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[DYNASTY] 2011 Top 20 Rookies (1 Viewer)

The Shutdown 40: #17 Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

By Doug Farrar

We continue our series with Alabama running back Mark Ingram. By far the most complete and pro-ready back in this draft class, and there are some who believe that in 2011 at the running back position, the draft is comprised of ‘Mark Ingram and everybody else.' While we're a long way away from being able to make such value judgments, Ingram's production against elite competition - and when he was frequently a point of focus of enemy defenses - was impressive enough to insure his status as a sure top-of-the-first-round draft pick.

In 38 games for the Crimson Tide, Ingram ran 560 times for 3,202 yards and 40 touchdowns. In all those carries, he rushed for just 62 negative yards, and under 10 negative yards in a game just once in his entire career. 2009 was his banner year, when he won the Heisman Trophy and Alabama won the national championship. Ingram rushed 271 times for 1,658 yards and 17 touchdowns. 2010 was a disappointment from a productivity standpoint, we he gained just 816 rushing yards on 146 carries after missing the first two games recovering from knee surgery.

Pros: Great on-field awareness - Ingram doesn't outrun his blockers and can start and stop in short spaces with impressive efficiency when he needs to hit a seam or find his way out of a flock of impending defenders. Has a very quick burst upfield; when he gets going in a straight line, he's very tough to stop. Has a well-muscled build (5-foot-10, 215 pounds) and he's able to bounce off first contact. Runs low and hard through tight gaps at the line. Ingram can read and make cuts in short areas at top speed, and his speed to and through the hole makes him an especially effective runner on draws and delays. Good receiver on screens, swing passes, and quick throws up the middle - he turns upfield quickly and accelerates for yards after catch.

Cons: Though he has great on-field speed, he's not an elite burner, and there are a few things that give pause when projecting him at the NFL level without his current supporting talent. Quite often, Ingram went straight through a chute at the line because his blockers were able to overwhelm enemy defenses. He may be more of a rotational back n the NFL because he doesn't push the pile very hard - he may struggle in short-yardage situations against more stubborn and resistant defenses. ON a strong team with a good offensive line, he should be good to go, but may not be able to transcend a less optimal situation.

Conclusion: Perhaps Ingram's primary appeal is that while he does a few things exceptionally well and he does have a high ceiling, he also has an impressively high floor - there just aren't too many things he doesn't do well. He can provide just about any kind of running you want, understands blocking and ball security (just two fumbles at Alabama), he's a good receiver, and he's a team leader. Alabama coach Nick Saban, who isn't known to be impressed by much, has spoken as well of Ingram as just about any player he's ever coached. It's often seen as slightly pejorative to call a player a safe pick - the thought being that the player in question isn't impressive in a flashy sense. Ingram has as much flash to his style as you'd like, but his main asset as a pro prospect is that he has such a well-defined skill set.

NFL Comparison: Tiki Barber, New York Giants
:angry:
If we're talking Tiki towards his last few years, when he'd shed the fumbling issues, I'd be happy with that if I had the 1.01 pick.
 
The Shutdown 40: #17 Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

By Doug Farrar

We continue our series with Alabama running back Mark Ingram. By far the most complete and pro-ready back in this draft class, and there are some who believe that in 2011 at the running back position, the draft is comprised of ‘Mark Ingram and everybody else.' While we're a long way away from being able to make such value judgments, Ingram's production against elite competition - and when he was frequently a point of focus of enemy defenses - was impressive enough to insure his status as a sure top-of-the-first-round draft pick.

In 38 games for the Crimson Tide, Ingram ran 560 times for 3,202 yards and 40 touchdowns. In all those carries, he rushed for just 62 negative yards, and under 10 negative yards in a game just once in his entire career. 2009 was his banner year, when he won the Heisman Trophy and Alabama won the national championship. Ingram rushed 271 times for 1,658 yards and 17 touchdowns. 2010 was a disappointment from a productivity standpoint, we he gained just 816 rushing yards on 146 carries after missing the first two games recovering from knee surgery.

Pros: Great on-field awareness - Ingram doesn't outrun his blockers and can start and stop in short spaces with impressive efficiency when he needs to hit a seam or find his way out of a flock of impending defenders. Has a very quick burst upfield; when he gets going in a straight line, he's very tough to stop. Has a well-muscled build (5-foot-10, 215 pounds) and he's able to bounce off first contact. Runs low and hard through tight gaps at the line. Ingram can read and make cuts in short areas at top speed, and his speed to and through the hole makes him an especially effective runner on draws and delays. Good receiver on screens, swing passes, and quick throws up the middle - he turns upfield quickly and accelerates for yards after catch.

Cons: Though he has great on-field speed, he's not an elite burner, and there are a few things that give pause when projecting him at the NFL level without his current supporting talent. Quite often, Ingram went straight through a chute at the line because his blockers were able to overwhelm enemy defenses. He may be more of a rotational back n the NFL because he doesn't push the pile very hard - he may struggle in short-yardage situations against more stubborn and resistant defenses. ON a strong team with a good offensive line, he should be good to go, but may not be able to transcend a less optimal situation.

Conclusion: Perhaps Ingram's primary appeal is that while he does a few things exceptionally well and he does have a high ceiling, he also has an impressively high floor - there just aren't too many things he doesn't do well. He can provide just about any kind of running you want, understands blocking and ball security (just two fumbles at Alabama), he's a good receiver, and he's a team leader. Alabama coach Nick Saban, who isn't known to be impressed by much, has spoken as well of Ingram as just about any player he's ever coached. It's often seen as slightly pejorative to call a player a safe pick - the thought being that the player in question isn't impressive in a flashy sense. Ingram has as much flash to his style as you'd like, but his main asset as a pro prospect is that he has such a well-defined skill set.

