires after this year because Michael won't hold much value as a 27 yo free agent.
That's the rub. By the time he may be free from the shackles that SEA has placed on him he'll be a 27 year old RB with no track record in the league (unless Lynch misses a significant chunk of time which of course is possible). Who is going to offer him starter's money at that point and hand him a starting job? Seems fairly unlikely at best.

 
Chaka said:
Pleasantly surprised the Seahawks did not draft a RB. Has to be a good sign. :thumbup:
Good sign for what? They plan to ride Marshawn for another season. Barring injury this will be another "hold" season for Michael owners.
That's fine, this is my last year for him n DTS, next year will be a problem.

 
cstu said:
I'm no economist, but "sunken cost" (i.e. what you paid for a player) has no bearing on what you should do with that player going forward. In other words, it doesn't matter what Michael's trade value was 12 or 18 months ago. The only thing to ask yourself if you're a Michael owner right now is, "Is he worth more than what I can get for him in a trade?" I'm guessing that the answer is a strong "yes" for me. Recouping his initial investment is hardly a "pipe dream" given that his rookie draft ADP was late 1st/early 2nd and he'll easily fetch that in a trade with half a good season any time in the next three years.

All decent backs eventually get their shot (i.e. Ben Tate and Toby Gerhart last year). If you think Michael has a good chance to be successful when that time comes then there's really no reason to up and trade him now. If you think he's a Michael Turner/Darren Sproles then you've gotta be patient enough for him to get his shot to prove it. Selling due to blocked opportunity only makes sense if you don't think he'll pan out in the long run. If you're a believer in his potential, it's simply a waiting game at this point. That's been the case since day one. There has never been a clear clock on when he would have utility, which is why he was so much cheaper than Bell and Lacy in the rookie draft that year.

If you're the guy with the itchy trigger finger and the fruit-fly attention span then this was never the right player for you from the jump because we've known all along that Lynch is in the way. Lynch will continue to be in the way until his play drops off or Michael switches teams. So it goes.
Age is starting to become a factor - he's 25 in November and will be 27 the year he's a free agent. Michael owners need to hope Lynch retires after this year because Michael won't hold much value as a 27 yo free agent.
That's the rub. By the time he may be free from the shackles that SEA has placed on him he'll be a 27 year old RB with no track record in the league (unless Lynch misses a significant chunk of time which of course is possible). Who is going to offer him starter's money at that point and hand him a starting job? Seems fairly unlikely at best.
Depends on what happens the next few years. If he can finally unseat Turbin and looks great on 100 touches in a backup role in 2015 and 2016, then he'll get a chance somewhere. The NFL doesn't start pushing the panic button at 26 the way that overzealous dynasty owners do.

Ironically, given my stance on Michael throughout this thread, I acquired him in a league this offseason. As a Michael owner now, his age doesn't worry me nearly as much as his complete lack of any type of role the past two years, and what that might say indirectly about his talent.

 
cstu said:
I'm no economist, but "sunken cost" (i.e. what you paid for a player) has no bearing on what you should do with that player going forward. In other words, it doesn't matter what Michael's trade value was 12 or 18 months ago. The only thing to ask yourself if you're a Michael owner right now is, "Is he worth more than what I can get for him in a trade?" I'm guessing that the answer is a strong "yes" for me. Recouping his initial investment is hardly a "pipe dream" given that his rookie draft ADP was late 1st/early 2nd and he'll easily fetch that in a trade with half a good season any time in the next three years.

All decent backs eventually get their shot (i.e. Ben Tate and Toby Gerhart last year). If you think Michael has a good chance to be successful when that time comes then there's really no reason to up and trade him now. If you think he's a Michael Turner/Darren Sproles then you've gotta be patient enough for him to get his shot to prove it. Selling due to blocked opportunity only makes sense if you don't think he'll pan out in the long run. If you're a believer in his potential, it's simply a waiting game at this point. That's been the case since day one. There has never been a clear clock on when he would have utility, which is why he was so much cheaper than Bell and Lacy in the rookie draft that year.

If you're the guy with the itchy trigger finger and the fruit-fly attention span then this was never the right player for you from the jump because we've known all along that Lynch is in the way. Lynch will continue to be in the way until his play drops off or Michael switches teams. So it goes.
Age is starting to become a factor - he's 25 in November and will be 27 the year he's a free agent. Michael owners need to hope Lynch retires after this year because Michael won't hold much value as a 27 yo free agent.
That's the rub. By the time he may be free from the shackles that SEA has placed on him he'll be a 27 year old RB with no track record in the league (unless Lynch misses a significant chunk of time which of course is possible). Who is going to offer him starter's money at that point and hand him a starting job? Seems fairly unlikely at best.
Depends on what happens the next few years. If he can finally unseat Turbin and looks great on 100 touches in a backup role in 2015 and 2016, then he'll get a chance somewhere. The NFL doesn't start pushing the panic button at 26 the way that overzealous dynasty owners do.

