First post on the forum, hello from RotoWorld!
My personal opinion is that QB isn't valued highly because people only see year end stats, rather than single game impact. Year end stats don't tell the whole story and we play the game weekly. You win the game weekly and you make the playoffs by accumulating wins.
This works both ways, because when people compare QBs like Mahomes(QB1) to a guy like Daniel Jones(QB12) what their "eyes" see is, 6 points per game difference. No big deal right? They immediately start trying to rationalize, "well if my 2nd round WR scores X points more than their 3rd round WR because they drafted QB..."
But the reality is that, in the single WEEK you play Daniel Jones vs Patrick Mahomes, in an actual fantasy matchup... Week 1, Jones scored 15. Mahomes scored 35. Your 6ppg gap that you eyeballed on a 17 week average... Is a 20 point gap in your head to head matchup. How many of you have played against a Mahomes or Allen or Hurts when they dropped 35-40 on you? What realistic chance dis you ever feel like you had to win that week?
Sure, some WR and RB can have miracle weeks, but how often does Mahomes stomp a low end QB1 by 20 in any individual week? Pretty damn often right?
Fantasy is not a season long game.
It is a weekly game, that we play 17 weeks in a row.
On average if you win 8 games (8-6) you will likely make the playoffs in competitive leagues. (Less competitive leagues tend to have more lopsided standings with Tacos at the bottom, resulting in top heavy standings)
I recommend people stop thinking about how many points their QB will score, or how many PPG they average over the competition and start asking yourself... How many fantasy matchups will this player WIN for you. Winning games is the goal, not accumulating point totals or season long stats. Fantasy football doesn't have enough 'Any Given Sunday' mentality in it. Every week matters and each player has a likelihood to win you games. You want to Moneyball the system. Stop looking at the draft board as if they were players and points, and ask yourself... How many
wins will this pick get me? How many loses will they cost me? Daniel Jones might average only 6ppg less than Mahomes, but how many losses did he cost you when he scored 6.8, 9.0, 9.9, 15.0, 13.1, 14.7, 12.4, 13.5, 14.5? Sure his 36 point week is nice, but all it does is artificially raise his weekly average and trick people into thinking he isn't as far away from top QBs in a weekly format. I just laid out 9 different games that Jones probably lost you a matchup, with 15 points or less. Do you know how many weeks Mahomes scored less than 15 points in a game last season? Never.
We play a WEEKLY game. Year end stats won't help you in your matchup, and that's why I don't think they help you rank or draft players as much as people want to pretend.
The problem with staying with 1QB format and jacking pass TDs from 4 to 6 points is it doesn't change the value of QBs relative to other QBs.
This has been mathematically disproven a few times over. Sometimes it helps illustrate it, if you use a larger numbers to exaggerate the effect. Go to last season, identify whatever measurement you want for fantasy purposes, and then change TDs to 100 points each and watch how far Mahomes (QB1 41 TDs) pulls away from Geno (QB5 30TDs)
QB1 vs QB5
In Yahoo 4pt Mahomes has a 107 point lead over Geno.
In Yahoo 6pt Mahomes has a 133 point lead over Geno.
QB1 vs QB12
In Yahoo 4pt Mahomes has a 129 lead over D.Jones.
In Yahoo 6pt Mahomes has a 180 lead over D.Jones.
26 points isn't massive but it's 1.5PPG.
51 points isn't massive but now we're talking 3PPG.
3PPG in context, is the difference of having Nick Chubb (RB8 in PPG) vs DeAndre Swift (RB17 in PPG)
It's impossible to overlook these things, without completely dismantling your outlook of fantasy football. If 3PPG doesn't matter, then having an RB1 vs an RB2 doesn't matter either.
Not only does it change values relative to other QBs, it also changes QB values relative to the total scoring they account for in a basic 9 player roster.
This is before we discuss how it creates an even larger gap away from the mobile QBs who were getting 150% bonus for rushing TDs, that will cease to exist in a 6pt passing league.