NFL Comparison: Tiki Barber, New York Giants
:angry:
If we're talking Tiki towards his last few years, when he'd shed the fumbling issues, I'd be happy with that if I had the 1.01 pick.
I would be happy with that production, but in no way are the two similar type of players.
 
The Shutdown 40: #17 Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

By Doug Farrar

We continue our series with Alabama running back Mark Ingram. By far the most complete and pro-ready back in this draft class, and there are some who believe that in 2011 at the running back position, the draft is comprised of ‘Mark Ingram and everybody else.' While we're a long way away from being able to make such value judgments, Ingram's production against elite competition - and when he was frequently a point of focus of enemy defenses - was impressive enough to insure his status as a sure top-of-the-first-round draft pick.

In 38 games for the Crimson Tide, Ingram ran 560 times for 3,202 yards and 40 touchdowns. In all those carries, he rushed for just 62 negative yards, and under 10 negative yards in a game just once in his entire career. 2009 was his banner year, when he won the Heisman Trophy and Alabama won the national championship. Ingram rushed 271 times for 1,658 yards and 17 touchdowns. 2010 was a disappointment from a productivity standpoint, we he gained just 816 rushing yards on 146 carries after missing the first two games recovering from knee surgery.

Pros: Great on-field awareness - Ingram doesn't outrun his blockers and can start and stop in short spaces with impressive efficiency when he needs to hit a seam or find his way out of a flock of impending defenders. Has a very quick burst upfield; when he gets going in a straight line, he's very tough to stop. Has a well-muscled build (5-foot-10, 215 pounds) and he's able to bounce off first contact. Runs low and hard through tight gaps at the line. Ingram can read and make cuts in short areas at top speed, and his speed to and through the hole makes him an especially effective runner on draws and delays. Good receiver on screens, swing passes, and quick throws up the middle - he turns upfield quickly and accelerates for yards after catch.

Cons: Though he has great on-field speed, he's not an elite burner, and there are a few things that give pause when projecting him at the NFL level without his current supporting talent. Quite often, Ingram went straight through a chute at the line because his blockers were able to overwhelm enemy defenses. He may be more of a rotational back n the NFL because he doesn't push the pile very hard - he may struggle in short-yardage situations against more stubborn and resistant defenses. ON a strong team with a good offensive line, he should be good to go, but may not be able to transcend a less optimal situation.

Conclusion: Perhaps Ingram's primary appeal is that while he does a few things exceptionally well and he does have a high ceiling, he also has an impressively high floor - there just aren't too many things he doesn't do well. He can provide just about any kind of running you want, understands blocking and ball security (just two fumbles at Alabama), he's a good receiver, and he's a team leader. Alabama coach Nick Saban, who isn't known to be impressed by much, has spoken as well of Ingram as just about any player he's ever coached. It's often seen as slightly pejorative to call a player a safe pick - the thought being that the player in question isn't impressive in a flashy sense. Ingram has as much flash to his style as you'd like, but his main asset as a pro prospect is that he has such a well-defined skill set.

NFL Comparison: Tiki Barber, New York Giants
:hangover:
If we're talking Tiki towards his last few years, when he'd shed the fumbling issues, I'd be happy with that if I had the 1.01 pick.
I would be happy with that production, but in no way are the two similar type of players.
Agreed, Ingram doesn't resemble Barber very much at all IMO. He's far more like D. Williams. I think the best comparison is E. Smith, though I hate comparing these guys to all time greats.
 
Agreed, Ingram doesn't resemble Barber very much at all IMO. He's far more like D. Williams. I think the best comparison is E. Smith, though I hate comparing these guys to all time greats.
Yes, Ingram is compared to E Smith in a lot of articles and I agree with them for the most part.
 
The Shutdown 40: #12 - Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

By Doug Farrar

We continue our series with Auburn quarterback Cam Newton. The reigning Heisman Trophy winner started his collegiate career at Florida, where he played in five games in 2007 and redshirted in 2008. However, it was obvious that Tim Tebow was the Gators' quarterback of the future, so Newton transferred to Blinn College in Texas, led the Buccaneers to the 2009 NJCAA national championship, and transferred to Auburn in time for the 2010 season. In just one year with the Tigers, Newton dominated with some crazy numbers – 1,473 rushing yards and 20 rushing touchdowns on just 264 carries, and 185 completions in 280 passing attempts for 2,854 yards, 30 passing touchdowns, and just seven interceptions.

Newton ended his collegiate career with Auburn's narrow national championship-grabbing win over the Oregon Ducks, but he also carries controversy with him. Questions about his arrest for possession of a stolen laptop and stories about his father's involvement in his career blur the picture, but the Cam Newton that shows up on game tape is one of the more intriguing draft prospects in recent years.

Pros: On quarterback draws, Newton shows a command of play-action, and he hits gaps very quickly. Extremely impressive burst in the open field – he has a second gear that he can turn on at any time. Glides past defenders like a big receiver more than a running back – his size (6-foot-6, 250 pounds) speaks to that. Uses his quick feet to redirect in space before defenders can catch up to his moves. Nifty footwork in the pocket; Newton doesn't fall apart before rolling out like a lot of more mobile quarterbacks.

Throwing motion is over the top, but there is a slight lag that will need to be worked out. Newton's superior rushing skills makes play-action devastating in the Auburn offense and makes him particularly tough to deal with in the Pistol formation. Obviously, he's great when throwing on the move – he keeps his looks downfield as he extends the play. Newton has a huge arm and can make every throw. He has good arc on bombs and outstanding velocity on stick throws.