Ironically, given my stance on Michael throughout this thread, I acquired him in a league this offseason. As a Michael owner now, his age doesn't worry me nearly as much as his complete lack of any type of role the past two years, and what that might say indirectly about his talent.
Yes, he would need to unseat Turbin (will he?) and look impressive and then I agree that some team may make an agreesive push to add him as a starting back.

That would put in in a Michael Turner scenario (2-3 very good years in his prime followed by a few useful years before decline). I was working under the assumption that Michael would remain the No. 3 back in SEA if Lynch stays healthy, but admit that my assumption could be faulty.

ETA: I've been trying to acquire him on the cheap for the last two years unsuccessfully so I do see a possibility that this could happen.

 
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cstu said:
I'm no economist, but "sunken cost" (i.e. what you paid for a player) has no bearing on what you should do with that player going forward. In other words, it doesn't matter what Michael's trade value was 12 or 18 months ago. The only thing to ask yourself if you're a Michael owner right now is, "Is he worth more than what I can get for him in a trade?" I'm guessing that the answer is a strong "yes" for me. Recouping his initial investment is hardly a "pipe dream" given that his rookie draft ADP was late 1st/early 2nd and he'll easily fetch that in a trade with half a good season any time in the next three years.

All decent backs eventually get their shot (i.e. Ben Tate and Toby Gerhart last year). If you think Michael has a good chance to be successful when that time comes then there's really no reason to up and trade him now. If you think he's a Michael Turner/Darren Sproles then you've gotta be patient enough for him to get his shot to prove it. Selling due to blocked opportunity only makes sense if you don't think he'll pan out in the long run. If you're a believer in his potential, it's simply a waiting game at this point. That's been the case since day one. There has never been a clear clock on when he would have utility, which is why he was so much cheaper than Bell and Lacy in the rookie draft that year.

If you're the guy with the itchy trigger finger and the fruit-fly attention span then this was never the right player for you from the jump because we've known all along that Lynch is in the way. Lynch will continue to be in the way until his play drops off or Michael switches teams. So it goes.
Age is starting to become a factor - he's 25 in November and will be 27 the year he's a free agent. Michael owners need to hope Lynch retires after this year because Michael won't hold much value as a 27 yo free agent.
That's the rub. By the time he may be free from the shackles that SEA has placed on him he'll be a 27 year old RB with no track record in the league (unless Lynch misses a significant chunk of time which of course is possible). Who is going to offer him starter's money at that point and hand him a starting job? Seems fairly unlikely at best.
Depends on what happens the next few years. If he can finally unseat Turbin and looks great on 100 touches in a backup role in 2015 and 2016, then he'll get a chance somewhere. The NFL doesn't start pushing the panic button at 26 the way that overzealous dynasty owners do.Ironically, given my stance on Michael throughout this thread, I acquired him in a league this offseason. As a Michael owner now, his age doesn't worry me nearly as much as his complete lack of any type of role the past two years, and what that might say indirectly about his talent.
Yes, he would need to unseat Turbin (will he?) and look impressive and then I agree that some team may make an agreesive push to add him as a starting back.

That would put in in a Michael Turner scenario (2-3 very good years in his prime followed by a few useful years before decline). I was working under the assumption that Michael would remain the No. 3 back in SEA if Lynch stays healthy, but admit that my assumption could be faulty.

ETA: I've been trying to acquire him on the cheap for the last two years unsuccessfully so I do see a possibility that this could happen.
Keep sending out feelers -- some people might be getting impatient. I basically got him as a throw in to even things out in a big deal for Mike Evans on an orphan rebuild that I took over.

There's also a chance that Lynch starts to slow down prior to Michael hitting FA -- he's awesome, probably my favorite RB in the league, but I don't think he's going to age super gracefully given his running style. I wouldn't expect him to be playing at the same level until the end of his current contract (2017 / 31 years old).

 
He's owned in all three of my dynasty leagues. I picked him up in one league for Ridley at the start of the last season. Most owners and those interested feel he's got talent just no opportunity.

 
Generally speaking, the owners who landed Michael in their rookie drafts were the ones who value talent a lot more than situation.

