What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Dynasty Value Discussion Thread (3 Viewers)

I like Cooks and think he could be better in year two. Having said that my biggest fear is his cap number and contract and it wouldn't shock me at all if they released him. 8Mil is a big big number for a wr in NE and if they can't agree on an extension im not sure what happens.   
I understand things are different for NE, but 8mil isn't even in the top 25 salaries for WRs this year.  It's less than Tavon Austin, Allen Hurns, and Pierre Garcon and is on par with what Albert Wilson and Ryan Grant just signed for.

What are they hoping to get for that $8 million that is going to be better than Cooks?

 
Any thoughts on dez Bryant? I own him in a league where I’d like to sell him but also wonder if he’s really cheap right now and might be a buy on my other teams. He’s still the de facto #1 in dallas. I didn’t watch a lot of cowboys games, has he lost a step or can he still be a solid wr2 for fantasy? Haven’t looked at adp but I’d imagine anything in the 2nd would be the price. Maybe even an early 3rd.

 
Early morning rant edited to a “good morning”.
Haha, what was the topic of the rant??

Any thoughts on dez Bryant? I own him in a league where I’d like to sell him but also wonder if he’s really cheap right now and might be a buy on my other teams. He’s still the de facto #1 in dallas. I didn’t watch a lot of cowboys games, has he lost a step or can he still be a solid wr2 for fantasy? Haven’t looked at adp but I’d imagine anything in the 2nd would be the price. Maybe even an early 3rd.
He ded.

But seriously, people seem to be done with him. He turns 30 this season which should still be in a WR's prime, but things just haven't clicked for him and Dak. Injuries have contributed but the last time he had a meaningful season was his age 26 season. There was talk about the Cowboys asking him to take a pay cut. I won't be the least bit surprised if they draft a WR in the first two rounds, which would further depress his value. He went WR21 in WSL1. I took Diggs WR22 and Dez wasn't even on my radar when predrafting. So in conclusion, I'm pretty down on him as is everyone else. Would not recommend buying low. Might try to shop him where you've got him. He's still got name recognition. If I had him, I'd jump at a late 1st. 

 
Haha, what was the topic of the rant??

He ded.

But seriously, people seem to be done with him. He turns 30 this season which should still be in a WR's prime, but things just haven't clicked for him and Dak. Injuries have contributed but the last time he had a meaningful season was his age 26 season. There was talk about the Cowboys asking him to take a pay cut. I won't be the least bit surprised if they draft a WR in the first two rounds, which would further depress his value. He went WR21 in WSL1. I took Diggs WR22 and Dez wasn't even on my radar when predrafting. So in conclusion, I'm pretty down on him as is everyone else. Would not recommend buying low. Might try to shop him where you've got him. He's still got name recognition. If I had him, I'd jump at a late 1st. 
I might be jumping at a late 2nd in a 16 team league....

 
I understand things are different for NE, but 8mil isn't even in the top 25 salaries for WRs this year.  It's less than Tavon Austin, Allen Hurns, and Pierre Garcon and is on par with what Albert Wilson and Ryan Grant just signed for.

What are they hoping to get for that $8 million that is going to be better than Cooks?
Reche Caldwell, Doug Garbriel, Jabar Gafney err, sorry just having a bad flashback......

What r they hoping to get? Your guess is as good as mine, I can only say it is a lot of doe for them and while not in horrible cap shape they aren't rolling in cap money either. Imo it is highly unlikely they come to terms on an extension since Cooks is rightly going to want top wr money. I don't see any way NE will give him anything close to what he wants and knows he can get on open market.

So if they know he is gone next yr anyway the wheels start turning and I think the possibility he is cut or traded this year become real (not saying likely, but possible). Letting Amendola go leads me to believe (hope, pray) they will keep Cooks for this yr but it really wouldn't shock me if he were gone this year.  

 
tangfoot said:
Are you basing this on his 60 career catches, his 575 total yards, or his 6 TDs?
Miss the train if you want. I could care less. I saw a star stuck behind another star in Philly. Now he's walking into a great situation. Talent + opportunity 

 
Trade just completed in PPR dynasty:

I received Russell Wilson and 1.08

I gave up Andrew Luck and Jerick McKinnon

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Got Jeremy Hill on the end of my bench and he's visiting New England. That could be good. 

Also ended up with absolutely nothing at qb. McCown and Flacco. So traded 1.10 for Cam Newton. 

 
What does the Burton signing say for Shaheen, since we're talking about Bears.  I doubt he's being signed as a #1 TE but more as a stop gap type of guy to play a similar role he did with the Eagles right?  At least that's my hope.  
Not much. They're both going to be on the field at the same time a lot. This coming from a Bears fan.