Cons: As a thrower, Newton doesn't always spring back in his dropbacks to optimal throwing setup, leading to inaccurate arm throws. Used to taking one read before throwing or running – perhaps two at most – leading to questions about the time it would take to get him prepared to play in a multiple-read offense.

Conclusion: Newton has a few fixable mechanical issues. He doesn't have any obvious idiosyncrasies to his game; no odd motions and his upfield speed is a wonder to behold. The real questions about Newton come from the things one can't always see on the field – football I.Q., ability to make every read consistently, and ability to take snap after snap under center.

These are the same questions that have dogged every option quarterback trying to transition to a pro-style offense, but Newton has advantages that his predecessors didn't. First, while most spread-offense quarterbacks had noodle arms, Newton can air it downfield as well as any quarterback at any level. Second, with the number of shotgun snaps increasing by over 300 percent in the last decade, those quarterbacks who played in these types of offenses aren't doomed.

In 2008, current Buffalo Bills head coach Chan Gailey employed the Pistol offense with former college spread quarterback Tyler Thigpen to great effect, and in 2009, Tennessee Titans offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger ran the triple option with Vince Young at quarterback – the result was an incredible offense in which running back Chris Johnson gained over 2,000 yards on the ground. If Newton finds himself on an NFL team (like Buffalo, which would be by far his best fit as long as Gailey's still there), he could reinvent the position of quarterback in the NFL by becoming the first read-and-run field general to succeed year after year.

Newton is as talented as any quarterback of this type has ever been. But who will meet him halfway, and is he ready for the transition?

NFL Comparison: Vince Young, (formerly) Tennessee Titans

 
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The Shutdown 40: #10 - Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

By Doug Farrar

We continue our series with Missouri quarterback Blaine Gabbert. The top draft prospect quarterback listed on many boards, Gabbert was also one of the most heavily recruited high school quarterbacks in recent years, choosing to stay close to home after a standout career at Parkway West High in Ballwin, Mo. In his two full seasons and five extra games as a true freshman, Gabbert established himself as a team leader and potentially great pro quarterback. Questions persist regarding certain schematic and mechanical adjustments to the NFL, but the more you watch Gabbert on tape, the easier it is to become convinced that he'll do what's needed to be productive at the highest level.

In 30 games for the Tigers, Gabbert completed 527 passes in 876 attempts for 6,388 yards, 39 touchdowns and 18 interceptions. He also ran 208 times for 465 yards and seven touchdowns and took 43 sacks.

Pros: Played in the shotgun at Missouri, but Gabbert – like Joe Flacco – seems to have the tools to transcend the easy negative categorizations automatically given to spread offense quarterbacks. Looks comfortable in three-, five-, and seven-step drops, sets up very well mechanically for the throw. He has no problem making intermediate stick throws (18-25 yards) under pressure or when rolling out; his arm doesn't lose velocity when he's on the move. Keeps his eyes downfield when running.

Gabbert has excellent anticipation when throwing any kind of crossing route – he generally throws his receivers open. Can throw hard on a line and will get the ball into tight windows – he has already developed this extremely valuable skill. Sells play-action reasonably well the few times he's asked to do so. Throws darts underneath with a nice, compact motion; his delivery gets a little out of hand on longer throws at times. Big enough (6-foot-5, 235 pounds) to absorb hits in the pocket or on the run, though he'll be told by his coaches to live to fight another day on certain types of plays at the next level.

Cons: His last five games are points of concern. Gabbert completed just 53 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and four interceptions. Needs to tighten up a delivery that can get long and sloppy at times. Occasionally makes inaccurate arm throws, a common problem with spread quarterbacks (Cam Newton does the same thing).

Can read across the field, but it's a little frantic – so many of his college formations were trips, quads and stacks to one side. He's used to having the advantage with those sets and he tends to use motion to create time to find open receivers instead of sitting in the pocket and using progressions. Has arm strength enough to throw across his body, but such throws are generally inaccurate at this point. Not a pure runner in the traditional spread style – tends to be slow to get up to speed and is blocky on the run and in space.

Conclusion: When Andrew Luck decided to stay at Stanford, Gabbert benefited more than anyone else. He's closest to success in a pro-style (heavy on the shotgun) offense because he's got command of different types of intermediate throws, and he's got the kind of arm strength that can be honed by the right kind of coaching. Add in his excellent mobility and ability to roll out of the pocket and make every throw with both feet on the ground, and Gabbert looks more and more like an exceptional pro prospect.

He'll have to learn the things spread quarterbacks don't do that often – snaps under center, play-fakes and play-action – but like Flacco before him, Gabbert is far more than a spread offense washout. He's more mobile than Flacco, and Flacco has a better arm, but it's a decent comp for that reason alone.

NFL Comparison: Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens

 
The Shutdown 40: #9 - Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

By Doug Farrar

We continue our series with Alabama receiver Julio Jones, who made an impact with the Crimson Tide from his time as a true freshman in 2008 through his junior season in 2010. In three full seasons and 39 games, fighting through injuries in his final two years, Jones amassed 2,604 yards and 15 touchdowns on 176 receptions in an offensive system that was fairly run-heavy. He also ran for 103 yards and a touchdown on eight attempts, returned 12 punts for 130 yards, and seven kickoffs for 162 yards. Jones is a player for whom stats don't tell the whole story – and that's true on the good and bad sides.

Pros: Has the size (6-foot-4, 220 pounds) and toughness to be a nightmare after the catch and a dynamic blocker. Thick and muscular player who uses a lethal combination of jukes and stiff-arms to get upfield after catching short passes. Will not go down upon first contact, especially on deep passes where his adversaries are defensive backs – it will take at least one form tackle to take him down when he's going full-speed, and probably more. Will accelerate in intermediate areas and just bowl people over. Surprising second-level burst for such a physical player. Has no fear when it comes to crossing routes in heavy traffic; he'll instigate contact in those situations more often than not. Will make the tough catch with defensive backs draped on him, especially in the end zone. Good downfield blocker. Tough player who has proven an ability to not only play through injury, but play well.