Assuming no extenuating league circumstances (no contract complications, benches deep enough to hold, etc.) why would that type of owner be expected to value him a great deal less simply because his situation has not improved when their perception of his talent likely remains unchanged?

No surprise at all that there would be a disconnect between how he's valued by those who drafted him, and by owners who were unwilling to take that initial leap because of his situation.
No, the disconnect is and has been for a while that this who drafted him refuse to acknowledge that maybe their view of his talent was overstated.
There is always that possibility, but the only real "arguments" supporting conclusion at this point are weak due to their indirect nature. The argument about Michael's talent won't be settled until he succeeds or fails on the field.
Every year he fails to beat out Turbin as the 2nd RB in Sea seems to be a growing problem.
It is not like this type of situation hasn't happen before. KC Chiefs had a similar running back pecking order until Priest got injured and Blaylock went to the Jets.

1 Priest Holmes ~ Lynch

2 Derrick Blaylock ~ Turbin

3 Larry Johnson ~ Michaels

 
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Agree with most here that it is a waiting game at this point. The one thing that might come up is that big, powerful backs like Lynch don't tend to age slowly. I don't know if it is because they rely so much on the legs and trunk and when it goes, it goes, but they seem to go from punishing guys to stiff guys that just don't have any juice overnight.

I don't think that will be the case this year but I can see Seattle maybe spelling him more than they might normally be inclined to as they make their way towards the post-season. At the conclusion of this season, however, and especially assuming a deep post-season run, you have to think a major decision is coming. Hard to imagine the Seahawks thinking of where he will be at the END of the 2016 season.

 
With the news that Turbin is recovering from hip surgery I am really surprised this thread hasn't broken the internet.
Turbin is not the problem. Lynch is the obstacle. Until he's gone, this thread is ZZZzzzz.
Best case is two more years and by then they will draft the next cmike anyway
More like by then he will be a free agent and sign as a starter elsewhere.
He will sign that low-end starter, high-end back-up contract in March and his fans will come to tell us all what a great day it is. Some of us will happily sell him to the highest bidder. In May the same team will draft some other running back in the 2nd/3rd round. CM fans will tell us the rookie is too something..slow...small..etc. Come fall they will split carries no more than 55-45 either way and both will marginally startable or at best difficult to tell who is the guy for that week. CM fans will say the coaching staff is at fault as to why he is getting Just Another Guy treatment. The following off-season the same team will bring in a 3rd guy just to further muddle the picture. At that point, I will find this post and make some snaky one line comment and say nothing else on the subject.

signed

Cleo...I Mean Cool Nerd

 
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With the news that Turbin is recovering from hip surgery I am really surprised this thread hasn't broken the internet.
Turbin is not the problem. Lynch is the obstacle. Until he's gone, this thread is ZZZzzzz.
Best case is two more years and by then they will draft the next cmike anyway
More like by then he will be a free agent and sign as a starter elsewhere.
He will sign that low-end starter, high-end back-up contract in March and his fans will come to tell us all what a great day it is. Some of us will happily sell him to the highest bidder. In May the same team will draft some other running back in the 2nd/3rd round. CM fans will tell us the rookie is too something..slow...small..etc. Come fall they will split carries no more than 55-45 either way and both will marginally startable or at best difficult to tell who is the guy for that week. CM fans will say the coaching staff is at fault as to why he is getting Just Another Guy treatment. The following off-season the same team will bring in a 3rd guy just to further muddle the picture. At that point, I will find this post and make some snaky one line comment and say nothing else on the subject.

signed

Cleo...I Mean Cool Nerd
So...he's going to Carolina then??

 
With the news that Turbin is recovering from hip surgery I am really surprised this thread hasn't broken the internet.
Turbin is not the problem. Lynch is the obstacle. Until he's gone, this thread is ZZZzzzz.
Best case is two more years and by then they will draft the next cmike anyway
More like by then he will be a free agent and sign as a starter elsewhere.
He will sign that low-end starter, high-end back-up contract in March and his fans will come to tell us all what a great day it is. Some of us will happily sell him to the highest bidder. In May the same team will draft some other running back in the 2nd/3rd round. CM fans will tell us the rookie is too something..slow...small..etc. Come fall they will split carries no more than 55-45 either way and both will marginally startable or at best difficult to tell who is the guy for that week. CM fans will say the coaching staff is at fault as to why he is getting Just Another Guy treatment. The following off-season the same team will bring in a 3rd guy just to further muddle the picture. At that point, I will find this post and make some snaky one line comment and say nothing else on the subject.

signed

Cleo...I Mean Cool Nerd
Cool story.

 
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