 
Anyone looked into DeVante Parker's value. Got him sitting on my team since last year and seriously need a RB or an extra pick. 

 
Wilson>luck

1.8>McKinnon
yes, pretty bad trade.  Luck is super risky and even healthy he isn't much better, if at all, than Wilson.

There is no way McKinnon is worth 1.08.  I'd do flips if someone offered me a 1st for him.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Wilson>luck

1.8>McKinnon
While I agree with both statements I think both are at least close enough that preference could easily put someone into favoring the other side, even if they aren't the majority in that opinion.  Realistically the deal is probably off by a 2019 1st that should be added to the Luck/McKinnon side.

yes, pretty bad trade.  Luck is super risky and even healthy he isn't much better, if at all, than Wilson.

There is no way McKinnon is worth 1.08.  I'd do flips if someone offered me a 1st for him.
Luck if healthy may not be much better than Wilson right now, but running QBs historically slow down a lot earlier than QBs who merely supplement big passing numbers with a few hundred rushing yards (like Rodgers/Luck).

The last time Wilson rushed for fewer than 500 yards he was QB11 so if that change happens 3-5 years from now that is a much shorter health life than a healthy Luck (which is obviously no guarantee, but is within the realm of what we are talking about here).

 
yes, pretty bad trade.  Luck is super risky and even healthy he isn't much better, if at all, than Wilson.

There is no way McKinnon is worth 1.08.  I'd do flips if someone offered me a 1st for him.
What’s McKinnon worth then? I can’t imagine anyone who owns him would sell for a 2nd at this point. 

 
What’s McKinnon worth then? I can’t imagine anyone who owns him would sell for a 2nd at this point. 
I think 1.08-1.12 range. Personally I’ll always try to acquire a back in this type of offense. In Denver it was plug and play, kubiak in Houston coaxed monster seasons out of Steve Slaton and Arian foster. In atl it was freeman/Coleman. 

 
There is no way McKinnon is worth 1.08.  I'd do flips if someone offered me a 1st for him.
The 1.08 may be just over the border of what I'd pay but why is this a "no way" situation?

McKinnon is a tremendous athlete that improved as a RB each year in this league and is now the handpicked successor by a HC/OC that knows how to get productions out of RBs. I don't own McKinnon anywhere but he's a buy for me. I could see a top 5 season (in ppr) without stretching my imagination too hard.

 
The 1.08 may be just over the border of what I'd pay but why is this a "no way" situation?

McKinnon is a tremendous athlete that improved as a RB each year in this league and is now the handpicked successor by a HC/OC that knows how to get productions out of RBs. I don't own McKinnon anywhere but he's a buy for me. I could see a top 5 season (in ppr) without stretching my imagination too hard.
I agree that he has upside, but he also doesn't have a starting job yet.  We don't know if they will draft someone, we don't know if McKinnon will win the job, we don't know if he can handle it, or what the split will be. We do know Shanahan had a good track record but we also know McKinnon has a relatively bad one, and if he flames out he won't likely get another chance to start.

A first round pick can't lose its job during the nfl draft.  If the guy you looked at 1.8 ends up in a bad situation, you just take someone else. A first round pick in a deep rb draft could have similar upside and will likely get a longer leash if they don't succeed in year one.  

I agree that he's an interesting upside play, and his value could go up or down during the nfl draft depending on what the 49ers do. If they add a guy like Ronald Jones or kerryon Johnson, that McKinnon lottery ticket falls off hard. 

 
They paid him too much money for him to lose dynasty value before training camp.

It's easy to overvalue 1.8 based on what the RB did last year but rookie RB can easily lose value by y2 (another 49er Joe Williams being a prime example).

 
I agree that he has upside, but he also doesn't have a starting job yet.  We don't know if they will draft someone, we don't know if McKinnon will win the job, we don't know if he can handle it, or what the split will be. We do know Shanahan had a good track record but we also know McKinnon has a relatively bad one, and if he flames out he won't likely get another chance to start.

A first round pick can't lose its job during the nfl draft.  If the guy you looked at 1.8 ends up in a bad situation, you just take someone else. A first round pick in a deep rb draft could have similar upside and will likely get a longer leash if they don't succeed in year one.  