Cons: Jones has always been an inconsistent hands catcher, leading to more drops than his talent should allow. It's an odd trait considering how his hands seem to get better the more he's under threat to take a hit. And though he can impress with his short-area speed, he's not a true downfield burner – he'll have to take a little off and set himself on jump balls – though he could excel in the right kind of vertical offense. Doesn't yet run tight cuts in short areas, but he's improved greatly as a route-runner through his Alabama career. Physical style and injury history would seem to be a worrisome combination against better and stronger defenders at the next level.

Conclusion: Jones would have put up much more prolific numbers in an offense that was more pass-friendly, but he didn't help himself with an inconsistent ability to catch the ball. At the same time, his toughness, determination to make more out of plays after the catch, and willingness to do the little things, added value beyond the numbers. Jones has the pure athleticism to be a No. 1 receiver in the NFL, and after working out a few technical kinks and adjusting to more complex coverages, his future should be very bright.

NFL Comparison: Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs

 
Do the reports that Ingram has lost 10 pounds in prep for the combine help his NFL draft stock in any way at all and does it impact his potential FF production if he plays at a lighter weight?

 
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Do the reports that Ingram has lost 10 pounds in prep for the combine help his NFL draft stock in any way at all and does it impact his potential FF production if he plays at a lighter weight?
I guess we'll see at the combine if he runs a 40.
 
Do the reports that Ingram has lost 10 pounds in prep for the combine help his NFL draft stock in any way at all and does it impact his potential FF production if he plays at a lighter weight?
What does that bring his weight down to?
I don't know for a fact, but ESPN's player page for Ingram lists him at 5-10, 215 lbs. So, is he now down to 205 lbs?
He's at 212 now. DraftScout had him at 215 also. So, apparently he gained 7 lbs before he lost the 10.
Ingram has shed about 10 pounds, and said he feels primed for next week's NFL scouting combine in Indianapolis. But his training with Harris won't end there. Ingram rented a condo and plans to spend the entire summer in his "home away from home" before heading off to his first training camp. Ingram said he is down to 212 pounds for the first time since his freshman year. "I look bigger. I look a lot more cut," said Ingram.
 
Do the reports that Ingram has lost 10 pounds in prep for the combine help his NFL draft stock in any way at all and does it impact his potential FF production if he plays at a lighter weight?
What does that bring his weight down to?
I don't know for a fact, but ESPN's player page for Ingram lists him at 5-10, 215 lbs. So, is he now down to 205 lbs?
He's at 212 now. DraftScout had him at 215 also. So, apparently he gained 7 lbs before he lost the 10.
Ingram has shed about 10 pounds, and said he feels primed for next week's NFL scouting combine in Indianapolis. But his training with Harris won't end there. Ingram rented a condo and plans to spend the entire summer in his "home away from home" before heading off to his first training camp. Ingram said he is down to 212 pounds for the first time since his freshman year. "I look bigger. I look a lot more cut," said Ingram.
:goodposting: Thanks!
 
It's my completely uneducated opinion that, in general, if a running back is somewhere over 210 lbs then he's big enough.

A lot depends on a particular team's style, for sure, but that rule is just "in general".

 
The Shutdown 40: #4 - A.J. Green, WR, Georgia

We continue our series with Georgia receiver A.J. Green, regarded by most as the best receiver prospect in this draft class. In three seasons and 31 games with the Bulldogs, Green caught 158 passes for 2,542 yards and 23 touchdowns. He also ran the ball seven times for 105 yards. From his true freshman year, Green dominated to an unusual degree, grabbing 56 receptions for 963 yards and eight touchdowns.

He never had a 1,000-yard season for Georgia, just missing out due to injury and suspension - he missed the first four games of the 2010 season after he sold his Independence Bowl jersey to an agent. So he had to "make do" with 49 catches for 771 yards and nine touchdowns in his junior year. Based on his game tape, it won't be too tough to extrapolate Green's what-ifs to NFL potential.

Pros: Displays a ridiculous vertical leap in tight coverage to grab passes, especially in the end zone - extends his arm up and can bring the ball in one-handed even with a defender trying to disrupt him, which makes him play even "taller". Excellent straight-line speed and he cuts very well; hard to match on slants and posts. Tracks the ball in stride from full speed and keeps his eye on the ball to make the tough over-the-shoulder catch.

Extends his hands to grab the pass and brings the ball to his chest quickly as he's turning to get upfield. Has no qualms about going over the middle and into a defender's area; will lay out on these plays if necessary. Plays through contact and looks to get upfield even when he's wrapped up. Sits in zone very well and can glide past defenders to extend the play. Shows a burst to productivity on receiver screens. Not afraid to be physical; will get a stiff-arm out and fight for extra yards. Has an excellent concept of routes.

Cons: Not an especially strong player; at 6-foot-4 and 212 pounds, he could probably gain 10 pounds without losing any of his downfield speed. Can't generally just blast by cornerbacks at the line, though he does have an array of moves to get past press coverage. His ability to break past more physical corners displaying aggressive moves and tight coverage at the line may be a slight concern at the next level.

Conclusion: Green has already been compared to Randy Moss in some quarters, and while that's a bit extreme, it's true that he possesses a rare combination of skills that should see him succeeding very quickly at the NFL level. With his ability to jump, get downfield as much with agility as speed, and use his hands to snatch the ball in the tightest spaces, another comparison comes to mind - especially if Jones gains a few pounds. Green isn't nearly as physical as Johnson, but many of the attributes line up well enough to make Jones a sure top-five pick.

NFL Comparison: Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions

 
Draft 2011: Combine Preview

http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/37402/60/draft-2011-combine-preview

A few notes:

Spotlight on the Stars

Georgia WR A.J. Green

I sent Green to Cleveland with the sixth pick in my latest mock draft, but he's emerging as a sleeper to go No. 1 overall with momentum building for a Steve Smith trade. In addition to his forty time and vertical, keep an eye on Green's hand size and arm length at the weigh-in.

Alabama WR Julio Jones

Jones is currently seen as a surefire top-14 pick who may begin receiving consideration at No. 10 from Washington. But what if the Panthers trade Smith and use the top pick on Green? With only two wideouts certain to be drafted in the top 20, Jones could benefit greatly from such a scenario.

Sleepers

Indiana WR Tandon Doss

ESPN's Mel Kiper and Todd McShay have both mentioned Doss as a likely Combine riser, with Kiper going so far as to suggest Doss could be drafted late in the first round. An impressive athlete at 6'3/200, Doss led the Big Ten in all-purpose yardage last season as a third-year junior.

Hawaii RB Alex Green

Discussed over on Pancake Blocks, Green boasts the second best career yards-per-carry average in the 2011 NFL draft. Hawaii's first 1,000-yard rusher since June Jones installed the run-and-shoot offense in 1999, Green is a physical runner with plus size (6'0/219) and great hands.

Nevada TE Virgil Green

A jacked-up 6'3/248, Green has shot to No. 5 among draft-eligible tight ends in NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock's latest rankings. Expected to "come real close" to the 2006 Combine numbers posted by Vernon Davis, Green averaged 14.71 yards per reception as a senior.

USC TE Jordan Cameron

Essentially a poor man's version of Jimmy Graham last year, Cameron played basketball at Brigham Young and Southern Cal before taking up football full time for the Trojans. Another basketball player-turned-footballer at the Combine will be Julius Thomas from Portland State.

Workout Wonders

Pitt WR Jonathan Baldwin

Baldwin is targeting a forty time in the 4.3s, 41-inch vertical leap, and 20-plus repetitions of 225 pounds on the bench press. Interviews may be the biggest obstacle for the college malcontent Baldwin, but he's likely to put a dent in stop watches. At a listed 6-foot-5 and 230 pound

Virginia Tech RB Ryan Williams

At a rocked-up 5'10/202 (listed), Williams recently ran a 4.41 forty with a 1.54 ten-yard split, the latter time indicating a player's short-area speed. Still just 20 years old, Williams lost his starting job as a sophomore after a monster freshman year, so he'll be on the spot in Indianapolis.

Speed to Burn

Abilene Christian WR Edmund Gates

Gates is Todd McShay's pick to run the fastest forty at the Combine, and the D-II product was timed in the low 4.4s as a college junior. The cousin of Bengals tailback Bernard Scott, Gates also boasts plenty of "game speed," graduating with an 18.26 career yards-per-catch average.

Maryland WR Torrey Smith

Smith has also been mentioned by McShay as a likely star in straight-line speed drills, and his prediction is backed up by Mike Mayock. "He's a guy that's going to run 4.35 or 4.38," said Mayock, calling Smith "a guy that flies." Smith twice reset the ACC single-season kickoff return yardage record on top of being a first-team all-conference wideout.

Troy WR Jerrel Jernigan

Jernigan averaged "only" 11.94 career yards per reception playing the slot in Troy's spread offense, but his highlight reels reveal an absolute speed demon. Percy Harvin-like in terms of versatility, Jernigan averaged 23.58 yards per kick return, 8.27 on punts, and 6.28 career yards per carry.
Jerrel has some serious skills set, he's my dark-horse in this draft. He's short but this guy has IT! Plus in his years at Troy he did NOT fumble one time.
 
Draft 2011: Combine Preview

http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/37402/60/draft-2011-combine-preview

A few notes:

Spotlight on the Stars

Georgia WR A.J. Green

I sent Green to Cleveland with the sixth pick in my latest mock draft, but he's emerging as a sleeper to go No. 1 overall with momentum building for a Steve Smith trade. In addition to his forty time and vertical, keep an eye on Green's hand size and arm length at the weigh-in.

Alabama WR Julio Jones

Jones is currently seen as a surefire top-14 pick who may begin receiving consideration at No. 10 from Washington. But what if the Panthers trade Smith and use the top pick on Green? With only two wideouts certain to be drafted in the top 20, Jones could benefit greatly from such a scenario.

Sleepers

Indiana WR Tandon Doss

ESPN's Mel Kiper and Todd McShay have both mentioned Doss as a likely Combine riser, with Kiper going so far as to suggest Doss could be drafted late in the first round. An impressive athlete at 6'3/200, Doss led the Big Ten in all-purpose yardage last season as a third-year junior.

Hawaii RB Alex Green

Discussed over on Pancake Blocks, Green boasts the second best career yards-per-carry average in the 2011 NFL draft. Hawaii's first 1,000-yard rusher since June Jones installed the run-and-shoot offense in 1999, Green is a physical runner with plus size (6'0/219) and great hands.

Nevada TE Virgil Green

A jacked-up 6'3/248, Green has shot to No. 5 among draft-eligible tight ends in NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock's latest rankings. Expected to "come real close" to the 2006 Combine numbers posted by Vernon Davis, Green averaged 14.71 yards per reception as a senior.

USC TE Jordan Cameron

Essentially a poor man's version of Jimmy Graham last year, Cameron played basketball at Brigham Young and Southern Cal before taking up football full time for the Trojans. Another basketball player-turned-footballer at the Combine will be Julius Thomas from Portland State.