I agree that he's an interesting upside play, and his value could go up or down during the nfl draft depending on what the 49ers do. If they add a guy like Ronald Jones or kerryon Johnson, that McKinnon lottery ticket falls off hard. 
Good and fair points, but with the money they are paying him it looks like he's their guy. With the way Shanahan has talked him up it seems like the plan is for him to be the guy. The Niners don't have a second round pick after the Jimmy G trade so unless Barkley falls to them in round 1 (which is not impossible) the highest they will be taking a RB would be in round 3 and my guess is after this signing they will not use their second pick in the draft at RB.

Could that hypothetical third or fourth round pick beat out McKinnon. Sure, but that's not a given by any means. 

I know the 1.08 gives you versatility but it's far from a lock as well. I wouldn't pay the 1.08 for McKinnon, like I said, but I don't see it as outrageous or a "no way" proposition.

 
At that current value if I were looking to add McKinnon I would wait until after the rookie draft just to see how things turn out. 1.08 does seem like a fair value though at this point to me. 

 
At that current value if I were looking to add McKinnon I would wait until after the rookie draft just to see how things turn out. 1.08 does seem like a fair value though at this point to me. 
I think if you wait until the rookie draft you will have to pay more than 1.08 or his owners position will solidify and they won't sell. I doubt the 49ers take another RB in the draft as Shanahan has been saying how impressed he was by watching him on tape, essentially that he does everything, and what a good fit he is to their offense. However the uncertain element about how the draft plays out (which is not completely unjustified) depresses his value somewhat at the moment IMO.

 
I agree that he has upside, but he also doesn't have a starting job yet.  We don't know if they will draft someone, we don't know if McKinnon will win the job, we don't know if he can handle it, or what the split will be. We do know Shanahan had a good track record but we also know McKinnon has a relatively bad one, and if he flames out he won't likely get another chance to start.

A first round pick can't lose its job during the nfl draft.  If the guy you looked at 1.8 ends up in a bad situation, you just take someone else. A first round pick in a deep rb draft could have similar upside and will likely get a longer leash if they don't succeed in year one.  

I agree that he's an interesting upside play, and his value could go up or down during the nfl draft depending on what the 49ers do. If they add a guy like Ronald Jones or kerryon Johnson, that McKinnon lottery ticket falls off hard. 
I'll say the same thing I said in the Drake thread.  In the 1.08-1.12 range that McKinnon is currently valued, any RB you find is going to have serious questions about workload/opportunity.

The kind of ironic thing in this is that in your "what if San Francisco drafts one of these RBs" scenario, the answer to that "what if" is that the guy SF drafts will likely be a 1.06-1.10 pick in rookie drafts, despite having the same questions about opportunity that we're speculating McKinnon might have in a worst case scenario.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Good and fair points, but with the money they are paying him it looks like he's their guy. With the way Shanahan has talked him up it seems like the plan is for him to be the guy. The Niners don't have a second round pick after the Jimmy G trade so unless Barkley falls to them in round 1 (which is not impossible) the highest they will be taking a RB would be in round 3 and my guess is after this signing they will not use their second pick in the draft at RB.

Could that hypothetical third or fourth round pick beat out McKinnon. Sure, but that's not a given by any means. 

I know the 1.08 gives you versatility but it's far from a lock as well. I wouldn't pay the 1.08 for McKinnon, like I said, but I don't see it as outrageous or a "no way" proposition.
The thing about McKinnon is no matter what happens he will have a role...he is versatile enough that he could be anywhere from a legit #1 in San Fran to being a high-end COP back...he could definitely underperform his deal but I do not see him busting...I would absolutely trade a 1.8 for him...unless they bring in Barkley I think he has a fantastic opportunity...they spent very good $ on him and I think they will give him every chance to succeed...

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Originally I put McKinnon's value in the 8-10 range but more I've mulled it over I would NOT deal him for 1.8 unless I was just overloaded at RB or needed to clear roster spot.

I am pretty opinionated as most who post here are and we all feel like we know what we are doing and talking about. NFL teams will get things wrong and they have to factor in stuff we don't like how a player impacts the locker room, not taking chances on a player that can cost them a job, etc, etc. We just care about stats a player can produce so we don't always view things same as NFL teams.

But I'm a guy in sitting around looking at videos, reading up on players and making opinions. It would be laughable to me to think I know more, that I have more info to make a decision then professional people in the NFL who are trained to do this for a living, more experienced and with greater resources then I have.

You take that with a coach who has been a bit of a RB guru. Who identified McKinnon as someone he wanted and has a specific plan in mind in for him and that plan is likely to involve a lot of pass catching.

I did like McKinnon before this, enough to have on about 1/3rd of my teams, but I did not love him and this is way more pay and role than I thought he'd get. But at some point, and I'm at that point, I'm weighing my opinions vs Kyle Shanahan's and I'm just not going to sit here on my own and think I know more about how to effectively play RB in his system than he does. If he believes in McKinnon, I'm not going to die on my hill that he's just a third down guy.