Workout Wonders

Pitt WR Jonathan Baldwin

Baldwin is targeting a forty time in the 4.3s, 41-inch vertical leap, and 20-plus repetitions of 225 pounds on the bench press. Interviews may be the biggest obstacle for the college malcontent Baldwin, but he's likely to put a dent in stop watches. At a listed 6-foot-5 and 230 pound

Virginia Tech RB Ryan Williams

At a rocked-up 5'10/202 (listed), Williams recently ran a 4.41 forty with a 1.54 ten-yard split, the latter time indicating a player's short-area speed. Still just 20 years old, Williams lost his starting job as a sophomore after a monster freshman year, so he'll be on the spot in Indianapolis.

Speed to Burn

Abilene Christian WR Edmund Gates

Gates is Todd McShay's pick to run the fastest forty at the Combine, and the D-II product was timed in the low 4.4s as a college junior. The cousin of Bengals tailback Bernard Scott, Gates also boasts plenty of "game speed," graduating with an 18.26 career yards-per-catch average.

Maryland WR Torrey Smith

Smith has also been mentioned by McShay as a likely star in straight-line speed drills, and his prediction is backed up by Mike Mayock. "He's a guy that's going to run 4.35 or 4.38," said Mayock, calling Smith "a guy that flies." Smith twice reset the ACC single-season kickoff return yardage record on top of being a first-team all-conference wideout.

Troy WR Jerrel Jernigan

Jernigan averaged "only" 11.94 career yards per reception playing the slot in Troy's spread offense, but his highlight reels reveal an absolute speed demon. Percy Harvin-like in terms of versatility, Jernigan averaged 23.58 yards per kick return, 8.27 on punts, and 6.28 career yards per carry.
Jerrel has some serious skills set, he's my dark-horse in this draft. He's short but this guy has IT! Plus in his years at Troy he did NOT fumble one time.
I can't remember where I was but I was at one site where there was a down arrow by his name. Do you know of any reason why his stock might be dropping in some eyes?
 
Draft 2011: Combine Preview

http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/37402/60/draft-2011-combine-preview

A few notes:

Spotlight on the Stars

Georgia WR A.J. Green

I sent Green to Cleveland with the sixth pick in my latest mock draft, but he's emerging as a sleeper to go No. 1 overall with momentum building for a Steve Smith trade. In addition to his forty time and vertical, keep an eye on Green's hand size and arm length at the weigh-in.

Alabama WR Julio Jones

Jones is currently seen as a surefire top-14 pick who may begin receiving consideration at No. 10 from Washington. But what if the Panthers trade Smith and use the top pick on Green? With only two wideouts certain to be drafted in the top 20, Jones could benefit greatly from such a scenario.

Sleepers

Indiana WR Tandon Doss

ESPN's Mel Kiper and Todd McShay have both mentioned Doss as a likely Combine riser, with Kiper going so far as to suggest Doss could be drafted late in the first round. An impressive athlete at 6'3/200, Doss led the Big Ten in all-purpose yardage last season as a third-year junior.

Hawaii RB Alex Green

Discussed over on Pancake Blocks, Green boasts the second best career yards-per-carry average in the 2011 NFL draft. Hawaii's first 1,000-yard rusher since June Jones installed the run-and-shoot offense in 1999, Green is a physical runner with plus size (6'0/219) and great hands.

Nevada TE Virgil Green

A jacked-up 6'3/248, Green has shot to No. 5 among draft-eligible tight ends in NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock's latest rankings. Expected to "come real close" to the 2006 Combine numbers posted by Vernon Davis, Green averaged 14.71 yards per reception as a senior.

USC TE Jordan Cameron

Essentially a poor man's version of Jimmy Graham last year, Cameron played basketball at Brigham Young and Southern Cal before taking up football full time for the Trojans. Another basketball player-turned-footballer at the Combine will be Julius Thomas from Portland State.

Workout Wonders

Pitt WR Jonathan Baldwin

Baldwin is targeting a forty time in the 4.3s, 41-inch vertical leap, and 20-plus repetitions of 225 pounds on the bench press. Interviews may be the biggest obstacle for the college malcontent Baldwin, but he's likely to put a dent in stop watches. At a listed 6-foot-5 and 230 pound

Virginia Tech RB Ryan Williams

At a rocked-up 5'10/202 (listed), Williams recently ran a 4.41 forty with a 1.54 ten-yard split, the latter time indicating a player's short-area speed. Still just 20 years old, Williams lost his starting job as a sophomore after a monster freshman year, so he'll be on the spot in Indianapolis.

Speed to Burn

Abilene Christian WR Edmund Gates

Gates is Todd McShay's pick to run the fastest forty at the Combine, and the D-II product was timed in the low 4.4s as a college junior. The cousin of Bengals tailback Bernard Scott, Gates also boasts plenty of "game speed," graduating with an 18.26 career yards-per-catch average.

Maryland WR Torrey Smith

Smith has also been mentioned by McShay as a likely star in straight-line speed drills, and his prediction is backed up by Mike Mayock. "He's a guy that's going to run 4.35 or 4.38," said Mayock, calling Smith "a guy that flies." Smith twice reset the ACC single-season kickoff return yardage record on top of being a first-team all-conference wideout.

Troy WR Jerrel Jernigan

Jernigan averaged "only" 11.94 career yards per reception playing the slot in Troy's spread offense, but his highlight reels reveal an absolute speed demon. Percy Harvin-like in terms of versatility, Jernigan averaged 23.58 yards per kick return, 8.27 on punts, and 6.28 career yards per carry.
Jerrel has some serious skills set, he's my dark-horse in this draft. He's short but this guy has IT! Plus in his years at Troy he did NOT fumble one time.
I can't remember where I was but I was at one site where there was a down arrow by his name. Do you know of any reason why his stock might be dropping in some eyes?
He had an ankle injury in December and had to pull out of the Senior Bowl. If he was 2 or 3 inches taller, he'd be mentioned in the top 3 with Green and Jones. He's a stud and I'm sure we'll hear more about him.
 
I thought AJ Green was supposed to be fast?
Fast yes. Burner no.4.48 is plenty of speed for a guy his size. Green's strength is his body control, hands and ability to create separation.
But those are Julio Jones' strengths too, and he's faster and can jump farther and higher. AJ probably has better hands, but I've always thought these two were closer together than some think. Didn't see anything to change my opinion. I think Green is a little overrated and Jones is a little underrated.
 
Bob McGinn, one of the best NFL writers out there, did a draft prep article today. He's got great connections throughout the NFL with GMs and long time scouts. He listed AJ Green and Julio Jones among the top 13 prospects in this draft. Here's what the scouts had to say. (Note that this is before they ran today.)

A.J. Green*, WR, Georgia: 6 feet 3½ inches, 211 pounds. Three-year starter. "There's a gap between him and Julio Jones," one scout said. "Green is faster and catches the ball more consistently." Finished with 166 catches for 2,619 yards (15.8) and 23 TDs. Served four-game suspension in 2010 for selling a jersey. "He's damn good," another scout said. "Thing that scares me, I don't know if he can physically sustain. I don't see that innate physical toughness."

Julio Jones*, WR, Alabama: 6-4, 220. Power receiver with good, not great speed. "He doesn't have super, super speed but I think he has sneaky speed," one scout said. "He can get on a DB pretty quick. He's a big guy and will block. He will drop some balls." Three-year player with 179 catches for 2,653 (14.8) and 15 TDs. Played much of final season with broken hand. "I think he's tough and he perseveres," another scout said. "He's so dang strong and big. And he is competitive."

 
I thought AJ Green was supposed to be fast?
Fast yes. Burner no.4.48 is plenty of speed for a guy his size. Green's strength is his body control, hands and ability to create separation.
But those are Julio Jones' strengths too, and he's faster and can jump farther and higher. AJ probably has better hands, but I've always thought these two were closer together than some think. Didn't see anything to change my opinion. I think Green is a little overrated and Jones is a little underrated.
Jones doesn't translate the numbers he posted today on the field very well. Green plays better than the numbers he posted. I agree, Jones is better than most people think. The guy got a bad rep due to underperforming in 2009 when he was battling injuries all year. Both are elite talents. Green is simply better IMO and seems to be getting graded a lot higher by most scouts as well. Green and Jones have been 1 & 2 in my mind for a while. I know many didn't have him there but I'm guessing they will now. I think there is going to be some overreaction to his performance today. A lot of people are probably going to move him to #1 and I think that would be a mistake. Green was the clear #1 prior to today and still should be. Maybe Jones closed the gap a bit with an insane performance but the on-field performance of Green should keep him comfortably in the #1 spot.
 
Green has always struck me as being closer to Reggie Wayne and Sidney Rice than Randy Moss. His physical tools aren't really that overwhelming, but he's a fluid athlete and he catches the ball very well. My one concern is that he lacks the physical trump cards that some top NFL receivers have. He's not very strong and he's not exceptionally explosive. He's a tall finesse receiver without great speed. I don't think it will be a death sentence though. Green was a good player in college and we've seen guys like Rice and Wayne thrive in recent years with a similar skill set. I have said all along that Green is overrated. I don't see him as being worthy of a top 5 NFL draft pick, but he's certainly a first round talent.

As for Julio, he was an inconsistent college player despite his tools. There's a little bit of a Roy Williams vibe to him, but he's a much better athlete than Williams. I see him as a guy who will be a solid starter in the NFL despite his inconsistency simply because his physical ability is top shelf. I would say he's comparable to Dwayne Bowe or Braylon Edwards in terms of the results we'll see. He does have a very high ceiling if everything clicks.

I have felt in recent months that the gap between Jones and Green was largely imaginary. I think they both have similar value. Jones is a better athlete. Green is a better receiver. It would be a tough decision between the two of them at 1.02. We'll see which NFL teams they land on. That might influence my final rankings.

 
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Green has always struck me as being closer to Reggie Wayne and Sidney Rice than Randy Moss. His physical tools aren't really that overwhelming, but he's a fluid athlete and he catches the ball very well. My one concern is that he lacks the physical trump cards that some top NFL receivers have. He's not very strong and he's not exceptionally explosive. He's a tall finesse receiver without great speed. I don't think it will be a death sentence though. Green was a good player in college and we've seen guys like Rice and Wayne thrive in recent years with a similar skill set. I have said all along that Green is overrated. I don't see him as being worthy of a top 5 NFL draft pick, but he's certainly a first round talent. As for Julio, he was an inconsistent college player despite his tools. There's a little bit of a Roy Williams vibe to him, but he's a much better athlete than Williams. I see him as a guy who will be a solid starter in the NFL despite his inconsistency simply because his physical ability is top shelf. I would say he's comparable to Dwayne Bowe or Braylon Edwards in terms of the results we'll see. He does have a very high ceiling if everything clicks. I have felt in recent months that the gap between Jones and Green was largely imaginary. I think they both have similar value. Jones is a better athlete. Green is a better receiver. It would be a tough decision between the two of them at 1.02. We'll see which NFL teams they land on. That might influence my final rankings.
If Green went to Cleveland and Jones when to St. Louis, I think I'd move Jones ahead of Green. In dynasty, I try not to pay too much attention to the current situation of a team, but since i have the two rated very closely, I would be comfortable letting the situation dictate the choice for me.
 