As for pick 8 what you do you think you are really looking at? I think you are looking at 5-6 RB's, 2-3 WR's gone. As I look at my 6th-7th RB, 3rd-4th rated WR, I don't see that as someone I want over Mckinnon.

 
I'd go as high as 1.06 for McKinnon, and I thought it was a bad signing by SF.  They didn't break the bank for him not to start.  

 
Last edited by a moderator:
The 1.08 may be just over the border of what I'd pay but why is this a "no way" situation?

McKinnon is a tremendous athlete that improved as a RB each year in this league and is now the handpicked successor by a HC/OC that knows how to get productions out of RBs. I don't own McKinnon anywhere but he's a buy for me. I could see a top 5 season (in ppr) without stretching my imagination too hard.
The more i think about it the more i think you and the others are correct.  It may not work out but Shanny's intention is to use McKinnon a lot.   That SF offense is intriguing and could put up some very nice offensive numbers.

You guys have sold me on McKinnon having some real value.  

 
Just been offered 1.07 for him and I'm torn. Team is weak at RB (he's probably my RB1), but I'm intrigued enough to hold for now I think.

 
Depends on the roster.  He's not a big target of mine, but I'd pay a late 1st if I was plugging him into the RB2/flex spot of a contending roster. 1.09ish.  
I have been offered Mixon & 1 of Funchess, Richardson or Cobb for my Ingram & Juju in dynasty PPR. I'm on the fence b/c I am very high on Juju. Ugh...

 
He got big money and for me that is a strong enough indicator that they intend to give him a good deal of work. I'm not sure it will all work out but if you need a RB I think Mickinnon is certainly worth investing a 6-12 pick in. I would feel comfortable at around that 1.08 range but don't feel bad paying a little more if I needed RB help, I would want to pay a little less if I didn't have a RB need.

 
Miss the train if you want. I could care less. I saw a star stuck behind another star in Philly. Now he's walking into a great situation. Talent + opportunity 
Yup this is the same thinking I have. I remember Delanie Walker being behind Vernon Davis and then getting the chance in Tennessee and he's been a top TE since. I think Burton has a good chance to do the same if Trubisky does end up being good

 
Concept Coop said:
I've been put off by his price tag, but am hoping rookie fever will drop his price tag some.  The upside is Barkley-esque (even if he's a less likely to reach it).
I'd give the 1.03 up for him. I have two players in this draft rated as elite prospects I'd have a hard time giving up for him. I probably would trade the 1.02 for him as well but it's pretty close. 

 
I'd give the 1.03 up for him. I have two players in this draft rated as elite prospects I'd have a hard time giving up for him. I probably would trade the 1.02 for him as well but it's pretty close. 
1.03 is fair.  On the surface, he has more upside than Michel, Jones, and Chubb. Guice too, but I'd opt for Guice's floor.

 
menobrown said:
You take that with a coach who has been a bit of a RB guru. Who identified McKinnon as someone he wanted and has a specific plan in mind in for him and that plan is likely to involve a lot of pass catching.


Just to pump the brakes on this narrative, we are talking about the same coach who "stood on the table" for Joe Williams last draft season, but now has already moved on to the next shiny new toy...

 
Just to pump the brakes on this narrative, we are talking about the same coach who "stood on the table" for Joe Williams last draft season, but now has already moved on to the next shiny new toy...
I see what you're saying, but "4th round pick" and "9 mil per" are two different tables.

 
I'm sorry but IMO we saw what McKinnon can do as a lead back two years ago when he did so in place of Adrian Peterson. The results were just middling.

Having said that, I'd take picks 1-5 but after that I'd take JM (assuming PPR).

 
Just to pump the brakes on this narrative, we are talking about the same coach who "stood on the table" for Joe Williams last draft season, but now has already moved on to the next shiny new toy...
I’m not sure that narrative was completely  true. That seemed like (Peter King type) building drama for a story. Shanahan was never quoted saying that and he never showed any love after the draft He’s been quoted gushing over McKinon and put their money where their mouth is.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I'm sorry but IMO we saw what McKinnon can do as a lead back two years ago when he did so in place of Adrian Peterson. The results were just middling.

Having said that, I'd take picks 1-5 but after that I'd take JM (assuming PPR).
What about last year when Cook was hurt? mcKinon has a few break out games albeit splitting with Murray. He was a college QB so maybe he needed a little time to adjust.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top