I've said it all along. Julio Jones is an animal. He's Terrell Owens 2.0. He will outwork AJ Green, is more physical, is faster and more imposing. AJ Green played on more of a passing offense. When Alabama finally started passing the ball deep in Jones' career, he started putting up insane numbers.

Jones spent much of the 2009 season blocking for Mark Ingram, which led to many calling him "overrated".

He also shed the "bad hands" image in 2010, as he rarely dropped balls and made some amazing, spectacular catches.

His ceiling is much higher than AJ Green's, and I think the Reggie Wayne comparison for AJ Green is dead on.

 
I've said it all along. Julio Jones is an animal. He's Terrell Owens 2.0. He will outwork AJ Green, is more physical, is faster and more imposing. AJ Green played on more of a passing offense. When Alabama finally started passing the ball deep in Jones' career, he started putting up insane numbers.

Jones spent much of the 2009 season blocking for Mark Ingram injured, which led to many calling him "overrated".

He also shed the "bad hands" image in 2010, as he rarely dropped balls and made some amazing, spectacular catches.

His ceiling is much higher than AJ Green's, and I think the Reggie Wayne comparison for AJ Green is dead on.
Fixed that sentence for you.I agree that Jones in a great WR in the mold of TO... possibly more physically gifted than TO as a matter of fact.

I don't particularly like the Green/Wayne comparison though. I see Green's game more in line with a guy like Fitz, only he's much bigger. His strength is getting in and out of his breaks to create separation, great body control to "box out defenders" and make the catch, an uncanny ability to high point the ball (he may not have a sick vertical like Jones but he gets every inch out of it by timing his jumps well and being in the right position) and his hands.

Regardless of which comparison you prefer, I'm not sure how a guy who is like Wayne has a much lower ceiling than a guy like TO. :coffee:

 
Bob McGinn, one of the best NFL writers out there, did a draft prep article today. He's got great connections throughout the NFL with GMs and long time scouts. He listed AJ Green and Julio Jones among the top 13 prospects in this draft. Here's what the scouts had to say. (Note that this is before they ran today.)

A.J. Green*, WR, Georgia: 6 feet 3½ inches, 211 pounds. Three-year starter. "There's a gap between him and Julio Jones," one scout said. "Green is faster and catches the ball more consistently." Finished with 166 catches for 2,619 yards (15.8) and 23 TDs. Served four-game suspension in 2010 for selling a jersey. "He's damn good," another scout said. "Thing that scares me, I don't know if he can physically sustain. I don't see that innate physical toughness."

Julio Jones*, WR, Alabama: 6-4, 220. Power receiver with good, not great speed. "He doesn't have super, super speed but I think he has sneaky speed," one scout said. "He can get on a DB pretty quick. He's a big guy and will block. He will drop some balls." Three-year player with 179 catches for 2,653 (14.8) and 15 TDs. Played much of final season with broken hand. "I think he's tough and he perseveres," another scout said. "He's so dang strong and big. And he is competitive."
This is my concern also. Can his physical game translate to the NFL where the guys he'll try to physically dominate as he did in college are much bigger, stronger and tougher. I think he'll have to adapt his game slightly (or become stronger/tougher).
 
There is a report that Julio Jones worked out through the combine with a foot fracture and will now have surgery to have a pin inserted in his foot. What a beast!

 
I've said it all along. Julio Jones is an animal. He's Terrell Owens 2.0. He will outwork AJ Green, is more physical, is faster and more imposing. AJ Green played on more of a passing offense. When Alabama finally started passing the ball deep in Jones' career, he started putting up insane numbers.

Jones spent much of the 2009 season blocking for Mark Ingram injured, which led to many calling him "overrated".

He also shed the "bad hands" image in 2010, as he rarely dropped balls and made some amazing, spectacular catches.

His ceiling is much higher than AJ Green's, and I think the Reggie Wayne comparison for AJ Green is dead on.
Fixed that sentence for you.I agree that Jones in a great WR in the mold of TO... possibly more physically gifted than TO as a matter of fact.

I don't particularly like the Green/Wayne comparison though. I see Green's game more in line with a guy like Fitz, only he's much bigger. His strength is getting in and out of his breaks to create separation, great body control to "box out defenders" and make the catch, an uncanny ability to high point the ball (he may not have a sick vertical like Jones but he gets every inch out of it by timing his jumps well and being in the right position) and his hands.

Regardless of which comparison you prefer, I'm not sure how a guy who is like Wayne has a much lower ceiling than a guy like TO. ;)
:goodposting: Let me also add that Ingram had 1,000 after contact yds. If Julio was blocking him in 2009 then he's a horrible blocker. I don't know how many times I saw Ingram and Trent got hit behind the line only to break a long one.

 
'eaglesfan7 said:
There is a report that Julio Jones worked out through the combine with a foot fracture and will now have surgery to have a pin inserted in his foot. What a beast!
Evan Silva via Twitter.
NFL Network's Charley Casserly reports that Julio Jones needs surgery after performing at Combine with foot fracture.
 
WR's always score low on the wonderlic haha....I think they compare AJ Green to the wrong Johnson, I believe he is more like Andre Johnson but not quite as physical. I don't really think you can compare anyone to Calvin's ability. As for Julio i see him falling between Terrell Owens and Dwayne Bowe/Braylon Edwards. (I know he's much faster than Braylon)

 
Kendall Hunter nows seems like a lock to be a 2nd round pick.

I picked up PFW's draft preview and then found out they did it before the SuperBowl. Some of the rankings are crazy but it is nice to have an opinion just from the game tapes before all the combine and marketing agents start polluting things. They are very high on him as well.

 

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